| 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 | 03 日│中国内地 | 乘用车 | 目标价(人民币): | 130.63 | 2 月 1 日，比亚迪发布产销快报，1 月乘用车总销量 21 万辆，同比-30%、 环比-50%；其中出口销量突破 10 万辆，同比+51%、环比-25%。我们认为 公司受需求前置和主动去库影响，1 月销量同环比大幅下滑，系淡季主动调 结构，为春节后新车和新技术发布蓄力。我们看好公司 26 年出口销量超 130 万辆，期待公司超充、智驾等领域的新技术进展，维持"买入"评级。 国内：受需求前置和主动去库影响，1 月销量同环比大幅下滑 分品牌看，1 月王朝+海洋系列/方程豹/腾势/仰望销量 17.8/2.2/0.6/0.04 万 辆，同比-36%/+247%/-49%/+44%。1 月内销同环比大幅下滑，源于供需两 端压力。1）需求端，26 年新能源购置税增加 5%，导致需求于 25 年底提 前释放，叠加地方置换补贴申请窗口 1 月底才全面铺开，消费者持币 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that BYD has completed the application for multiple products under its new sub-brand Linghui, including Linghui e5, e7, e9, and M9, as announced by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology in the 403rd batch of the "Announcement of Production Enterprises and Products of Road Motor Vehicles" [2] Group 2 - Linghui Automobile is a newly launched independent sub-brand by BYD Auto Industry Co., Ltd., specifically targeting the B-end market (business sales) [4] - The brand aims to cater to large-scale procurement needs such as government official vehicle purchases, taxis, and ride-hailing services, and has established an independent channel system [4] - The establishment of the Linghui brand is intended to differentiate between models aimed at the B-end and C-end markets, promoting a high-end brand strategy [4]

2、 内销短暂承压，有望迎来底部向上。剔除乘用车及皮卡海外销量，1 月公司国内批发销售10.6 万 台、同比-53.5%、环比-62.5%，内销短暂承压预计系行业需求较弱（受新能源购置税补贴退坡、以旧换 新补贴退坡以及地方补贴落地进度较慢影响，消费者观望情绪较重），同时公司持续去库存、为新车上 市做准备。展望后续： 1）预计随着各省份补贴陆续落地以及年前购车需求释放、行业需求有望恢复；2）根据工信部及公司发 布会等，2026 年公司仍有秦MAX、海豹08、海狮08 等多款新车上市；3）同时公司持续提升产品力， 如1 月已发布秦家族、宋Pro dmi 等长续航版，后续有望加速推进"技术平权"，通过对快充、智驾、云 辇等技术的下放以及内外饰的调整实现产品力的大幅跃升；4）叠加去库因素有望逐步消除，公司内销 有望迎来底部向上。 盈利预测、估值与评级 公司出海有望延续高增、贡献较高业绩弹性；国内加速推进"技术平权"、销量有望底部向上；高端化转 型初见成效，期待高端新车上市贡献量利增量。结合公司经营情况，我们预计公司2025-2027年分别实 现归母净利润346/431/524 亿元，公司股票现价对应PE估值为26/2 ...

证券研究报告 比亚迪 (002594 CH) 1 月销量承压，海外和技术双驱动 | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 | 03 日│中国内地 | 乘用车 | 目标价(人民币): | 130.63 | 智驾方面，截至 25 年底，公司辅助驾驶车保有量 256 万辆，每天生成数据 超 1.6 亿公里，通过规模优势驱动数据的快速积累，或有望同步提升智驾体 验性和用户黏性。续航和超充方面，26 年公司将重点落实"全民长续航"， 即增加新车/改款的纯电续航，提升日常通勤的体验。目前公司已对秦 PLUS、 海豹 05、秦 L、海豹 06 和宋 Pro 的插混版续航升级。同时，公司通过构建 全场景热管理+电池自加热+智能充电控制体系，增加冬季充电速度和续航 完成率，技术推广下有望加速提升北方严寒地区的新能源渗透率（如 25 年 东北地区新能源渗透率不足 50%）。 盈利预测与估值 考虑到汽车行业竞争加剧，以及存储抬升公司成本，我们微调 25-27 年收入 为 8200/9553/11 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Haike New Source Material Technology Co., Ltd. has signed a three-year pipeline transportation cooperation agreement with Shenzhen BYD Lithium Battery Co., Ltd. to ensure stable supply for BYD's electrolyte project in Yichang, Hubei [1] Group 1: Agreement Details - The agreement stipulates a supply guarantee of no less than 10 years for key products including Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC), Ethylene Carbonate (EC), and Ethyl Methyl Carbonate (EMC) [1] - The transportation will utilize a closed pipeline system to create an agile delivery system between upstream and downstream [1] Group 2: Innovation and Benefits - The core innovation lies in the implementation of a closed pipeline agile delivery model, addressing high transportation costs, long delivery cycles, and insufficient safety risk control in the new energy supply chain [1] - This model significantly reduces logistics costs and losses associated with road and rail transport, while ensuring product purity through a fully enclosed transportation environment and shortening delivery cycles [1]

责任编辑：李思阳 2月3日消息，比亚迪集团-品牌及公关处总经理李云飞发微博表示：比亚迪蝉联中国的冠军世界的冠 军，包揽中国市场车企销量、品牌销量双冠军，连续四年卫冕全球新能源车市场销量冠军。 2月3日消息，比亚迪集团-品牌及公关处总经理李云飞发微博表示：比亚迪蝉联中国的冠军世界的冠 军，包揽中国市场车企销量、品牌销量双冠军，连续四年卫冕全球新能源车市场销量冠军。 责任编辑：李思阳 ...

Domestic News - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments encourage local governments to increase the number of subsidies for replacing old consumer goods during the Spring Festival, aiming to boost offline retail support and promote various product exhibitions [2] - The China Automobile Dealers Association reports that the automotive consumption index for January 2026 is 31.1, indicating a phase of adjustment in the automotive market due to multiple factors including the Spring Festival holiday and tax changes for new energy vehicles [4] - Guangdong province supports the testing and demonstration of intelligent connected vehicles in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen, promoting applications in areas such as logistics and smart sanitation [5] International News - Tesla confirms the mass production of its 4680 battery using dry electrode technology for both the anode and cathode, as disclosed in its fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter update [6] - Hyundai officially abandons the option to repurchase its vehicle manufacturing plant in St. Petersburg, Russia, indicating a permanent exit from local production [8] - Toyota's joint venture in Indonesia, PT Toyota-Astra Motor, has begun preparations for local production of hybrid vehicle batteries, establishing a dedicated production line [9] Corporate News - BYD announces the launch of a new automotive brand, Linghui, which will focus on B2B markets such as ride-hailing and corporate transportation, differentiating itself from the personal passenger vehicle market [10] - XPeng Motors officially starts large-scale overseas shipments of its 2026 model P7+, marking its entry into 18 countries [11] - Xiaomi's CEO Lei Jun responds to claims of a price collapse in the second-hand car market, highlighting that the SU7 electric model has a one-year resale value retention rate of 86.05%, ranking first according to a report [12] - Cao Cao Mobility announces that its Robotaxi 2.0 fleet is equipped with low-orbit satellite communication technology, which will enable new SOS features [13] - SAIC-GM-Wuling reports global sales of over 105,000 vehicles in January, with a significant year-on-year growth of over 40% in overseas markets [14] - Huawei's executive Yu Chengdong announces the upcoming launch of the new model Aito M6, indicating a strong product lineup for the spring [15]

作者丨欧雪 编辑丨袁斯来 硬氪获悉，端侧AI领军应用企业上海辛米尔科技有限公司（以下简称"辛米尔"）近日宣布连续完成亿元A轮及A+轮融资。国泰君安创新投资、国经资本、 同鑫资本参与投资；毅仁资本担任独家财务顾问。 融资资金将主要用于下一代感算一体芯片架构研发；加速全球化商业落地，将国内高端制造领域已验证的方案系统化推向欧美、日韩及东南亚市场；扩充 高端产能并引进关键人才，以支撑未来两年强劲增长的订单预期。 辛米尔成立于2019年，总部位于上海。公司核心产品为基于"感算一体"技术底座的平台化、全栈式产品矩阵，涵盖芯片层（感算一体AI SoC芯片与IP设 计）、模块层（面向视频、音频、控制、传感的系列化智能模组）和系统层（针对标杆场景的软硬一体解决方案）。 随着AI进入追求"高能效专用智能"的下半场，端侧AI正成为技术落地的关键。未来AI须下沉至具体场景，与传感器、执行器深度融合，为海量物理设备 嵌入实时智能。 这一转向标志着产业从大模型"上半场"，迈向与物理世界深度协同、追求系统效率的"下半场"。市场正从消费互联网加速扩展至产业物联网，覆盖智能制 造、具身智能机器人、新能源等高价值领域，目前正处于爆发增长初期。 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·乘用车 比亚迪（002594） 2026 年 1 月销量点评：销量同环比降低，持 续推进高端化和出口 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 602,315 | 777,102 | 839,362 | 887,061 | 990,587 | | 同比（%） | 42.04 | 29.02 | 8.01 | 5.68 | 11.67 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 30,041 | 40,254 | 35,011 | 45,040 | 56,317 | | 同比（%） | 80.72 | 34.00 | (13.03) | 28.65 | 25.04 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.29 | 4.42 | 3.84 | 4.94 | 6.18 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 26.72 | 19.94 | 22.92 | 17.82 | 14.25 | [Ta ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·乘用车 比亚迪（002594） 2026 年 1 月销量点评：销量同环比降低，持 续推进高端化和出口 买入（维持） 股价走势 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 602,315 | 777,102 | 839,362 | 887,061 | 990,587 | | 同比（%） | 42.04 | 29.02 | 8.01 | 5.68 | 11.67 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 30,041 | 40,254 | 35,011 | 45,040 | 56,317 | | 同比（%） | 80.72 | 34.00 | (13.03) | 28.65 | 25.04 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.29 | 4.42 | 3.84 | 4.94 | 6.18 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 26.72 | 19.94 | 22.92 | 17.82 | 14.25 ...