Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industry emphasizes its commitment to maintaining the long-term interests of the company and all shareholders while ensuring stable and sustainable product supply to customers [1] Group 1 - The company is actively engaging in communication and cooperation with customers and relevant parties [1] - Current production and operations of the company are reported to be normal [1] - The company is closely monitoring industry conditions and policy directions [1] Group 2 - The company adheres to principles of compliance, market-oriented cooperation, and long-term stable development [1] - The company promotes a philosophy of mutual benefit, equal cooperation, and long-termism with industry chain partners [1] - The company aims to contribute to the healthy development of the industry [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466) reported on an interactive platform that as of December 31, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders will be 295,682 [1]

Report Title - The report is titled "Carbonate Lithium Weekly Report (December 29, 2025 - December 31, 2025): High - level Volatility in the Carbonate Lithium Market, Game between Weakening Demand Expectations and Cost Support" [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core View - In the next 1 - 2 weeks, the price of carbonate lithium will maintain a high - level shock pattern under the cost support and weakening demand expectations, with the center of gravity possibly moving slightly downward [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Salt Market Conditions - **Carbonate Lithium Futures and Spot**: The average price of battery - grade carbonate lithium spot dropped to 117,250 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 2.62%. The futures price of carbonate lithium decreased from 130,520 yuan/ton to 121,580 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 6.85%. The futures were at a premium to the spot, and the basis was - 4,330 yuan/ton, narrowing by 57.21% week - on - week [2][4] - **Lithium Hydroxide Spot**: The prices of various types of lithium hydroxide spot all increased. The price of lithium hydroxide (electro - carbon, coarse particles) increased from 102,400 yuan/ton to 109,500 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 6.93%; the price of lithium hydroxide (electro - carbon, fine powder) increased from 107,600 yuan/ton to 114,700 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 6.60%; the price of lithium hydroxide (industrial carbon) increased from 97,100 yuan/ton to 104,200 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 7.31% [4] - **Carbonate Lithium Premium**: The weekly change in the premium of carbonate lithium from different raw materials and enterprises was 200 yuan/ton [7] Lithium Salt Fundamentals Supply - **Carbonate Lithium Production**: The domestic carbonate lithium capacity utilization rate remained at a high level of 83.52%, and the production in December was expected to increase. The capacity utilization rate of lithium hydroxide decreased by 2.56 percentage points to 38.0% week - on - week, indicating some production line conversions or overhauls [2] Demand - **Mid - and Downstream Consumption**: The demand side showed differentiation. The operating rate of energy - storage cells remained high, but many leading cathode material manufacturers announced overhaul plans for January, indicating that the downstream demand might decline significantly month - on - month, and procurement turned to rigid demand [2] Import and Export - **Lithium Ore Import**: The seasonal production reduction expectation of salt lakes constituted a potential supply disturbance, and the arrival of imported lithium concentrate at ports needed to be monitored [2] - **Lithium Ore Transportation Cost**: The transportation costs of lithium ore from South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Nigeria remained unchanged week - on - week [28] Inventory - **Carbonate Lithium Warehouse Receipt Inventory**: The exchange warehouse receipt inventory increased to 20,281 lots, a significant week - on - week increase of 13.55%. The inventory in major warehouses such as Shanghai Xiangyu Speed - Transfer Warehouse and COSCO Shipping Zhenjiang Warehouse increased significantly, showing inventory accumulation pressure [2][41] Cost and Profit - **Carbonate Lithium**: The production cost of externally purchased lithium concentrate was 124,744 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 3.95%. The production profit was - 7,494 yuan/ton, and the loss increased by 20.91% week - on - week. The cost line provided some support for the current price [2] Lithium - battery Fundamentals - **Positive Electrode Materials**: Information on the market conditions, supply, demand, and cost - profit of positive electrode materials is included in the report, but specific data is not elaborated in the provided content [45][47][51][57] - **Lithium - battery Materials and Batteries Import and Export**: Information on the import and export of lithium - battery materials and batteries is included, but specific data is not elaborated [53][55] - **New Energy Vehicles**: Information on the production, sales, and other important data of new energy vehicles is included, but specific data is not elaborated [61][63] - **Lithium - battery Recycling**: Information on lithium - battery recycling is included, but specific data is not elaborated [59]

Core Viewpoint - The energy metals sector experienced a slight increase of 0.17% on January 9, with Shengtun Mining leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4120.43, up 0.92%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14120.15, up 1.15% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The energy metals sector saw individual stock performances with notable gains, including Shengdian Mining at 16.70, up 1.83%, and Sairui Mining at 48.37, up 1.81% [1]. - The trading volume for Shengdian Mining reached 1.58 million shares, with a transaction value of 2.636 billion [1]. - The overall market showed a mixed trend with major indices reflecting positive movements, indicating investor confidence in the sector [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The energy metals sector experienced a net outflow of 700 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 554 million [2]. - The capital flow data indicates that retail investors were more active in the market, with a significant net inflow compared to institutional outflows [2]. - Specific stocks like Rongjie Co. saw a net inflow of 11.19 million from institutional investors, while others like Cangge Mining faced significant outflows [3]. Group 3: Individual Stock Analysis - Rongjie Co. had a net inflow of 11.19 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 34.07 million from retail investors [3]. - Sairui Mining also showed a net inflow of 10.00 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 20.46 million from retail investors [3]. - Cangge Mining experienced the highest net outflow of 97.16 million from institutional investors, indicating potential concerns among larger investors [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the copper demand is expected to increase significantly due to growth in artificial intelligence and defense sectors, with a projected 50% rise by 2040, leading to a potential annual supply gap of over 10 million tons if recycling and mining efforts are not intensified [1] - The Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has seen a strong increase of 3.45%, with notable gains from individual stocks such as Xiamen Tungsten (600549) up 9.86%, Hailiang Co. (002203) up 7.91%, and Chihong Zn & Ge (600497) up 7.82% [1] - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the copper supply side is cautious with new expansions and high production costs, predicting a 2% growth in copper mine supply by 2026, while the smelting side faces historically low TC/RC levels, potentially limiting capacity utilization [1] Group 2 - The demand for copper is expected to grow by 3% due to economic recovery and the demand from AI-related equipment, resulting in a global supply-demand gap of approximately 630,000 tons [1] - The application of copper in data centers includes power transmission, signal transmission for high-speed data exchange between chips and systems, heat dissipation, and as a key material in semiconductor manufacturing [1] - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) closely tracks the Zhongzheng Nonferrous Metals Industry Index, which reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the nonferrous metals sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery concept stocks experienced a significant increase in early trading, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhong Chuang Innovation (03931) rose by 5.13%, trading at 26.62 HKD [1] - Tianneng Power (00819) increased by 4.02%, trading at 7.51 HKD [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) (01772) saw a rise of 3.49%, trading at 57.9 HKD [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) (09696) gained 1.21%, trading at 54.35 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced a meeting on January 7, involving the MIIT, National Development and Reform Commission, State Administration for Market Regulation, and National Energy Administration to discuss the regulation of the power and energy storage battery industry [1] - The meeting included 16 companies, comprising 13 power and energy storage battery firms and 3 system integrators [1] - The China Automotive Power Battery Innovation Alliance and the China Chemical Physical Power Industry Association participated in the meeting, advocating for industry self-discipline [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in the non-ferrous metal industry index and specific stocks, driven by a major mineral discovery in Xinjiang, which is expected to impact the market positively [1][2] - The non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 2.32%, with notable stock performances including Xiamen Tungsten (up 8.97%), Hailiang Co. (up 7.75%), and Chihong Zn & Ge (up 6.81%) [1] - The discovery of the Salt Lake 27 mineral group, with an average grade of 30.73%, marks the largest mineral find in the region in nearly 40 years, particularly for chromium ore, which is crucial for various high-tech industries [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the tightening supply-demand dynamics will lead to higher price elasticity for aluminum, with expectations for stable price increases and sustained high profits in the electrolytic aluminum sector [2] - The electrolytic aluminum companies have passed their peak capital expenditure phase, suggesting a favorable environment for increased dividends and overall investment optimization in the sector [2] - The copper supply is projected to grow at 2% in 2026, with challenges in the smelting sector due to historically low TC/RC levels, which may limit production capacity [2] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 51.65% of the index, including major companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum [3]

Core Insights - The lithium battery industry is entering a new development phase after two years of deep adjustments, driven by rising prices of battery-grade lithium carbonate, improved supply-demand dynamics in the materials sector, and sustained orders from battery manufacturers [1][2] Group 1: Recovery Signals - The lithium battery supply chain includes upstream lithium mining and raw materials, midstream key materials manufacturing, and downstream applications such as power batteries and energy storage [2] - Since December of last year, all segments of the supply chain have shown synchronized improvement, with lithium hexafluorophosphate leading the recovery, as many companies operate at full capacity and have ample orders [2] - The overall lithium battery industry has transitioned from a deep adjustment phase to an early recovery stage, marked by expanding orders in the energy storage market, rapid inventory depletion, and improved performance of leading companies [2][3] Group 2: Price Trends and Demand - Battery-grade lithium carbonate prices experienced a significant V-shaped rebound in 2025, with prices rising from below 60,000 yuan/ton to over 100,000 yuan/ton within six months, reflecting a more than 60% increase [3] - Leading companies predict a 30% increase in demand for battery-grade lithium carbonate by 2026, with potential price increases if demand exceeds expectations [3] - The global demand for lithium is expected to reach 2 million tons by 2026, driven by renewable energy integration and electrification of commercial heavy trucks [3] Group 3: Long-term Strategies - Rising material prices have led companies to seek solutions, including cost control through process optimization and raw material self-supply, while some leading firms have opted for direct price increases [4] - The industry is shifting from a "buyer-dominated" market to a "structural seller's market," with a focus on technological upgrades and supply chain resilience rather than mere capacity expansion [5] - Companies are increasingly adopting long-term strategies, emphasizing value creation and collaboration across the supply chain [5][6] Group 4: Profitability and Market Dynamics - The lithium battery industry is experiencing significant differentiation, with leading companies enjoying high order volumes and rising profits, while many mid-tier firms face challenges [7] - The ongoing demand for electric vehicles and energy storage is expected to accelerate the exit of low-quality capacities, concentrating resources and orders among leading and integrated companies [7][8] - Salt lake lithium extraction companies have a cost advantage over imported lithium ore processing, allowing them to achieve higher profit margins during price upswings [7] Group 5: Industry Evolution - The lithium battery industry is moving from a price-driven cycle to a value-driven cycle, with technological innovation becoming the core determinant of future profit distribution [8] - The recent meeting by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to regulate competition and promote high-quality development, indicating a shift towards quality improvement in the industry [8] - The industry's ability to achieve profitability in 2026 will depend on collective efforts towards value return, emphasizing long-termism and deep value creation as essential strategies for navigating cycles [8]

Core Viewpoint - The energy metals sector experienced a decline of 2.4% on January 8, with significant losses in individual stocks, particularly Boqian New Materials, which led the decline with a drop of 4.33% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.98, down 0.07% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13959.48, down 0.51% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Boqian New Materials (code: 605376) closed at 64.58, down 4.33% with a trading volume of 52,100 shares and a transaction value of 341 million yuan - Jizhong Mining (code: 600711) closed at 16.40, down 3.70% with a trading volume of 1.9098 million shares and a transaction value of 3.17 billion yuan - Cangge Mining (code: 000408) closed at 88.00, down 3.46% with a trading volume of 194,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.716 billion yuan - Tengyuan Diamond (code: 301219) closed at 69.47, down 2.96% with a trading volume of 92,500 shares and a transaction value of 648 million yuan - Sairui Diamond (code: 300618) closed at 47.51, down 2.28% with a trading volume of 155,000 shares and a transaction value of 744 million yuan - Ganfeng Lithium (code: 002460) closed at 65.02, down 2.20% with a trading volume of 650,200 shares and a transaction value of 4.291 billion yuan - Shengxin Lithium Energy (code: 002240) closed at 35.86, down 2.08% with a trading volume of 659,200 shares and a transaction value of 2.411 billion yuan - Huayou Cobalt (code: 603799) closed at 75.62, down 2.03% with a trading volume of 730,300 shares and a transaction value of 5.563 billion yuan - Yongshan Lithium (code: 6633399) closed at 111.12, down 1.51% with a trading volume of 272,900 shares and a transaction value of 307 million yuan - Yongxing Materials (code: 002756) closed at 54.08, down 1.46% with a trading volume of 148,700 shares [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The energy metals sector saw a net outflow of 2.437 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.887 billion yuan and speculative funds saw a net inflow of 550 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The rare metal ETF fund has increased by 105.92% over the past year, closely tracking the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index, with lithium and rare earths being the top two components [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.54%, with significant companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [1] - Recent geopolitical events, such as the situation in Venezuela and China's export controls on dual-use items to Japan, have highlighted the strategic importance of rare earth resources, benefiting the CS Rare Metals Index [1] Group 2 - Since the low of around 60,000 yuan/ton for lithium carbonate futures in May-June last year, prices have surged to over 120,000 yuan/ton by the end of last year, driven by supply constraints and high demand from the energy storage sector [2] - The cobalt market has also seen price increases due to export controls in the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a likely continued supply-demand imbalance [2] - The CS Rare Metals Index, which tracks energy metals like lithium and cobalt, is expected to benefit from these market dynamics [2]