公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 收入实现较快增长，产品矩阵持续丰富 目标价：22.40 元 事项： 联系人：周志浩 邮箱：zhouzhihao1@hcyjs.com 公司基本数据 近期，公司发布 2024 年度报告及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 8.36 亿元，同比增长 25.75%；归母净利润 0.43 亿元，同比增长 1.48%；扣非净利 润 0.37 亿元，同比增长 60.72%。2025Q1 实现营业收入 7986.44 万元，同比增 长 51.43%；实现归母净利润-71.80 万元，亏损大幅收窄。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 其他专用机械 2025 年 05 月 20 日 | | | | 目标价：22.40 元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 井松智能（688251）2024 年报及 收入实现较快增长，产品矩阵持续丰富 | 2025 | 年一季报点评 | 推荐（维持） 元 当前价：21.38 | 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% within the next six months [6][13]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 389 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34%, but a net loss of 158 million yuan, a decrease of 206% compared to the previous year. The decline in profit is attributed to strategic focus on high-reliability military business, low capacity utilization, increased management costs, and impairment losses on fixed assets [4][5]. - The company is expanding into commercial aerospace and civil aircraft testing services, with significant improvements in environmental reliability testing capabilities, particularly for commercial space and satellite payload testing. The production efficiency of the electrical equipment business is gradually improving, and the company is expected to see performance improvements as equipment utilization increases [5][6]. - The company has completed the initial layout of laboratories across major cities, which is expected to enhance market expansion and service capabilities [5][6]. Financial Projections - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.47 million yuan, 54.71 million yuan, and 122.98 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 106%, 477%, and 125%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 326, 56, and 25 times [6][9]. - Revenue projections for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 458 million yuan, 618 million yuan, and 869 million yuan, with growth rates of 17.74%, 35.08%, and 40.52% respectively [9][12].

电力电子及自动化 汇川技术（300124.SZ） 增持-A(首次) 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据：2025 年 5 月 | 19 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | 68.30 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 81.71/39.17 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 23.87/26.95 | | 流通 股市值（亿）： A | 1,630.64 | | 总市值（亿）： | 1,840.87 | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 0.49 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 0.49 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 11.14 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 4.47 | 资料来源：最闻 姚健 执业登记编码：S0760525040001 邮箱：yaojian@sxzq.com 徐风 执业登记编码：S0760519110003 邮箱：xufeng@sxzq.com 新能源汽车业务高增，重点布局人形机器人赛道 2025 年 5 月 20 日 ...

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" from "Hold" [8][9]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the company's technological advantages are underestimated, highlighting its complex technology layers and optimization potential [8][11]. - The company is expected to experience significant revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 10.00 billion, 12.57 billion, and 15.94 billion respectively [9]. - The report identifies key growth areas including smart devices, intelligent driving, AI glasses, and smart commercial photography, indicating a bright future for the company [8][10]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2024 is 815 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21.6%. For 2025, the revenue is expected to reach 1,000 million, reflecting a growth rate of 22.7% [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 177 million in 2024, with a significant increase to 233 million in 2025, representing a growth rate of 32.0% [2]. - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 0.44 yuan in 2024, increasing to 0.58 yuan in 2025 [2]. Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is reported at 43.90 yuan, with a market capitalization of 17,611 million [3]. - The price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 76 for 2025, decreasing to 40 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [2][3]. Key Assumptions - Revenue growth rates for mobile smart terminals are expected to be 11.9%, 13.7%, and 14.9% from 2025 to 2027, while intelligent driving and IoT are projected to grow at rates of 71.5%, 59.8%, and 44.0% respectively [10]. - The company anticipates a stable workforce with a slight increase in personnel, particularly in technical and sales roles [10]. Comparative Valuation - The report suggests a valuation target of 30X price-to-sales ratio, equating to a market cap of 300 billion, which is competitive compared to international peers like Unity and Mobileye [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue of 1.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 1.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, down 23.4% year-over-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 480 million yuan, a decrease of 1.9% year-over-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, an increase of 2.7% year-over-year [1][2] - The company is currently in a strategic upgrade phase, with ongoing construction projects and product line expansions. Although short-term pressures from fixed asset depreciation may affect profits, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the rapid growth in the sectors the company operates in [2][4] - New product launches, such as the 64-row medical CT detector module and high-end DSA detectors, have entered mass production. The company has also made significant progress in developing key technologies related to photon counting detectors [2][3] Performance Analysis - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 50.1%, a decrease of 7.7 percentage points year-over-year, and the net profit margin was 24.6%, down 7.9 percentage points year-over-year. The changes in product mix are believed to be the main reason for this decline [9] - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 360 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 5.9%, with the net cash flow from operating activities accounting for 94.2% of net operating income, showing a significant improvement [9] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 4.18 yuan, 5.19 yuan, and 6.30 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.7 times for 2025. Given the company's successful expansion of new products and pipelines, the long-term growth potential is considered substantial [10][12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [8]. Core Views - The company's profitability remains high, supported by the continuous increase in domestic demand for high-power thick plate cutting and the expansion of international application scenarios [4][5]. - The intelligent welding business is expected to see significant growth, with the company leveraging its digital twin system to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [5][6]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.735 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.33%, and a net profit of 883 million yuan, up 21.10% year-on-year [3]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 496 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.12%, and a net profit of 255 million yuan, up 31.99% year-on-year [3]. Product Segmentation - The revenue from flat solutions was 1.125 billion yuan, contributing 64.81% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 82.69% [4]. - The revenue from pipe solutions reached 380 million yuan, contributing 21.91%, with a gross margin of 87.54% [4]. - The three-dimensional solutions saw a remarkable growth of 409.90% year-on-year, generating 37 million yuan in revenue [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a leading position in the domestic market for mid-to-low power laser cutting control systems, with a market share of approximately 60% [5]. - The company is expanding its high-power cutting capabilities through a combination of control systems and cutting heads, aiming to break the monopoly of international giants [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see its earnings per share (EPS) grow to 5.17 yuan in 2025, 6.36 yuan in 2026, and 8.04 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 37.4, 30.3, and 24.0 respectively [8][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [3][2]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, with revenue at 1.1 billion and net profit at 181 million, representing year-on-year decreases of 25.81% and 24.24% respectively. This performance was below expectations [1][2]. - Despite the overall decline, the company's gross margin improved by 1.75 percentage points to 38.73%, and net margin decreased by 1.17 percentage points to 16.46% [2]. - The company anticipates stable growth for the full year, projecting revenues of 6.06 billion, 6.66 billion, and 7.32 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, each reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase. Net profit is expected to reach 990 million, 1.09 billion, and 1.20 billion for the same years, also showing a 10% increase [2]. Financial Data Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenue of 6.06 billion with a growth rate of 9.89%, and net profit of 986 million, reflecting a growth rate of 10.42% [7]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.26 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.46 [7]. - The total market capitalization is approximately 15.24 billion, with a circulating market value of about 15 billion [3]. Sales and Regional Performance - The company's main product lines, including soy sauce, chicken essence, and cooking oil, saw revenue declines of 32%, 29%, and 50% respectively in Q1 2025 [1]. - The company reported a net increase of 491 distributors, bringing the total to 2,672, although average distributor revenue fell by 42% to 380,000 yuan per distributor [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing pressure on its performance, with projected revenue and net profit for 2024 expected to decline by 12.83% and 33.37% respectively. The revenue for Q4 2024 is projected to drop significantly by 52.17% year-on-year [1]. - The company is adjusting its operational pace in response to market conditions, focusing on strengthening channels such as banquets and emphasizing inventory management [4]. - The company is currently in an adjustment phase, with revenue and profit under short-term pressure due to economic conditions and consumer demand [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue of 288.76 billion yuan and a net profit of 66.73 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline [1]. - The revenue from liquor is projected to be 282.48 billion yuan in 2024, down 13.05% from the previous year, with a sales volume decrease of 16.30% to 139,100 tons [1]. - The average revenue per dealer has decreased by 13.77% to 3.178 million yuan per dealer, despite an increase in the number of dealers by 77 to 8,866 [2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's revenue is projected to decline from 33,126.28 million yuan in 2023 to 28,876.30 million yuan in 2024, with a further decline expected in 2025 [5]. - The net profit is expected to decrease from 10,015.93 million yuan in 2023 to 6,673.39 million yuan in 2024, with a continued decline in 2025 [5]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 18X, 17X, and 16X respectively [4].

公司报告 | 年报点评报告 上能电气（300827） 证券研究报告 海外光储业务加速，看好未来全球化潜力 24 年经营业绩稳中有增、盈利能力边际改善明显 24 年合计实现营收 47.73 亿元，yoy-3.23%，系公司减少国内储能系统集成 业务所致；归母净利润 4.19 亿元，yoy+46.49%；扣非净利润 4.12 亿元， yoy+49.56%，公司海外光储业务快速增长，带动净利润增长加速。毛利率 22.92%，yoy+3.69pcts。净利率 8.73%，yoy+2.95pcts。 2025Q1 营收 8.31 亿元，yoy+16.78%；归母净利润 0.88 亿元，yoy+71.56%； 扣非净利润 0.86 亿元，yoy+82.69%。毛利率 24.28%，yoy+0.73pcts。净利 率 10.52%，yoy+3.41pcts。 24 年业务分拆： 2）公司已完成欧洲、印度、中东、非洲、南美、东南亚、中亚、美国等全 球主要光储市场的布局，目前公司已在德国、希腊、西班牙等主要国家设 立了子公司，加强本地化的营销网络体系，公司储能 PCS 已有部分出货至 北美、欧洲等国家。 盈利预测 公司 202 ...

电力电子及自动化 汇川技术（300124.SZ） 增持-A(首次) 公司近一年市场表现 | 市场数据：2025 | 年 | 月 | 日 | 5 | 19 | 收盘价（元）： | 68.30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 81.71/39.17 | | | | | | | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 23.87/26.95 | | | | | | | | 流通 | 股市值（亿）： | A | 1,630.64 | | | | | | 总市值（亿）： | 1,840.87 | | | | | | | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 0.49 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 0.49 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 11.14 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 4.47 | 资料来源：最闻 姚健 执业登记编码：S0760525040001 邮箱：yaojian@ ...