Group 1: Investment Outlook - The core viewpoint of the report is that AI-driven innovations will continue to support investor optimism, with small-cap stocks expected to grow, and emerging market equities likely to outperform the overall market by 2026 [1] - The "Seven Giants" in the US stock market are expanding their market share due to strong core businesses and strategic reinvestments, which may lay a foundation for future growth [1] - Emerging market stocks are currently trading at a forward P/E ratio approximately 40% lower than US stocks, which is below the long-term average, indicating potential for narrowing this discount due to robust earnings [1] Group 2: Fixed Income Market - Investors need to assess recent macro signals, rising uncertainty regarding US fiscal stability, and the growth prospects of large capital expenditures in the AI sector as they approach 2026 [2] - The main challenge for investors lies in interpreting the intertwined signals, but opportunities still exist for fixed income investors who can actively manage their allocations [2] - Investment opportunities are expected to arise from AI and digitalization, energy production and transmission, changes in global trade patterns, and upgrades to aging infrastructure, particularly in mid-sized markets [2]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs indicates that central banks may have purchased a significant amount of gold in November as part of a long-term trend to diversify reserves against geopolitical and financial risks [1] Group 1: Gold Price Forecast - Goldman Sachs reaffirms its expectation that gold prices will reach $4,900 by the end of 2026, with potential for further increases if private investors continue to diversify their portfolios [1] - Year-to-date, gold prices have risen by 55%, driven by economic and geopolitical concerns, increased inflows into exchange-traded funds, and expectations of further interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1] Group 2: Central Bank Purchases - Goldman Sachs estimates that central banks purchased 64 tons of gold in September, up from 21 tons in August [1]

格隆汇11月18日｜高盛：由于全球（俄罗斯除外）强劲的供应，2026年将出现200万桶/日的巨大盈余， 这将导致价格在2026年中之前下降。预测布伦特和WTI原油价格将下降，2026年平均价格分别为56美 元/桶和52美元/桶（此前预期分别为63美元/桶和60美元/桶）。预计石油价格将在2028年底前回升至其 长期目标水平，即布伦特原油80美元/桶，WTI原油76美元/桶。 来源：格隆汇APP ...

过去三年，央行增持已成为推动金价飙升的关键动力。现货金价今年曾在10月突破每盎司4380美元的历 史高位，尽管近几周有所回落，截至本周一仍约报4068美元，年内累计上涨达55%。推动因素包括全球 经济及地缘政治不确定性升温、黄金ETF流入增加，以及市场押注美联储进一步降息。 高盛在报告中强调，央行"持续且高企"的购金行为将是未来数年黄金市场的核心支撑力量。该行维持此 前预测，即2024年第四季度至2026年，全球央行平均每月净购金将维持在约80吨水平。 智通财经APP获悉，高盛集团最新报告显示，在夏季购金淡季结束后，全球央行正重新加速买入黄金， 中国央行在9月向外汇储备新增约15吨黄金，推动全球官方部门当月购金规模大幅回升。 根据高盛分析师Lina Thomas等人的估算，全球央行9月合计购金约64吨，较8月的21吨增加逾三倍。该 行指出，强劲的购金势头很可能延续至11月，反映出央行持续多元化储备、对冲地缘政治及金融风险的 长期趋势。 高盛表示，随着央行购金态势延续、投资需求增强，以及美联储货币政策转向宽松，黄金在未来几年将 继续作为全球金融体系中的关键避险资产保持强势。 在此背景下，高盛重申金价将在2026 ...

Goldman Sachs tackled the “most important question for the U.S. equity market outlook” on Monday: whether the market is “correctly valuing the benefits from AI.” The answer is a qualified yes, a denial that company valuations are at “bubble levels,” and a finding that the market is, shall we say, excessively optimistic. The U.S. equity market may have already incorporated a significant amount of the potential long-term value generated by AI, according to a new analysis from the investment bank. Some “simp ...

The Dow Falls For Third Straight Session CONCLUDED Last Updated: 4 hours ago The Dow Is Tracking Its Third Consecutive Loss Day By Karishma Vanjani The Dow is down 690 points or 1.5% in the early afternoon, under pressure from its heaviest hitting stocks. Shares of Goldman Sachs were down 2.5%. The stock makes up 10.3% of the 30-stock index, the highest weight. Microsoft, the third highest weighted stock, was down nearly 1%. If the Dow continues on this track and ends up closing lower today, it would be the ...

Oil prices are expected to decline through 2026, Goldman Sachs said on Monday, citing a production surge that will keep the market in a large surplus of around 2 million barrels per day. ...

高盛预测布伦特和WTI原油价格2026年平均价格分别为56美元/桶和52美元/桶（此前预期分别为63美元/ 桶和60美元/桶）。 （文章来源：央视新闻） ...

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs is benefiting from a significant resurgence in mergers and acquisitions activity, marking the most robust dealmaking environment in nearly 25 years [1] Company Summary - The firm has secured a leading position in the current wave of global dealmaking, capitalizing on increased merger and acquisition activities [1] Industry Summary - The overall surge in M&A activity indicates a renaissance in the dealmaking landscape, suggesting a favorable environment for investment banks like Goldman Sachs [1]

高盛集团：美联储12月降息的可能性被低估了。 ...