Core Viewpoint - The launch of the HOWO Warrior series by China National Heavy Duty Truck Corporation (CNHTC) represents a significant transformation in the engineering transportation equipment market, addressing the evolving needs of infrastructure development and urban-rural transportation differentiation in China [3][15]. Group 1: Market Context and Demand - The Chinese engineering transportation market is at a critical juncture of scale expansion and structural upgrade, driven by ongoing "new infrastructure" initiatives, urban renewal, rural road network improvements, and environmental governance [3][16]. - There is a massive demand for engineering dump trucks, as traditional vehicles have been limited by outdated designs and inadequate performance in complex terrains, particularly in mountainous regions and narrow urban areas [3][6]. Group 2: Product Features and Innovations - The HOWO Warrior series is designed to address user pain points with a comprehensive solution, integrating advanced engineering technology with a focus on user needs [5][10]. - The vehicle features a high-strength double-layer frame structure, advanced powertrain options, and superior off-road capabilities, including a maximum ground clearance of 750mm, making it suitable for various challenging environments [6][7][9]. - The product emphasizes user comfort with a well-designed cabin that includes modern amenities such as a multifunctional steering wheel and a 10.1-inch smart display, transforming the driving experience from a laborious task to a more enjoyable one [9][10]. Group 3: Strategic Importance and Market Positioning - The launch of the HOWO Warrior series marks a strategic move for CNHTC, positioning the brand as a leader in the engineering vehicle segment and expanding its product line to cover logistics, urban delivery, and engineering construction [13][15]. - The series aims to redefine market standards by shifting the focus from price competition to a comprehensive evaluation of performance, reliability, and lifecycle costs, thereby driving industry-wide technological advancements [16]. Group 4: Industry Impact and Future Outlook - The introduction of the HOWO Warrior is expected to reshape the engineering dump truck industry by elevating user expectations for service quality and prompting competitors to enhance their service networks and response times [16]. - The vehicle's targeted design for specific operational scenarios will encourage other manufacturers to adopt a more precise approach to market research and product development, leading to greater specialization in engineering vehicle offerings [16][18].

Core Viewpoint - The new energy commercial vehicle market in China is expected to experience significant growth in 2025, with sales projected to reach 954,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 65.5%, indicating a shift from policy-driven to market-driven growth in the industry [1][2]. Market Penetration - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles has consistently exceeded 30% for four consecutive months, marking a new phase of large-scale application [1][2]. - In 2025, domestic sales of new energy commercial vehicles are expected to reach 871,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 63.7%, accounting for 26.9% of total commercial vehicle sales [2][3]. Sales and Orders - The cumulative sales of new energy heavy trucks in 2025 are projected to reach 231,100 units, a substantial increase of 182% year-on-year, with December alone achieving a record monthly sales of 45,300 units [3]. - Significant orders have been reported, including a strategic cooperation agreement between China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Bashu Logistics for 1,000 heavy trucks, with the first batch of 200 units to be delivered [4]. Future Market Potential - The overall commercial vehicle market in China is expected to reach 4.25 million units in 2026, with a projected penetration rate for new energy vehicles exceeding 35% [5]. - By 2030, the penetration rate for new energy heavy trucks is anticipated to surpass 50%, with a market size exceeding 450,000 units [5]. Transition to Market-Driven Growth - The industry is moving away from reliance on subsidies, with customers increasingly focusing on product performance and total lifecycle costs [6]. - The decline in battery prices and the adoption of vehicle-to-grid models are making new energy commercial vehicles more affordable [7]. Technological Advancements - The energy density of power batteries has improved, allowing for enhanced range without increasing vehicle weight, with battery capacities primarily in the 400 kWh to 600 kWh range [7]. - The introduction of ultra-fast charging solutions and extensive charging networks is addressing user pain points and facilitating the large-scale deployment of new energy commercial vehicles [8]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the commercial vehicle sector is evolving, with a focus on smart technology that can deliver economic benefits and reduce marginal costs [9]. - Major manufacturers are investing in intelligent vehicle technologies, with several companies launching models equipped with advanced driver-assistance systems [9]. International Expansion - Overseas markets are viewed as critical growth areas, with companies like Foton aiming for 200,000 units in overseas sales by 2026, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group targeting 300,000 units by 2030 [11]. - The penetration rate of new energy heavy trucks in international markets remains low, presenting opportunities for early movers [11]. Ecosystem Development - The competition in the commercial vehicle industry is shifting from product-centric to a comprehensive ecosystem approach, focusing on long-term value creation for customers [11].

美银证券表示，与中国重汽举行了电话会议，管理层方面称，中国重汽全年销量目标30万辆进展顺利。 公司正稳步推进2025年销售与利润率目标，并表示2025-2027年间将维持审慎资本支出计划，每年不超 过20亿元人民币，重点投入海外生产基地建设(如哈萨克、巴西、印尼)。该行仍看好该公司长期出口扩 张的业务故事及稳固的本地市场地位。 智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月21日，中国重汽(03808)股东将股票存入高盛(亚洲) 证券，存仓市值24.85亿港元，占比3.00%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The commercial vehicle sector experienced a slight increase of 0.74% on January 21, with Jianghuai Automobile leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.7 [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Jianghuai Automobile (600418) closed at 52.45, up by 2.84%, with a trading volume of 618,400 shares and a transaction value of 3.209 billion [1]. - China National Heavy Duty Truck (000951) closed at 17.30, up by 1.35%, with a trading volume of 162,600 shares and a transaction value of 280 million [1]. - Foton Motor (600166) closed at 3.11, up by 1.30%, with a trading volume of 1,453,300 shares and a transaction value of 450 million [1]. - Other notable performances include Zhongtong Bus (000957) at 11.78, up by 0.43%, and Shuguang Co. (600303) at 3.28, up by 0.31% [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The commercial vehicle sector saw a net inflow of 417 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 249 million [2]. - Major stocks like Jianghuai Automobile had a net inflow of 274 million from institutional investors, indicating strong institutional interest [3]. - Conversely, stocks like King Long Motor (600686) and China National Heavy Duty Truck (000951) faced significant net outflows from retail investors, suggesting a shift in investor sentiment [3].

值得注意的是，中国重汽市前出现2宗大手成交，每股作价27.62元港，共涉及5700万股，涉资15.74亿港 元，每股作价较昨日收盘价30港元折让7.93%。据悉，中国重汽H与A股上市公司中国重汽A，简称同 为"中国重汽"，但股权架构与资产构成明显不同。重汽H持有重汽A股权51%，从股权归属来看，重汽A 从属于重汽H。 消息面上，第一商用车网最新获悉，根据中汽协数据，2025年12月份，我国卡车市场共计销售36.10万 辆，环比11月份增长7%，同比增长17%。这其中，重型卡车市场12月份销售10.27万辆，环比下降9%， 同比增长22%，同比增幅较上月有所缩窄，重卡市场这一轮的连增势头扩大至"9连增"。从累计销量来 看，2025年全年，重卡市场累计销售114.49万辆，比上年同期的90.17万辆增长了27%。 中国重汽（000951）(03808)早盘低开逾5%，开盘后快速转涨，截至发稿，涨3.87%，报31.16港元，成 交额24.32亿港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (China National Heavy Truck) experienced a significant stock movement, opening down over 5% but quickly rebounding to a 3.87% increase, trading at HKD 31.16 with a transaction volume of HKD 2.432 billion [1] Group 1: Market Performance - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), the truck market in China is projected to sell 361,000 units in December 2025, representing a month-on-month increase of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 17% [1] - The heavy-duty truck market specifically sold 102,700 units in December, showing a month-on-month decline of 9% but a year-on-year growth of 22%, indicating a narrowing growth rate compared to the previous month [1] - Cumulatively, the heavy-duty truck market sold 1,144,900 units in 2025, a 27% increase from 901,700 units in the previous year [1] Group 2: Company Transactions - Two large transactions were reported for China National Heavy Truck, with shares priced at HKD 27.62, involving 57 million shares and a total investment of HKD 1.574 billion, reflecting a 7.93% discount compared to the previous closing price of HKD 30 [1] - It is noted that China National Heavy Truck H and A shares are under the same name but have different ownership structures and asset compositions, with H shares holding 51% of A shares [1]

Investment Highlights - The passenger car sector is expected to see a recovery in Q1 2026 due to the implementation of subsidy policies, with a focus on high-end electric vehicles that are less sensitive to policy changes, such as Jianghuai Automobile, Geely, Great Wall Motors, BAIC Blue Valley, Seres, and Li Auto [2][7] - For exports, priority should be given to leading companies with established overseas systems and proven execution capabilities, including BYD, Great Wall Motors, Chery, Leap Motor, Xpeng, SAIC Motor, and Changan Automobile [2][7] Heavy Truck Sector - In 2025, wholesale heavy truck sales reached 1.144 million units, up 26.8% year-on-year, with domestic sales of 799,000 units, up 32.8%, and exports of 341,000 units, up 17.2% [3][37] - The expected domestic sales for heavy trucks in 2026 is optimistic, projected at 800,000 to 850,000 units, a 3% increase year-on-year [3][37] - Recommended leading heavy truck companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Weichai Power, Foton Motor, FAW Jiefang, and CIMC Vehicles [3][37] Bus Sector - The implementation of the vehicle replacement policy in 2026 is slightly better than expected, with bus sales in 2025 projected at 38,000 units, a 25% increase year-on-year [3][37] - For 2026, bus sales are expected to grow to 40,000 units, a 5% increase year-on-year, supported by the number of buses over eight years old that need replacement [3][37] - Recommended leading bus companies include Yutong Bus, King Long Motor, and Zhongtong Bus [3][37] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is projected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a 14% increase year-on-year, with large-displacement motorcycles expected to reach 1.26 million units, a 31% increase [4][34] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to grow slightly to 430,000 units in 2026, a 5% increase year-on-year, while exports are projected to reach 830,000 units, a 50% increase [4][34] - Recommended leading motorcycle companies include Chunfeng Power and Longxin General [4][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Insights - The implementation of the China-Europe electric vehicle price commitment mechanism is expected to stabilize sales expectations for Chinese electric vehicles in Europe and promote the high-end and localized transformation of automakers [5][13] - Multiple provinces have opened applications for the 2026 automotive replacement subsidy, indicating a clear path for local governments to implement the policy [14] - Great Wall Motors has launched the "Guiyuan" platform, which is the world's first native AI all-power platform, designed to support various power forms and enhance development efficiency [6][14] - The report expresses a positive outlook for 2026, highlighting opportunities in the high-end upgrade of domestic brands and the acceleration of smart technology penetration [15][16] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The automotive sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index with a 1-week increase of 0.5% from January 12 to January 16, 2026, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.4% [17] - The performance of individual stocks varied, with notable increases in companies like Ideal Auto (+2.4%) and declines in others like Li Auto (-3.5%) [17][23] Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies recommended include: - Jianghuai Automobile - Leap Motor - Great Wall Motors - BYD - SAIC Motor - China National Heavy Duty Truck [7][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for selected companies show growth, with Great Wall Motors expected to reach an EPS of 2.03 in 2026 [8] Industry Indicators - In December 2025, automotive production and sales reached 3.296 million and 3.272 million units, respectively, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.1% and 6.2% [42] - New energy vehicles accounted for approximately 52% of total new vehicle sales, indicating a significant market shift towards electrification [42]

Group 1: Market Overview - The commercial vehicle sector increased by 0.07% on January 20, with Hanma Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Hanma Technology (600375) closed at 6.35, up 3.25% with a trading volume of 994,300 shares and a transaction value of 626 million [1] - King Long Automobile (600686) closed at 20.62, up 3.10% with a trading volume of 493,200 shares and a transaction value of 1.01 billion [1] - Other notable performers include CIMC Vehicles (301039) at 9.61, up 0.84%, and Yutong Bus (600066) at 32.21, up 0.69% [1] Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - The commercial vehicle sector experienced a net outflow of 235 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 331 million [2] - The detailed fund flow indicates that King Long Automobile had a net inflow of 709.24 million from institutional investors, while Hanma Technology had a net inflow of 35.31 million [3] - Other companies like Yutong Bus and Foton Motor showed mixed fund flows, with Yutong Bus having a net inflow of 977.17 million from institutional investors [3]

Core Insights - The sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached a record high of 45,300 units in December 2025, marking a 198% year-on-year increase and a 62% month-on-month increase [3][31] - The sales of charging heavy trucks alone reached 29,300 units in December, representing a 228% year-on-year growth and a 47% month-on-month increase, continuing a trend of doubling sales for 24 consecutive months [3][31] Sales Performance - In December 2025, pure electric heavy trucks accounted for 90.09% of total sales, with charging heavy trucks making up 71.83% of pure electric heavy truck sales [4][6] - The average monthly sales of charging heavy trucks in 2025 exceeded 10,000 units, with the last seven months of the year being the highest sales months to date [7][31] Market Segmentation - The main types of charging heavy trucks sold in 2025 were tractors, dump trucks, and concrete mixers, with sales of 111,200 units, 18,800 units, and 16,900 units respectively, accounting for 71.8%, 12.2%, and 10.9% of total sales [9][23] - The number of cities with registered charging heavy trucks reached 328, with 199 cities registering over 100 units, indicating widespread adoption across various regions [11] Competitive Landscape - In December 2025, 17 companies sold over 100 units of charging heavy trucks, with SANY leading the sales with 5,466 units, followed by China National Heavy Duty Truck Group with 4,575 units [13][15] - The total number of participants in the charging heavy truck market increased from 27 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, with total sales reaching 154,900 units, a 220% increase year-on-year [19][21] Market Share Analysis - In 2025, five companies achieved market shares exceeding 10%, with SANY, XCMG, FAW Jiefang, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, and Shaanxi Automobile holding shares of 20.1%, 15.4%, 14.9%, 12.4%, and 11.5% respectively [21][23] - The market share of Shaanxi Automobile and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group saw significant increases of 4.6 and 3.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [21] Yearly Growth Trends - The sales of charging tractors increased by 269% year-on-year, while sales of charging dump trucks grew by 146%, indicating strong demand in these segments [23][27] - The top three companies in charging tractor sales for 2025 were SANY, FAW Jiefang, and XCMG, each selling over 18,000 units [25][29]