九阳股份(002242):Q3单季毛利率同比显著改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-03 12:33
2025 年 11 月 03 日 九阳股份(002242.SZ) Q3 单季毛利率同比显著改善 事件:九阳股份公布 2025 年三季报。公司前三季度实现收入 55.9 亿元,YoY-9.7%;实现归母净利润 1.2 亿元,YoY+26.0%。 经折算,Q3 单季度实现收入 16.0 亿元,YoY-11.0%;实现归母净 利润 85.5 万元,去年同期亏损 7732.9 万元。我们认为,Q3 九阳 外销仍有所承压,影响整体收入表现,期待后续经营改善弹性。 Q3 单季收入同比下降:国内家电以旧换新政策提振厨房小家电 行业需求。根据久谦数据,Q3 九阳线上销售额 YoY+16.5%,均价 YoY+6.8%。分品类来看,Q3 九阳线上电压力锅、电磁炉、电蒸锅、 豆浆机等品类销售实现快速增长。我们分析 Q3 公司内销业务增 长向好。海外方面,海外方面,受美国加征关税和公司关联交易 业务调整的影响,我们判断 Q3 公司海外业务承压。展望后续,国 补持续刺激小家电内销景气改善,九阳持续拓展新品和新渠道, 收入规模有望回升。 Q3 单季盈利能力同比提升:九阳 Q3 归母净利率为 0.1%,同比 +4.4pct。Q3 公司净利 ...
常熟汽饰(603035):25Q3收入高速增长,开始布局人形机器人
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-03 12:33
收入:公司收入同比增速超 30%,新能源客户贡献增量 25Q3 公司实现营收 18.91 亿元,同比+38.67%、环比+31.06%,主要由于新能源 客户销量增长:奇瑞 25Q3 销量 74.8 万辆,环比+17%;零跑 25Q3 销量 17.4 万 辆,环比+30%;蔚来 25Q3 销量 8.7 万辆,环比+20%,乐道新车在三季度产能 持续提升;小米 25Q3 销量 10.9 万辆,环比+33%,YU7 在三季度产量爬坡。 利润:25Q3 利润环比微增,新工厂新项目爬坡影响毛利率 实现归母净利 1.32 亿元,同比+2.07%、环比+2.51%。2025Q3 公司实现毛利率 12.83%、环比下降 2.98pct,预计主要是因为新工厂盈利水平较低,蔚来乐道等新 项目在三季度快速爬坡拉低总体毛利率水平;期间费用率下降,25Q3 期间费用率 为 8.33%,环比-2.87pct,主要由于收入规模增长带来的费用摊薄。另外,第三 季度投资收益 0.49 亿元,环比下降 0.21 亿元,预计主要因为合资车项目销量下 滑。 新能源客户驱动公司未来高成长,布局机器人传感器业务: 1)国内伴随自主客户放量收入高速增长: ...
TCL智家(002668):数智升级+产品结构优化,Q3盈利能力同比明显改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-03 12:33
事件:TCL 智家公布 2025 年三季报。公司 2025 年前三季度实 现收入 143.5 亿元,YoY+2.9%;实现归母净利润 9.8 亿元, YoY+18.5%。经折算,Q3 单季度实现收入 48.7 亿元,YoY-2.3%; 实现归母净利润 3.4 亿元,YoY+27.5%。我们认为,Q3 公司外销 表现稳健,内销有所承压,单季收入同比小幅下降;公司聚焦管 理增效和数智升级,叠加产品结构优化,Q3 盈利能力同比明显提 升。 Q3 单季收入同比小幅下降:公司分区域来看,1)据产业在线数 据,Q3 奥马+TCL 冰箱合计外销出货量 YoY+0.2%,TCL 洗衣机外销 出货量 YoY+43.4%。我们推断,美国关税政策对公司代工业务产 生一定的影响,但公司加大品牌业务推广力度,积极拓展东南亚、 拉美和中东等区域,推动 TCL 品牌洗衣机外销业务实现较快增长。 2)据产业在线数据,Q3 奥马+TCL 冰箱合计内销出货量 YoY-20.2%, TCL 洗衣机内销出货量 YoY-36.5%。我们推测,因国补推动家电消 费向中高端产品集中,公司内销产品定位偏基础款,导致内销业 务有所承压。展望后续,公司加力研发 ...
保隆科技(603197):25Q3业绩环比改善,空悬业务快速增长
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-03 12:33
事件:2025Q3 实现营收 20.98 亿元,同环比分别+13.85%/+2.59%;实现归母 净利 0.63 亿元,同环比分别-36.92%/+59.99%。 收入:空悬同比持续高速增长、爆款车型贡献增量 前三季度公司实现营收 60.48 亿元,同比增长 20.32%,其中空悬收入 9.53 亿元同 比+51.73%,传感器收入 5.57 亿元,同比+18.23%。2025Q3 实现营收 20.98 亿元, 同环比分别+13.85%/+2.59%,25Q3 收入同环比增长,主要是因为空悬业务收入提 升,主要为理想及蔚来贡献增量:蔚来乐道 L90 在三季度上市,三季度销量 2.2 万 辆贡献主要收入增量;理想 i8 及 i6 第三季度销量 1.7 万辆,环比增加 1.4 万辆。 展望四季度,蔚来 ES8 在三季度末上市销量爬坡,同时理想、小鹏等在四季度冲 量,25Q4 收入或将持续增长。 利润:25Q3 毛利率环比改善,汇兑贡献减少 2024Q4 实现归母净利 0.54 亿元,环比下降 46.2%,1)2025Q3 实现毛利率 21.34%,同比-3.26pct,环比+0.86pct,同比毛利率下降主要是因 ...
滨江集团(002244):优质的资产负债表进退自如,经营节奏稳步推进
CMS· 2025-11-03 12:32
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 11 月 03 日 滨江集团(002244.SZ) 优质的资产负债表进退自如,经营节奏稳步推进 周期/房地产 总结:2025 三季报公司业绩改善的主要原因是交付体量提高、毛利率改善和费 用率控制得当;销售方面,前 10 月销售完成全年目标 86%;资产负债表方面, 债务控制得当使得公司战略空间相对舒适;拿地方面,积极把握土地市场窗口 期,前10月投资强度和权益拿地比例均提高。预计2025-2027年EPS分别0.91、 1.01、1.1 元,维持"强烈推荐"评级,考虑到未来行业竞争格局改善的长期逻 辑或抬升优质房企估值溢价,且供给端逻辑有望主导新房市场,公司产品能力 在行业中较强,给予目标价 13 元/股(对应 2025PE=14.4X)。 ❑ 2025 三季度公司业绩同比较大幅度改善的主要原因是交付楼盘体量增长、毛 利率改善和费用率控制得当。2025 三季报公司实现营业收入/营业利润/归母 净利润分别为 655.1 亿/60.3 亿/24 亿(分别同比提高 60.6%/提高 118.3%/提 高 46.6%)。(1)营业收入增长 60.6%,主因 2025 年前 ...
科大讯飞(002230):三季报点评:经营显著改善,商业化快速进展
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-11-03 12:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [10] Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in operations and rapid progress in commercialization, particularly in AI applications within vertical industries such as education and healthcare [7] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 16.989 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.067 billion yuan, reflecting an 80.6% increase year-on-year [7] - The company achieved a net profit of 1.72 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a substantial year-on-year growth of 202.40%, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A at 19.65 billion yuan, 2024A at 23.34 billion yuan, 2025E at 27.68 billion yuan, 2026E at 31.62 billion yuan, and 2027E at 36.37 billion yuan, with growth rates of 4%, 19%, 19%, 14%, and 15% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 0.657 billion yuan for 2023A, 0.560 billion yuan for 2024A, 0.877 billion yuan for 2025E, 1.215 billion yuan for 2026E, and 1.597 billion yuan for 2027E, with growth rates of 17%, -15%, 57%, 39%, and 31% respectively [2] - The company maintains a gross margin of approximately 40%, demonstrating strong market competitiveness [7] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a leading position in AI commercialization, particularly through its "Xunfei Spark" model, which has seen significant project wins in the education and healthcare sectors [7] - The report highlights the importance of the developer ecosystem and the company's focus on self-controlled core technologies, which have contributed to its market position and revenue growth [7] - The company is also expanding its international business and enhancing its developer ecosystem, which is expected to bring long-term value [7]
迈瑞医疗(300760):拐点已现,海外提速驱动业绩基本面逐季改善
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-11-03 12:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [4][17]. Core Views - The company has shown signs of a performance turnaround, with quarterly improvements in its fundamental performance driven by accelerated overseas growth [1][6]. - The company reported a revenue of 25.834 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 12.38%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 7.570 billion yuan, down 28.83% [6]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 9.091 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 1.53%, indicating a potential inflection point in performance [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023A, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 34.932 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.0%. However, a decline of 1.9% is expected in 2025E [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 11.582 billion yuan in 2023A, with a growth rate of 20.6%, but a significant drop of 14.6% is anticipated in 2025E [4]. - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 61.95%, down 2.92 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to pricing pressures in the domestic market [6]. Business Segments - The in-vitro diagnostics business continues to perform strongly overseas, with international revenue accounting for 37% of the segment's total in the first three quarters of 2025 [6]. - The life information and support business returned to growth in Q3 2025, with a revenue increase of 2.60%, driven by a more than 25% growth in minimally invasive surgery [6]. - The medical imaging business maintained its market position, with a revenue of 1.689 billion yuan in Q3 2025, showing a significant reduction in the decline compared to the first half of the year [6]. Future Outlook - The company expects revenue growth to accelerate in Q4 2025, with projected revenues of 36.011 billion yuan for 2025E, followed by 39.956 billion yuan in 2026E and 44.404 billion yuan in 2027E [4][6]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025E is 9.962 billion yuan, with a recovery expected in subsequent years, reaching 12.562 billion yuan by 2027E [4][6].
德源药业(920735):2025年三季报营收利润超预期,格列齐特缓释片获批
Jianghai Securities· 2025-11-03 12:15
证券研究报告·公司点评报告 2025 年 11 月 3 日 江海证券研究发展部 医药行业研究组 执业证书编号:S1410524050001 | 当前价格: | 41.3元 | | --- | --- | | 投资评级: | 买入(维持) | 市场数据 | 总股本(百万股) | 117.32 | | --- | --- | | A 股股本(百万股) | 117.32 | | B/H 股股本(百万股) | -/- | | A 股流通比例(%) | 88.44 | | 12 个月最高/最低(元) | 66.66/29.68 | | 第一大股东 | 李永安 | | 第一大股东持股比例(%) | 10.38 | | 上证综指/沪深 300 | 3954.79/4640.67 | 分析师:吴春红 2025 年三季报营收利润超预期,格列 齐特缓释片获批 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 8.08 -4.66 60.29 绝对收益 11.62 6.83 98.53 1. 江海证券-公司点评报告-德源药业 -832735.BJ:2025 年半年报营收利润符合 预期,关注新品放量以及创新药 DYX116 和 DYX2 ...
宝丰能源(600989):2025Q3业绩维持高增,内蒙新产能优势明显
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-03 12:12
2025 年 11 月 03 日 公司点评 买入/维持 宝丰能源(600989) 昨收盘:18.44 2025Q3 业绩维持高增,内蒙新产能优势明显 走势比较 (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 24/11/4 25/1/15 25/3/28 25/6/8 25/8/19 25/10/30 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 73.33/73.33 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 1,352.27/1,35 | | | 2.27 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 18.94/13.85 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<业绩符合预期,内蒙新产能贡献显 著>>--2025-08-24 <<宝丰能源(600989.SH):内蒙项目 进展顺利,原料价格下行助力盈利提 升>>--2025-04-24 <<宝丰能源(600989.SH):内蒙项目 进展顺利,原料价格下行助力盈利提 升>>--2025-03-17 E-MAIL:wanght@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号:S1190523010001 事件:公司近期发布 2025 年三季报,期内实现营业 ...
中青旅(600138):天气叠加竞争激烈,三季度业绩承压
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-11-03 12:10
天气叠加竞争激烈,三季度业绩承压 中青旅(600138) 证券研究报告 旅游及景区 / 公司点评 / 2025.11.03 投资评级:增持(维持) 核心观点 | 基本数据 | 2025-11-03 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 9.73 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 7.24 | | 每股净资产(元) | 8.81 | | 总股本(亿股) | 7.24 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -9% -3% 3% 9% 14% 20% 中青旅 沪深300 分析师 耿荣晨 SAC 证书编号:S0160525070002 gengrc@ctsec.com 分析师 周诗琪 SAC 证书编号:S0160525060006 zhousq@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《竞争加剧叠加天气因素,业绩承压》 2025-09-01 2. 《景区业务客流略有承压,旅行社业务维 持高景气》 2024-11-07 3. 《景区业务呈现分化,关注出入境游复苏 机遇》 2024-09-02 ❖ 风险提示:客流不及预期、行业竞争加剧、宏观经济波动等风险 盈利预测 | [币种Table_FinchinaSimple] (人 ...