Core Insights - The report recommends investment directions driven by rising crude oil and natural gas prices, as well as geopolitical factors, particularly following military actions in the Middle East that have disrupted energy supplies [1][16] - The report highlights the impact of the Iran-Israel conflict on global energy markets, with significant price increases in European natural gas and potential profit recovery opportunities for domestic chemical sectors [1][16] Supply Side - Since June 2025, fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing industry has turned negative, with capital expenditures in basic chemicals and most sub-sectors declining for several consecutive quarters, indicating the end of the industry expansion cycle [2][17] - The "anti-involution" policy aims to eliminate low-price competition and promote the exit of backward production capacity, with industries such as pesticides, petrochemicals, and organic silicon already following suit [2][17] - Approval for new chemical production capacity is expected to tighten, accelerating the exit of high-energy-consuming and high-polluting small-scale backward production capacities [2][17] Demand Side - Traditional demand is expected to recover moderately due to global central banks entering a rate-cutting cycle and fiscal policy stimulus [2][17] - Emerging demand from industries such as renewable energy and AI continues to drive growth in key chemicals and materials [2][17] - China's chemical product sales account for over 40% of the global market, and with the dual drivers of overseas capacity reduction and domestic demand recovery, Chinese chemical companies are expected to continue increasing their global market share [2][17] Macro and Chemical Product Prices - In February 2026, China's comprehensive PMI output index was 49.5%, indicating a slight decline, with manufacturing PMI at 49.0% [3][18] - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) reported 4027 points, a 2% decrease month-on-month, indicating structural differentiation in chemical prices [3][18] - International oil prices have significantly increased due to geopolitical tensions, with WTI and Brent crude futures prices rising by 11.4% and 12.3% respectively by March 4, 2026 [3][18] Key Industry Research - Oil and Gas: February oil prices surged due to geopolitical tensions, with Brent averaging $69.4 per barrel and WTI at $64.4 per barrel, reflecting a significant increase [3][23] - Fluorochemicals: The industry is expected to maintain high prosperity due to the tight supply-demand balance and rising prices of mainstream refrigerants [3][19] - Phosphate Chemicals: The demand for phosphate rock is expected to increase due to energy storage applications, reinforcing its scarcity and maintaining high prices [3][19] - Potash: The global potash market is characterized by oligopoly and resource scarcity, with prices expected to recover moderately [3][19] Investment Portfolio - Recommended companies include China National Petroleum Corporation, CNOOC, Yara International, Dongyue Group, New Chemical Materials, and Chuanheng Co., which are positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics [3][22]

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 心猿意马 午流入超 300 亿，截至下午收盘仅净流入 55 亿，这与午后市场冲高回落的走势密切相关。 而尾盘指数能够有所回升，也正是得益于霍尔木兹海峡的利好消息释放，资金借机进场托底， 否则 今天 盘面走势仍存较大不确定性。 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体上涨，截止收盘，沪指涨0.64%，收报4108.57点；深证成指涨 1.23%，收报14088.84点；创业板指涨1.66%，收报3216.94点。 沪深京三市成交额达到 24128亿，较昨日小幅放量246亿。 老水看盘 指数 是 红 的， 个股 也是涨的 ，但 K 线 是 阴 的 ， 一句话 高开低走 。 A股 涨幅在亚太市场中表现偏弱。 今天 韩国股市反弹 9.63%，日本股市涨 1.90%，A 股虽 走势不强，但相较恒生指数仍显坚挺，恒生指数高开低走一度翻绿，恒生科技指数尾盘更是延 续杀跌态势，市场情绪依旧处于谨慎状态。 今天 市场涨幅中位数为 0.95%，较午间回落 0.6 个百分点。盘面中各类设备板块表现强 势，这一走势与正在召开的两会所释放的政策信号高度相关。政府工作报告中将集成电路、商 业航天、生物医药、 ...

作者 | 哥吉拉 数据支持 | 勾股 大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 谁能想到，美以伊这边打得不可开交，连续两天涨停的 "三桶油"成了资金的避风港。 短短三个交易日，中国石油、中国海油涨近 20% ，中国石化涨近 15% 。 中石油甚至只需要再努力一点，就可以超过工商银行，坐上 A 股市值第一的"宝座"。 时间线再拉长些，自从 1 月美国往中东增兵，开战形势露出苗头后，石化油气等板块连日的上涨趋势就此开启。 潜能恒信、通源石油、洲际油气等中小市值石油股进入疯狂的翻倍模式，完全踩在短期题材博弈的节奏中。 | | | | | 油气股年初迄今股价表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 还原 | 代理 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨幅 | 年初至今 | 总市值 | | 1 | 300164 | 通線石油 | 22.41 | -8.75% | 305.98% | 131.9亿 | | 2 | | 920088 科力股份 | 80.28 | -9.22% | 174.93% | 70.70亿 | | 3 | 600759 | 洲际油气 | 8 ...

2026 年 03 月 05 日 每日晨报 | 主要市场股指表现 | 4.00 | 近一交易日% | 近20交易日% | （%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2.00 | 0.00 | | | | | -2.00 | -4.00 | | | | | -6.00 | -8.00 | | | | | -10.00 | | | | | | 工作邮箱：zqyjsw@jyzq.cn | | | | | 金元晨报 股市回顾 国际要闻 国内要闻 重要公告 每 日 晨 请务必仔细阅读本报告最后部分的免责声明 曙光在前 金元在先 -1- 报 A股行情：上证指数报报4082.47点，下跌0.98%，成交额11130. 82亿元；深证成指报13917.75点，下跌0.75%，成交额12526.72亿 元；创业板指报3164.37点，下跌1.41%，成交额5441.57亿元。 亚太市场：香港恒生指数跌2.01%，报25249.48点。恒生科技指 数跌0.96%，报4829.50点。国企指数跌1.45%，报8483.95点。日 经225指数跌3.61%，报54245.54点。韩国KOSPI指 ...

记者丨曾静娇 编辑丨刘雪莹 3月5日早盘，亚太股市主要股指集体反弹。 A股、港股指数走强； 日经225指数上涨2.7%，日内拉涨超1400点；韩国综合指数 涨超10%，盘中 短暂触发熔断，三星电子、SK海力士涨超10%。 （回顾） | 日经225 | 韩国综合 | 新加坡海峡 | | --- | --- | --- | | 55713.27 | 5617.45 | 4844.93 | | +1467.73 +2.71% +523.91 +10.29% +32.18 +0.67% | | | | 澳洲标普200 | 印度 | MSCI台湾 | | 8925.10 | 79116.19 | 1349.18 | | -18.30 -0.20% 0.00 0.00% +42.63 +3.26% | | | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 恒生指数 | | 4116.77 | 14150.45 | 25546.63 | | +34.30 +0.84% +232.70 +1.67% +297.15 +1.18% | | | 截至午盘， 上证指数涨近1%， 深成指涨逾1.6%， 创业板指、科创综指涨超2%。全市场超4500 ...

注:本报告资讯信息来源于万得资讯和金十数据，冠通研究整理编辑 本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格，请务必阅读免责声明。 分析师：王静，执业资格证号 F0235424/Z0000771。 免责声明： 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和 意见仅供参考，并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的 任何直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送，版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可， 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版，复制，引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为冠通期 货股份有限公司。 资讯早间报 发布日期：2026/3/5 隔夜夜盘市场走势 地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层（100020） 总机：010-8535 6666 1. 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX 黄金期货涨 0.54%报 5151.60 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银期货涨 0.35%报 83.77 美元/盎司。中东局势紧张推升原油价格及通胀 担忧，地缘政治风险升温提升黄金避险需求，同时高利率环境下经济不确定性 ...

2026年3月5日星期四 ➢ 美经济数据强劲；中国或调低经济目标。 A股跳空下跌。上证指数收跌0.98%报 4082.47点，深证成指跌0.75%，创业板指 跌1.41%。航天航海，船舶，油气开采等 行业涨幅居前。香港恒生指数收跌2.01% 报25249.48点，连跌3日；恒生科技指数 跌0.96%，恒生中国企业指数跌1.45%。油 气、航运板块显著回调，科网股普跌。 大市成交额大放量至3643.039亿港元。外 盘方面，欧洲三大股指止跌反弹，美国 三 大 股 指 全 线 收 涨 ， 道指涨 0.49% 报 48739.41 点 ， 标 普 500 指 数 涨 0.78% 报 6869.5点，纳指涨1.29%。美国2月服务业 扩张步伐创近四年来最快，ADP数据显示 美企新增就业岗位创7月以来最高。全国 人大会议周四开幕，中国政府或调低今 年经济增速目标。 资料来源：彭博 | 25249.48 | -2.01 | -1.49 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8483.95 | -1.45 | -4.82 | | 4829.50 | -0.96 | -12.45 | | 121.99 | 0.44 ...

Macro and Strategy - The February PMI data indicates a decline in manufacturing activity, primarily due to the extended Spring Festival holiday, with new export orders showing a notable decrease, reflecting a cooling in external demand [7] - The rise in oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, is expected to push inflation higher, increasing the likelihood of a positive PPI in the first half of the year [7] - Attention is drawn to the upcoming National People's Congress meeting for policy direction, with a projected GDP growth target of 4.5%-5.0% for the year [7] Chemical Industry - The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are expected to elevate the risk premium and transportation costs for oil, leading to a higher baseline price for crude oil [8] - The attack on Qatar's energy facilities has caused a surge in European natural gas prices, impacting the European chemical industry [8] - Domestic refining companies are less affected by the Iranian conflict due to ample crude oil inventories [8] - Recommended stocks include oil and gas producers such as China National Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil, as well as chemical companies like Sinochem International and Wanhua Chemical, which may benefit from rising energy prices [8] Metal Industry - The drag from the real estate sector on copper and aluminum demand has significantly reduced, with potential for demand growth if real estate data rebounds [9] - Emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and electronic equipment continue to drive demand for copper and aluminum [9] - Some downstream sectors remain weak, but domestic demand policies are expected to boost related sectors [9] Company Analysis: Weixing Co., Ltd. - Weixing Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 4.787 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.41%, while net profit decreased by 8.38% to 642 million yuan [13] - The fourth quarter showed a recovery in revenue growth, but profits were pressured by increased foreign exchange losses and rising depreciation [14] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in orders and a potential easing of negative impacts from tariffs and exchange rates in 2026 [14] Company Analysis: MINIMAX-WP - MINIMAX-WP reported a revenue of $79.04 million for 2025, a 159% year-on-year increase, driven by significant growth in AI-native products [16] - The adjusted loss rate narrowed significantly, with gross margin improving to 25% due to enhanced model efficiency and optimized infrastructure [16] - The company plans to focus on programming, office applications, and multi-modal content creation in 2026, anticipating rapid growth in token consumption [17][18]

早 报 精 选 3、欧美股市全线上涨，美股加密货币概念股集体大涨。 1、十四届全国人大四次会议今日上午开幕。 4、Seedance2.0生成视频价格公布，生成视频一秒1块钱。 2、国新办今日举行吹风会，解读《政府工作报告》。 5、中石油超越农业银行，夺得A股市值冠军。 宏 观 新 闻 1、十四届全国人大四次会议3月4日在人民大会堂举行新闻发布会，大会发言人娄勤俭就大会议程和人大工作相关问题回答中外记者 提问。娄勤俭介绍，十四届全国人大四次会议将于3月5日上午开幕，3月12日下午闭幕，会期8天，共安排3次全体会议。大会议程共 有十一项。 行 业 新 闻 2、国务院新闻办公室将于今日上午11时30分举行吹风会，请《政府工作报告》起草组负责人、国务院研究室主任沈丹阳，《政府工 作报告》起草组成员、国务院研究室副主任陈昌盛解读《政府工作报告》，并答记者问。 1、从知情人士处获悉，鸿蒙智行"五界"以及"华系"更多品牌和价位车型将陆续搭载896线激光雷达。3月4日，华为乾崑发布全球量 产线束最高的896线新一代双光路图像级激光雷达，并率先搭载于尊界S800及问界M9旗舰版车型。 3、中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅4日同 ...

加入轩辕同学 ， 成就新汽车人! 设计 | 甄 尤 美 题图 ｜ A I 撰文 | 郝 雨 涵 编辑 | 张 南 "15年被套11年，今天终于解套了。"一位持有中石油股票的网友，2026年3月3日，在社交媒体平台这样说道。 炸弹落在波斯湾，也炸出了股市"三桶油"的历史首次集体涨停。 当天，受美伊冲突影响，石油板块持续大涨。其中，中国海油、中国石油、中国石化（简称"三桶油"）更是收获两连板，创下其A股历史首次集体 涨停纪录，中石油更是趁这波涨势重回A股市值第一。 油价同步飙升，出现历史性涨幅。3 月 3 日布伦特一度突破 85 美元 / 桶，较战前涨超 20%，创下2025年1月以来的最高水平。 黄金作为避险资产的"压舱石"作用，也在发生美国和以色列对伊朗战争的这几天体现得淋漓尽致。Wind数据显示，伦敦金属交易所现货黄金价格 一度逼近5400美元/盎司，而COMEX黄金期货盘中则突破了5400美元大关。 这些异常波动的原因当然是因为对伊朗的战争，而直接的导火索则是全球能源运输的咽喉要道——霍尔木兹海峡的停摆。 当地时间2月28日晚，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队宣布，禁止任何船只通过霍尔木兹海峡。随后的两天里，海峡内已有 ...