重点关注 锋龙股份（002931）2月1日晚间公告称，停牌期间，公司就股票交易波动情况进行了核查。目前，相关核查工作已完成，公司股票自2 月2日起复牌。公司股票自2025年12月25日至2026年1月23日已连续17个交易日涨停，价格涨幅为405.74%。 同日，嘉美包装（002969）公告称，公司股票自2025年12月17日至2026年1月23日期间价格涨幅为408.11%，已背离公司基本面。停 牌期间，公司就股票交易波动情况进行了核查。相关核查工作已完成。公司股票自2月2日起复牌。 宏观•要闻 统计局最新发布，重要经济数据出炉 1月31日，国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。数据显示，1月份，制造业采购经理指数（制造业PMI）、非制 造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为49.3%、49.4%和49.8%，比上月下降0.8个、0.8个和0.9个百分点，经济景气水平有所回落。不过，价格指数 释放积极信号，1月份，主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数双双回升，其中出厂价格指数近20个月来首次升至临界点（50%）以上。同时，新动能 延续扩张态势，金融业商务活动指数较上月和去 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant surge in demand, particularly driven by the AI wave, as evidenced by South Korea's semiconductor exports reaching $20.5 billion in January, a year-on-year increase of over 102% [1][2]. Group 1: Semiconductor Export Growth - South Korea's semiconductor exports in January 2026 reached $20.5 billion, marking a 102.7% year-on-year increase and the second-highest monthly record in history [2]. - The overall export value for South Korea in January increased by 33.9% year-on-year to $65.85 billion, setting a historical record for the same period [2]. - The trade surplus for South Korea in January was $8.7 billion, with a continuous surplus for 12 months [2][3]. Group 2: Price Increase in Semiconductor Industry - A price increase trend is sweeping through the semiconductor industry, with companies like Yingjixin, Zhongwei Semiconductor, and Guokai Microelectronics announcing price hikes of up to 80% for various chip products [4][6]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor announced price adjustments for MCU and Norflash products, with increases ranging from 15% to 50% [6]. - Guokai Microelectronics reported price increases of 40% for 512Mb KGD products, 60% for 1Gb KGD products, and 80% for 2Gb KGD products, indicating a strong upward pricing trend expected to continue into the first half of 2026 [6]. Group 3: Demand Dynamics - The demand for AI chips and storage chips is surging due to global cloud service providers expanding AI data centers, leading to shortages and price increases for server CPUs from major manufacturers like Intel and AMD [7]. - Analysts predict that the overall supply of global storage will remain tight throughout 2026, with AI demand growth outpacing production capacity expansion [7]. - The domestic storage industry in China is expected to benefit from the ongoing shortage and price increase trends across multiple segments [7].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Next week (February 2 to 6), a total of 42 stocks will be unlocked, with a total unlock market value of 103.42 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Unlock Market Value and Stock Information - The total number of shares to be unlocked is 4.611 billion shares, with a total unlock market value calculated at 103.42 billion yuan based on the latest closing prices [2]. - Among the 42 stocks, 17 have an unlock market value exceeding 100 million yuan, with three stocks exceeding 10 billion yuan: Xinda Securities, Zhongwei Semiconductor, and Yangtze Power [3]. Group 2: Major Stocks with High Unlock Values - Xinda Securities has the highest unlock market value at 44.879 billion yuan, with 2.551 billion shares unlocked, accounting for 78.67% of its total share capital [3]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor will unlock 231 million shares, representing 57.77% of its total share capital, with an unlock market value of 13.381 billion yuan. The stock has seen a significant increase of over 67% since January 20, following a price increase announcement for its products [3]. - Yangtze Power will unlock 461 million shares, accounting for 1.88% of its total share capital, with an unlock market value of 12.151 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Other Notable Stocks - Yipuli, Guobang Pharmaceutical, and Xinghuan Technology-U have high unlock market values of 7.618 billion yuan, 7.060 billion yuan, and 5.703 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Eleven stocks have an unlock quantity that exceeds 10% of their total share capital, with several stocks like Honghai Technology, Xinda Securities, and Zhongwei Semiconductor exceeding 40% [4]. - Honghai Technology has an unlock quantity that is nearly 80% of its total share capital, with an expected decline in net profit for 2025 [4]. Group 4: Performance of Stocks - Stocks that have seen significant price increases this year include Aotewi, Zhaojin Gold, Xinghuan Technology-U, Zhongwei Semiconductor, and Xinyuan Technology, all with increases exceeding 40% [4]. - Aotewi and Zhaojin Gold have both seen price increases around 100%, although their unlock quantities are relatively low [4]. - Xinghuan Technology-U has a year-to-date increase of over 94%, with an expected net loss for 2025 [5].

Group 1 - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman by President Trump has sparked hawkish expectations, leading to a significant sell-off in the global precious metals market, with silver dropping over 35% and gold nearly 13% [3][5] - The Federal Reserve's policy framework may see a notable shift if Warsh assumes leadership, as Deutsche Bank suggests a unique combination of "rate cuts and balance sheet reduction" could emerge under his guidance [3] - The U.S. Treasury Department reported a projected decline in national fiscal revenue for 2025, with total revenue expected to be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% year-on-year [4] Group 2 - The World Trade Organization ruled that U.S. clean energy subsidy measures violate WTO rules in the dispute initiated by China regarding the Inflation Reduction Act [4] - The China-UK economic relationship is set to deepen with the signing of four economic cooperation documents, focusing on "Export to China" initiatives and service trade agreements [4] - The Panama Supreme Court ruled that the contract for the operation of ports along the Panama Canal held by CK Hutchison is invalid, prompting a response from the Chinese government to protect its legitimate rights [4] Group 3 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is working to enhance the attractiveness and flexibility of refinancing systems to support the capital market's stable growth [6] - The A-share market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.96% and significant sell-offs in gold stocks [6] - The CSRC is revising the registration management measures for listed companies to clarify the types of strategic investors and enforce a minimum holding requirement of 5% [6] Group 4 - The regulatory body has issued new guidelines for fund sales and marketing practices, prohibiting collaborations with unqualified internet influencers and requiring the removal of misleading features from fund platforms [7] - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission is addressing issues related to the surge in IPO applications expected in 2025, highlighting deficiencies in the preparation of listing documents [8] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is monitoring stocks with abnormal fluctuations and has reported several cases of suspected violations to the CSRC [8]

Group 1 - The company repurchased a total of 2,096,273 shares from February 8, 2024, to April 30, 2024, representing 0.33% of the total share capital, aimed at maintaining company value and shareholder rights [2] - The repurchased shares will be sold through centralized bidding within 12 months after the announcement of the repurchase results, and any unsold shares will be canceled if not utilized within three years [2] - The company successfully completed its share reduction plan by selling all 2,096,273 repurchased shares at an average price of 304.92 yuan per share by January 30, 2026 [3][4] Group 2 - The company plans to acquire a controlling stake in Hangzhou Zhonggui Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments, while also raising supporting funds [7] - The valuation and transaction price for the assets involved in this acquisition have not yet been determined, and the transaction is not expected to constitute a major asset restructuring or related party transaction [7] - The company’s stock was suspended from trading starting December 19, 2025, due to uncertainties surrounding the transaction, with an expected suspension period of no more than 10 trading days [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant surge in the prices of server components, particularly storage chips and graphics cards, driven by supply constraints and increased demand from AI infrastructure investments. This price volatility is causing challenges for both buyers and sellers in the market [2][3][20]. Price Trends - A single server equipped with eight NVIDIA RTX 5090 graphics cards has seen its price rise from 300,000 yuan to 400,000 yuan within a month, indicating a 33.3% increase [2]. - The price of DDR4 64G server memory has doubled from approximately 1,500 yuan to 3,100 yuan in two months, reflecting a 106.7% increase [4]. - High-frequency DDR5 memory prices have surged to over 13,000 yuan for second-hand parts, with new products priced above 25,000 yuan (approximately 18,000 yuan) [6]. Market Behavior - Sellers are hesitant to stock inventory due to unpredictable price fluctuations, leading to a shift from traditional order placements to same-day pricing validity [3][4]. - Payment terms have become stricter, with sellers requiring a 50% deposit upon order and full payment before shipment [4]. Supply Chain Dynamics - Major semiconductor companies are issuing price increase notices, with adjustments ranging from 15% to 80% due to rising costs and supply chain pressures [10][11]. - The demand for AI-related chips is causing a supply crunch, with manufacturers like TSMC and Samsung reporting record profits and high demand for high-value products [17][18]. Impact on End Products - The rising costs of memory and storage are expected to increase the prices of consumer electronics, with estimates suggesting a potential 10% to 20% increase in product prices [13]. - The notebook computer market is projected to face significant challenges, with expected shipment declines of 9.4% in 2026 due to rising component costs [21]. Industry Outlook - The current chip price surge is anticipated to persist throughout 2023, with supply chain constraints and high demand from AI investments driving ongoing price increases [14][20].

Group 1 - The storage chip concept has seen a short-term surge, with Tai Chi Industry hitting the daily limit up [1] - Hengshuo Co., Ltd. increased by over 17%, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies such as Purun Co., Zhongwei Semiconductor, Jintaiyang, Xiechuang Data, and Beijing Junzheng also experienced gains [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a significant rise in storage chip stocks, driven by strong earnings reports from SanDisk, which exceeded Wall Street expectations and boosted investor confidence [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Hengshuo Co. experienced a rise of over 12% [2] - Taiji Industry reached a 10% limit up [2] - Zhongwei Semiconductor and Jintaiyang both increased by over 7% [1][2] - Puran Co. rose by over 6% [1] - Other notable performers include Xiechuang Data, Chengbang Co., and Yiyaton, all increasing by over 5% [1] Group 2: Financial Results - SanDisk reported significant profit and revenue growth in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, surpassing both Wall Street expectations and the company's prior guidance [1] - Following the earnings announcement, SanDisk's stock price surged nearly 15% in after-hours trading [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance in storage chip stocks, with Hengshuo Co. rising over 12% and Taiji Industry hitting a 10% limit up [1] - Other notable gainers included Zhongwei Semiconductor and Jintaiyang, both up over 7%, and several other companies like Puransheng, Xiechuang Data, and Chengbang Co. rising over 5% [1] - SanDisk reported significant profit and revenue growth in its Q2 FY2026 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations and the company's prior guidance, which led to a nearly 15% increase in its stock price post-announcement [1] Group 2 - The table lists various companies with their respective stock performance, including Hengshuo Co. with a 12.26% increase and a total market value of 9.488 billion [2] - Taiji Industry experienced a 10% rise, with a market capitalization of 23.5 billion, while Zhongwei Semiconductor saw a 7.55% increase and a market value of 23.1 billion [2] - Other companies like Jintaiyang and Puransheng also showed strong year-to-date performance, with increases of 43.34% and 132.57% respectively [2]

January 28, 2026 09:59 AM GMT Greater China Technology Semiconductors | Asia Pacific | M January 28, 2026 09:59 AM GMT Greater China Technology Semiconductors Asia | Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ Daniel Yen, CFA | Update | | --- | --- | --- | | Pacific | Equity Analyst | | | | Daniel.Yen@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-2863 | | Quick comment on MCU price | Charlie Chan Equity Analyst | | | | Charlie.Chan@morganstanley.com | +886 2 2730-1725 | | hike | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | | | | Daisy Dai, CFA | | ...