Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate industry is currently facing significant challenges, with prices falling below the breakeven point for many producers, leading to operational difficulties and potential bankruptcies [3][4][5]. Price Trends - As of May 15, the average price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate was 65,050 yuan per ton, marking a decline of over 10,000 yuan since the beginning of the year [2]. - The price drop has been attributed to insufficient downstream demand and increased supply, with some traders contributing to the downward pressure by offloading inventory [2][5]. Industry Impact - The breakeven price for lithium carbonate processing companies is generally considered to be 70,000 yuan per ton, and many producers are struggling to remain profitable at current price levels [4]. - Some companies have resorted to production cuts and maintenance to reduce costs, while others are attempting to maintain customer relationships despite the challenging market [3][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of lithium carbonate is expected to continue increasing, while downstream demand, particularly from the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, is stabilizing without significant growth [5]. - Inventory levels have reached a high of 96,000 tons as of April 30, indicating a loose supply in the market [6]. Future Outlook - Industry experts believe that a recovery in lithium prices is unlikely in the short term due to ongoing supply increases and stable demand [5]. - Companies are focusing on cost reduction and resource self-sufficiency to enhance competitiveness, with some considering strategic shifts from expansion to value creation [8][9]. Technological Innovation - Investment in technological innovation is seen as crucial for improving extraction efficiency and reducing costs, which could help alleviate resource constraints and influence market pricing mechanisms [9].

相比锂周期高点时对矿山的青睐，周期低谷时，企业更倾向于生产成本更低的盐湖提锂。就在上个月，新疆就发生了一起高溢价的盐湖资产竞拍。 每经记者｜胥帅 每经编辑｜张海妮 由于碳酸锂行情低迷，资本市场几乎都要忘记这个曾经的"宠儿"。 锂企"龙头"天齐锂业（SZ002466，股价30.23元，市值496.14亿元）在4月创出年内股价新低。 《每日经济新闻》记者发现，碳酸锂价格虽然在下跌，但最近三个交易日有止跌趋势，价格也走到了关键博弈点"6.5万元"。 记者采访锂企高管和行业分析师发现，"6.5万元"是外购矿石提锂以及南美盐湖提锂到岸的成本线。 图片来源：每日经济新闻（资料图） "6.5万元"是锂价成本的重要关卡 碳酸锂期货市场渐有企稳迹象。 以碳酸锂LC2506主力合约为例，其今年迎来月线四连跌，年内跌幅超过15%。到了5月12日，该主力合约价格一度触及每吨6.2万元的低点，此后迎来反弹， 形成"两阳包一阴"的底部形态，价格也保持在每吨6.5万元。碳酸锂期货价格的趋势和现货价格类似，5月13日，国内电池级碳酸锂基准价为65633元/吨，较 卓创资讯富宝锂电分析师苏津仪向《每日经济新闻》记者表示，目前进口6%锂辉石CI ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the non-ferrous metals industry [5][8]. Core Insights - In 2024, the prices of major metals such as gold and copper significantly increased, leading to substantial growth in the performance of related listed companies. Precious metal prices rose over 20% compared to 2023, with major companies experiencing a net profit growth rate exceeding 40%. Copper and aluminum prices increased by 7.89% and 7.53% respectively, while industrial metal companies saw a net profit growth of over 30% [5][16][24]. - The energy metals sector faced a sharp decline, with battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide prices dropping over 60%, resulting in a staggering 97.88% decrease in net profits for the sector [5][6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue and Profit - The non-ferrous metals industry achieved a total revenue of 3.47 trillion yuan in 2024, a 5.86% increase from 3.28 trillion yuan in 2023. The net profit reached 138.41 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.77% from 136.01 billion yuan in 2023 [17][24]. 2. Precious Metals - The precious metals sector saw a revenue increase of 23.55% to 2909.62 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits rising by 48.24% to 122.85 billion yuan. The average LME gold price for 2024 was 2381.9 USD/oz, up 22.6% from 1942.89 USD/oz in 2023 [31][32][39]. 3. Industrial Metals - The industrial metals sector generated a revenue of 2.66 trillion yuan in 2024, an 8.17% increase from 2.46 trillion yuan in 2023, with net profits growing by 30.58% to 1083.61 billion yuan. The average LME copper price was 9146.79 USD/ton, a 7.89% increase from 8477.77 USD/ton in 2023 [43][44][56]. 4. Energy Metals - The energy metals sector's revenue fell to 155.07 billion yuan in 2024, a decline of 26.21% from 210.14 billion yuan in 2023, with net profits plummeting by 97.88% to 5.1 billion yuan. The average prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide dropped by 65.02% and 68.93% respectively [61][70][71]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends leading companies in the industry such as Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Zijin Mining, and Ganfeng Lithium, highlighting their potential for growth and recovery in performance [8].

Summary of Cangge Mining Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Cangge Mining - **Key Products**: Potassium Chloride, Lithium Carbonate, Copper Industry Insights - **Potassium Chloride**: Stable growth expected, with production target of 1 million tons and sales target of 950,000 tons for the year 2025. The first quarter production was 159,400 tons, a 0.5% increase year-on-year, with sales up nearly 28% to 178,500 tons [2][3] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Annual production and sales target set at 11,000 tons, with first quarter production at 2,165 tons and sales at 1,530 tons. The production cost for lithium carbonate is projected to be around 31,000 yuan per ton, significantly lower than current costs [2][9] - **Copper**: The first quarter production reached 46,000 tons with a net profit of approximately 43,000 yuan per ton, an increase from 38,000 yuan in 2024. The second phase of the project is expected to be operational by the end of 2025, leading to significant capacity release [2][5] Strategic Developments - **Project Expansion**: Cangge Mining plans to gradually release production capacity for potassium chloride, lithium carbonate, and copper over the coming years. The focus will be on stabilizing potassium chloride production, prioritizing lithium project development, and advancing the second and third phases of the Giant Dragon Copper Mine [2][7][8] - **Cost Optimization**: The company is implementing cost-saving measures, particularly in lithium production, which is expected to lower overall costs as new projects come online [2][9] - **Solid-State Battery Technology**: The company is monitoring developments in solid-state battery technology and plans to establish a new team to track advancements in lithium sulfide and related products [2][15] Financial Performance - **Cash Flow**: Cangge Mining reported strong cash flow with no debt, allowing for capital expenditures to be financed through leverage [3][22] - **Dividend Policy**: The company aims to maintain a stable dividend policy, influenced by capital expenditure needs and investor return strategies [3][23][21] Market Outlook - **Copper Prices**: Long-term copper prices are expected to remain strong due to supply constraints and steady demand from sectors such as renewable energy and manufacturing [2][12] - **Potassium Fertilizer Prices**: Potassium fertilizer prices are projected to remain high, with current prices between 2,000 to 2,600 yuan per ton, and first quarter sales prices exceeding 2,700 yuan [2][12][14] Project Updates - **Mami Cuo Salt Lake**: The project is expected to start production in 2026, with a significant reduction in production costs anticipated [2][11] - **Laos Potash Project**: Progress has been made in obtaining necessary permits, with a long-term goal of achieving a production scale of 3 to 5 million tons [2][17] - **Giant Dragon Copper Mine**: The second phase is on track for completion by the end of 2025, with significant increases in production capacity and net profit expected thereafter [2][10][21] Conclusion Cangge Mining is positioned for growth across its key product lines, with strategic expansions and cost optimizations in place. The company is well-prepared to navigate market dynamics and capitalize on favorable pricing trends in the copper and potassium fertilizer markets.

Group 1 - Lithium prices have dropped to 63,000 yuan/ton, falling below the cost line for many integrated lithium extraction companies, leading to a challenging operating environment for some firms [1][4] - In Q1 2025, 14 out of 21 listed lithium mining companies in A-shares reported profits, while 7 incurred losses, indicating a divergence in performance within the sector [1][2] - The overall revenue of listed lithium mining companies in Q1 2025 reached 43.965 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.03%, while net profit surged by 1340.4% to 3.343 billion yuan compared to the same period in 2024 [2][3] Group 2 - Major companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium showed significant performance divergence, with Ganfeng reporting a revenue decline of 25.43% to 3.772 billion yuan and a net loss of 356 million yuan, while Tianqi turned a profit of 104 million yuan after a loss of 3.897 billion yuan in the previous year [2][3] - The lithium salt production capacity continues to grow, with domestic production of lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and lithium chloride increasing by 35.35%, 29.54%, and 37.14% respectively in 2024 [4][5] - Despite the price drop, many companies have not reduced production capacity; for instance, Ganfeng Lithium and Yahua Group increased their lithium carbonate production by approximately 24% and 10% respectively [5][6] Group 3 - The demand side faces challenges, as the penetration rate of new energy passenger vehicles has not increased significantly, leading to uncertainty in achieving expected growth for the year [6] - The overall market for lithium carbonate remains weak, with supply-demand imbalances persisting unless significant production cuts occur [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, prompting continued attention to investment opportunities in the steel sector. The recent financial policies, including interest rate cuts, are expected to influence market dynamics positively [8][14]. - The steel sector has experienced a three-year adjustment period, leading to a favorable cost-performance ratio at current levels. The profitability and stability of leading enterprises have significantly improved [8][14]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Iron ore prices are expected to decline as steel production peaks, with domestic demand pricing becoming more relevant due to high tariffs affecting external demand [8][14]. Steel Market - The consumption of rebar has decreased significantly, with a reported consumption of 2.14 million tons, a 26.67% decrease week-on-week. The average price for rebar is 3,296 CNY per ton, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.8% [15][18][37]. - The overall steel price index has seen a minor decline of 0.71%, with cold-rolled steel prices dropping by 1.33% [37]. Industrial Metals - The copper smelting fee has deepened into negative territory, with a reported fee of -43.5 USD per thousand tons, indicating a challenging environment for copper producers [17]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to increased demand driven by tariffs and inflation expectations. The COMEX gold price reached 3,329.1 USD per ounce, a 2.52% increase week-on-week [17]. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate production in March 2025 reached 71,260 tons, a year-on-year increase of 66.53%. The price for battery-grade lithium carbonate is reported at 65,700 CNY per ton [16][41].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, prompting continued attention to investment opportunities in the steel sector. The recent financial policies, including interest rate cuts, are expected to impact the market positively. The steel sector, having undergone three years of adjustment, now presents a favorable cost-performance ratio, with leading companies showing improved profitability and stability [8][14]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Iron ore prices are experiencing notable loosening, with expectations that May's iron and steel production may peak. The steel mills are likely to squeeze iron ore profits, leading to potential downward feedback on prices. The domestic demand-driven pricing in the steel sector is seen as advantageous given the high tariffs affecting external demand [8][14]. Steel Market - The consumption of rebar has decreased significantly, with a reported consumption of 2.14 million tons, a 26.67% decrease week-on-week. The overall price index for common steel has slightly declined by 0.71%, with rebar prices at 3,296 CNY/ton, down 0.8% week-on-week [15][37]. Industrial Metals - The copper smelting fees have deepened into negative territory, with the current rough smelting fee at -43.5 USD/thousand tons, a decrease of 8.21% week-on-week. The production costs for electrolytic aluminum have shown mixed trends, with costs in Xinjiang slightly increasing while those in Shandong have decreased significantly [17][29]. Precious Metals - Tariffs are expected to boost demand for safe-haven assets and inflation expectations, leading to a potential rise in gold prices. As of May 9, 2025, COMEX gold prices were reported at 3,329.1 USD/ounce, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2.52% [17][37]. Investment Recommendations - For the steel sector, it is recommended to focus on leading companies such as Shandong Steel (600022, Buy) and Jiugang Steel (002110, Not Rated). In the non-ferrous sector, investment in Northern Rare Earth (600111, Buy) and Jinchuan Group (300748, Buy) is suggested [8][17].

Core Viewpoint - The control of Cangge Mining has shifted to Zijin Mining Group, which now holds 26.18% of the shares and has achieved financial consolidation despite not owning a majority stake [1][3][4]. Group 1: Control Transfer and Shareholding Changes - Zijin Mining completed the acquisition of Cangge Mining's control within four months, spending 137.29 billion yuan to acquire approximately 392 million shares at 35 yuan per share, representing 24.98% of Cangge Mining's total equity [3][4]. - Following the transfer, the shareholding of the original controller, Xiao Yongming, decreased to 20.13%, with voting rights at 15.1%, while Zijin Mining's voting rights increased to 26.18% [4]. - The board of directors of Cangge Mining underwent significant changes, with most seats now held by Zijin Mining personnel, indicating a complete shift in governance [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Context - Cangge Mining, a key player in the lithium mining sector, reported a total revenue of 32.51 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 37.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 25.80 billion yuan, down 24.56% [7]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to falling prices of potassium chloride and lithium carbonate, with the average market price for lithium carbonate dropping by 67.04% to 90,100 yuan per ton in 2024 [7][8]. - Despite the downturn, analysts project steady growth for Cangge Mining, with expected revenues of 33.39 billion yuan, 39.88 billion yuan, and 48.63 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [7].

Core Insights - The behavior of margin traders has attracted significant market attention, with investors hoping to capture investment opportunities from their activities [1] Group 1: Margin Trading Data - On May 8, a total of 3,663 stocks received margin buying funds, with the top three stocks being Xinyi Technology (¥1.425 billion), Zhongji Xuchuang (¥1.053 billion), and Shenghong Technology (¥807 million) [1] - The table lists stocks with the highest margin buying amounts, including Tiancheng Technology (¥15.75 million), Xingqiu Graphite (¥8.83 million), and Lianyu Co. (¥15.27 million), showing their respective transaction amounts and margin buying ratios [1] - Margin buying accounted for significant percentages of total transaction amounts for various stocks, with Tiancheng Technology at 28.65%, Xingqiu Graphite at 28.51%, and Lianyu Co. at 28.15% [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - The price changes of stocks with high margin buying varied, with some stocks experiencing gains, such as Tiancheng Technology (1.47%) and Xingqiu Graphite (2.39%), while others like Fuliwang saw a decline (-3.29%) [1][2] - The data indicates that margin buying can correlate with stock performance, as seen in the fluctuations of the stocks listed [1][2]

藏格矿业股份有限公司 关于第二期员工持股计划实施进展的公告 一、 二、 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 证券代码：000408 证券简称：藏格矿业 公告编号：2025-037 藏格矿业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2025 年 3 月 28 日、 2025 年 4 月 18 日召开第九届董事会第十九次会议、第九届监事会第十三次会议 和 2024 年年度股东大会，审议通过了《关于公司〈第二期员工持股计划（草案）〉 及其摘要的议案》《关于公司〈第二期员工持股计划管理办法〉的议案》《关于 核实公司第二期员工持股计划之持有人名单的议案》及《关于提请股东大会授权 董事会办理公司第二期员工持股计划有关事项的议案》。具体内容详见公司在巨 潮资讯网（https://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的《第二期员工持股计划》及其他相 关公告。 根据《关于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指导意见》及《深圳证券交易 所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规范运作》的相关规定，现将 公司第二期员工持股计划实施的相关进展情况公告如下： 2025 ...