证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 05 08 年 月 日 青鸟消防（002960.SZ） 消防产品新国标开始实施，龙头份额有望提升 事件：2025 年 5 月 1 日，三项消防产品新国标开始实施，包括《火灾报 警控制器》（GB 4717—2024）、《《点感烟火火灾测器器》（GB 4715—2024）、 《消防应急照明和疏散指示系统》（GB 17945—2024）。 新国标将进一步提升产品性能和质量，为具备技术储备的龙头企业创造竞 争优势。此次新国标在技术上较之前的标准有了显著进步，并且更加突出 了智能化与整合，以及环保与安全标准。与国际标准相比，根据消防百事 通引用的应急管理部沈阳消防研究所丁宏军研究员介绍，GB4715 和 GB4717 提升了可变数值要求、污染报警要求、网络通讯要求，这部分已 经超越了国际标准，为未来物联网建设以及智慧消防建设奠定了基础。我 们认为，新国标的发布造成的短期清库存压力已在过去一年内得到较充分 的消化，自新国标开始实施后，青鸟消防等行业龙头有望通过行业集中度 提升、存量改造需求释放及技术壁垒强化，进一步提升市场份额。 工业消防业务高速增长，国产替 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 22.5 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company maintains a high dividend level and emphasizes the progress of the Yulong Copper Mine Phase III expansion [8]. - The company achieved a revenue of 50.03 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and a net profit of 2.93 billion CNY, up 5% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 16.54 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 51%, and a net profit of 808 million CNY, up 10% year-on-year [1]. Production and Performance Summary - In 2024, the company exceeded its copper production target with a total of 177,543 tons, a 35% increase year-on-year, and a completion rate of 112% [2]. - The average copper price in 2024 was 74,932 CNY/ton, reflecting a 9.7% year-on-year increase [2]. - The company plans to produce 168,208 tons of copper in 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase [4]. Financial Forecast - The company aims to achieve total revenue of 55 billion CNY and a total profit of 5 billion CNY in 2025 [8]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 61.29 billion CNY, 63.08 billion CNY, and 65.70 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of 3.57 billion CNY, 3.87 billion CNY, and 4.10 billion CNY [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.50 CNY, 1.62 CNY, and 1.72 CNY, respectively [9]. Production Plans - The company plans to increase its lead and zinc production in 2025, with a target of 65,672 tons of lead and 124,581 tons of zinc, both showing year-on-year growth [4]. - The Yulong Copper Mine's processing capacity has been upgraded to 22.8 million tons per year, with ongoing expansion projects [8].

2025 年 05 月 08 日 业绩稳健增长，2025 年稳中求进 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：肖燕南 | S1050123060024 | | xiaoyn@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-05-07 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 125.87 | | 总市值（亿元） | 1853 | | 总股本（百万股） | 1472 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 1469 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 100.02-192.74 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 1650.75 | 市场表现 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 (%) 泸州老窖 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《泸州老窖（000568）：浓香鼻 祖壮志凌云，三大品系交替发力》 2024-12-15 2、《泸州老窖（000568）：业绩表 现稳健，费投同比优化》2024-10- 31 3、《泸州老窖（0005 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company achieved a significant reduction in losses, with a total revenue of 129.47 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.32% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 201.38 million yuan, a reduction in loss by 127.58 million yuan compared to the previous year, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency improvements [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its revenue matrix through its main product, Aikening, and diversified business operations [1][2] Revenue Growth and Business Development - The company is actively promoting Aikening for new indications, with clinical trials for maintenance therapy and immune reconstitution failure approved by the National Medical Products Administration [2] - There is a significant unmet clinical need in the immune reconstitution failure area, with over 200,000 patients in China, indicating potential for future commercialization [2] - The company is exploring new technologies in the small nucleic acid field, with a candidate drug for IgA nephropathy, FB7013, entering the IND-enabling stage [2] High-End Generic Drugs and Future Projections - The company is making breakthroughs in high-end generic drugs, with FB4001 expected to be approved in the US by 2025 and FB3002's application accepted for review [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 161 million yuan, 190 million yuan, and 223 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.0%, 18.4%, and 17.2% respectively [3][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -182 million yuan, -120 million yuan, and -176 million yuan for the same period [3][5] Financial Metrics - The company reported a revenue of 114 million yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 34.8% [5] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to improve from -0.88 yuan in 2023 to -0.49 yuan in 2025 [5] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 3,206.39 million yuan, with a closing price of 8.56 yuan as of May 7 [6]

证券研究报告：电力设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-08 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 86.20 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）6.46 | / 6.46 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）557 | / 557 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 108.73 / 64.17 | | 资产负债率(%) | 37.4% | | 市盈率 | 18.11 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波梅山保税港区艾思 | | | 睿投资管理有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:杨帅波 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070002 Email:yangshuaibo@cnpsec.com 德业股份(605117) 逆变器出货高增，储能电池包业务快速成长 l 投资要点 事件：2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季 报。 2024 年公司营收 112.1 亿元，同比+49.8%；归母净利润 29.6 亿 元，同比+65.3%；其中 2024Q4 公司营收 31.9 亿元，同环比分别 +176.5%/-2 ...

证券研究报告：电力设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-08 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 26.61 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）0.84 | / 0.84 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）22 | / 22 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 42.29 / 23.53 | | 资产负债率(%) | 24.0% | | 市盈率 | 45.10 | | 第一大股东 | 傅仕涛 | 研究所 分析师:杨帅波 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070002 Email:yangshuaibo@cnpsec.com 科威尔(688551) 氢能测试设备业务：不及预期，持续研发储备。2024 年氢能测试 设备业务营收 1.0 亿元，同比-15.1%，毛利率 46.9%，同比-0.1pct， 业绩不及预期主要是氢能产业的发展和标准体系的完善仍需要一定 时间。国家能源局于 2025 年 4 月 30 日发布《中国氢能发展报告 （2025）》，政策的顶层设计有望进一步强化，我们认为氢能产业景气 度有望逐步落地。 l 盈利预测 ...

分析师:杨帅波 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070002 Email:yangshuaibo@cnpsec.com 科威尔(688551) 业绩不及预期，静待氢能产业景气回升 证券研究报告：电力设备 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-08 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 26.61 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）0.84 | / 0.84 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）22 | / 22 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 42.29 / 23.53 | | 资产负债率(%) | 24.0% | | 市盈率 | 45.10 | | 第一大股东 | 傅仕涛 | 研究所 l 投资要点 事件：2025 年 4 月 25 日，公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季 报。 2024 年公司营收 4.8 亿元，同比-9.6%；归母净利润 0.5 亿元， 同比-58.1%；其中 2024Q4 公司营收 1.0 亿元，同环比分别-41.9%/- 18.0%，归母净利润-0.03 亿，同环比分别-106.2%/-126 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was 26.577 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.14%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.66%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.896 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.01% [1][3]. - The decline in electricity generation and a slight decrease in electricity prices contributed to the revenue drop. The total electricity generation was 51.384 billion kWh, down approximately 8.51% year-on-year, and the average on-grid electricity price was about 505.71 yuan/MWh, a decrease of about 0.71% [2][3]. - The decrease in coal prices significantly improved the company's profitability, with a gross margin of 10.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year. The average closing price of coal was 760 yuan/ton, down 164 yuan/ton year-on-year [3]. Financial Summary - The company plans to inject high-quality thermal power assets from its parent group, with the target assets having an operational installed capacity of approximately 16 GW, which will account for 26.85% of the company's total installed capacity by the end of 2024 [4]. - The report revises the profit forecast for 2025-2026, estimating net profits attributable to the parent company at 6.4 billion yuan, 7 billion yuan, and 7.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.1, 8.4, and 8.0 [4]. - The financial data indicates a projected revenue of 110.138 billion yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of -2.53% [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][9] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 11.21 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.8%, with a net profit of 2.96 billion yuan, up 65.3% year-on-year [4][11] - The inverter business saw a revenue of 5.56 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 25.4% year-on-year, while the energy storage battery pack business experienced a significant growth of 177.2% year-on-year, reaching 2.45 billion yuan [5][6] - The company is expanding its product offerings in emerging markets, particularly in energy storage solutions, which are expected to drive future growth [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.80 billion yuan, 19.90 billion yuan, and 24.65 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.68 billion yuan, 4.65 billion yuan, and 6.24 billion yuan [7][11] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15, 12, and 9 times respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [7][11] - The company’s gross margin and net margin for Q1 2025 were reported at 37.2% and 27.5%, showing improvements in profitability [4]

精智达（688627.SH）：半导体业务 爆发，新型显示业务再突破 | 2025 | 年 5 | 月 | 8 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 推荐/维持 | | | | | | 精智达 | 公司报告 | | | | ——2024 年报业绩点评 事件： 2025 年 4 月 25 日，精智达发布 2024 年度报告：公司 2024 年实现营业收入 8.03 亿元，同比增长 23.83%；归母净利润 0.80 亿元，同比下降 30.71%；扣 非归母净利润 0.69 亿元，同比下降 18.37%。 点评： 公司 2024 年度营收同比增长 23.83%，扣非归母净利润同比减少 18.37%，毛 利率短期下滑，半导体业务发展势头强劲。2024 年报告期内，公司实现营业 收入 8.03 亿元，同比增长 23.83%；扣非归母净利润 0.69 亿元，同比下降 18.37%。公司毛利率达 32.82%，同比下降 7.55pct。主要系收入结构战略调 整，毛利率在爬坡阶段，导致整体毛利率有所下滑。分业务来看，新型显示器 件检测实现营收 5.53 亿元，同比减少 2.09%，毛 ...