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Prediction: This AI Stock Could Be the Best Performer of 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 10:00
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is expected to experience significant growth in 2026, benefiting from the increasing demand for chips driven by AI hyperscalers and data center capital expenditures [1][4]. Group 1: Market Position and Growth Potential - TSMC is well-positioned to thrive in 2026 as it manufactures chips for major companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, which are expected to see growth in their capital expenditures [4][6]. - The demand for chips is projected to be higher in 2026 than in any previous year, with Nvidia forecasting global data center capital expenditures to rise from $600 billion in 2025 to between $3 trillion and $4 trillion by 2030 [7][10]. - TSMC's role as a chip provider allows it to benefit regardless of which company leads the market, ensuring its growth potential remains strong [10][13]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - TSMC is developing next-generation chips that address power consumption issues, with the capability to produce 2-nanometer chips that consume 25% to 30% less power than previous designs [11][12]. - The company's ability to innovate in chip manufacturing is expected to drive rapid revenue growth over the next few years, enhancing its market position [12][13]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - TSMC has a market capitalization of $1.5 trillion, with a current price of $288.95 and a gross margin of 57.75% [9]. - The company also offers a dividend yield of 1.06%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [9].
This ETF Trounced the S&P 500 in 2025. Here's Why It Could Do It Again Next Year
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 07:30
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF outperforming the S&P 500, driven by strong performance from key companies like Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Broadcom [3][5][7]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has delivered a year-to-date return of 39.5% through December 17, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [3]. - The S&P 500 has historically returned an average of 9% annually, but the semiconductor ETF has outperformed it by a wide margin this year [2][3]. Group 2: Key Holdings - The top three holdings in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF are Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Broadcom, which collectively represent over a third of the ETF [7]. - These companies have shown strong revenue growth, with two of the three reporting accelerating growth in their most recent quarters [9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The growth of the semiconductor sector is closely tied to the ongoing AI boom, with increasing demand for semiconductors across various industries, including medical equipment and automobiles [12]. - The VanEck Semiconductor ETF trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.6, compared to 28.5 for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, indicating a premium valuation [11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The continued buildout of AI data centers is expected to drive further demand for semiconductors, suggesting a positive outlook for the sector [12]. - Despite potential concerns about an AI bubble, the current growth trends and demand dynamics support the case for the VanEck Semiconductor ETF's outperformance in the coming year [13].
Here Are My Top 10 Stocks for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 06:30
Core Viewpoint - The stock market is expected to perform well in 2026, prompting investors to prepare a list of potential stock picks for their portfolios [1] Group 1: Top Stock Picks - Nvidia is projected to remain a leading stock due to its pivotal role in the AI sector, with significant capital expenditures expected in data centers [3][5] - AMD is anticipated to close the gap with Nvidia in the GPU market, with a projected 60% compound annual growth rate in data center revenue over the next five years [6][7] - Broadcom is focusing on custom AI accelerators for hyperscalers, with a 74% year-over-year increase in AI semiconductor revenue expected to accelerate above 100% in Q1 fiscal 2026 [8][10] - Taiwan Semiconductor is the largest chip foundry and is expected to benefit from ongoing high AI infrastructure spending [11][12] - Alphabet is emerging as a strong player in AI with its generative AI model, Gemini, and has a robust business in Google Search and Google Cloud [13][15] - Meta Platforms is expected to see growth driven by AI, despite recent stock price declines, presenting a buying opportunity [16][17] - Amazon's revenue growth in advertising and cloud computing is expected to continue, supporting stock recovery [18] - PayPal's stock is considered undervalued with strong earnings growth potential, particularly through share buybacks [19][21] - The Trade Desk is projected to grow revenue at a 16% pace in 2026, despite recent challenges [22][23] - MercadoLibre remains a dominant e-commerce player in Latin America, with past stock pullbacks providing good buying opportunities [24][25]
英特尔晶圆代工,命悬一线
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-20 02:22
公众号记得加星标⭐️,第一时间看推送不会错过。 英特尔曾是全球最大的半导体公司,但近年来,随着这家芯片制造商落后于台积电,并花费数十亿美 元试图追赶,其市值大幅下跌。 现在,英特尔已开始大规模生产 18A 芯片,该公司称这一新的芯片节点将扭转局面。 最大的问题是什么?是说服大型芯片厂商信任英特尔,委托其在新制程节点上进行生产。目前,英特 尔唯一的主要客户就是它自己。该公司期待已久的酷睿Ultra系列3 PC处理器,代号Panther Lake, 将于明年1月上市,成为首款采用18A制程节点制造的主要产品。 "目前它已经成为内部节点了,"Futurum Group首席执行官丹尼尔·纽曼表示。"许多公司为了确保良 率和晶圆产能,已经在台积电投入了巨资,所以他们现在还不会轻易转换。" 英特尔将吸引客户的希望寄托在位于亚利桑那州钱德勒市的新芯片制造厂Fab52上。在北部约50英里 的凤凰城,台积电也新建了一座晶圆厂,用于生产4纳米制程芯片。其最先进的2纳米制程芯片目前仅 在中国台湾生产。 英特尔的18A工艺在某些指标上,例如晶体管密度,通常与台积电的2nm工艺不相上下。但由于英特 尔在经历了多年前几代工艺的延误后仍在 ...
收紧!台积电出口禁令或将升级
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-20 02:22
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan is considering new export regulations that would restrict TSMC from exporting technologies that are more advanced than two generations behind its leading-edge processes, potentially slowing TSMC's expansion in the U.S. market [1][3]. Group 1: New Export Policy - The new export policy is based on the government's "N-2 rule," which allows only the export of technologies that are two generations behind Taiwan's leading technology. This is a shift from the previous "N-1 rule," which permitted exports of technologies at least one generation behind [3]. - Under the new rule, if TSMC develops a 1.2nm or 1.4nm manufacturing process, only its 1.6nm products would qualify for export [3]. Group 2: TSMC's Manufacturing Capabilities - TSMC's Fab 21 in Arizona can currently produce chips using N4/N5 processes, while in Taiwan, TSMC has multiple fabs capable of 3nm manufacturing and is set to begin mass production of 2nm chips [4]. - Although Fab 21 currently meets the N-2 rule, future production using 3nm processes at the second phase of Fab 21 may not comply with the new regulations, as 3nm is only one generation behind [4]. Group 3: R&D and Workforce - A significant portion of TSMC's R&D personnel remains in Taiwan, ensuring that future process developments are rooted locally, despite the company's overseas capacity and R&D centers [4]. - The concentration of engineers and scientists in Taiwan is seen as a protective measure for intellectual property and human capital in the semiconductor industry [4]. Group 4: Investment Scrutiny - Any future investments by TSMC in the U.S. will be subject to current legal reviews, with projects exceeding certain thresholds requiring scrutiny by an investment committee [5].
3 of the Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-20 01:38
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that despite the size of major tech companies, there are still significant growth opportunities in AI stocks, particularly for Alphabet, Amazon, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) as they head into 2026 [1][2]. Alphabet - Alphabet has a market cap of $3.7 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies globally, just behind Nvidia at $4.3 trillion [4]. - Concerns about Alphabet's ability to maintain its dominance in search due to AI chatbots have led to skepticism among investors, which may contribute to its current valuation not reflecting its true potential [5][8]. - The company has diversified operations, including enhancements in Google Search, YouTube, a growing robotaxi business (Waymo), and an expanding cloud business, which supports its growth prospects [7][8]. - Alphabet's stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 28, which is modest compared to the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's average of just under 30, indicating potential for a higher valuation [8]. Amazon - Amazon's market cap stands at $2.4 trillion, and its stock price has declined by 4% over the past year, suggesting it may be undervalued [9][11]. - The company is known for its online marketplace and Amazon Web Services (AWS), which are significant growth drivers, alongside its own robotaxi business, Zoox [10][12]. - Amazon is expanding its same-day delivery of fresh groceries, which could enhance its competitive position against rivals like Walmart, leveraging its AI capabilities for better market predictions [12][13]. - The stock trades at a forward P/E of 27, indicating that it should be valued higher given its growth opportunities [13]. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) - TSMC has a market cap of $1.5 trillion and is crucial in the AI industry due to its role in chip manufacturing for major tech companies, including Nvidia [14][15]. - The company reported a 30% revenue increase and a 39% rise in diluted per-share profit for the quarter ending September 30, showcasing strong growth and operating margins around 50% [16]. - TSMC's stock has increased by over 40% this year, and it has a forward P/E of just under 24, making it the cheapest stock among the three discussed [16].
美国丰田卖回日本,特朗普产业回流仍“病入膏肓”
汽车商业评论· 2025-12-19 23:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the trend of manufacturing return to the U.S., particularly in the automotive and semiconductor industries, driven by government policies and foreign investments aimed at reducing trade deficits and enhancing domestic production capabilities [4][5][6][15][16]. Automotive Industry - Toyota plans to export three models produced in the U.S. back to Japan, symbolizing a positive gesture towards improving U.S.-Japan trade relations [4]. - Honda intends to shift production of key models like CR-V and Civic from Canada and Mexico back to the U.S., aiming for 90% local production within two to three years [8]. - General Motors announced a $4 billion investment in three U.S. plants to increase production capacity, aiming to exceed 2 million vehicles annually [10]. - Stellantis revealed a $13 billion investment plan in the U.S., which includes reopening a previously closed plant and creating approximately 3,300 jobs [12][13]. - Ford is adjusting its electric vehicle strategy, focusing on hybrid and gasoline models while hiring thousands of workers [10]. - The overall trend indicates a significant increase in domestic production and investment from both foreign and U.S. automakers, responding to government policies [10][14]. Semiconductor Industry - Under pressure from U.S. policies, major semiconductor companies like TSMC are expanding their operations in the U.S., with TSMC increasing its investment from $40 billion to $65 billion for new facilities [16][22]. - Intel has received approximately $11.1 billion in government subsidies and is building new fabs in Arizona and Ohio [20]. - Micron announced a $30 billion expansion plan in the U.S., with government support for its production facilities [22]. - The U.S. government is negotiating with Taiwan to facilitate the transfer of skilled labor to support domestic semiconductor manufacturing [23][24]. - Despite these investments, challenges remain in labor availability and supply chain issues, indicating that the return of manufacturing is still in progress and not yet fully realized [26][27]. Overall Manufacturing Trends - As of September 2025, U.S. manufacturing output was approximately $2.905 trillion, showing only slight growth compared to earlier in the year, with employment levels remaining stable [26]. - Trade deficits have widened, with a reported increase of $112.6 billion (17.2%) compared to the previous year, indicating that the intended reduction in trade imbalance has not yet materialized [26]. - The article highlights that while there are ambitious plans and investments, the actual outcomes in terms of production and job creation are still lagging behind expectations, necessitating further reforms and collaboration to achieve a true manufacturing revival in the U.S. [27][28].
12月20日热门中概股多数上涨 小鹏汽车涨6.80%,满帮跌1.99%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 21:22
Group 1: Market Performance - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index (HXC) increased by 0.86% on December 20, with most Chinese concept stocks rising [1][6] - Major US stock indices showed mixed results for the week, with the Dow Jones down 0.67%, the Nasdaq up 0.48%, and the S&P 500 up 0.11% [2][8] - On December 20, the Dow Jones rose by 183.04 points, closing at 48,134.89; the Nasdaq increased by 301.26 points, closing at 23,307.62; and the S&P 500 rose by 59.82 points, closing at 6,834.58 [1][7] Group 2: Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top gainers in Chinese concept stocks, Xpeng Motors rose by 6.80%, Li Auto by 5.07%, and Alibaba by 1.68% [1][7] - The largest decline was seen in NISU, which fell by 46.99%, followed by Tuanche with a drop of 9.76% [5][15] - Other notable gainers included Zhongchi Chefu with a 64.47% increase and Aisuo Aisi with a 47.65% rise [12][13]
Wall Street Bullish on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Here’s Why
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 19:52
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) is one of the Best Non-US Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. On December 10, Mike Yang from Bank of America Securities reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a price target of $390. On the same day, Bernstein SocGen Group also reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a $330 price target. The ratings follow the company’s release of its November 2025 revenue report. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) reporte ...
Intel vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: Which Stock Will Outperform in 2026?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 17:05
Key Points TSMC is the undisputed leader in manufacturing advanced chips. Intel's stock outperformed in 2025 after the company was backed by some big investors. TSMC has a clearer growth path between the two companies. 10 stocks we like better than Intel › When it comes to chip manufacturing, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) is the undisputed foundry leader, while Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) is trying to make inroads. However, in 2025, it was Intel's stock that outperformed, up nearly 80% ...