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荣盛石化:公司业绩边际明显改善,股东回报增强彰显长期投资价值-20250430
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-30 14:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Rongsheng Petrochemical is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance has shown significant marginal improvement, and shareholder returns have enhanced its long-term investment value [1] - The report highlights that the refining and chemical industry is currently experiencing a weak cycle, which may put short-term pressure on the company's performance in 2024 [4] - The first quarter of 2025 has seen a substantial improvement in the company's performance, indicating potential for profit elasticity [4] - The collaboration with Saudi Aramco is expected to strengthen the company's global presence and enhance its risk resilience [5] - A three-year shareholder return plan has been established, emphasizing the company's commitment to long-term value [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 326.475 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 724 million yuan, a decrease of 37.44% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 reported operating revenue of 74.975 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.54%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 588 million yuan, an increase of 6.53% [2] - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a significant recovery in net profit, with expected figures of 2.356 billion yuan, 2.783 billion yuan, and 3.935 billion yuan, respectively [7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.23 yuan in 2025 to 0.39 yuan in 2027 [7] Industry Outlook - The refining industry is entering a phase of stock competition, with a focus on consolidation and efficiency [4] - The average Brent crude oil price for 2024 is projected to be 79.86 USD per barrel, indicating a slight decrease from the previous year [4] - The report anticipates that the industry will face challenges due to geopolitical tensions and economic conditions affecting oil prices [4]
荣盛石化(002493):公司业绩边际明显改善,股东回报增强彰显长期投资价值
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-30 12:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Rongsheng Petrochemical is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's performance has shown significant marginal improvement, and shareholder returns have enhanced its long-term investment value [1] - The report highlights that the refining and chemical industry is currently in a weak cycle, which may put short-term pressure on the company's performance [4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a substantial improvement in the company's performance, indicating potential for profit elasticity [4][5] - The company has established a three-year shareholder return plan, emphasizing its long-term investment value [7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 326.475 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 724 million yuan, a decrease of 37.44% [1] - The first quarter of 2025 reported operating revenue of 74.975 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.54%, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.53% year-on-year [2] - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a significant recovery in net profit, with expected figures of 2.356 billion yuan, 2.783 billion yuan, and 3.935 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 225.2%, 18.1%, and 41.4% [7] Industry Insights - The refining industry is entering a phase of stock competition, with a focus on "strong alliances" to create new development opportunities [4] - The average Brent crude oil price for 2024 is projected to be 79.86 USD/barrel, indicating a slight decrease from the previous year [4] - The report notes that the company is collaborating with Saudi Aramco, which is expected to enhance its global market presence and operational resilience [5]
荣盛石化(002493):1Q25浙石化盈利改善 油价下跌有利于化工品盈利恢复
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The company reported FY24 performance with revenue of 326.475 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit of 724 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.4% [1]. Financial Performance - FY24 revenue was 326.475 billion yuan, with a net profit of 724 million yuan, reflecting a 37.4% decline year-on-year [1]. - 4Q24 revenue was 81.279 billion yuan, down 5.6% year-on-year and 3.2% quarter-on-quarter, with a net loss of 152 million yuan [1]. - 1Q25 revenue was 74.975 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.5% year-on-year and 7.8% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit was 588 million yuan, an increase of 6.5% year-on-year [1]. - Zhejiang Petrochemical achieved a net profit of 3.54 billion yuan in FY24, up 159% year-on-year, and 1.27 billion yuan in 1Q25, a 1% increase year-on-year [1]. - CNOOC Petrochemical reported a loss of 1.249 billion yuan in FY24, with PTA and bottle chips losses of approximately 260 million yuan [1]. Industry Trends - In 1Q25, costs significantly decreased, with coal prices dropping from 765 yuan/ton to 652 yuan/ton, benefiting the company's cost structure [2]. - The price differentials for downstream products like olefins remained strong, while PX and pure benzene price differentials continued to decline [2]. - The company is focusing on high-end materials and expanding its product offerings, including the production of α-olefins and rare earth rubber [2]. - The average Brent crude oil price decreased to 66.6 USD/barrel in 2Q25, which is expected to improve chemical product profitability in 3Q25 and beyond [2]. Investor Returns - The company has shown commitment to investor returns, with a total of approximately 1.693 billion yuan in share buybacks in 2024 and an ongoing buyback plan of 1-2 billion yuan in 2025 [3]. - In 2024, the company distributed cash dividends of 957 million yuan, accounting for 34% of distributable profits [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to lower-than-expected recovery in refining profits, the company has revised down its net profit forecasts for 2025-26 by 40.6% and 27.0% to 1.896 billion yuan and 4.922 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 43.7x for 2025 and 16.8x for 2026 [4]. - The target price has been adjusted down by 7.6% to 9.7 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 18.4% from the current stock price [4].
荣盛石化一季度盈利增长态势显著 油价下行催化业绩释放
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-04-30 06:49
Core Viewpoint - Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493.SZ) has demonstrated strong market competitiveness and risk resistance by achieving significant performance growth in Q1 2025, despite a challenging international crude oil market [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Rongsheng Petrochemical reported total operating revenue of 74.975 billion RMB, a slight year-on-year decrease of 7.54% - The total profit reached 1.345 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.91% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 588 million RMB, up 6.53% compared to the same period last year - The non-recurring net profit grew by 30.28%, reaching 618 million RMB [1]. Market Conditions - Historical data indicates that crude oil price fluctuations are critical for refining companies' profitability, with margins improving significantly when oil prices are in the 40-80 USD/barrel range - Currently, oil prices have dropped to the 65 USD/barrel range, benefiting refining companies by improving cost structures and expanding product margins - An increase of 100 RMB per ton in refining profit could potentially add approximately 4 billion RMB to Rongsheng Petrochemical's profits, given its refining capacity of 40 million tons per year [2]. Industry Position - Rongsheng Petrochemical is viewed as a core player for "bottoming out and rebounding" in the market, supported by its full industry chain advantages and the release of high-end new material capacities - The company holds a significant position in the chemical materials market in China and Asia, excelling in polyester, new energy materials, engineering plastics, and high-value-added polyolefins - The integrated refining project led by the company has an annual processing capacity of 40 million tons of crude oil, producing 8.8 million tons of paraxylene (PX) and 4.2 million tons of ethylene [2][3]. Future Outlook - With the stabilization of crude oil prices and a gradual recovery in market demand, Rongsheng Petrochemical is expected to further enhance its influence in the global new materials supply chain - The company aims to align with industry trends such as product high-endization, cost reduction, efficiency enhancement, and sustainable development - It plans to deepen its integrated refining advantages and drive industrial upgrades through technological innovation, accelerating its transition towards high-end, green, and intelligent operations [3].
荣盛石化(002493):炼化与聚酯盈利有所修复,业绩同环比均有提升
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-30 06:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Rongsheng Petrochemical is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates a recovery in refining and polyester profitability, with both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter performance improvements [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of 74.975 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.54% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.76%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 588 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 486.62% [6] - The report highlights a recovery in refining profitability, driven by rising oil prices and increased travel demand, with an average price difference for crude oil catalytic cracking estimated at 1,108 USD/ton, up 13.4% year-on-year and 11.7% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The polyester industry is seeing profits concentrated in the downstream filament segment, with the filament price difference recovering significantly [6] - The collaboration with Saudi Aramco is expected to enhance long-term growth prospects for the company [6] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 is maintained at 4.311 billion, 6.389 billion, and 8.437 billion yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 19X, 13X, and 10X respectively [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 345.713 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.9% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4.311 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 495% [5] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 11.2% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 9% [5]
荣盛石化业绩企稳向好,“回购注销 + 增持” 传递价值底信号
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-04-30 01:52
4月29日,荣盛石化(002493.SZ)发布了其2025年第一季度报告,展现了公司在复杂市场环境下依旧保 持的强劲经营现金流表现。尤其引人注目的是,公司经营活动产生的现金流量净额达到了79.77亿元, 同比大幅增长了93.19%,显示出荣盛石化在面对行业挑战时所展现出的坚韧与活力。 回顾过去一年,即2024年,荣盛石化实现了经营活动产生的现金净流量达到346.09亿元的历史新高,同 比增长23.26%。而更令人瞩目的是,在过去的五年间,公司累计经营活动现金净流入超过了1300亿 元,这不仅体现了荣盛石化的稳健经营风格,也标志着其经营质量的显著提升。强大的现金流为公司的 可持续发展奠定了坚实的基础,同时也赋予了公司进行持续分红、股份回购及增持等回馈股东行为的底 气。 荣盛石化始终将投资者利益保护作为其核心战略之一,坚持通过持续稳健的分红政策和实际有力的资本 回馈来实现"与股东共成长"的承诺。自上市以来,公司已连续15次年现金分红,近三年内现金分红占归 母净利润的比例高达64.93%。特别是2024年度,荣盛石化计划向全体股东每10股派发现金红利1.00元 (含税),总计拟分配现金红利达9.57亿元。此外,全年 ...
荣盛石化一季度业绩筑底回升,原油价格下跌或提振盈利能力
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-04-29 15:09
Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 74.975 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 588 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 486.84% [1] - The company's cash flow from operating activities reached 7.977 billion yuan, up 93.19% year-on-year, indicating strong operational performance [1] - For the year 2024, the company reported total assets exceeding 377.974 billion yuan and operating revenue of 326.475 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 24.15% since its listing in 2010 [1] Group 2: Share Buyback and Stake Increase - The company plans to cancel 136 million shares from its first phase of buyback, reducing its registered capital, with a total transaction amount of 1.998 billion yuan [2] - Since 2022, the company has conducted three phases of share buyback, totaling 553 million shares, accounting for 5.46% of its total share capital, with a cumulative transaction amount of 6.988 billion yuan [2] - The controlling shareholder, Rongsheng Holding Group, announced a new buyback plan of 1 billion to 2 billion yuan, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term development [2] Group 3: Industry Position and Product Offering - The company operates in various sectors including oil products, chemicals, and polyester, with seven production bases in key economic zones [3] - It has established five major industrial chains and ranks among the top producers of PX, PC, butadiene, MMA, and synthetic rubber in Asia [3] - By the end of 2024, the company is expected to have crude oil processing capacity of 40 million tons per year and total chemical production capacity of 59.27 million tons [3] Group 4: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The decline in crude oil prices is expected to enhance the company's profit margins, as lower costs improve the profitability of refining operations [4] - Historical data indicates that when oil prices are between 40-80 USD per barrel, refining companies experience significant margin improvements [4] - The company is viewed as a core stock for recovery in the refining sector, benefiting from a favorable supply landscape and high-end material production [5]
荣盛石化(002493) - 第六届监事会第二十三次会议决议公告
2025-04-29 14:10
一、监事会会议召开情况 荣盛石化股份有限公司(以下简称"荣盛石化")第六届监事会第二十三次 会议通知于 2025 年 4 月 22 日以电子邮件、书面形式送达荣盛石化全体监事。监 事会会议于 2025 年 4 月 29 日以通讯方式召开,会议由荣盛石化监事会主席孙国 明先生主持,监事会会议应出席的监事 3 人,实际出席会议的监事 3 人。本次监 事会会议的召开符合《公司法》等法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件及《公 司章程》的有关规定。 证券代码:002493 证券简称:荣盛石化 公告编号:2025-029 荣盛石化股份有限公司 第六届监事会第二十三次会议决议公告 本公司及监事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 符合法律、行政法规和中国证监会的规定,报告内容真实、准确、完整地反映了 上市公司的实际情况,不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 表决结果:同意 3 票,反对 0 票,弃权 0 票。 三、备查文件 1.《荣盛石化股份有限公司第六届监事会第二十三次会议决议》。 特此公告。 二、监事会会议审议情况 经与会监事认真审议,充分讨论,以记名投票方式表决,会 ...
荣盛石化(002493) - 第六届董事会第二十四次会议决议公告
2025-04-29 14:08
荣盛石化股份有限公司(以下简称"荣盛石化")第六届董事会第二十四次会 议通知于 2025 年 4 月 22 日以电子邮件、书面形式送达荣盛石化全体董事。董事 会会议于 2025 年 4 月 29 日以通讯方式召开,会议由荣盛石化董事长李水荣先生 主持,会议应出席的董事 9 人,实际出席会议的董事 9 人。本次董事会会议的召 开符合《公司法》等法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件及《公司章程》的 有关规定。 证券代码:002493 证券简称:荣盛石化 公告编号:2025-028 荣盛石化股份有限公司 第六届董事会第二十四次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 二、董事会会议审议情况 经与会董事认真审议,充分讨论,以记名投票方式表决,会议审议通过了以 下议案: 1.《关于 2025 年第一季度报告的议案》 该议案的具体内容详见 2025 年 4 月 30 日刊登于《证券时报》《证券日报》 《中国证券报》《上海证券报》及巨潮资讯网(http://www.cninfo.com.cn)上的《2025 年第一季度报告》(公告 ...
荣盛石化(002493) - 2025 Q1 - 季度财报
2025-04-29 12:30
Revenue and Profit - Revenue for Q1 2025 was ¥74.98 billion, a decrease of 7.54% compared to ¥81.09 billion in the same period last year[2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥588.40 million, an increase of 6.53% from ¥552.36 million year-on-year[2] - Net profit excluding non-recurring items rose by 30.28% to ¥618.35 million from ¥474.63 million in the previous year[2] - The net profit for the current period is CNY 1,231,291,816.62, an increase from CNY 1,098,729,199.02 in the previous period, representing a growth of approximately 12.06%[17] - The total operating profit for the current period is CNY 1,358,142,102.92, compared to CNY 1,263,179,051.26 in the previous period, indicating an increase of approximately 7.5%[17] - The company reported a decrease in sales revenue from CNY 88,428,593,585.76 to CNY 84,657,306,364.47, a decline of about 4.3%[19] Cash Flow and Assets - Operating cash flow increased significantly by 93.19% to ¥7.98 billion, compared to ¥4.13 billion in the same period last year[2] - Cash flow from operating activities generated a net amount of CNY 7,977,336,348.96, significantly higher than CNY 4,129,270,983.86 from the previous period, marking an increase of about 93.5%[20] - Cash and cash equivalents increased significantly to RMB 28,305,280,394.53 from RMB 14,833,384,920.45, representing an increase of 90.5%[11] - The cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period increased to CNY 26,304,257,518.48 from CNY 20,417,910,197.13, representing a growth of approximately 28.8%[21] - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were ¥391.01 billion, up 3.48% from ¥377.85 billion at the end of the previous year[2] - Total assets increased to RMB 391,005,092,490.96 from RMB 377,845,944,183.98, marking an increase of 3.4%[13] Shareholders' Equity and Liabilities - Shareholders' equity attributable to shareholders increased by 1.14% to ¥44.36 billion from ¥43.86 billion at the end of the previous year[2] - Shareholders' equity increased to RMB 95,962,728,205.93 from RMB 94,824,130,299.67, reflecting a growth of 1.2%[14] - Total liabilities rose to RMB 295,042,364,285.03 from RMB 283,021,813,884.31, an increase of 4.2%[14] Expenses and Costs - Total operating costs amounted to RMB 74,402,019,860.72, down from RMB 80,129,366,950.93, reflecting a reduction of 7.1%[16] - Operating costs included RMB 64,519,073,624.35 in operating expenses, which decreased from RMB 69,689,532,945.07, indicating a decline of 7.5%[16] - Research and development expenses increased to CNY 1,472,788,785.89 from CNY 1,193,091,516.38, reflecting a rise of about 23.4%[17] - The company’s financial expenses decreased from CNY 1,895,306,112.29 to CNY 1,707,708,425.68, a reduction of about 9.9%[17] Investment and Other Income - The company experienced a 599.62% increase in investment income to ¥149.41 million, attributed to changes in accounting guidelines[6] - The investment income for the current period is CNY 149,413,730.60, a recovery from a loss of CNY 29,905,606.95 in the previous period[17] Shareholder Information - The total number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 87,976[8]