Core Viewpoint - The report from DBS indicates that Pop Mart is expected to see revenue and profit growth of over 140% and 180% respectively this year, driven by strong demand for its proprietary IPs like Labubu and Molly [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company is projected to achieve a revenue and profit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 81% and 99% respectively from 2024 to 2026 [1] - The target price set for Pop Mart is HKD 312, reflecting a bullish outlook based on its growth potential [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - Pop Mart's rapid international market expansion and omnichannel development are expected to drive overseas sales to exceed 50% by 2025 [1] - The company benefits from a diversified product portfolio and innovative business model, contributing to a robust mid-term outlook [1] Group 3: Industry Context - Notable IPs such as Pokemon and Hello Kitty have achieved cumulative global sales exceeding USD 50 billion to 150 billion, indicating a strong market for collectible toys [1]

格隆汇8月4日｜据《福布斯》，泡泡玛特旗下热门IP Labubu与鞋履品牌Vans于2023年推出的一款联名 手办公仔，近日于拍卖平台eBay上以约1.05万美元售出，预料成为二手市场上最高价的Labubu公仔之 一，较原价85美元升值约124倍。报道引述专业估价师指，若Labubu热潮持续，预料未来几年可变成备 受市场追捧的收藏品，早期产品更将具有较强保值能力。 (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the booming popularity of Pop Mart's products, particularly the LABUBU series, which has led to significant supply challenges and the emergence of a secondary market driven by scalpers and counterfeit goods [1][2][3][4][5][9]. Group 1: Market Demand and Sales Dynamics - The summer season has seen a surge in customer traffic at Pop Mart stores, particularly among students, leading to increased spending by parents [2]. - LABUBU products are not directly available for purchase in stores, requiring customers to participate in online flash sales, which have proven extremely competitive [2][3]. - The online limited release model has facilitated the rise of scalpers, who quickly buy up stock and resell it at a premium in various online communities [3][4]. Group 2: Scalper and Counterfeit Issues - The scalper market has become a significant issue, with dedicated groups forming to share information on product restocks, often leading to rapid resales at inflated prices [3][4]. - A gray market has emerged where individuals charge fees for access to real-time restock notifications, often employing deceptive practices [3]. - Counterfeit products are rampant, with some sellers openly advertising fake goods, while others create convincing replicas that are sold as genuine [5][6]. Group 3: Company Performance and Valuation - Pop Mart's strong sales have resulted in explosive revenue growth, with a projected revenue increase of no less than 200% and net profit growth of at least 350% for the first half of 2025 [9]. - The company's stock price has seen significant appreciation, reaching a historical high of 283.4 HKD, with a market capitalization exceeding 380 billion HKD at its peak [9]. - Analysts express optimism about Pop Mart's long-term prospects, citing its robust retail business model and competitive advantages in the market [9][10]. Group 4: Future Challenges and Opportunities - Despite positive growth, the company faces potential volatility in stock prices due to the unpredictable nature of popular IP products [10][11]. - The company is encouraged to enhance its IP development capabilities to maintain its competitive edge and drive global expansion [10][11]. - Analysts predict strong future growth rates for sales and profits, driven by strong IP, store expansion, and improved productivity [11].

限量发售掀抢购潮 8月3日，由泡泡玛特主办的2025PTS北京国际潮流玩具展迎来收官，旗下LABUBU、MOLLY、星星人 等标志性IP悉数亮相，吸引众多观众驻足互动，现场气氛热烈，更有海外粉丝专程前来打卡，再次印证 了泡泡玛特作为中国潮玩领军品牌的全球影响力。 火爆背后，是泡泡玛特面临的产能挑战。泡泡玛特创始人王宁近日在接受央视采访时的一句调侃"我们 的缝纫机都踩冒烟了"，生动道出了当前产品供不应求的甜蜜烦恼。究竟有多火？为何如此紧俏？黄牛 如何搅局？假货问题何解？资本如何反应？带着种种疑问，证券时报记者展开了调查。 黄牛大行其道 眼下正值暑假，各大潮玩门店都迎来了学生客流高峰。有泡泡玛特门店工作人员向记者表示，店内暑假 人流会更旺一些，"如果是跟着家长来的，出手会更'阔绰'一些，家长一般都愿意花几十上百来满足孩 子的心愿"。 值得注意的是，作为泡泡玛特旗下"当红炸子鸡"的LABUBU，虽然被摆在"C位"，但在门店内并不能直 接购买。店员表示，消费者若想购买，需自行通过线上抢购，抢购成功后可到店取货。泡泡玛特于6月 中下旬起对LABUBU 3.0前方高能系列开启线上预售，泡泡玛特微信小程序、支付宝小程序、抖 ...

Core Insights - The LABUBU phenomenon has become a significant cultural symbol, contributing to Pop Mart's market capitalization exceeding HKD 300 billion, marking a new high since its IPO [1] - The Pop Mart City Park in Beijing has seen a surge in popularity, especially during the summer, attracting a diverse range of visitors [1] - The park features various interactive activities, including a stamp collection game, which has become a popular attraction among visitors [1] Group 1 - The park's merchandise offerings are diverse, with LABUBU-themed products being particularly popular among visitors [1] - The IP-themed dining options within the park, such as LABUBU-shaped waffles and creative ice creams, have also become a consumer hotspot [2] - The Pop Mart City Park, opened in September 2023, covers approximately 40,000 square meters, making it a lightweight urban theme park compared to larger competitors [2] Group 2 - The park is undergoing redesign and renovation, with two-thirds of the area being upgraded, yet visitor enthusiasm remains high [2] - Ticket prices have been adjusted, with weekday tickets reduced from 150 yuan to 88 yuan, and peak day tickets from 180 yuan to 118 yuan, which has been perceived as good value by visitors [2] - Pop Mart aims to continuously introduce new IP scenes and interactive projects, enhancing the emotional connection between fans and IPs while exploring broader development opportunities in the industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the booming popularity of Pop Mart's products, particularly the LABUBU series, amidst challenges related to supply capacity and the rise of counterfeit goods in the market [1][9]. Group 1: Market Demand and Sales Dynamics - The summer season has seen a surge in customer traffic at Pop Mart stores, particularly among students, leading to increased spending by parents [2]. - LABUBU products are not available for direct purchase in stores; instead, customers must participate in online flash sales, which have proven to be highly competitive and difficult to navigate [2][3]. - The combination of high market demand and limited online purchasing opportunities has led to the emergence of scalpers, who quickly buy up stock and resell it at a premium [3][4]. Group 2: Counterfeit Goods and Market Challenges - The proliferation of counterfeit products has become a significant issue, with some sellers openly advertising fake items, while others create convincing replicas that are sold at high prices [6][8]. - Pop Mart has faced challenges in combating counterfeit goods due to the vast number of third-party sales channels and the rapid emergence of unauthorized sellers [8]. - The company has issued warnings about the risks associated with purchasing from unofficial channels, emphasizing the difficulty in verifying product authenticity [8]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Outlook - Pop Mart's strong sales performance has led to a dramatic increase in revenue and profit forecasts, with expected revenue growth of at least 200% and net profit growth of at least 350% for the first half of 2025 [9]. - The company's stock price has seen significant appreciation, reaching a historical high of 283.4 HKD, with a market capitalization that briefly surpassed 380 billion HKD [9]. - Analysts remain optimistic about Pop Mart's long-term growth potential, citing its robust retail business model and competitive advantages in the market [9][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the booming popularity of Pop Mart's products, particularly the LABUBU series, which has led to significant supply challenges and the emergence of a secondary market driven by scalpers and counterfeit goods [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Demand and Sales Dynamics - The summer season has seen a surge in foot traffic at Pop Mart stores, particularly among students, with parents willing to spend significantly on trendy toys [3]. - LABUBU products are not directly available for purchase in stores; instead, customers must participate in online flash sales, which have proven extremely competitive, often selling out in seconds [3][4]. - The combination of high demand and limited online availability has facilitated the rise of scalpers, who quickly buy up stock and resell it at a premium [4][5]. Group 2: Scalper and Counterfeit Issues - The scalper market has become a significant issue, with dedicated groups on social media facilitating the rapid resale of Pop Mart products, often within minutes of restocking [4][5]. - A new gray market has emerged, where individuals charge fees for real-time restock notifications, exploiting the high demand for limited-edition items [4]. - Counterfeit products have proliferated, with some sellers openly advertising fake items at lower prices, while others misrepresent counterfeit goods as authentic [6][8]. Group 3: Company Performance and Valuation - Pop Mart's strong sales performance has led to explosive growth in revenue and profit, with a projected revenue increase of at least 200% and net profit growth of at least 350% for the first half of 2025 [10]. - The company's stock price has seen significant appreciation, reaching a historical high of 283.4 HKD, with a market capitalization exceeding 380 billion HKD [10]. - Analysts remain optimistic about Pop Mart's long-term prospects, citing its robust retail business model and competitive advantages in the market [10][12]. Group 4: Future Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the positive outlook, the volatility of Pop Mart's stock price is a concern, driven by the unpredictable nature of popular IP products and their limited lifecycles [11]. - The company is seen as a potential leader in the global IP market, with opportunities to enhance its content production capabilities and expand its brand internationally [11]. - Ongoing efforts to combat counterfeit goods and improve consumer trust are critical for maintaining brand integrity and market position [6][8].

Core Insights - The 2025 PTS Beijing International Trend Toy Exhibition, hosted by Pop Mart, took place from August 1 to August 3, with the theme "Return of Playfulness, Seeking the Wilderness of the Heart" [1] - Pop Mart's founder and CEO, Wang Ning, made a surprise appearance at the exhibition, engaging with fans and showcasing a friendly demeanor [1] Group 1 - The exhibition was held at the National Convention Center, emphasizing the growing trend in the toy industry [1] - Wang Ning was seen wearing a simple white T-shirt and jeans, indicating a casual and approachable image [1] - The CEO actively interacted with fans, demonstrating the company's commitment to customer engagement and community building [1]

Core Insights - The 2025 PTS Beijing International Trendy Toy Exhibition, hosted by Pop Mart, took place from August 1 to 3, with the theme "Return to Playfulness, Seek the Wild Heart" [1] - Pop Mart signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with the Beijing Cultural and Tourism Bureau to explore the integration of intangible cultural heritage and trendy toys [1] - The PTS has evolved into a globally recognized trendy toy exhibition since its inception in 2017, with the upcoming Singapore International Trendy Toy Exhibition scheduled for August 22-24 [1] Company Highlights - Pop Mart's "Bubble Street" received an upgrade this year, featuring interactive experience installations for popular IPs [1] - The event showcased various activities, including artist dialogues, live performances by trendy musicians, and creative competitions [1] - Numerous international IP giants, such as Disney and Universal, participated in this year's exhibition, highlighting the growing influence of Pop Mart in the industry [1] Artist Engagement - Several well-known IPs under Pop Mart, including THE MONSTERS, MOLLY, and DIMOO, were present for signings at the event [2] - Emerging artists like SUPERTUTU and KeyA also showcased their creations, indicating a diverse representation of talent [2] Industry Impact - Since its establishment, PTS has attracted over 300,000 visitors and featured more than 500 top artists from various countries, solidifying its status as a premier international trendy toy event [5]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley suggests that the recent stock price pullback of Pop Mart presents a valuable buying opportunity, emphasizing the company's strong performance in new IP product lines and its significant growth potential in the global IP market [1][11]. Group 1: Product Performance - Despite investor concerns about a slowdown after the Labubu craze, Pop Mart continues to launch popular new products, indicating strong demand rather than supply issues [3]. - New IPs like Crybaby and Twinkle Twinkle are performing well, alongside traditional favorites such as Molly and Skullpanda, with many products frequently sold out [3]. - The supply-demand imbalance reflects the attractiveness of the company's products, not a lack of demand [3]. Group 2: Brand Collaborations and Global Expansion - Recent innovative collaborations include partnerships with renowned brands like Godiva and Chopard, as well as the opening of new stores in key cities like Berlin and Melbourne [4]. - These initiatives demonstrate the global appeal of Pop Mart's IP and products, positioning the company to capture consumer demand across various markets [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Morgan Stanley forecasts Pop Mart's revenue to reach RMB 31.046 billion in 2025, a 138% increase year-on-year, and RMB 42.994 billion in 2026, a 38% increase [5]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 66.8% in 2024 to 71.5% in 2025, with operating profit margin rising from 31.5% to 42.0% in the same period [6]. - The estimated P/E ratio for 2025 is 31x, dropping to 22x in 2026, highlighting Pop Mart's valuation advantage compared to other high-growth stocks [7]. Group 4: Market Potential - The global IP product market is estimated to be around USD 800 billion, with Pop Mart's current market share at only 2.3%, indicating substantial growth potential [9]. - Pop Mart aims to evolve into a combination of Bandai Namco, LEGO, and Disney, suggesting that its growth story is still in the early stages [10]. Group 5: Investment Recommendation - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 365, indicating over 48% upside potential from the current stock price of HKD 246 [1][14]. - The firm has outlined three scenarios for target prices based on different market conditions, reinforcing the investment opportunity presented by the current pullback [11].