Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the significant rise in lithium carbonate futures prices, reaching a two-year high, which is expected to impact the lithium battery sector positively [2][3] - As of January 13, lithium carbonate futures increased by 11.99%, priced at 174,060 yuan per ton, while the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate also hit a new high at 157,250 yuan per ton, up 3,850 yuan from the previous day [2][4] - The A-share lithium battery sector saw substantial gains, with companies like Tibet Summit and China Minmetals Resources hitting the daily limit, and Ganfeng Lithium rising over 8% [3] Group 2 - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a solid waste management action plan, emphasizing the responsibility of enterprises in pollution control, which may influence the lithium battery industry's regulatory environment [4] - A recent announcement from the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration indicated that export tax rebates for photovoltaic products will be canceled starting April 1, 2026, and the rebate rate for battery products will be reduced, prompting battery manufacturers to potentially accelerate procurement [5] - Forecasts suggest that by 2026, the demand for lithium carbonate will reach 200,000 tons, with a 32% year-on-year increase in new demand, driven by a shift in focus towards energy storage [5][6] Group 3 - Despite the rising prices, some lithium carbonate producers have not yet felt the impact of increased demand, indicating a cautious outlook on whether downstream demand will significantly rise [6][7] - The lithium battery supply chain has seen improved inventory levels due to unexpected growth in energy storage demand, leading to a more balanced supply-demand relationship [7] - Concerns have been raised regarding the rapid increase in material prices, which could potentially dampen investment enthusiasm in the energy storage sector if prices rise too quickly [7]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing volatility with a strong performance in the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly driven by the surge in lithium carbonate futures and geopolitical tensions supporting gold prices [1][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 13, the non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a significant increase, rising over 2.8% and attracting more than 730 million yuan in capital inflow, totaling over 300 million yuan in the last two days [1]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous sector showed varied performance, with Zijin Mining up 3.89%, Ganfeng Lithium soaring 8.71%, and Shandong Gold increasing by 5.49% [2][7]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The non-ferrous sector is currently influenced by multiple factors including frequent macroeconomic disturbances, rigid supply-side conditions, and new demand-side dynamics [5]. - Lithium, as an energy metal, is expected to benefit from export tax adjustments, potentially leading to increased battery production and tighter supply-demand dynamics for lithium carbonate [5][8]. - Gold prices are supported by rising geopolitical tensions and weak employment data, with expectations for prices to remain above $4,500 per ounce [5][9]. - Copper prices are driven by structural supply concerns and regional mismatches, with expectations for continued price increases due to a projected supply gap of over 100,000 tons by 2026 [9]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a comprehensive investment vehicle covering various metal sectors, with a high concentration of strategic assets [11]. - The ETF's index shows a leading concentration in copper and gold, with a copper content of 34% and gold content of 12%, making it attractive for investors looking to capitalize on the ongoing non-ferrous market cycle [11][13]. - The ETF has demonstrated superior performance with a cumulative return of 99.61% since 2022, driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion, indicating a strong investment case [13].

Group 1 - The lithium mining index increased by 4% during the trading session, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - Key stocks in the lithium sector showed strong performance, with Tibet Summit reaching the daily limit, while China Minmetals Resources and Ganfeng Lithium both rose over 8% [1] - Other companies such as Tibet Mining and Salt Lake Industry also experienced gains of over 5% [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong lithium battery concept stocks have collectively rebounded, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) increased by 7.1%, reaching HKD 63.35 [1] - CATL (03750.HK) saw a rise of 1.28%, with shares priced at HKD 491.4 [1] Group 2 - Zhongxin Innovation (03931.HK) rose by 6.4%, trading at HKD 28.94 [1] - Tianqi Lithium (09696.HK) experienced a gain of 5.36%, with shares at HKD 58 [1]

每经AI快讯，港股锂业股再度走高。截至发稿，天齐锂业(09696.HK)涨3.81%，报57.15港元；赣锋锂业 (01772.HK)涨3.72%，报61.35港元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery concept stocks have collectively rebounded, driven by changes in export tax policies for photovoltaic and battery products, which are expected to influence short-term demand and production schedules [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ganfeng Lithium (002460)(01772) increased by 7.1%, reaching 63.35 HKD - CATL (300750)(03750) rose by 1.28%, trading at 491.4 HKD - Tianqi Lithium (002466)(09696) saw a 5.36% increase, priced at 58 HKD - Zhongxin Innovation (03931) climbed by 6.4%, now at 28.94 HKD [1] Group 2: Policy Changes - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced a phased reduction of export tax rates for battery products starting in 2026, ultimately leading to the cancellation of these rates [1] - CITIC Futures noted that the market reacted quickly to the "export rush" logic due to the policy change [1] Group 3: Market Implications - The adjustment in export tax rates is expected to drive a surge in battery exports before 2026, increasing the demand for lithium ore and lithium hexafluorophosphate, thus tightening supply [1] - Huatai Securities believes that the reduction in export tax rates will lead to the elimination of outdated domestic production capacity in the long term, optimizing the battery industry landscape and benefiting companies with overseas production capacity [1]

智通财经APP获悉，锂业股再度走高，截至发稿，天齐锂业(09696)涨3.81%，报57.15港元；赣锋锂业 (01772)涨3.72%，报61.35港元。 财政部、税务总局日前发布《关于调整光伏等产品出口退税政策的公告》，自2026年4月1日起至2026年 12月31日，将电池产品的增值税出口退税率由9%下调至6%；2027年1月1日起，取消电池产品增值税出 口退税。国信证券研报认为，由于存在一定的政策缓冲期，短期海外客户或存在一定的抢出口需求，产 业链或呈现显著淡季不淡。 消息面上，1月13日，广期所碳酸锂期货主力合约一度突破17万元/吨大关，创2023年10月以来新高。此 外，现货方面，据上海有色网最新报价显示，1月12日，碳酸锂（99.5%电池级/国产）价格涨12080元报 15.21万元/吨，创逾2年新高，连涨7日。 ...

锂业股今日再度走高，截至发稿，天齐锂业（09696）上涨3.91%，报57.20港元；赣锋锂业（01772）上 涨3.80%，报61.40港元。 锂业股今日再度走高，截至发稿，天齐锂业（09696）上涨3.91%，报57.20港元；赣锋锂业（01772）上 涨3.80%，报61.40港元。 责任编辑：卢昱君 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The prices of metal commodities have risen significantly, with COMEX gold and silver increasing by 4.07% and 12.36% respectively, while LME copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin saw increases of 4.24%, 4.00%, 0.85%, 2.14%, 5.25%, and 12.75% respectively [1] - The performance of the non-ferrous mining ETF, which tracks the China Securities Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Index, has shown a remarkable increase of 120% over the past year, with key metals like gold, copper, and aluminum making up nearly 60% of its weight [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - According to Ping An Securities, silver is expected to maintain a continuous shortage globally due to its rigid supply characteristics, even amidst short-term demand fluctuations. The long-term supply-demand dynamics for silver are anticipated to remain favorable, driven by the AI industry and overseas re-industrialization [1][8] - Galaxy Securities suggests that escalating global geopolitical conflicts may lead major powers to strengthen their control and reserves of critical strategic metal resources, potentially reshaping global metal supply chains and catalyzing demand and value reassessment for key strategic metals like copper, tungsten, molybdenum, cobalt, and rare earth materials [1][8] Group 3: Historical Performance and Trends - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a higher elasticity compared to similar indices, with a cumulative increase of 172.62% over the past decade and an annualized growth rate of 10.87% [3][5] - The historical performance of the non-ferrous metal mining theme index indicates fluctuations, with notable annual performances of 39.73% in 2021, -20.60% in 2022, and -11.19% in 2023 [10]

公司库存稳定，维持在一个月左右的现货水平，春节期间有例行检修安 排，一季度供应紧张程度较高，需关注下游库存消耗后的原料补充情况。 赣锋集团积极布局磷酸二氢锂、钾肥等新业务，其中钾肥项目规划年产 200 万吨，预计 2027 年投产，储能业务拓展国内外市场，固态电池领 域进行全面布局，推动低空经济等应用。 部不断抬高是大势所趋。从历史角度看，每轮周期底部都比上一轮高。此外， 由于行业开支低于预期导致供给跟不上需求变化，这一逻辑在当前周期再次得 到验证。 行业资本开支意愿及未来项目投产情况如何？ 赣锋锂业 20260112 摘要 赣锋锂业拥有约 5,000 万吨碳酸锂当量资源，计划到 2030 年形成 60 万吨产能，并积极拓展钾、磷等多元矿产资源，实现一体化发展，下游 电池业务预计 2025 年进入景气周期。 近期碳酸锂价格上涨超预期，主要受需求增长和供给不确定性影响，短 期内退税消息或刺激需求，长期来看，行业底部不断抬高，但需警惕非 市场化价格控制带来的风险。 尽管碳酸锂价格上涨，但行业资本开支意愿尚未显著提升，地缘政治因 素增加海外资源不确定性，新项目投产需时，预计 2025 年后的项目或 到 2027-2 ...