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AI眼镜取代不了手机,它想“干掉”传统眼镜
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-08 00:50
当下AI眼镜并不想取代手机,而是靠智能"干掉"传统眼镜。 就在刚刚过去的两个月,中国市场已经上市了20款AI眼镜。其中,既有大厂如百度、联想、夸克(阿里),也有创业公司如Rokid和影目科技,还有传统 眼镜商BOLON和李白(慧明眼镜)。 如果说,这些背景迥异的AI眼镜有什么共同点,那就是找到了目标用户:日常戴眼镜的那批人。或者说,AI眼镜找到了产品支点:先做一副好眼镜。 在这些眼镜的上市消息中,不少人都曾经在采访中提到一个美好的画卷:现在全球的手机用户是5亿,而全球戴眼镜的人有20亿。 近视人士买AI眼镜的决策过程确实更简单:不少人配镜已经往大几百甚至千元的价位靠拢,多加一部分钱,让自己的眼镜也变成智能硬件。 逻辑非常合理,这个市场太大了! "未来,人人都需要一副AI眼镜。"阿里集团副总裁、智能信息事业群总裁吴嘉在夸克眼镜发布会上表示。 夸克在上个月底,刚刚发布了自己的AI眼镜。这一轮"百镜大战",其实去年下半年已经开始白热化。入局者也远不止传统手机厂商,目前看来,主要有五 类参与者: 第一是手机厂,比如华为、小米、魅族; 第二是互联网巨头,阿里、字节、百度等; 第三则是以前就在做AR眼镜的"老将",比如R ...
中国信用 2026 年展望:利好、稳健与风险-China Credit 2026 Outlook_ The good, the solid and the ugly
2025-12-08 00:41
Summary of Key Points from J.P. Morgan's China Credit 2026 Outlook Industry Overview - **China Credit Market**: The report emphasizes a selective approach to investing in China credits, highlighting a spectrum of risk from high-quality TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) companies to solid SOEs (State-Owned Enterprises) and struggling property firms [1][5][10]. Core Insights Economic Outlook - **2025 Growth**: The Chinese economy is projected to grow approximately 5% year-on-year in 2025, supported by strong exports and fiscal expansion despite high U.S. tariffs [5][10]. - **2026 Forecast**: A slowdown to 4.4% growth is anticipated in 2026 due to weaker exports and consumption, with real estate investment expected to contract by 10% [5][11]. China TMT Sector - **Top Picks**: J.P. Morgan recommends Alibaba '35s/'54s and Weibo '30s as top picks due to their solid balance sheets and improving fundamentals [1][5][66]. - **Investment Cycle**: TMT companies are in a heavy investment cycle focusing on AI and new initiatives like food delivery, with Alibaba aggressively expanding its market share [29][30]. - **Competitive Landscape**: Intense competition in food delivery is noted, particularly with Alibaba's expansion impacting Meituan's profitability [30][68]. China SOE Sector - **Defensive Exposure**: China National Chemical is recommended for defensive exposure, with strong demand expected to absorb any potential spread widening from U.S. sanctions [5][66]. - **Spread Compression**: SOE credits have seen significant spread compression, with the JACI China single-A Corporate Index tightening to a 10-year low [78][79]. China Property Sector - **Cautious Sentiment**: The property market remains fragile, with Vanke's bond extension raising concerns. Longfor is the only company rated as Overweight due to its solid balance sheet and transformation to a rental model [1][5][66]. - **Market Risks**: Investor sentiment is expected to remain weak, and banks may tighten funding to private developers [5][66]. Additional Important Insights - **Technical Support**: The report notes that technical factors are supportive of China credits, with limited supply expected to continue into 2026 [5][15]. - **Valuation Trends**: China credits have experienced strong compression, with the JACI China IG Corp Index tightening significantly over the past year [15][16]. - **Funding Strategies**: TMT companies are exploring alternative funding channels, including exchangeable bonds and CNH bonds, to leverage lower costs and increased demand [44][66]. Conclusion - **Investment Strategy**: The report advocates for a selective investment strategy in China credits, focusing on high-quality TMT names and defensive SOEs while remaining cautious in the property sector due to ongoing risks and market fragility [1][5][66].
算力产业需求专题解读
2025-12-08 00:41
算力产业需求专题解读 20251207 Q&A 2025 年阿里、字节和腾讯的资本开支情况如何?各自的重点布局是什么? 以字节为例,2025 年其资本开支预计为 1,600 亿元,但实际落地的情况显示 国内部分仅达到预期的 40%左右。字节目前战略方向有所变化,主要集中在算 力卡领域,国内外占比约为 6:4。阿里的资本开支约为 1,100 亿元,基本与年 初预期持平,其对外开放量也保持稳定,截至上个月,总容量达到 700 兆瓦。 今年新增 250 兆瓦,相较于去年有所减少。腾讯的资本开支大约为 900 亿元, 同样与年初预期持平。 阿里、字节和腾讯在算力卡方面的具体采购情况如何? 摘要 阿里今年在国内市场采购了约 22 万张 8 卡服务器,而去年则达到了 35 万张。 腾讯今年在国内市场采购了接近 20 万张 8 卡服务器。海外方面,阿里的总投 中国互联网巨头在算力卡领域的投资持续增长,但受限于高端算力卡的 供应。阿里、腾讯、字节跳动等公司在国内外市场均有大量采购,其中 阿里和字节跳动在海外市场的投入显著。 预计到 2026 年,阿里、字节跳动和腾讯的海外算力投资将分别增长 60%、200%和 10%左右,主 ...
中国互联网 2025 年第三季度图表集:利好、利空与不确定因素-China Internet 3Q25 Chartbook_ The Good, The Bad, and The Wild Cards
2025-12-08 00:41
Summary of China Internet 3Q25 Chartbook Industry Overview - **Resilience in 3Q25**: The China Internet sector showed broad resilience with solid non-ecommerce EPS and attractive valuations. Non-transaction platforms like entertainment and ads maintained stable EPS forecasts due to a stable revenue and competition environment. Transaction platforms saw a narrowing of EPS downward revisions. The sector's valuation is currently at 17x forward 12-month PE, compared to historical averages of 22x and 26x for Nasdaq 100 and 32x for Mag 7 [1][2]. The Good - **AI and Cloud Growth**: Chinese AI models are advancing, and cloud revenue is accelerating, contributing positively to the sector's performance [1]. The Bad - **Intense Competition**: Bytedance continues to gain market share across various sectors, including e-commerce and AI/cloud, putting pressure on incumbents' financial performance. The sector-wide buyback activity has slowed, with a shift in capital allocation priorities towards capex [2]. - **Quick Commerce Competition**: Despite peak losses likely occurring in 3Q25, aggressive competition in food delivery and quick commerce remains, leading to an unstable market share split [2]. The Wild Cards - **AI Chatbot Rivalry**: An intensifying competition in AI chatbots is anticipated, with Bytedance and Alibaba pushing their offerings aggressively. User adoption patterns are uncertain, raising questions about market convergence on a single agent versus multiple platform-specific agents [3]. - **Capex and Monetization**: High capex levels in the Chinese internet sector may lead to quarterly volatility due to chip supply constraints, despite long-term spending growth. Current monetization paths include compute power leasing and MaaS, while ads and subscriptions remain largely unproven at scale [3]. - **Macro Factors**: Recent declines in retail sales, partly due to high base effects from consumption subsidies, combined with property-related spillovers, may continue to pressure cyclical revenue drivers like e-commerce and ads into 2026E [3]. Investment Preferences - **Top Picks**: Tencent is highlighted as the top pick for its combination of AI-driven growth, stable competition, and attractive valuation. Alibaba is noted as the best proxy for the "AI in China" theme, while Baidu offers attractive AI optionality. In digital entertainment, Tencent and Bilibili are preferred, and in verticals, JD Health and TCOM are top picks [4]. Earnings Recap - **3Q25 Performance**: The sector saw a stable 10% YoY growth in topline, but profit decelerated to -17% YoY due to food delivery competition. Non-GAAP operating profit margins decreased to 11% from 15% in the previous quarter [12][13]. - **Full Year Estimates**: Most companies maintained full-year topline estimates post-3Q25 results, although Meituan, Alibaba, and KE Holdings experienced profit cuts [13]. Valuation Insights - **Valuation Comparisons**: The China Internet sector trades at a notable discount compared to US peers, with Tencent and Alibaba at 18x and 19x PE, respectively, compared to 32x for US peers [40][44]. Engagement Metrics - **AI Chatbot Usage**: Doubao's daily active users reached 60 million in early November, indicating strong engagement in AI native mobile apps [59]. Conclusion The China Internet sector is navigating a complex landscape characterized by competitive pressures, evolving AI technologies, and macroeconomic challenges. Investment strategies favor companies with strong AI capabilities and stable growth prospects, while caution is advised in sectors facing intense competition.
饿了么CEO范禹:淘宝闪购是阿里对「大消费平台」的战略决心
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-12-07 23:37
并表示,淘宝闪购的横空出世以及对市场格局的重新塑造,正是阿里集团对"大消费平台"的战略决心和 能力的充分体现。"过去的18年征程,饿了么从朴素初心出发,一步步构建起覆盖亿级用户、连接百万 商家、支持千万家庭的生活服务体系。" 12月7日,阿里集团合伙人、饿了么董事长兼CEO范禹在内部信中表示:"整个阿里大家庭的多方力量前 所未有地聚力,五指连心、力出一孔,实施了坚强而默契的跨组织大协同。" 范禹还表示,"用户对即时生活服务不断进阶的需求,也始终在鞭策我们必须持续成长、秉持勇气、自 我革新。"(转载自新浪科技) ...
阿里和吉利,为何成为两大行业的“黄埔军校”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 23:26
如今最炙手可热的两个赛道是互联网和汽车,工信部数据显示,2024 年中国互联网行业整体市场规模达18.7万亿元,同比增长9.3%,高于同期GDP的名 义增长率。贝哲斯咨询数据显示2024年汽车行业规模达15.3万亿元,增速均高于同期GDP增速。 两个行业总市场规模也高达34万亿元,占同期全国GDP的25.2%。同时互联网行业从业人员约1600万,汽车行业从业人员约2500万,两者总从业人员超过 4000万,全国总就业人口为7.3亿,就业占比仅占1/20,却创造了全国1/4的GDP,可见这两个行业的重要性。 谁能想到,互联网行业和造车新势力的很多高管,竟然都和阿里巴巴、吉利存在千丝万缕关联。这些年,阿里巴巴走出了不少商界精英,有媒体梳理,从 阿里巴巴离职创业成功的十位大佬分别是:滴滴出行创始人程维、小鹏汽车创始人何小鹏、拼多多幕后推手孙彤宇、美团地推缔造者干嘉伟、同程旅游创 始人吴志祥、滴普科技创始人赵杰辉、壹网壹创董事长林振宇、大众点评COO吕广渝、满帮集团董事长张晖、影刀创始人金礼剑。 而吉利更是成为造车新势力挖角重灾区,2025年10月尾声,李书福一句"新势力全靠挖我人活着",瞬间引爆汽车圈。这番话并非空 ...
2025长三角民营企业100强“揭晓”:上海14家,江苏30家,前十浙江占据半壁江山
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 15:36
12月5日消息:2025长三角民营企业100强揭晓。今年榜单入围门槛为451.46亿元,较上年提升4.7%。营业收入总额14.7万亿元,净利润达到5796.9亿元,同 比分别增加1.1万亿元(8.36%)、1012.0亿元(21.15%),增速明显高于长三角百强企业的平均值(营业收入3.27%,净利润15.07%)。资产总额达到13.5 万亿元,同比增加5.74%(7315.0亿元)。 社会贡献方面,长三角民营百强纳税总额达到3781.3亿元,同比增加261.0亿元,增长率7.41%,同样明显高于长三角百强的平均值(1.09%)。创新方面。 研发费用达到2540.6亿元,同比增加6.05%(145.0亿元)。 安徽省有9家上榜企业,分别是奇瑞控股集团(7)、联宝科技(35)、合肥比亚迪(40)、美的集团芜湖分公司(43)、阳光电源(54)、合肥海尔 (61)、蔚来控股(63)、美的集团合肥公司(74)、楚江新材(85)。 合肥比亚迪成为新的千亿级企业,营业收入同比增长66.4%至1019.36亿元。比亚迪合肥基地项目位于长丰县下塘镇,总投资约400亿元,一期项目用地从谈 判到签约只用了23天,从签约到开工只花 ...
“饿了么”焕新“淘宝闪购”,阿里大消费平台战略在即时零售领域落地
Chang Sha Wan Bao· 2025-12-07 14:15
记者发现,更新后的App图标以橙色"淘宝闪购"为主体,底部保留蓝色"饿了么"小字;在手机应用市场 搜索"饿了么"则直接跳转至"淘宝闪购"。"淘宝闪购"App首页"更新更好""领288元起大券包、赢百万份 免单"等活动醒目呈现,服务品类已从传统美食外卖,拓展至超市便利、鲜花礼品、水果买菜、看病买 药等多品类。记者实测发现,下单流程、平均30分钟送达的配送时效、会员权益均与此前一致,原账号 的历史订单、收藏店铺、余额等数据也完整保留。 长沙晚报全媒体记者 彭放 "陪伴我17年的蓝色饿了么,变成橙色淘宝闪购了!"近日,市民陈先生的感慨在社交平台引发千万用户 共鸣。12月5日,淘宝闪购官方正式宣布,饿了么App更新至最新版本后全面焕新为淘宝闪购。这一陪 伴用户17年的国民级品牌完成从"蓝"到"橙"的蜕变,标志着阿里"大消费平台"战略在即时零售领域的核 心布局全面落地。 蓝橙迭代引发情感功名,核心服务实现无缝衔接 此次品牌焕新引发的情感共鸣,源于饿了么17年的市场积淀。2008年9月,"饿了么,我饿了"网站从校 园创业项目起步,历经发展被阿里全资并购,其标志性的蓝色标识逐渐融入写字楼午餐配送、深夜应急 补给等多元生活场 ...
头部外卖平台集体响应《外卖平台服务管理基本要求》
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-07 12:42
在此背景下,《基本要求》区分了"平台价格促销"与"商户价格促销"两种促销方式,明确提出平台价格 促销相应成本应当由平台自身承担,不能通过推广工具捆绑、临时上调服务收费等方式,将促销活动成 本变相转嫁给商户或者配送员。同时,平台开展促销活动,应当至少提前7天将促销的范围、规则等信 息告知商户,为商户留好准备时间。 《基本要求》还提出,平台要规范竞争行为,不能将商户对消费者提供的补贴作为平台补贴,对外宣传 超大补贴体量吸引用户;也不能采取隐藏部分费用、宣传"零元购"等夸张标签、过度重复推送等手段开 展营销活动;更不能出现扰乱市场价格认知与正常秩序的行为。 对此,12月4日至12月5日,美团、淘宝闪购、京东外卖相继发布"关于执行《外卖平台服务管理基本要 求》推荐性国家标准的声明"。 三大平台均表示,作为标准起草单位之一,深度参与了本标准的研制、起草与论证工作,将自愿执行 《基本要求》国家标准,把标准要求系统融入平台运营管理和服务流程之中,持续优化平台规则,提高 商户与配送员服务管理水平,提升消费者体验,保障配送员、消费者和商户各方权益。将以本标准实施 为契机,积极助力推动外卖行业规范管理、品质服务、理性竞争、生态共 ...
饿了么彻底“橙了”!从“送餐”到送“万物”,淘宝闪购奔向万亿增量
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-07 10:53
靴子终于落地。 12月5日上午,饿了么官方正式宣布:即日起"饿了么"App在更新至最新版本后将全面焕新为 "淘宝闪 购"。 当身着橙色制服的淘宝闪购骑手已经在大街小巷随处可见,这一消息的到来可以说是情理之中,也宣告 着这场水到渠成的品牌"二合一"正式落地。 4月底,"淘宝闪购"正式成为淘宝App首页一级入口,在饿了么强大的组织协同性与战斗力的支持下, 推动淘宝闪购的日订单峰值迅速触达1.2亿单,8月的周日均订单量达到8000万单。 在事实已经证明了1+1>2的大背景下,品牌融合过后,淘宝闪购竞争优势更为凸显。 "更新是为了更好,更好也激励我们常新。"淘宝闪购表示,这是饿了么多年沉淀的服务和履约能力、产 品技术、用户信任与组织韧性的全面检验和焕新升级,由此将更深度融入阿里集团'大消费平台'战略, 释放更大价值,在服务用户、商家、骑士的道路上迈出更关键的一步。 此后半年,淘宝闪购捷报频传,日订单量持续刷新纪录:从1000万、4000万、6000万一路攀升,连续两 周峰值突破8000万;7月28日,双方更是联合官宣,日订单量已实现连续两个周末超9000万(不含0元购 及自提订单)。 8月底,据阿里电商事业群CEO蒋 ...