Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][5]. Core Views - The company reported Q1 revenue of 40 billion RMB, down 7% quarter-on-quarter and 33% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.8 billion RMB, down 46% quarter-on-quarter and 23% year-on-year, which was below expectations due to product inventory adjustments and increased direct sales costs [1][2]. - The launch of the second-generation Xiaolong MAX in April is expected to boost revenue and profit as the company transitions to new energy vehicles, alongside the new pricing and features of the Weipai Gaoshan model [1][3][4]. Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - The company sold 260,000 new vehicles in Q1, a decrease of 7% year-on-year. The gross margin was 18%, a decrease of 2% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 1% year-on-year. The average selling price (ASP) and gross profit per vehicle were 160,000 RMB and 30,000 RMB, respectively [2]. - Sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 5.7%, 2.3%, 4.8%, and -2.6%, respectively, with sales expenses increasing due to new vehicle marketing and direct sales investments [2]. Product Launches - The second-generation Xiaolong MAX was launched at a starting price of 116,800 RMB, featuring advanced four-wheel drive technology and a low fuel consumption rate of 0.97L/100km, which is expected to achieve monthly sales of over 8,000 units [3]. - The Weipai Gaoshan model has been revamped with a price drop and enhanced features, with expected monthly sales of over 6,000 units as it targets the mainstream MPV market [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 15.3 billion, 18.6 billion, and 20.1 billion RMB, respectively. The report assigns a PE ratio of 22x for A-shares and 11x for H-shares, with target prices set at 39.69 RMB and 20.95 HKD, respectively [5][13].

证券研究报告 新希望 (000876 CH) 主业聚焦效果显现，资金面趋于稳健 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 28 日│中国内地 | 农业综合 | 新希望发布年报，2024 年实现营收 1030.63 亿元（yoy-27.27%），归母净 利 4.74 亿元（yoy+90.05%），扣非净利 6.14 亿元（yoy+113.33%）。其中 Q4 实现营收 258.54 亿元（yoy-26.04%，qoq-6.43%），归母净利 3.20 亿 元（yoy-92.20%，qoq-76.63%）。公司 2024 年聚焦主业，经营优化显著， 看好公司成本下降空间及资金面持续优化，维持"增持"评级。 业务聚焦效果显现，24 年归母净利润同比+90% 受 2023 年年底公司转让白羽肉禽和食品深加工板块的控股权影响，2024 年营收同比下滑，而在猪价上升、成本优化等的带动下公司养猪业务大幅减 亏，同时饲料业务核心竞争力突出、持续贡献稳定盈利，公司 2024 年经营 表现优于去年，归母净利润同比+90%。具体：1）饲料实现营收 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·光伏设备 锦浪科技（300763） 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评：2025Q1 并网 及储能环比改善，全年有望恢复高增 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,101 | 6,542 | 9,646 | 12,212 | 14,996 | | 同比（%） | 3.59 | 7.23 | 47.45 | 26.59 | 22.80 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 779.36 | 691.16 | 1,156.77 | 1,506.17 | 1,908.31 | | 同比（%） | (26.46) | (11.32) | 67.37 | 30.20 | 26.70 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.90 | 3.77 | 4.78 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 26.27 | 29.62 | 17.70 | 13.59 ...

一季度业绩稳健增长，高阶产品需求继续上升 周期/化工 事件：公司发布 2025 年一季报，报告期内实现营业收入 2.39 亿元，同比增长 18.0%，归母净利润 0.63 亿元，同比增长 21.99%，扣非净利润 0.59 亿元，同 比增长 28.66%，符合预期。 ❑ 风险提示：能源成本上涨、新项目投产不及预期，下游需求不及预期。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 712 | 960 | 1225 | 1479 | 1768 | | 同比增长 | 8% | 35% | 28% | 21% | 20% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 195 | 285 | 364 | 455 | 564 | | 同比增长 | 3% | 46% | 28% | 25% | 24% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 174 | 251 | 320 | 399 | 494 | | 同比增长 | -8% | 44% | 27% | 25% | 24% | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a revenue of 4.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.31 billion yuan, up 7.0% year-on-year [7] - The brokerage business revenue surged by 49.0% year-on-year, accounting for 42.5% of total revenue, driven by increased market trading activity [7] - Investment banking revenue has declined, with a 112.0% year-on-year increase in total investment banking revenue, but a significant drop in equity underwriting [7] - Asset management revenue increased by 42.9% year-on-year, indicating strong growth in this segment [7] - The company's self-operated investment income decreased by 26.2% year-on-year due to a high base in the previous year [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.3 billion, 13.1 billion, and 14.0 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 7%, and 7% [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 19.82 billion, 20.89 billion, 23.38 billion, 24.51 billion, and 25.77 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 3.13%, 5.40%, 11.92%, 4.82%, and 5.15% [1] - The projected diluted EPS for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 0.94, 1.13, 1.41, 1.50, and 1.61 yuan per share [1] - The P/E ratios for the same years are projected to be 19.33, 16.08, 12.88, 12.08, and 11.30 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 47.98 CNY per share [6][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 268.8 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.91%, and a net profit of 13.37 billion CNY, up 22.03% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 61.79 billion CNY, representing a 17.9% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 3.04 billion CNY, which is a 23.17% increase year-on-year [1]. - The global consumer electronics market is experiencing a recovery, driven by the deep application of AI technology and breakthroughs in product innovation such as foldable screens [2]. - The company is expanding its ODM business, leveraging a cross-disciplinary technology platform to offer a variety of popular product categories, including AR/VR glasses and smart home devices [2]. - The company has successfully overcome technical bottlenecks in 224G interconnect technology and has achieved mass production of 800G optical modules, receiving high market recognition [3]. - The acquisition of Leoni Group aims to enhance the company's automotive business ecosystem, which includes a complete product matrix in automotive wiring harnesses and connectors [4]. Financial Summary - The company expects revenues of 320.82 billion CNY, 372.53 billion CNY, and 427.96 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 17.39 billion CNY, 21.24 billion CNY, and 25.74 billion CNY for the same years [9][11]. - The company’s revenue growth rate is projected to be 19.4% in 2025, 16.1% in 2026, and 14.9% in 2027 [12]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve from 5.0% in 2024 to 6.0% in 2027 [11][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows a revenue of 4.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.31 billion yuan, up 7.0% year-on-year [7] - The brokerage business revenue significantly increased by 49.0% year-on-year, accounting for 42.5% of total revenue, driven by a rise in market trading activity [7] - Investment banking revenue has declined, with a 112.0% year-on-year increase in total investment banking revenue, but a 57.5% decrease in equity underwriting scale [7] - Asset management revenue rose by 42.9% year-on-year, indicating a strong performance in this segment [7] - The company's self-operated investment income decreased by 26.2% year-on-year due to a high base in the previous year [7] - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 12.3 billion, 13.1 billion, and 14.0 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 18%, 7%, and 7% respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 19.82 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.13% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 8.76 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.57% year-on-year increase [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected at 0.94 yuan for 2023, with a P/E ratio of 19.33 [1] Business Segments - Brokerage business revenue is projected to reach 6.18 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 7.23 billion yuan in 2025 [17] - Investment banking revenue is expected to be 0.86 billion yuan in 2024, slightly decreasing in subsequent years [17] - Asset management revenue is forecasted to grow from 0.72 billion yuan in 2024 to 0.78 billion yuan in 2025 [17] Market Position - The company holds a market share of 5.2% in margin financing, with a total margin balance of 100.1 billion yuan, reflecting a 24% increase since the beginning of the year [7] - The company ranks 8th in the industry for equity underwriting and 13th for bond underwriting, indicating a competitive position despite recent declines [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.77 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 14.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 710 million yuan, down 33.7% year-on-year and 17.2% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 700 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 34.2% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 13.3% [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a decline in revenue and profit, with a revenue of 77.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 7.1 billion yuan. The gross margin was 16.3%, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2 percentage points, while the net margin remained stable at 9.9% [2][12]. Market Conditions - The market prices for key products in Q1 2025 showed varied changes, with urea decreasing by 2.5% and DMF by 1.7%. The company’s sales volume for organic amine series products, chemical fertilizers, and acetic acid saw significant quarter-on-quarter declines of 11.1%, 3.9%, and 20.7%, respectively [12]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned at the bottom of the cycle, with expectations for gradual improvement in operations due to ongoing demand recovery and the release of new production capacity from the Jingzhou base. The company anticipates net profits of 3.72 billion yuan, 4.16 billion yuan, and 4.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company's revenue performance is under pressure, with expectations for demand recovery driven by national subsidies. The company has a solid foundation in smart drying products and aims to expand into multiple categories to drive future growth. The company has a market share of approximately 40% in the smart drying sector and anticipates a gradual recovery in revenue following the implementation of national subsidies in March 2025 [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 1.557 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 248 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 244 million, representing year-on-year declines of 8%, 24%, and 24% respectively. In Q4 2024, the expected revenue is 488 million, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 58 million and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 54 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 15%, 35%, and 42% respectively. For Q1 2025, the company is expected to generate revenue of 259 million, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 33 million and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 32 million, showing year-on-year declines of 11%, 40%, and 43% respectively [2][7][9]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company faces significant operational pressure in 2024, with an overall revenue decline of 8%. In Q4 2024, the revenue decline is projected at 15%. However, the decline in Q1 2025 is expected to narrow to 11%. The sales performance of smart home products is expected to grow, while traditional drying rack products are projected to decline by 19% [13]. The gross margin is under pressure due to changes in product mix, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 gross margins at 37.6% and 47.9% respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 15.5 and 4.0 percentage points [13]. Future Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 280 million, 330 million, and 380 million for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 17, and 15 times respectively [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10][11] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a 29.98% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024 and a 232.31% increase in net profit for Q1 2025 [5][10] - The company is expanding its fleet and opening new routes, which is driving growth in flight volume and improving fleet utilization [6][10] - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 76.04 billion, 86.64 billion, and 94.42 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 14%, 14%, and 9% [9][10] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 6.696 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.98%, and a net profit of 268 million, compared to a loss of 965 million in the same period of 2023 [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 1.774 billion, a 9.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 82 million, a 232.31% increase year-on-year [5] Fleet and Operations - The company expanded its fleet to 75 aircraft in 2024 and further to 77 in Q1 2025, with a focus on new route openings and increased flight frequency [6] - The available seat kilometers (ASK) grew by 33.21% in 2024 and 23.73% in Q1 2025, while the revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) increased by 40.72% and 28.08% respectively [6] Revenue and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the company's seat kilometer revenue was 0.433 yuan, a decrease of 2.4%, while other revenue per seat kilometer increased by 83.8% [7] - The operating cost per seat kilometer decreased by 10.4% in 2024, with significant reductions in fuel costs [8] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 701 million, 1.122 billion, and 1.388 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 161%, 60%, and 24% [10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 36.88 in 2024 to 6.86 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [10][11]