Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the U.S. financial markets, including the approval of a government funding bill by the House of Representatives, which ends a partial government shutdown [4] - The Federal Reserve's board member indicated that interest rate cuts exceeding 100 basis points may be necessary this year [4] - The Reserve Bank of Australia announced a 25 basis point interest rate hike to 3.85%, marking its first increase in 2023 [4] Economic Data - The Baltic Dry Index closed at 2028.00, down 4.52% [5] - The Nasdaq Index closed at 23255.19, down 1.43%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 49240.99, down 0.34% [5] - The ICE Brent crude oil price increased by 2.29% to $67.82, and the London gold spot price rose by 6.16% to $4946.17 [5] - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.23% to 97.39, while the USD/CNY exchange rate was 6.94, down 0.22% [5] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26834.77, up 0.22%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index closed at 9053.11, down 0.30% [5] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 2676.84, up 2.35% [5] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3324.89, up 1.86%, indicating positive performance in the Chinese market [5]

2026 年 2 月 3 日星期二 【实时热点】 【美国债市】 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 请务必阅读免责条款 1 证 券 研 究 报 告 特朗普、莫迪达成贸易协议：将对印度商品征收的 25%关税 下调至 18% 特朗普拟设 120 亿美元关键矿产战略储备 因政府局部停摆，美国劳工统计局本周五不会发布 1 月非农 就业报告 中国 1 月 RatingDog 制造业 PMI 升至 50.3 维持扩张态势 十部门发文推动低空经济标准体系建设 上海启动收购二手住房用于保障性租赁住房工作 香港金管局拟于 3 月发出首批稳定币牌照 香港金管局总裁余伟文：香港楼价 2025 年升 3.3%，终止 3 年跌势 SpaceX 据报去年赚 80 亿美元 星链最少占 三星、SK 海力士计划扩大尖端 NAND 产能 2 年期美债收益率涨 4.71 个基点报 3.572% 5 年期美债收益率涨 4.52 个基点报 3.837% 10 年期美债收益率涨 4.39 个基点报 4.279% 【新股资讯】 | 序号 | 招股日 | 代码 | 简称 | | --- | --- | ...

2026 年 2 月 2 日星期一 【实时热点】 告 【美国债市】 请务必阅读免责条款 1 证 券 研 究 报 美国总统特朗普正式提名前美联储理事凯文·沃什为下任美联 储主席 美国 12 月 PPI 全面高出预期 欧元区 2025 年经济预计增长 1.5% 中国 1 月官方制造业 PMI 回落至 49.3，低于预期 证监会：拟扩大战略投资者类型，明确最低持股比例要求 吴清：全力巩固资本市场稳中向好势头 国家税务总局明确起征点标准等增值税征管事项 2025 年我国可再生能源发电装机占比超过六成 海南离岛免税新政实施以来购物金额破 100 亿元 SpaceX 去年营收据悉约为 150-160 亿美元 2 年期美债收益率跌 2.85 个基点报 3.522% 5 年期美债收益率跌 2.42 个基点报 3.788% 10 年期美债收益率涨 0.62 个基点报 4.237% 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 【新股资讯】 | 序号 | 招股日 | 代码 | 简称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 2026-02-02 | 2720 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends subscription for the company’s IPO [2][3] Core Insights - The company is a leading fabless integrated circuit design firm focused on providing innovative, reliable, and high-efficiency interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure [2] - It is projected to be the largest supplier of memory interconnect chips globally in 2024, with a market share of 36.8% [2] - The demand for high-speed interconnect chips is increasing, particularly in AI servers, which is expected to drive market expansion [2] - The global AI server shipment is forecasted to grow from 0.5 million units in 2020 to 2.0 million units in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.2% [2] - The global high-speed interconnect chip market is expected to grow from USD 15.4 billion in 2024 to USD 49.0 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 21.2% [2] Financial Performance - The company recorded revenues of RMB 3,672.3 million, RMB 2,285.7 million, and RMB 3,638.9 million for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with corresponding gross profit margins of 46.4%, 58.9%, and 58.1% [3] - Net profits for the same years were RMB 1,299.38 million, RMB 450.91 million, and RMB 1,411.78 million [3] - The IPO price of HKD 106.89 per share represents 59% of the A-share closing price of RMB 162.18 on January 29, 2026, indicating a certain margin of safety in valuation [3]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious subscription for the company [2]. Core Insights - The company is a supplier of AI inference system chips (SoC), focusing on high-performance perception and computing platforms for edge computing and terminal device AI applications. It aims to build advanced AI computing infrastructure to promote the widespread adoption of AI [2]. - The company's core technology includes the AxeraNeutron mixed-precision neural network processor (NPU) and the AxeraProton AI-ISP, which is the world's first commercially scalable AI image signal processor. The AI-ISP optimizes visual data in real-time, ensuring high-quality imaging even under harsh conditions [2]. - According to data from Zhaoshang Consulting, the company ranks as the fifth largest supplier of visual edge AI inference chips globally and the third largest in China for edge AI inference by shipment volume in 2024 [2]. Market Overview - In 2024, the global AI inference chip market is projected to reach RMB 606.7 billion, with cloud inference, edge inference, and endpoint inference chips accounting for RMB 227.5 billion, RMB 87.7 billion, and RMB 291.6 billion, respectively. The overall market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.0% from 2024 to 2030 [3]. - The company recorded revenues of RMB 50.2 million, RMB 230.1 million, and RMB 472.9 million for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with corresponding net losses of RMB -154.56 million, RMB -201.95 million, and RMB -228.61 million [3]. - The IPO price corresponds to a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 29.6 times for 2024, indicating uncertain profitability prospects for the company [3].

【美国债市】 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读免责条款 1 证 券 美参议院未通过拨款法案 美政府再次面临部分"停摆" 特朗普：将在下周公布美国联邦储备委员会下一任主席的提 名人选 欧元区 1 月经济景气指数为 99.4 高于预期 2025 年全球黄金总需求达 5002 吨 创历史新高 培育服务消费"路线图"出炉，国办出台 12 条政策举措 工信部召开光伏行业企业家座谈会：坚决破除行业"内卷式" 竞争 北京首个人形机器人中试验证平台正式启动，预计年产能 5000 台套 2030 年前阿斯利康拟在华投资超 1000 亿元 苹果第一财季营收高于预期 马斯克的 SpaceX 据悉正在考虑与特斯拉或 xAI 合并 2026 年 1 月 30 日星期五 【实时热点】 2 年期美债收益率跌 0.60 个基点报 3.557% 5 年期美债收益率跌 0.86 个基点报 3.814% 10 年期美债收益率跌 0.59 个基点报 4.233% 【新股资讯】 | 序号 | 招股日 | 代码 | 简称 | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

IPO 申购指南 牧原股份（2714.HK） 建议谨慎申购 2026-01-29 星期四 【招股详情】 | 保荐人 | | | 摩根士丹利、中信证券、高盛 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上市日期 | 2026 年 | 月 | | 日(周五) | | | | 2 | 6 | | 招股价格 | 港元 39.00 | | | | | | | | | | 集资额 | 104.597 | | | | 亿港元（扣除包销费用和全球发售有关的估计费用） | | | | | | 每手股数 | 股 100 | | | | | | | | | | 入场费 | 3,939.34 | 港元 | | | | | | | | | 招股日期 | 年 2026 | 月 | | 日-2026 | 月 日 2 3 | 年 | | 1 | 29 | | 国元证券认购截止日期 | 2026 年 | 月 | 日 | | | | | 2 | 2 | | 招股总数 | 27395.14 | | | | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权 ...

券 2026 年 1 月 29 日星期四 【实时热点】 【美国债市】 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 请务必阅读免责条款 1 证 【新股资讯】 研 究 报 告 美联储如期按兵不动，沃勒加入支持降息阵营 加拿大央行维持 2.25%利率不变 印度将立即大幅削减欧洲汽车关税至 30%至 35% 深圳五部门：全面优化 2026-2028 年消费环境 全国人口家庭发展工作会议：持续优化生育支持政策和激励 措施 央企 2025"成绩单"：资产超 95 万亿、利润 2.5 万亿 国家能源局：2025 年底全国发电装机达 38.9 亿千瓦，同比 增长 16.1% 多家房企称已不被要求上报三道红线 特斯拉 Q4 盈利超预期，停产 ModelS/X 产线转造人形机器 人 SpaceX 拟 6 月 IPO，估值 1.5 万亿美元 2 年期美债收益率持平报 3.596% 5 年期美债收益率涨 25.37 个基点报 3.823% 10 年期美债收益率跌 0.2 个基点报 4.239% | 序号 | 招股日 | 代码 | 简称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a long-term investment perspective, focusing on quality companies with strong core competitiveness and long-term value, particularly in the AI integration within the internet entertainment sector [3][5]. Core Insights - The overall market sentiment is cautious due to fluctuating expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and short-term impacts from regulatory policies in mainland China. The Hang Seng Technology Index has been under pressure, with many internet entertainment companies experiencing a downward trend in stock prices [3][5]. - The central economic work conference has set a tone for 2026 emphasizing "stability while seeking progress," which aims to boost economic vitality and consumer confidence, benefiting the internet entertainment sector directly [3][5]. - 2026 is anticipated to be a significant year for AI application and commercialization, with the integration of AI technology being a core factor determining future competitiveness in the internet entertainment sector [3][5]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Technology Index experienced slight declines of -0.36% and -0.42% respectively during the week of January 19-23, 2026. The overall market sentiment is cautious, influenced by external factors and regulatory policies [4][5]. - The software and services sector's PE-TTM is at 28.9x, while the PS-TTM is at 5.3x, indicating high valuation levels compared to historical data [12][14]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on industry leaders such as: -阅文集团 (772.HK) -腾讯音乐 (TME.N) -浪潮数字企业 (596.HK) -百融云 (6608.HK) -阿里巴巴 (BABA.N) These companies are expected to have strong R&D and application capabilities in the AI wave, making them optimal choices for sharing in long-term industry growth [3][5]. Industry Data - The film industry is showing signs of mild recovery, with a box office of 3.04 billion yuan during the week of January 19-25, 2026. The new film "Return to Silent Hill" performed well, contributing significantly to the box office [25]. - The gaming market in China saw a year-on-year sales growth of 7.83% in October 2025, indicating robust potential and vitality in the gaming sector [28].

IPO 申购指南 国恩科技（2768.HK） 建议申购 2026-1-27 星期二 | 【招股详情】 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 保荐人 | 招商证券国际 | | | 上市日期 | 年 2026 | 月 日（星期三） 2 4 | | 招股价格 | 34~42 | 港元/股（中间价：38 港元/股） | | 集资额 | 10.577 | 亿港元（扣除包销费及佣金，按中间价计算） | | 每手股数 | 200 股 | | | 入场费 | 8,484.71 | 港元 | | 招股日期 | 2026 年 | 1 月 27 日-2026 年 1 月 30 日 | | 国元证券认购截止日期 | 2026 年 | 1 月 29 日 | | 招股总数 | 3,000 | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权的行使情况而定) | | 国际配售 | 2,700 | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权的行使情况而定)，约占 90% | | 公开发售 | 300 | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权的行使情况而定)，约占 10% | 【申购建议】 公司是一家专注于化工新材料及明胶、胶原蛋白上下游产品的中国供货商。 公 ...