Core Insights - Lihua Co., Ltd. reported sales of 52.62 million meat chickens in October 2025, generating revenue of 1.461 billion yuan, with a chicken sales average price of 12.58 yuan/kg, showing a month-on-month decline of 1.05% in sales volume, 2.73% in revenue, and 3.38% in average price, while year-on-year changes were increases of 10.46% in sales volume and 11.44% in revenue, but a decrease of 3.23% in average price [1] Group 1: Chicken Sales - In October 2025, the company sold 52.62 million meat chickens, with a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan [1] - The average sales price for meat chickens was 12.58 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 3.38% [1] - Year-on-year, chicken sales volume increased by 10.46%, while the average price decreased by 3.23% [1] Group 2: Pork Sales - The company sold 192,500 meat pigs in October 2025, generating revenue of 281 million yuan [1] - The average sales price for meat pigs was 11.98 yuan/kg, with month-on-month declines of 4.94% in sales volume, 14.33% in revenue, and 10.13% in average price [1] - Year-on-year, pork sales volume increased by 31.85%, but the average price decreased by 32.85% due to fluctuations in the pig market [1]

Core Insights - Lihua Co., Ltd. reported its sales performance for October 2025, indicating a total sale of 52.62 million meat chickens with a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan [1] - The average selling price for meat chickens was 12.58 yuan per kilogram, showing a month-on-month decline in sales volume, revenue, and average price [1] - The company sold 192,500 meat pigs in October 2025, generating a revenue of 281 million yuan, with a significant decrease in sales volume and revenue compared to the previous month [1] Sales Performance Summary - **Meat Chicken Sales**: - Total sold: 52.62 million heads - Revenue: 1.461 billion yuan - Average price: 12.58 yuan/kg - Month-on-month changes: Sales volume -1.05%, Revenue -2.73%, Average price -3.38% - Year-on-year changes: Sales volume +10.46%, Revenue +11.44%, Average price -3.23% [1] - **Meat Pig Sales**: - Total sold: 192,500 heads - Revenue: 281 million yuan - Average price: 11.98 yuan/kg - Month-on-month changes: Sales volume -4.94%, Revenue -14.33%, Average price -10.13% - Year-on-year changes: Sales volume +31.85%, Revenue -11.64%, Average price -32.85% [1]

Core Insights - Lihua Co., Ltd. reported its sales performance for October 2025, indicating a total sale of 52.62 million meat chickens with a revenue of 1.461 billion yuan [1] - The average selling price for meat chickens was 12.58 yuan per kilogram, showing a month-on-month decline in sales volume, revenue, and average price [1] - The company sold 192,500 meat pigs in October 2025, generating a revenue of 281 million yuan, with a notable decrease in sales volume and revenue compared to the previous month [1] Sales Performance Summary - **Meat Chicken Sales**: - Total sold: 52.62 million heads - Revenue: 1.461 billion yuan - Average price: 12.58 yuan/kg - Month-on-month changes: Sales volume -1.05%, Revenue -2.73%, Average price -3.38% - Year-on-year changes: Sales volume +10.46%, Revenue +11.44%, Average price -3.23% [1] - **Meat Pig Sales**: - Total sold: 192,500 heads - Revenue: 281 million yuan - Average price: 11.98 yuan/kg - Month-on-month changes: Sales volume -4.94%, Revenue -14.33%, Average price -10.13% - Year-on-year changes: Sales volume +31.85%, Revenue -11.64%, Average price -32.85% [1]

证券代码：300761 证券简称：立华股份 公告编号：2025-080 江苏立华食品集团股份有限公司 2025 年 10 月销售情况简报 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、2025 年 10 月销售情况 1 | 月份 | | | 肉鸡销量（万只） | 销售收入（亿元） | | 毛鸡销售均价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | （元/公斤） | | | | 当月 | 当年累计 | 当月 | 当年累计 | 当月 | | 年 2025 | 月 1 | 4,511.07 | 4,511.07 | 11.74 | 11.74 | 11.78 | | 年 2025 | 月 2 | 3,286.25 | 7,797.32 | 7.69 | 19.43 | 10.37 | | 年 2025 | 月 3 | 4,490.29 | 12,287.61 | 10.75 | 30.18 | 10.69 | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 4,544.93 | 16,832.54 | ...

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a slight increase of 0.31% on November 7, with Tianyu Biological leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - Tianyu Biological (603717) closed at 9.46, up 3.05% with a trading volume of 169,600 shares and a turnover of 160 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Luoniushan (000735) at 8.12, up 2.40% with a volume of 1,088,900 shares [1] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) at 66.7, up 1.36% with a volume of 1,212,200 shares [1] - Muyuans (002714) at 49.71, up 0.93% with a volume of 285,500 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 223 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.04 million yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Muyuan (002714) with a net inflow of 214 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Jingji Zhino (000048) with a net inflow of 50.59 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) with a net inflow of 24.48 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the livestock sector, particularly in beef and dairy farming, predicting a turning point in the domestic beef cycle by 2025, with prices expected to rise significantly [1][14] - The report recommends a selection of stocks in the livestock and feed sectors, highlighting companies like Yuran Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, and Haida Group as key investment opportunities [1][3] Livestock Sector - The report anticipates a reversal in the beef cycle, with domestic beef prices expected to rise due to a combination of domestic supply adjustments and international price increases [14] - The dairy market is projected to improve, driven by a rising meat-to-milk price ratio, which may accelerate the culling of dairy cows and enhance profitability for dairy farming companies [14] - Key recommended stocks in the livestock sector include Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming, and China Shengmu [14][18] Swine Sector - The report highlights a recovery in the swine sector, with a focus on leading companies like DeKang Agriculture and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to benefit from valuation recovery as the market stabilizes [15][19] - The average price of live pigs was reported at 12.49 CNY/kg, reflecting a 6% month-on-month increase, while the price of piglets decreased by 9.18% [2][21] - The report notes that the industry is experiencing a rational approach to breeding, with a stable number of breeding sows maintained [21][22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is expected to see increased demand, with prices for broiler chickens and chicks rising, indicating a recovery in consumption as the market enters a peak season [34][37] - The report mentions that the supply of yellow-feathered chickens remains low, which may benefit leading producers as domestic demand improves [40][41] - Recommended stocks in the poultry sector include Lihua Stock and Shengnong Development [19] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a growth area, with domestic consumption expected to continue rising, particularly in pet food and healthcare [16] - Key recommended companies in the pet sector include Guibao Pet and Reap Bio [16][19] Feed Sector - The feed sector is projected to benefit from a recovery in aquaculture and livestock production, with Haida Group highlighted as a leading player in the feed market [1][19] - The report indicates that the price of corn, a key feed ingredient, is currently at a historical low, providing a strong cost support for feed production [21][22] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that soybean meal prices are at historical lows, while corn prices have decreased by 5.37% month-on-month [2][21] - The overall agricultural sector is expected to experience a gradual recovery, with specific attention to the dynamics of supply and demand for key commodities [19][22]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a low overall allocation in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, with a heavy stock allocation ratio of 0.78% as of Q3 2025, which is below the standard allocation ratio and historical average [2][11][19] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant reduction in heavy stock allocations in the feed and breeding sectors, with breeding at 0.31% and feed at 0.40% for Q3 2025, both showing a decline compared to previous quarters [12][19] - Major companies such as Haida Group and Muyuan Foods have reduced their allocations, indicating a trend of decreased investment in leading stocks within the sector [3][14] - The report suggests that the breeding sector is entering a phase of high-quality development, recommending investments in low-cost leading companies and growth-oriented stocks [4][19] Summary by Sections Heavy Stock Allocation Analysis - As of the end of Q3 2025, the heavy stock allocation in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is 0.78%, down 0.58 percentage points from the previous quarter and 0.56 percentage points year-on-year [11][12] - The heavy stock allocation in the breeding industry is 0.31%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points, while the feed industry allocation is 0.40%, down 0.45 percentage points [12][14] Company-Specific Allocation Changes - Among the top 15 heavy stocks, most companies have reduced their allocations, with Haida Group and Muyuan Foods decreasing by 0.34 percentage points and 0.04 percentage points, respectively [3][14] - The top five stocks with increased heavy stock allocation include Tiankang Biological (+2.42%) and Hainan Rubber (+1.41%), while the top five with decreased allocations include Zhongchong Pet (-3.21%) and Juxing Agriculture (-3.14%) [15][18] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading stocks in the breeding sector such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, as well as seasonal rebounds in chicken prices [4][19] - For breeding support (feed and animal health), it suggests monitoring leading companies like Haida Group and BANGJI Technology for potential restructuring opportunities [4][19] - The planting sector shows stable profitability, with recommendations to pay attention to companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4][19]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector has seen a midday surge, with the highest "pig content" ETF (159275) experiencing a brief low-level fluctuation before a sudden rise, currently up by 0.2% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery ETF (159275) opened with a slight dip but later rose, reflecting a positive market sentiment [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including Brother Technology, Jin Xin Nong, and Mei Hua Biological, saw significant gains, with Brother Technology rising over 5% and several others increasing by more than 1% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Recent trends indicate that national pig prices initially rose to 12.35 yuan/kg, a peak for October, but later fell due to insufficient demand and increased market supply [2] - Analysts predict accelerated de-capacity in the pig farming sector, with a focus on biological breeding and the promotion of genetically modified corn [3] - The poultry industry is expected to benefit from price increases in the white feather chicken supply chain due to overseas avian influenza impacts [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery ETF (159275) is highlighted as a key investment opportunity, tracking the comprehensive agricultural index with significant exposure to leading pig farming companies [5] - The ETF's index shows a price-to-book ratio of 2.56, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a turnaround in Q3, achieving profitability after losses in previous quarters, with a net profit of 138 million yuan in Q3, a significant improvement from previous losses [2][3] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 13.493 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 75.27% to 287 million yuan [2] - The company has seen a recovery in chicken prices since August, leading to profitability in its chicken business, while the pig farming segment continues to benefit from improved production efficiency and declining costs [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 138 million yuan, marking a significant recovery from previous losses [3] - The company sold 415 million yellow feathered chickens, generating sales revenue of 10.059 billion yuan [4] - The average selling price of chickens in Q1, Q2, and Q3 was 10.95, 10.55, and 11.49 yuan per kilogram, respectively [4] Business Segments - The chicken business reported a net loss of 84 million yuan in the first three quarters, but Q3 showed a profit of approximately 50 million yuan [3] - The pig farming segment sold 1.5058 million pigs, generating sales revenue of 2.705 billion yuan, with a net profit of approximately 354 million yuan [5] Cost Management - The complete cost of chicken in Q3 was approximately 11.4 yuan per kilogram, up from 11 yuan in the first half of the year, but still manageable due to rising prices [4][6] - The complete cost of pigs has been decreasing, reaching 12.6 yuan per kilogram in Q3, with a target of 12 yuan by the end of the year [5][7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a strong market position in the chicken industry, with an anticipated increase in market share due to the exit of less competitive players [6] - Projections for revenue and net profit for 2025-2027 are 17.924 billion yuan, 8.37 billion yuan; 21.016 billion yuan, 18.29 billion yuan; and 23.589 billion yuan, 23.38 billion yuan, respectively [7]

Group 1 - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector showed strong performance, with the only agricultural ETF (159275) rising by 1.21% at the close [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector included edible fungi, pig farming, and seeds, with notable gains from companies like Zhongxing Junye and Luoniushan, both hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The recent rebound in pig prices, with an increase of 6.1% from the previous week, has positively impacted the sector [2][3] Group 2 - Short-term pressure on pig sales has eased, with a decrease in the overall output from large enterprises and an increase in secondary fattening [3][4] - The industry is expected to focus on quality improvement and efficiency, with a gradual elimination of outdated production capacity [4][5] - The agricultural ETF (159275) is currently at a relatively low price-to-book ratio of 2.56, indicating a good long-term investment opportunity [3][5] Group 3 - The agricultural ETF tracks the CSI Agricultural, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index, with a significant concentration in leading companies in the sector, including Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [5][6] - Investors can also access the agricultural ETF through linked funds for broader exposure to the sector [5]