Group 1 - A 32-year-old programmer's sudden death has raised concerns about the company's health management practices, as the deceased had not undergone the required health check-ups, which the company does not acknowledge [5][6] - The company sent internal emails addressing the situation, stating that the employee had never completed health checks at their facility, despite having annual check-ups at a top-tier hospital [5][6] - Following the incident, the company announced a return to normal operations, canceling celebratory events and emphasizing the need to resume regular business activities [6] Group 2 - Tencent's CEO, Ma Huateng, announced the company's exit from investments in Meituan and JD.com, citing unsustainable cash-burning competition in the food delivery sector [8] - Tencent's investment in Meituan began in 2014, and by the end of 2022, the company had reduced its stake significantly, ultimately exiting completely by early 2026 [8] Group 3 - Li Xiang, CEO of Li Auto, faced criticism from employees after a lengthy all-hands meeting focused primarily on AI trends, with many employees expressing confusion and a desire for more concrete company direction [9] - The company reported a 19% year-over-year decline in vehicle deliveries for 2025, completing only 63.4% of its adjusted sales target [9] Group 4 - DeepSeek released a new open-source model, DeepSeek-OCR 2, which utilizes an innovative method to dynamically rearrange image components based on their meaning, enhancing AI's visual understanding capabilities [11][12] - The model's design allows for more accurate interpretation of complex documents, integrating visual understanding with reasoning and programming abilities [12] Group 5 - NIO has strengthened its intelligent driving team by hiring a former algorithm expert from Alibaba, indicating a commitment to advancing its AI and autonomous driving technologies [24][25] - The company plans to increase its computational resources and aims to regain its position among the top players in the industry through significant updates in the current year [25] Group 6 - Baidu's smart cloud division has raised its AI revenue growth target from 100% to 200%, aiming to capture a larger share of the rapidly growing AI cloud market [40] - The company has been successful in securing a significant number of AI-related projects, leading the market in both project count and total value [40] Group 7 - The automotive industry is witnessing a surge in electric vehicle models, with companies like Volkswagen and Xpeng introducing new models that emphasize advanced features and competitive pricing [42][34] - Xpeng's flying car, expected to be delivered by 2026, showcases innovative design and technology, aiming to capture market interest in the emerging flying vehicle segment [34]

不只是春节期间，元宝、文心近日相继开启内测的群聊功能，以及阿里千问此前强调的"能办事"，都在 为原本一用即走的AI助手增添更多使用场景和用户粘性。在这背后，围绕AI时代超级流量入口的争夺 从未停止。 春节争相发红包 今年的春节AI红包大战由腾讯和百度同时掀起。 1月25日，腾讯旗下AI助手元宝宣布，将于2月1日启动新春活动，计划在App中发放总额10亿元的现金 红包。据《华夏时报》记者观察，目前该活动已开放预约。同一日，百度也宣布自1月26日至3月12日， 用户在百度App使用文心助手，就有机会瓜分5亿现金红包。需要提及的是，百度App还将作为首席AI合 作伙伴登上2026北京广播电视台春节联欢晚会。 春节一直是科技公司花式争夺用户和流量的重要战场。 今年争相发红包"拉新"的主角变成了AI。1月25日，腾讯旗下AI助手元宝App和百度App先后宣布今年春 节将发放10亿元和5亿元红包。此外，截至目前，字节旗下火山引擎和百度App还分别与央视春晚和北 京春晚进行了合作。 不仅是春节期间，AI助手也尽力在日常生活中提升自己的使用场景和用户粘性。继能办事之后，高频 的社交场景成为AI助手眼下的比拼重点。 1月27日 ...

Military and Geopolitical Developments - The US Central Command announced that the Ninth Air Force will conduct air force readiness exercises in the Middle East, aimed at enhancing rapid deployment capabilities [2] - The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group has entered the Middle East, and the US has informed Israel about military preparations against Iran, expected to be completed within two weeks [2] - Iran's Revolutionary Guard Navy officials stated they have achieved real-time monitoring of the Strait of Hormuz and are prepared for any potential conflict, asserting they do not seek war but are ready for a response [2] Financial Markets Overview - US stock markets showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.83%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.91% and the S&P 500 increased by 0.41% [3] - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Amazon up 2.63%, Microsoft up 2.19%, and Apple up 1.12%, while Tesla fell nearly 1% [3] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 0.48%, with mixed performances among popular Chinese stocks [3] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil futures closing at $62.57 per barrel, up 3.20%, and Brent crude oil futures at $66.70 per barrel, up 2.98% [3] - Spot gold increased by 3.45%, reaching $5,181.04 per ounce, with a peak at $5,190.06, marking a historical high [3] - Spot silver rose by 7.97%, priced at $112.14 per ounce [3] Currency and Exchange Rates - The US Dollar Index fell to 95.775, hitting a low of 95.510, the lowest since early 2022 [4] - The offshore RMB was quoted at 6.9321, while the onshore RMB was at 6.9545 [5] Corporate Announcements - Anta Sports announced plans to acquire a 29.06% stake in Puma for €15.06 billion (approximately 123 billion RMB), aiming to become its largest shareholder [15] - Micron Technology plans to invest $24 billion in Singapore over the next decade to expand NAND flash memory production, creating approximately 1,600 jobs [16] - DeepSeek launched a new AI model, DeepSeek-OCR 2, which can interpret images in a human-like logical sequence, enhancing its visual understanding capabilities [13]

Core Insights - The major Chinese internet companies "BAT" have simultaneously responded to the emerging trend of "AI group chat," indicating a significant paradigm shift in the industry [1] - The introduction of AI group chat features by these companies suggests a strategic positioning for the "AI super entrance" in the evolving digital landscape [3] Group 1: AI Group Chat Development - The concept of "AI group chat" has gained traction following the testing of group chat features by ChatGPT in December 2024, leading to accelerated development by major tech firms [2] - AI group chat is transitioning from a basic social feature to a core component of the AI era, driven by advancements in large model capabilities and the need for multi-agent collaboration [2][3] Group 2: Product Features and User Experience - Early explorations of AI group chat were conducted by smaller companies, with products focusing on emotional connection and immersive experiences rather than efficient collaboration [4][5] - Current AI group chat products emphasize task-oriented collaboration, integrating various functionalities such as social interaction, work tasks, and personal assistance [6][7] Group 3: Market Implications - The competition for the "super entrance" in the AI era is intensifying, with AI group chat potentially becoming a central hub for user interactions, decision-making, and collaboration [15][19] - The integration of AI capabilities into a unified workspace can enhance user engagement and create new business opportunities, as seen in Tencent's "Yuanbao" and Baidu's multi-AI role chat [12][17] Group 4: Future Outlook - The success of AI group chat could redefine platform boundaries, creating a new type of application that encompasses various tools and social interactions [18] - The ongoing development of AI group chat features by major players suggests that the true competition for user engagement and market dominance will intensify by 2026 [20]

Market Performance - On January 27, the US stock indices closed mixed, with strong performance in technology stocks driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 up. The Dow Jones fell by 0.83% to 49,003.41 points, while the S&P 500 rose by 0.41% to 6,978.6 points, and the Nasdaq increased by 0.91% to 23,817.1 points [1][2]. Technology Sector - Six out of the seven major US technology companies saw stock price increases, with Nvidia and Apple rising over 1%, and Microsoft and Amazon increasing by more than 2%. However, Tesla's stock fell by 0.99%. Tesla's market share in the EU, UK, and EFTA dropped to 3% in December, while BYD's market share was 2.4%. Tesla's pure electric vehicle market share stands at 11.4% [2][3]. Semiconductor Stocks - Most semiconductor stocks experienced gains, with Intel rising by 3.39%, ASML by 2.92%, Broadcom by 2.43%, TSMC by 1.67%, and AMD by 0.26%. ARM saw a slight increase of 0.18%, while Qualcomm's stock fell by 0.96% [3]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 0.48%, with many popular Chinese stocks performing well. Notable increases included Huya up nearly 20%, Kingsoft Cloud up 8.77%, Bilibili up 3.43%, Baidu up 1%, Alibaba up 0.79%, NIO up 0.65%, New Oriental up 0.56%, Tencent Music up 0.18%, and Pinduoduo up 0.05% [3]. Commodity Market - International oil prices surged, with US oil closing nearly 3% higher on January 27 and continuing to rise slightly on January 28. Brent crude oil also saw an increase of over 3% on January 27 [3]. Precious Metals - On January 28, spot gold prices slightly declined, while silver experienced a significant drop of 1%. In less than a month, both London spot silver and COMEX silver futures have seen year-to-date increases exceeding 50%. According to Guoyuan Futures, industrial demand for silver is expected to stabilize and decline by 2026, but physical investment demand is anticipated to expand, suggesting that precious metal prices may continue to strengthen [4]. Cryptocurrency Market - Cryptocurrencies saw a broad increase, with Bitcoin rising above $89,000, marking a 1.26% increase. Ethereum also rose by 3.18% to $3,018. Other cryptocurrencies like Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin experienced gains as well [5]. Geopolitical Developments - Reports indicate that the CIA is secretly pushing for a "long-term presence" in Venezuela, with plans to influence the country's future under the Trump administration. This may involve creating conditions for US diplomatic actions [6]. Additionally, the US has communicated to Israel its military preparedness regarding Iran, with potential actions expected in the coming months [7]. Consumer Confidence - A preliminary survey by the World Large Enterprises Research Association indicated that the US consumer confidence index dropped significantly from a revised 94.2 in December to 84.5 in January, marking the lowest level since May 2014 [7].

Market Overview - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index (HXC) increased by 0.48% on January 28 [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 408.99 points, a decrease of 0.83%, closing at 49,003.41 points [9] - The S&P 500 Index reached a new intraday high of 6,988.82 points [10] - The Nasdaq Composite Index rose by 215.74 points, an increase of 0.91%, closing at 23,817.10 points [9] Gainers in Chinese Concept Stocks - TSMC rose by 1.67%, Alibaba increased by 0.78%, and Baidu gained 1.00% [1] - Notable gainers included: - Lianhua Electronics up 10.24% - Bilibili up 3.43% - NIO up 0.76% [1][9] Losers in Chinese Concept Stocks - Notable decliners included: - NetEase down 0.68% - JD.com down 0.94% - Ctrip down 2.39% [9] - Other significant losses were seen in: - Li Auto down 1.12% - Xpeng down 1.09% [9] Notable Stock Movements - The top gainers included: - Huya up 19.33% - Suxuan Hall up 23.97% - Wisdom Infinite up 31.25% [3][13] - The top decliners included: - Fanhua Financial down 11.42% - China Natural Resources down 9.38% [7][15]

Core Viewpoint - The competition among tech companies for user acquisition and traffic during the Spring Festival has intensified, with a focus on AI-driven initiatives, particularly cash red envelopes [2][3][4]. Group 1: AI Red Envelope Initiatives - Tencent's AI assistant, Yuanbao, announced a plan to distribute a total of 1 billion yuan in cash red envelopes starting February 1, while Baidu's app will offer 500 million yuan from January 26 to March 12 [3][4]. - Baidu's decision to issue red envelopes through its app instead of the Wenxin app is aimed at maximizing exposure and user engagement, as the two platforms serve different purposes [3]. - The competition for red envelopes is particularly fierce for the CCTV Spring Festival Gala, with ByteDance's Volcano Engine confirmed as the exclusive partner for this event [3][4]. Group 2: User Engagement Strategies - The AI assistants are not only focusing on red envelopes but are also enhancing user engagement through new features like group chat capabilities, which aim to create more usage scenarios and increase user stickiness [4][5]. - Baidu's Wenxin app has launched a "multi-agent" group chat feature, allowing users to collaborate with AI assistants in various tasks, while Tencent's Yuanbao introduced a social AI feature called "Yuanbao Club" [5][6]. - The goal of these features is to shift user reliance from basic AI functions to more interactive and social experiences, thereby increasing user retention [6]. Group 3: Market Position and Competition - According to data from December, Doubao leads the native AI application market with over 200 million monthly active users, followed by Yuanbao with 112 million [6]. - Baidu's Wenxin assistant has surpassed 200 million monthly active users, indicating higher engagement compared to its standalone app [6]. - The current market is characterized by intense competition among major players, with a focus on establishing the next generation of traffic entry points in the C-end market [6].

新力量 New Force 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com 【公司评论】 特斯拉 2025Q4 业绩前瞻 【行业评论】 互联网行业周报 【宏观经济评论】 第一上海——First Call 一月策略（二） 第一上海证券有限公司 香港中环德辅道中 71 号永安集团大厦 19 楼 咨询热线：400-882-1055 服务邮箱：Service@firstshanghai.com 网址：www.mystockhk.com 第一上海证券有限公司 www.mystockhk.com 总第 4952 期 2026 年 1 月 27 日 星期二 研究观点 第一上海 新力量 New Force 【公司评论】 | 李京霖 | | --- | 852-25321957 jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 唐伊莲 alice.tang@firstshanghai.com.hk | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 股价 | 449.06 美元 | | 市值 | 1.49 万亿美元 | | 总股本 | 33.26 亿股 | | 52 周高/低 | 499 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the article is on the future of artificial intelligence (AI) and the potential reshaping of the Chinese internet landscape, particularly in the context of embodied intelligence and the emergence of new super apps [1][19][20] - The embodied intelligence sector is expected to undergo a significant reshuffle by 2026, with over 230 companies currently in the market, including more than 100 humanoid robot firms [2][4] - The industry is transitioning from experimental phases to mass production, with humanoid robot sales surpassing 10,000 units, indicating a move towards initial commercialization [4][9] Group 2 - Major players in the global humanoid robot market include Zhiyuan, Yushun, and Ubtech, with Zhiyuan leading with an annual shipment of over 5,100 units, capturing 39% of the global market share [6] - The competition for AI super apps is intensifying, with companies like OpenAI and Alibaba striving to create comprehensive platforms that integrate various services into a single interface [10][11] - The article highlights the emergence of vertical players in specific domains, such as Ant Group's "Antifor Health" and MiniMax's AI companionship applications, which have successfully established business models and attracted significant user bases [14] Group 3 - The AI industry is predicted to enter a "trough of disillusionment" in 2026, with many AI projects failing to deliver measurable impacts, leading to a potential delay in AI investments [15][19] - The market for synthetic data is experiencing rapid growth, with projections indicating that by 2030, the scale of synthetic data will surpass that of real data, becoming the primary fuel for model training [17] - The advancements in data quality and the evolution of AI technologies are expected to drive significant changes in the operational dynamics of the real economy [19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resurgence of the "cash-splashing" marketing strategy during the Spring Festival, highlighting Tencent's announcement of distributing 1 billion yuan in cash red envelopes and Baidu's follow-up with 500 million yuan, indicating a competitive landscape among major internet companies [2][3][4][21]. Group 1: Marketing Strategies - Tencent's CEO, Ma Huateng, emphasized the importance of AI investments while announcing the cash red envelope initiative, aiming to recreate the excitement of the original WeChat red envelope launch in 2015 [3][21]. - Baidu's cash red envelope campaign, which runs from January 26 to March 12, offers users a chance to share in 500 million yuan, showcasing its AI technology as a key selling point [4][23]. - The article notes that the Spring Festival marketing battle has evolved from merely acquiring new users to focusing on building user relationships and delivering value through technology [28][29]. Group 2: Historical Context - The article reflects on the evolution of Spring Festival marketing, starting with Tencent's 5 billion yuan red envelope campaign in 2015, which significantly impacted China's mobile payment landscape [10][25]. - Other companies, such as Alibaba and Baidu, have also engaged in similar campaigns over the years, with Baidu investing 1.9 billion yuan in 2019, resulting in a substantial increase in active users [12][15]. - The shift in marketing strategies is evident as companies move from simple cash giveaways to integrating technology and content into their campaigns, reflecting broader trends in the tech industry [44]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition for advertising during the Spring Festival has intensified, with companies like ByteDance's Volcano Engine and various robotics firms vying for visibility and engagement [33][34]. - The article highlights that the focus of major companies is shifting from consumer internet to hard technology, indicating a broader industry trend towards value-driven strategies [40]. - The changing landscape of Spring Festival marketing suggests that while the methods may evolve, the underlying goal of capturing user attention and showcasing technological capabilities remains constant [43].