行 业 及 产 业 2026 年 03 月 03 日 详解"里程费" 看好 ——一周一刻钟，大事快评（W145） 《小鹏比亚迪新技术发布，投资进入事件 催化密集期 ——2026/2/24-2026/3/1 汽 车周报》 2026/03/01 证券分析师 戴文杰 A0230522100006 daiwj@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱傅哲 A0230524080008 zhufz@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： ⚫ 核心风险：原材料价格波动风险，地缘政治风险，行业复苏不及预期 点 评 行 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 业 研 究 / 行 业 汽车 相关研究 ⚫ 详解"里程费"：近期市场关注"新能源车里程费"。我们将结合国内财税结构、汽车 产业发展背景及政策推进流程，分析其核心逻辑、现实动因及未来落地展望。 ⚫ 从现行财税体系来看，汽车的相关税费是公路建设与养护的核心资金来源。其中，养路 费自 2009 年起已正式并入成品油消费税，当前每升成品油中约含 1 元相关税费，该部 分收入通过国家转移支付拨至 ...

线控底盘：解锁高阶智驾，迈入放量周期 20260302 摘要 线控底盘行业正经历从"技术导入"到"放量落地"的关键阶段，预计 市场规模将从百亿级增长至千亿级，渗透率持续提升，主要增长点集中 在线控制动与线控转向。 线控底盘通过电子电气架构升级，实现多系统电控互联与协同，响应速 度显著提升至毫秒级，更适配高阶智驾对系统响应能力、协同控制与安 全冗余的需求。 政策层面，2020 年以来陆续出台政策鼓励线控系统开发，2025 年制动 与转向相关新国标发布，为线控关键部件上车提供明确规范与依据，并 明确 L3 及以上自动驾驶定义。 市场空间方面，预计 2025 年线控底盘相关市场规模约为 400 多亿，到 2030 年有望达到接近 1,200 亿水平，行业处于高速生长期，渗透率持 续提升。 线控制动主要分为 EHB 与 EMB/EMV 两种技术路线，当前主流为 EHB，其中 One Box 方案因集成度高、成本相对较低且能量回收能力 强而占据主导地位，市场集中度较高。 Q&A 为什么在 2026 年这个时点发布线控底盘行业深度报告，核心产业判断是什么？ 2026 年预计将成为智能驾驶显著加速的关键年份，产业端有望从 ...

Q&A 伯特利 20260302 摘要 线控转向行业正处于爆发初期，具备产业趋势性配置价值，自 2025 年 以来，L3 级测试在更多城市快速路展开，行业热度与资本市场关注度同 步提升，预示着未来 3-5 年的产业周期。 全球转向系统市场由博世、捷太格特、采埃孚等外资寡头垄断，占据 70%-80%的份额，产品结构升级带来 ASP 弹性，单车价值从 CEPS 的 1,000 元提升至线控转向的 4,000 元，后轮转向新增 2000 元价值。 伯特利以不超过 22 亿元的估值收购豫北转向 51%股权，交易对价 11.2 亿元，完成后豫北转向纳入伯特利合并报表范围，预计将显著提升伯特 利转向业务的整体规模和市场竞争力。 豫北转向在转向器结构件领域处于国内龙头地位，2021 年销量约 500 万台，国内市占率约 20%，已完成 CEPS、PEPS 产品体系，并攻克 REPS 研发，客户覆盖比亚迪、长安、一汽等国内主机厂及福特、日产 等海外客户。 完成豫北转向并表后，伯特利转向业务收入预计接近 40 亿元，占整体 业务的 30%-40%，业务弹性显现，同时，转向与制动在核心零部件上 存在共通性，预计将带来成本与研发端 ...

汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20260301 静待板块需求好转 北美缺电链迎来高增 glmszqdatemark 投资建议： 乘用车：各地陆续开启 2026 年以旧换新补贴，叠加春节后车展前新车陆续推出， 汽车销量有望企稳回升，建议关注乘用车需求底部的左侧机会，推荐【吉利汽车、 小鹏汽车、比亚迪】，建议关注【江淮汽车】。 零部件： 1）智能化：推荐智能驾驶-【伯特利、地平线机器人、科博达】，智能 座舱-【继峰股份】；2）新势力产业链：推荐 H 链-【星宇股份、沪光股份】；推 荐 T 链-【拓普集团、新泉股份、双环传动】；3）业绩反转链：推荐【金固股份】 4）北美缺电链：推荐【潍柴动力】，建议关注【动力新科、渤海汽车、天润工业、 长源东谷、中原内配、威孚高科】等。 机器人：推荐汽配机器人标的【拓普集团、新泉股份、伯特利、均胜电子、沪光 股份、豪能股份、双环传动、隆盛科技】，汽车机器人主机厂【小鹏汽车】，建 议关注【岱美股份、宁波华翔】。 摩托车：推荐中大排量龙头车企【春风动力、隆鑫通用】。 商用车：重卡-天然气重卡企稳回升，以旧换新政策驱动内需向上，推荐【潍柴动 力、中国重汽】；客车-出口盈利能力强劲，推荐【宇通 ...

汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20260301 投资建议： 乘用车：各地陆续开启 2026 年以旧换新补贴，叠加春节后车展前新车陆续推出， 汽车销量有望企稳回升，建议关注乘用车需求底部的左侧机会，推荐【吉利汽车、 小鹏汽车、比亚迪】，建议关注【江淮汽车】。 静待板块需求好转 北美缺电链迎来高增 glmszqdatemark 零部件： 1）智能化：推荐智能驾驶-【伯特利、地平线机器人、科博达】，智能 座舱-【继峰股份】；2）新势力产业链：推荐 H 链-【星宇股份、沪光股份】；推 荐 T 链-【拓普集团、新泉股份、双环传动】；3）业绩反转链：推荐【金固股份】 4）北美缺电链：推荐【潍柴动力】，建议关注【动力新科、渤海汽车、天润工业、 长源东谷、中原内配、威孚高科】等。 机器人：推荐汽配机器人标的【拓普集团、新泉股份、伯特利、均胜电子、沪光 股份、豪能股份、双环传动、隆盛科技】，汽车机器人主机厂【小鹏汽车】，建 议关注【岱美股份、宁波华翔】。 摩托车：推荐中大排量龙头车企【春风动力、隆鑫通用】。 商用车：重卡-天然气重卡企稳回升，以旧换新政策驱动内需向上，推荐【潍柴动 力、中国重汽】；客车-出口盈利能力强劲，推荐【宇通 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨伯特利（603596.SH） [Table_Title] 伯特利点评：控股豫北转向，迈向全球智能底盘 平台型企业 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司公告称拟收购豫北转向 50.9727%的股份，成为其控股股东。本次收购落地后，公司在线 控底盘布局将更加完整。展望未来，随着下游客户销量增长，公司业绩有望回升，同时底盘电 子轻量化多管齐下，海外进展顺利，看好公司成为全球智能底盘平台型企业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524070004 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 伯特利（603596.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 伯特利点评：控股豫北转向，迈向全球智能底盘 2] 平台型企业 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司公告称，拟收购豫北转向 50.9727%的股份，成为其控股股东。 ...

Stock Recommendations - Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) is positioned to benefit from AI developments despite recent stock price adjustments, with an expected EPS growth from 3.56 in 2024 to 4.57 in 2026[5] - Shengyi Technology (600183.SH) anticipates significant growth driven by server PCB upgrades and new AI customer acquisitions, with EPS projected to rise from 0.74 in 2024 to 2.37 in 2026[5] - Tuojing Technology (688072.SH) maintains a leading position in thin film deposition equipment, with EPS expected to increase from 2.48 in 2024 to 5.96 in 2026[5] Automotive Sector Insights - Bertly (603596.SH) is expected to benefit from the focus on autonomous driving, with an EPS forecast of 2.85 in 2026, reflecting a growth trajectory[6] - Yinlun (002126.SZ) is projected to see EPS growth from 0.96 in 2024 to 1.49 in 2026, supported by economic recovery in construction machinery and heavy trucks[6] Market Performance Overview - The weighted return of the gold stock portfolio in February 2026 was 6.47%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.09%[12] - Silver Wheel (002126.SZ) had the highest monthly increase at 32.15%, while Hongyuan Electronics (603267.SH) rose by 22.52%[12] Risk Factors - Potential risks include overseas policy changes and individual company operational risks, which could affect performance and earnings volatility[8]

2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 汽车 沪深300 汽车研究团队 邓健全（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090003 赵悦媛（联席首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525100003 汽车 赵旭杨（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523090002 傅昌鑫（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090005 徐剑峰（分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090004 王镇涛（研究员） 证书编号：S0790124070021 相关研究报告 《1 月新能源车出口量同比翻倍，创历 史同期新高—行业周报》-2026.2.14 《1 月重卡批发销量约 10 万辆，蔚来 2026Q4 经营利润转正—行业周报》 -2026.2.8 《FSD 付费用户渗透率超 12%，2025 全球人形机器人出货量同比增长 5 倍 —行业周报》-2026.2.1 数据中心分布式电源需求上行，产业链有望受益 ——行业周报 | 邓健全（分析师） | 赵悦媛（分析师） | 王镇涛（联系人） | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The demand for distributed power sources in North America is increasing due to the mismatch between the expansion of traditional power grids and the rapid construction of data centers, creating opportunities for on-site power generation and backup power equipment [5][16] - The automotive sector is experiencing a shift towards high-end luxury passenger vehicles, with expectations of increased performance as product matrices expand [8] - The automotive parts industry is expected to see an upward trend in profitability due to reduced competition and expansion in downstream markets [8] Summary by Sections 1. Data Center Distributed Power Demand - The power supply gap in North America is widening, leading to increased demand for distributed power sources [16] - Major tech companies are significantly increasing their capital expenditures for data centers, with a total expected expenditure of approximately $650 billion (about 4.58 trillion RMB) in 2026 [16][17] - The total installed capacity of data centers in the U.S. is projected to grow from about 17 GW in 2025 to approximately 50 GW by 2030 [16] 2. Industry News Highlights - XPeng Motors announced that Volkswagen will be the first customer for its second-generation VLA model [6] - Huawei's autonomous driving system recorded over 470 million kilometers during the Spring Festival, equivalent to 190,000 round trips between Beijing and Shanghai [6] - NIO's chip subsidiary completed its first round of financing, raising over 2.2 billion RMB [6] 3. Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance this week saw the CSI 300 index increase by 1.08%, while the automotive sector rose by 0.59%, ranking 23rd among A-share industries [7][43] - The passenger vehicle index decreased by 1.41%, with GAC Group and NIO leading the gains [7][46] - The commercial vehicle index increased by 1.41%, with Hailun Zhe and Weichai Power leading the gains [7][50] 4. Investment Recommendations - For passenger vehicles, the demand for domestic high-end luxury vehicles is exceeding expectations, with recommended stocks including JAC Motors and Seres, while benefiting stocks include Geely [8] - In the parts sector, companies like Desay SV and Zhejiang Xiantong are recommended due to expected profitability improvements [8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [59]. Core Insights - The automotive parts sector has shown a weekly increase of 1.73%, ranking first among the SW automotive indices, with a year-to-date increase of 6.76% [3][18]. - The robotics sector experienced a slight increase of 0.08% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 2.63%, but underperformed compared to the automotive parts sector [3][30]. - Key developments include a strategic partnership between Zhiyuan and Minshi Group to accelerate the localization and deployment of robotic technology in Europe, and the launch of a new quadruped robot by Yushu [3][41]. Automotive Parts Sector Summary - The SW automotive parts PE (TTM) is at the historical 88.37% percentile, while the PB (LF) is at 81.92% [3][28]. - The top five gainers in the automotive parts sector this week were: Xingyuan Zhuomei (+10.64%), Berteli (+7.15%), Feilong Co. (+7.11%), Changhua Group (+5.19%), and Yinlun Co. (+4.73%) [3][48]. - The sector's trading volume has shown a slight recovery post the Lunar New Year, but demand remains affected by market conditions [3][25]. Robotics Sector Summary - The latest trading day for the robotics sector shows a PE (TTM) at 1.36 times that of the broader market, with a PB (LF) at 1.84 times [40]. - The sector's trading activity has seen a modest increase due to performances at the Spring Festival Gala, although it remains at historical lows [37][30]. - Significant events include the entry of Zhiyuan into the German market and the unveiling of a humanoid robot by Honor at an upcoming exhibition [41][43]. Investment Recommendations - For the automotive parts sector, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value segments to enhance ASP, particularly in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [3][54]. - In the robotics sector, look for certainty in opportunities, especially with the anticipated release of Optimus V3 and the application developments from companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [3][54].