Group 1 - The new consumption sector has shown remarkable performance this year, with leading stocks like Pop Mart and Laopu Gold experiencing significant price increases, leading to some funds with heavy investments in this sector seeing net value growth exceeding 60% [1][2] - As of June 12, 2023, Laopu Gold's stock price has increased by over 280%, while Pop Mart's stock price has risen by more than 190% [2] - Funds heavily invested in the new consumption sector, such as Shenwan Lingxin LeRong One-Year Holding Mixed Fund, have reported returns of 65.81%, while Hengyue Craftsman Preferred One-Year Holding Mixed Fund achieved returns of 62.56% [2] Group 2 - The rise of the new consumption sector is attributed to its ability to capture alpha opportunities through structural variables, targeting new consumer groups and channels, leading to relatively rapid growth [3] - The underlying logic of high-performing categories, such as pet products and trendy toys, is based on the replacement of existing market segments, driven by changes in population structure [3] - The analysis of new consumption products should focus more on consumer behavior rather than traditional channel research, as different products have core target consumer groups with common factors influencing their preferences [4] Group 3 - The investment landscape for new consumption companies can be divided into two categories: those with limited ability to revise profit forecasts, which may carry bubble risks, and those whose stock price increases are driven by continuous upward revisions of profit forecasts, presenting good investment opportunities [5] - The sectors with promising growth potential include trendy toys, beauty products, and gold jewelry, as well as companies in feed, complete vehicles, and personal care that are gaining market share through competitive advantages [5]

Core Viewpoint - The promotion of new consumption is crucial for boosting domestic demand, with private enterprises playing a significant role in this transformation through innovation and new business models [1][4]. Group 1: Legislative Support - The Private Economy Promotion Law aims to foster the healthy development of the private economy and ensure a stable, transparent, and predictable business environment [2][3]. - This law establishes a legal framework that eliminates concerns over policy fluctuations, thereby enhancing market expectations and stimulating the potential of the private economy [2][3]. Group 2: Financing and Investment - The Private Economy Promotion Law addresses financing bottlenecks by promoting a multi-tiered capital market system, allowing qualified private enterprises to access direct financing through stock and bond issuance [3][4]. - Capital markets are expected to provide essential support for innovative private entities, enabling them to secure timely financing for growth [3]. Group 3: Innovation and New Consumption - The law encourages private enterprises to adopt new technologies and develop new products, services, and business models, which are essential for enhancing supply quality [4][5]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on emotional value in consumer products, targeting younger demographics with innovative and differentiated offerings [4][5]. Group 4: Supply Chain Optimization - Companies like Three Squirrels are leveraging digital supply chain systems to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs, aligning with the trend of high-quality, cost-effective products [5][6]. - The integration of digital tools and a focus on high-quality sourcing are key strategies for companies to meet the rising demand for personalized and health-oriented products [6].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index is struggling to maintain the 3400-point level, with significant support from major financial institutions such as banks, brokerages, and insurance companies [1] - Market sentiment remains cautious, with trading volumes not keeping pace, leading to increased volatility and sector rotation among hot sectors like innovative drugs, CPO, IP economy, precious metals, rare earth permanent magnets, and automotive parts [1] Key News - Ant Group concept stocks surged in Hong Kong, with Yunfeng Financial rising by 100% at one point and closing up approximately 60%, following news that Ant Group plans to apply for stablecoin licenses in Singapore and Hong Kong [2] - The innovative drug sector continues to rise, with stock prices increasing while price-to-earnings ratios are decreasing, indicating a potential value reassessment as corporate earnings growth outpaces stock price increases [2][4] Precious Metals - Gold stocks in A-shares experienced a sudden surge, with Hengbang Co. and Chaohongji both hitting the daily limit, driven by heightened demand for gold as a safe haven amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [4] - Platinum and silver have also seen significant price increases, with platinum rising nearly 40% this year, surpassing gold's performance, and silver reaching a 13-year high above $36 per ounce [4][5] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The demand structure for platinum shows that 40% is used in automotive catalysts, 25% in jewelry, 20% for industrial purposes, and 9% for investment [6] - Silver's demand structure indicates that industrial demand accounts for 58.5%, jewelry for 17.9%, investment for 16.4%, and other uses for the remainder [7] - The supply-demand gap for platinum is expected to widen, with the World Platinum Investment Council projecting the lowest total supply in five years by 2025, while investment demand is significantly increasing [8] - The global industrial demand for silver is anticipated to exceed 55% by the end of 2025, with a projected supply gap of 8,800 tons, driven by the energy revolution and technological advancements [8] Investment Implications - The rise of white metals like silver and platinum is expected to boost the precious metals sector, with companies involved in the silver and platinum supply chain likely to benefit from this trend [8]

证券代码：002345 证券简称：潮宏基 公告编号：2025-034 广东潮宏基实业股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份质押的公告 | | | | | | | 已质押股份 | | 未质押股份 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股东名称 | 持股数量 | 持股比 | 累计质押股 | 占其所 持股份 | 占公司总 | 情况 | | 情况 | | | | （股） | 例 | 份数量（股） | 比例 | 股本比例 | 已质押股份限 | 占已质押 | 未质押股份限 | 占未质押 | | | | | | | | 售和冻结数量 | 股份比例 | 售和冻结数量 | 股份比例 | | 汕头市潮 | | | | | | | | | | | 鸿基投资 | 253,643,040 | 28.55% | 79,810,000 | 31.47% | 8.98% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 有限公司 | | | | | | | | | | 股东名称 是否为控股 股东或第一 大股东及其 一致行动人 本次质押数 量（股） 占其所 持股份 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chao Hong Ji plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy, international brand image, and competitiveness while connecting with overseas capital markets [1] Strategic Motives - The H-share listing is a key move in Chao Hong Ji's "Eastern Culture + Capital Going Global" strategy, aiming to expand into Southeast Asia and replicate its successful business model [2] - The official rationale for the H-share issuance is to advance globalization and enhance brand image, but it also aims to address the valuation bottleneck in the A-share market, where the dynamic P/E ratio is significantly higher than the industry average [2] - The timing of the H-share listing aligns with the recovery of the Hong Kong IPO market, allowing the company to benefit from policy incentives and avoid tightening regulations in the A-share market [2] Financial Challenges - In 2024, Chao Hong Ji's revenue increased by 10.48% to 6.518 billion yuan, but net profit dropped by 41.91% to 194 million yuan, indicating a "scale without economy" issue [3] - The decline in profit is attributed to rising gold prices and increased costs from channel expansion, with the average gold price up 18% and sales expenses rising by 32% due to the opening of 129 new stores [3] - The company faces liquidity challenges, with inventory turnover days increasing to 202 and operating cash flow declining by 29.22% to 435 million yuan, highlighting supply chain and franchisee financial pressures [3] - The funds raised from the H-share issuance will be used for working capital, debt repayment, and overseas expansion, indicating a need for debt structure optimization [3] Capital Arbitrage Risks - The H-share issuance presents risks related to valuation discrepancies and governance issues, as the A+H valuation system may lead to conflicts between cash flow focus in Hong Kong and speculative valuations in A-shares [4] - The controlling shareholder's opaque shareholding structure raises concerns about potential dilution of minority shareholders' rights through various financial instruments [4] - The sustainability of the business model is questioned, with overseas revenue currently below 5% and challenges in price competitiveness in Southeast Asian markets [4] Market Insights - Chao Hong Ji's H-share listing reflects broader challenges in the gold and jewelry industry, balancing between hedging against gold price fluctuations and capturing consumer premium [6] - A successful listing could prompt similar actions from A-share peers, but it may also expose common industry weaknesses such as reliance on franchise expansion and price competition [6] - Investors should be cautious of the disconnect between cultural narratives and financial fundamentals, with the need to validate the profitability of the Southeast Asian expansion and the scalability of traditional craftsmanship [6]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of the jewelry industry, specifically focusing on major brands such as Chow Tai Fook, Chow Sang Sang, and Lao Feng Xiang. [1][3][4] Key Points and Arguments Chow Tai Fook Performance - In May, Chow Tai Fook reported a same-store sales growth of 10% and an overall growth of 5.2%. However, the East China region, including cities like Nanjing and Wuxi, saw declines exceeding 30% due to intense competition and online shopping trends. [1][4] - The brand's "fixed-price" products accounted for 15% of total sales from January to May, with gold-inlaid diamond products making up 22% of that category. [1][26] - The company has reduced promotional discounts, with visible discounts ranging from 50% to 80% externally, and official discounts at 30%. [14][22] Chow Sang Sang Performance - Chow Sang Sang experienced a significant overall growth rate of 43% in May, benefiting from IP and lightweight products, although order volumes have decreased. [1][4] - The brand's gold-inlaid diamond products accounted for 12% of total sales, with monthly diamond sales averaging around 100,000 yuan per store. [2][28] Lao Feng Xiang Performance - Lao Feng Xiang faced a sales decline of 28% in June and 32% in May, attributed to insufficient product development, low marketing investment, and an outdated digital system. [4][21] - The brand's reliance on traditional channels has led to a significant drop in sales, particularly in East China. [21] Regional Disparities - There is a notable regional disparity in performance, with Northern regions showing significant growth (up to 70% in some stores) while East China struggles due to high discounting and online shopping frequency. [5][6] Gold Price Impact - Gold prices fluctuated significantly, peaking at 830 yuan per gram in April before stabilizing at 730 yuan per gram in May. This volatility affected consumer behavior, particularly in East China, where online price comparisons became common. [7][8] - Following the stabilization of gold prices, there was a recovery in demand, particularly among younger consumers and for fixed-price items. [10] Discount Strategies - Chow Tai Fook's discount strategy is cautious, focusing on maintaining brand integrity rather than aggressive discounting, even in the face of declining sales. [18][22] - The company aims to balance discounts through mall subsidies rather than increasing promotional activities. [23] Store Operations - Chow Tai Fook plans to close approximately 20 stores due to poor performance, while Chow Sang Sang has opened over ten new stores in well-positioned malls. [25][31] - The average monthly sales per Chow Sang Sang store are around 800,000 yuan, with a customer unit price of approximately 5,700 yuan, reflecting a 30% increase year-on-year. [32] Future Trends - The trend towards fixed-price gold products is expected to continue, with a focus on optimizing product lines to meet consumer demand for personalized and high-quality jewelry. [26] - The overall profit margins for Chow Tai Fook have improved due to a strategic focus on discount management, despite a 30% drop in gold sales volume. [30] Additional Important Insights - The jewelry market is experiencing a shift towards lightweight and fixed-price products, with brands adapting their strategies to cater to changing consumer preferences. [10][29] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in East China, where online shopping and discounting pressures are reshaping consumer behavior. [5][6][21]

Core Viewpoint - Chao Hong Ji (潮宏基) plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy, brand image, and competitiveness [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.48%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 41.91% to 194 million yuan [2][3] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 187 million yuan, down 38.72% compared to the previous year [2][3] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 435 million yuan, a decline of 29.22% year-on-year [2][3] Recent Quarterly Results - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.25 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.36% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 189 million yuan, up 44.38% year-on-year [4] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses for Q1 2025 was 188 million yuan, an increase of 46.17% compared to the same period last year [4] Shareholding Structure - As of the end of Q1 2025, the controlling shareholder, Shantou Chao Hong Ji Investment Co., held 28.55% of the shares, with 31% of these shares pledged [4][5] - The chairman and general manager, Liao Chuangbin, holds 3.04% of the shares, with 48% of his holdings also pledged [4][5]

Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism took place in London on June 9, with a continuation scheduled for June 10 [1] - The State Council emphasized the need to enhance the transformation of scientific and technological achievements to promote innovation and industrial integration [1] - The Chinese government issued opinions to improve minimum wage standards and basic medical insurance drug lists, aiming to address urgent public needs [1] Group 2 - Beijing's economic and information bureau released a plan for the high-quality development of the fashion industry from 2025 to 2027, promoting wearable devices and AI personal computers [2] - A financial regulatory body in the Yangtze River Delta prohibited banks from using physical gifts or member benefits to attract deposits, with a deadline for existing practices set for the end of 2025 [2] - In May, domestic retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.021 million units, a year-on-year increase of 28.2% [2] Group 3 - The Hebei Development and Reform Commission announced measures to support private enterprises in the energy sector, particularly in charging infrastructure [3] - Filinger announced a significant stock price increase since May 30, leading to a trading suspension starting June 10 [3] - Zhongke Shuguang announced a merger with Haiguang Information, resulting in stock resumption [3] Group 4 - Apple opened its large language model to third-party developers at the WWDC 2025, enhancing its translation capabilities [4] - Amazon plans to invest at least $20 billion in Pennsylvania to expand its data center infrastructure, creating approximately 1,250 high-skilled jobs [4] - The US Congressional Budget Office projected that the US will reach its debt ceiling between mid-August and the end of September [4]

每经记者｜舒冬妮 每经编辑｜陈俊杰 ｜ 2025年6月10日 星期二 ｜ NO.1 潮宏基：拟发行H股股票并在香港联交所上市 潮宏基公告，公司于2025年6月9日召开第七届董事会第三次会议，审议通过了拟发行H股股票并在香港 联合交易所上市的相关议案。公司表示，此举旨在推进全球化战略布局，提升国际品牌形象及综合竞争 力，加强与境外资本市场对接。目前，公司正积极与相关中介机构就本次发行并上市的相关工作进行商 讨，具体细节尚未最终确定。本次发行并上市尚需提交公司股东会审议，并需取得相关政府机构、监管 机构备案、批准和/或核准。 NO.3 布鲁可、古茗等新消费牛股被调入港股通 沪深交易所发布公告称，因恒生综合中型股指数实施成份股调整，根据有关规定，港股通标的证券名单 发生调整，布鲁可、古茗、蜜雪集团被调入，自6月9日起生效。截至6月9日收盘，布鲁可涨22.34%， 总市值为481.8亿港元。蜜雪集团涨5.41%，总市值为2146.7亿港元。古茗涨4.34%，总市值为657.57亿港 元。 点评：随着潮宏基不断优化产品和服务，其品牌影响力有望进一步扩大，为股东创造更多价值。对于投 资者而言，潮宏基拟在港股市场上市为投资 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **New Consumption Market**: The new consumption market has seen a significant increase in attention, with investors actively seeking potential stocks. Traditional leading companies also present investment opportunities due to high dividends and competitiveness [1][6] - **Investment Focus for 2025**: Key investment themes include the rise of domestic brands, emotional consumption, the silver economy, and AI smart home products [1][11] Core Insights and Arguments - **Consumer Trends**: The new consumption sector is characterized by a shift towards products that reflect future consumption trends, such as trendy toys, gold jewelry, and beauty products. Companies with strong market positions and high growth potential are recommended despite their valuations being relatively high [1][9] - **Tea Beverage Industry**: The tea beverage sector is thriving, with chain tea brands being the top recommendation. Companies like Mixue Ice City and Gu Ming are highlighted for their unique business models and growth potential [1][29][31] - **Gold and Jewelry Sector**: The gold and jewelry sector benefits from rising gold prices and increased penetration of premium gold jewelry. Companies like Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook are recommended for their strong brand positioning and product differentiation [4][34][37] Notable Companies and Their Performance - **Pop Mart and Miniso**: These companies are recognized as leaders in the trendy toy industry, with successful overseas market expansions and innovative product offerings [1][27][52] - **Beauty Sector**: Companies like Juzi Biotechnology and Runben are noted for their solid fundamentals and reasonable valuations, despite some short-term growth slowdowns [4][43][44] - **Children's Retail**: Kid's King is highlighted for its robust growth in direct sales and rapid expansion of its franchise business [4][38] Additional Important Insights - **Market Volatility**: The new consumption sector is expected to experience increased volatility, with many stocks having already seen significant price increases. The focus should remain on companies with strong growth prospects and competitive advantages [9][10] - **Investment Opportunities in Hong Kong and A-shares**: The top ten new consumption companies in Hong Kong and A-shares include Pop Mart, Miniso, and others, indicating a broad interest in this sector [8][11] - **Emerging Trends**: The rise of emotional consumption and the demand for personalized products are reshaping consumer preferences, leading to opportunities for companies that can innovate and adapt [13][44] Conclusion The new consumption market is evolving rapidly, with significant opportunities in various sectors such as trendy toys, beauty products, and gold jewelry. Companies that can leverage these trends and maintain strong growth trajectories are likely to attract investor interest.