Group 1 - The agricultural sector is experiencing adjustments, yet funds are increasingly investing in related ETFs, with nearly 2 billion yuan accumulated since September 29 [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting on October 21 to enhance grain yield through technology integration and support for genetically modified crops, benefiting related seed and planting companies [1] - In September, listed pig companies reported a decline in sales revenue, totaling 21.647 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.74% and a month-on-month decrease of 10.77%, primarily due to falling pig prices [2] Group 2 - The average selling price of pigs dropped over 30% year-on-year and 5.42% month-on-month, reaching the lowest level since 2022 [2] - The Ministry of Agriculture and other authorities are focusing on controlling production capacity and reducing weight, which is expected to accelerate capacity reduction in the fourth quarter [2] - The current valuation of the agricultural sector is relatively low, with the agricultural ETF's price-to-book ratio at 2.54, indicating a good investment opportunity [2] Group 3 - Recent fluctuations in pork and piglet prices, along with increased slaughter rates, indicate a tightening supply in the pig farming industry [3] - The number of breeding sows is decreasing, and self-breeding operations are facing losses, leading to enhanced capacity reduction motivation [3] - In the livestock sector, beef prices are expected to rise in the medium to long term, while dairy prices remain low, and poultry prices are stable [3] Group 4 - The first agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings in leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, comprising about 40% of the index [4] - The ETF focuses on high-concentration industries, with over 90% of the top ten industries in agriculture, breeding, and feed sectors [4] - Investors can also access the agricultural ETF through linked funds for broader exposure [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Social Security Fund's third-quarter investment strategy shows a clear trend of favoring leading companies and technology sectors, indicating a balanced asset allocation approach between traditional industries and emerging sectors [1][3][12]. Group 1: Investment Holdings - As of October 22, the Social Security Fund appeared in the top ten shareholders of 43 companies, with a total holding of 738 million shares valued at 15.52 billion [2][3]. - The top ten holdings by market value include Hai Da Group (1.83 billion), China Jushi (1.48 billion), and Cangge Mining (1.05 billion) [2]. - The fund's holdings are primarily concentrated in the pharmaceutical, high-end manufacturing, and consumer sectors, with some extension into basic chemicals and agriculture [3][5]. Group 2: Stock Changes - In the third quarter, the Social Security Fund initiated positions in 14 stocks, increased holdings in 12 stocks, reduced holdings in 8 stocks, and maintained positions in 9 stocks [7][9]. - New additions include stocks like Dazhu Laser and Electric Connection Technology, while increased holdings feature companies such as Poly Development and Hai Da Group [9][10]. - The fund's strategy reflects a preference for stocks in communication equipment, electronics, and high-end manufacturing, aligning with policy support for emerging industries [7][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The Social Security Fund is expected to continue a "core assets-technology growth" dual strategy, focusing on long-term holdings of core assets while dynamically adjusting its portfolio [12]. - The fund aims to enhance its allocation in sectors aligned with national strategies, particularly in technology innovation and industrial upgrades [12]. - Analysts predict that the fund will maintain long-term positions in leading stocks while dynamically adjusting based on performance metrics [12].

Core Insights - The company Hai Da Group has been actively engaged in a research survey conducted by Quan Guo Fund, focusing on its operational performance and future strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 96.094 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.142 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.31% [2]. Business Strategy - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary Hai Da Holdings for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This move is part of the company's strategy to enhance its international influence and global competitiveness, aligning with the national "Belt and Road" initiative [3]. - The restructuring of overseas subsidiaries related to feed, seedlings, and animal health products is currently underway to facilitate this spin-off [3]. Sales and Production Goals - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 51.5 million tons of feed by 2030, with a focus on increasing domestic capacity utilization and market share while expanding overseas operations [4]. - The feed production capacity utilization has improved year-on-year due to strong sales growth [5]. International Expansion - In the first half of the year, overseas feed sales increased by approximately 40%, with the company actively exploring new regions for growth [6]. - The spin-off is expected to accelerate the development of the company's overseas feed business, with a target of reaching 7.2 million tons in overseas feed sales by 2030 [10]. Dividend and Financial Management - The company is gradually reducing its debt ratio and plans to implement a more diverse profit distribution strategy to reward shareholders based on actual operating conditions [9]. Management Efficiency - The spin-off aims to streamline the domestic and international structure, enhancing management efficiency and establishing a specialized management team to support market development [11].

Core Insights - QFII has significantly increased its presence in the A-share market, with 73 companies reporting QFII as a major shareholder in their top ten circulating shareholders list as of the end of Q3 2025 [1][6] - The total market value of QFII holdings reached approximately 8.69 billion yuan, with notable investments in the electric power equipment and agriculture sectors [1][6] QFII Holdings Overview - A total of 372 A-share companies have disclosed their Q3 2025 reports, with QFII holding 373 million shares valued at 869.4 million yuan [1][2] - The top three QFII holdings by market value are: - 思源电气 (Siyuan Electric) with 1,161.87 million shares valued at 1.27 billion yuan - 中国西电 (China XD Electric) with 12,967.11 million shares valued at 876.57 million yuan - 海大集团 (Haida Group) with 1,201.85 million shares valued at 766.42 million yuan [2][4] Sector Analysis - QFII's holdings are concentrated in the following sectors: - Electric power equipment: 2.43 billion yuan - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 1.43 billion yuan - Machinery: 856 million yuan [6][5] Changes in Holdings - In Q3 2025, QFII entered as a major shareholder in 30 new stocks, with significant increases in holdings for companies like: - 中国西电 (China XD Electric) with an increase of 72.85 million shares - 星网宇达 (StarNet) with an increase of 6.99 million shares - 思源电气 (Siyuan Electric) with an increase of 3.51 million shares [3][4] Institutional Holdings - The top three QFII institutions by market value are: - Morgan Stanley International with 2.04 billion yuan - JPMorgan Securities with 1.53 billion yuan - UBS Group with 1.19 billion yuan [8][7]

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund actively adjusted its portfolio in Q3, entering 7 new stocks and increasing holdings in 10 stocks, focusing on high-growth potential companies with solid fundamentals [1][3] - By the end of Q3, the Social Security Fund appeared among the top ten shareholders of 33 stocks, with a total holding value of 13.07 billion yuan [1] - The fund maintained its position in 6 stocks, while reducing holdings in 10 stocks, indicating a strategy to optimize its portfolio amid market fluctuations [1] New Investments - The Social Security Fund made its first investments in 7 stocks, including Jinling Mining, Lanke High-tech, and Electric Connection Technology, with Jinling Mining receiving the largest allocation of 8.81 million shares [1] - Most of the newly invested companies showed strong performance, with 6 out of 7 reporting year-on-year profit growth in the first three quarters, and Lanke High-tech successfully turning a profit [1] - The average increase in the stock prices of the newly invested companies since October was 0.28%, with Jinling Mining seeing a cumulative increase of over 10% [1] Increased Holdings - The Social Security Fund increased its holdings in 10 stocks, with Poly Development receiving the largest increase of 19.86 million shares [3] - The fund's stake in Sankeshu and Xinqianglian grew by over 1.3 percentage points, reflecting strong confidence in their future development [3] - Among the 10 companies that received increased investments, 9 reported year-on-year profit growth in the first three quarters, with Xinqianglian turning a profit and achieving over 600 million yuan in net profit, benefiting from industry demand recovery and cost control [3] Investment Strategy - The investment trends of the Social Security Fund in Q3 signal a strong focus on quality growth stocks that represent China's economic transformation and upgrading [3] - The fund adheres to a value investment philosophy, prioritizing companies' profitability and growth potential as key decision-making criteria [3] - As a stabilizing force in the market, the Social Security Fund's holdings provide significant reference value for investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the movements of social security funds in the third quarter, highlighting their investments in various stocks and the performance of these holdings [3][4]. Group 1: Social Security Fund Holdings - At the end of the third quarter, social security funds appeared in the top ten shareholders of 33 stocks, holding a total of 625 million shares valued at 13.07 billion yuan [3]. - The most held stock by social security funds is Sanhe Tree, with three funds listed among its top shareholders, holding a total of 15.02 million shares, accounting for 2.04% of the company's circulating shares [3][4]. Group 2: New Investments - Social security funds initiated positions in 7 new stocks during the third quarter, with the largest holding being Jinling Mining at 8.81 million shares [6]. - Among the new investments, the highest holding ratio is for Blue Science and Technology, at 2.15% of circulating shares, followed by Electric Connection Technology at 2.12% [6][7]. - The average increase in stock prices for new investments since October is 0.28%, with Jinling Mining leading with a 10.36% increase [6][8]. Group 3: Increased Holdings - Ten stocks saw increased holdings from social security funds, with Poly Development having the largest increase of 19.86 million shares [8]. - The stocks with the highest increase in holding ratios are Sanhe Tree and New Strong Union, with increases of 1.33 and 1.31 percentage points, respectively [8][9]. - Among the stocks with increased holdings, nine reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with New Strong Union turning a profit with a 84.10% increase in revenue [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in foreign investment in Chinese stocks, particularly by QFII and northbound funds, driven by China's economic resilience and favorable macro policies, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 12% in Q3 and the Shenzhen Component Index nearly 30% [4][6]. Group 1: QFII Holdings - QFII has increased its holdings in 18 stocks during Q3, with notable new positions in companies like Placo New Materials, Zhongcai Technology, and Zhongce Rubber, reflecting a total holding value of 62.71 billion yuan across 37 stocks [5][8]. - The top three stocks by QFII holding value include Enyuan Electric (12.67 billion yuan), China Western Power (8.77 billion yuan), and Haida Group (7.66 billion yuan) [5][3]. - QFII's focus on technology stocks is evident, with new or increased positions in sectors such as lithium batteries, commercial aerospace, and semiconductors [5][6]. Group 2: Northbound Fund Inflows - Northbound funds have also significantly increased their holdings in 11 stocks, with Placo New Materials seeing a remarkable 868.82% increase in holdings, making it the second-largest shareholder [8]. - The sectors with the most stocks receiving increased foreign investment include electric power equipment, with three stocks: China Western Power, Shenma Electric, and Enyuan Electric [8][4]. Group 3: Performance of QFII Stocks - Among the 37 QFII heavy stocks, 25 reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, indicating a positive performance trend, with over 70% of these stocks showing growth [9]. - Notable performers include Yongding Co., which saw a 474.3% increase in net profit, primarily due to significant investment income from its joint venture in the real estate sector [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Social Security Fund's investment movements in the third quarter reveal a strategic shift, with notable changes in holdings across various stocks, indicating potential investment opportunities and sector performance trends [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Holdings Overview - The Social Security Fund appeared in the top ten shareholders of 33 stocks by the end of the third quarter, holding a total of 625 million shares valued at 13.07 billion yuan [1] - The fund maintained its position in 6 stocks, initiated positions in 7 stocks, increased holdings in 10 stocks, and reduced holdings in 10 stocks during the quarter [1] - The stock with the highest number of Social Security Fund shareholders is Sanhe Tree, with three funds listed among the top ten shareholders, holding a total of 15.02 million shares, accounting for 2.04% of the company's circulating shares [1] Group 2: Significant Holdings - The stocks with over 10 million shares held by the Social Security Fund include 17 stocks, with Poly Development having the largest holding of 124 million shares, which increased by 19.86 million shares in the third quarter [2] - China Jushi and CNOOC Development follow with holdings of 85.52 million shares and 55.16 million shares, respectively [2] - The highest holding percentage is in Baiya Shares, at 4.34% of circulating shares, with two funds increasing their holdings by over 3.18 million shares [2] Group 3: Market Performance - The newly acquired stocks by the Social Security Fund have seen an average increase of 0.28% since October, with Jinling Mining leading with a 10.36% increase [3] - Other notable performers include Koyuan Wisdom and Blue Science High-tech, with increases of 7.18% and 6.04%, respectively [3] - Among the new stocks, six reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Blue Science High-tech turning a profit with a net profit of 33.31 million yuan [3] Group 4: Performance of Increased Holdings - Among the stocks where the Social Security Fund increased its holdings, nine reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Xinqiang Lian turning a profit with a total revenue of 3.618 billion yuan, up 84.10% year-on-year [4] - The profit growth for Xinqiang Lian is attributed to the recovery in wind power demand and improved cost management [4] - Other companies with significant profit growth include Sanhe Tree, Stanley, Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical, Weili Medical, and Haida Group [4]

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund's holdings at the end of Q3 included 33 stocks, totaling 625 million shares with a market value of 13.07 billion yuan [1] - The fund maintained positions in 6 stocks, initiated positions in 7 stocks, increased holdings in 10 stocks, and reduced holdings in 10 stocks during the quarter [1] Holdings Overview - The stock with the highest number of Social Security Fund shareholders is Sanhe Tree, with three funds appearing among the top ten shareholders, holding a total of 15.02 million shares, accounting for 2.04% of the company's circulating shares [1] - Other companies with two funds holding shares include China Jushi, Haida Group, Xin Qiang Lian, Ying Shi Network, and Baiya Shares [1] - A total of 17 stocks had holdings exceeding 10 million shares, with Poly Development having the largest holding of 124 million shares, which increased by 19.86 million shares in Q3 [1] Shareholding Proportions - Baiya Shares had the highest proportion of holdings by the Social Security Fund at 4.34%, with two funds increasing their holdings by over 3.18 million shares in Q3 [2] - China National Pharmaceutical Group followed with a holding proportion of 4.12% [2] - New stocks added included Jinling Mining with 8.81 million shares, followed by Blue Science High-tech and Electric Connection Technology with 7.64 million and 7.60 million shares, respectively [2] Market Performance - The average increase for new stocks held by the Social Security Fund since October is 0.28%, with Jinling Mining leading at a 10.36% increase [2] - Other notable increases include Koyuan Wisdom and Blue Science High-tech, which rose by 7.18% and 6.04%, respectively [2] Earnings Performance - Among the new stocks, six reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Blue Science High-tech turning a profit with a net profit of 33.31 million yuan [3] - Jinling Mining and Yuxin Electronics reported net profit growth of 60.21% and 47.09%, respectively [3] - In addition to new stocks, ten stocks saw increased holdings from the Social Security Fund, with Poly Development seeing the largest increase of 19.86 million shares [3] Growth in Holdings - The stocks with the most significant increases in holding proportions include Sanhe Tree and Xin Qiang Lian, with increases of 1.33 and 1.31 percentage points, respectively [3] - Nine stocks among those increased by the fund reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Xin Qiang Lian achieving a turnaround with a total revenue of 3.618 billion yuan, up 84.10% year-on-year [3]

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨海大集团（002311.SZ） [Table_Title] 海大集团 2025 年三季报暨港股上市预案点评： 饲料量利齐升，看好海外业务分拆上市 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司单三季度饲料板块量利齐升，归母净利润增长 30%以上。单三季度饲料销量约 860 万吨， 同比增长 21%，测算饲料吨利 160 元/吨，同比增长 10%，主要系产品结构优化及海外占比提 升。三季度猪价同比大幅下行且套保空间有限，叠加外购仔猪成本抬升，生猪养殖头盈利同环 比下降。此外，积极看好公司海外业务分拆上市，有助于提升公司的国际影响力和全球市场竞 争力，进一步促进上市公司高质量发展。通过登陆香港资本市场能够拓宽公司融资渠道，加快 境外业务的发展，进而提升上市公司整体盈利能力。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 海大集团（002311.SZ） cjzqdt11111 陈佳 顾熀乾 王煜坤 SAC：S04 ...