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全市场都在战火里面找 HALO
远川投资评论· 2026-03-05 07:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging investment trend towards HALO assets, which are characterized by heavy assets and low obsolescence, as a response to the rapid advancements in AI and geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains and resource prices [1][2][4]. Group 1: HALO Assets - HALO stands for Heavy Assets and Low Obsolescence, indicating a shift in investment focus towards physical assets that are less likely to be disrupted by AI [1]. - High demand for stable physical assets such as utilities, transportation infrastructure, and long-cycle industrial capacity is highlighted as a key investment opportunity [1][2]. - Goldman Sachs' report indicates that the valuation gap between light asset and heavy asset portfolios is narrowing, with heavy assets experiencing valuation increases [4][7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The article notes a significant change in market sentiment, where traditional investment strategies favoring light assets are being challenged by the realities of supply chain disruptions and geopolitical conflicts [3][4]. - The capital expenditure race driven by major tech companies for AI infrastructure is compared to historical investments in telecommunications and railroads, indicating a substantial shift in capital flow towards heavy assets [10][13]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, are causing spikes in resource prices, further validating the investment thesis for HALO assets [13][15]. Group 3: China’s Role - The article emphasizes China's position as a leading manufacturer of physical assets, suggesting that its capabilities should not be undervalued in the context of global supply chain reconfiguration [16]. - The demand for Chinese manufacturing and materials is expected to rise as countries face challenges in rebuilding local supply chains, reinforcing the value of heavy assets [16][17]. - The article posits that the current global economic landscape favors real, productive assets over financial capital, with China being a central player in this transition [16][17]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - The article suggests that institutional investors are increasingly recognizing the importance of physical assets, with a notable shift in portfolio allocations towards sectors like metals and traditional energy [20][21]. - The narrative around supply chain management is evolving from "Just-in-Time" to "Just-in-Case," reflecting a strategic pivot towards securing raw materials and local production capabilities [21]. - The uncertainty in the market is prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies, advocating for a balanced approach that includes maintaining reserves and being prepared for volatility [21].
有色金属ETF(512400)开盘涨1.62%,重仓股紫金矿业涨1.32%,洛阳钼业涨1.65%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-03-05 04:46
有色金属ETF(512400)业绩比较基准为中证申万有色金属指数收益率,管理人为南方基金管理股份有 限公司,基金经理为崔蕾,成立(2017-08-03)以来回报为139.52%,近一个月回报为3.89%。 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布,不代表新浪财经观点,任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问,请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 3月5日,有色金属ETF(512400)开盘涨1.62%,报2.383元。有色金属ETF(512400)重仓股方面,紫 金矿业开盘涨1.32%,洛阳钼业涨1.65%,北方稀土涨1.23%,华友钴业涨2.09%,中国铝业涨2.77%,赣 锋锂业涨2.23%,山东黄金涨0.19%,云铝股份涨2.22%,中金黄金涨0.99%,藏格矿业涨1.04%。 ...
矿业ETF(561330)开盘涨1.55%,重仓股紫金矿业涨1.32%,洛阳钼业涨1.65%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-03-05 01:37
Core Viewpoint - The mining ETF (561330) opened with a gain of 1.55%, indicating positive market sentiment towards the mining sector [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The mining ETF (561330) opened at 2.418 yuan, reflecting a strong start in the market [1] - Since its establishment on October 19, 2022, the ETF has achieved a return of 138.14% [1] - The ETF's one-month return stands at 4.26%, showcasing recent positive performance [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks within the mining ETF include: - Zijin Mining: up 1.32% - Luoyang Molybdenum: up 1.65% - Northern Rare Earth: up 1.23% - Huayou Cobalt: up 2.09% - Aluminum Corporation of China: up 2.77% - Ganfeng Lithium: up 2.23% - Shandong Gold: up 0.19% - Yunnan Aluminum: up 2.22% - Zhongjin Gold: up 0.99% - Tianqi Lithium: up 1.96% [1]
有色金属ETF基金(516650)开盘跌3.09%,重仓股紫金矿业跌2.99%,洛阳钼业跌4.00%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-03-04 17:19
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650), which opened down by 3.09% at 2.230 yuan on March 4 [1] - Major holdings in the Nonferrous Metals ETF include Zijin Mining, which fell by 2.99%, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which dropped by 4.00% [1] - Other notable stock movements include Northern Rare Earth down by 3.29%, Huayou Cobalt down by 1.90%, and Ganfeng Lithium down by 1.62% [1] Group 2 - The performance benchmark for the Nonferrous Metals ETF is the CSI Sub-Industry Nonferrous Metals Theme Index return [1] - The fund is managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd., with the fund manager being Shan Kuanzhi [1] - Since its inception on June 9, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 129.65%, with a one-month return of 4.19% [1]
有色金属ETF(512400)开盘跌4.19%,重仓股紫金矿业跌2.99%,洛阳钼业跌4.00%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-03-04 16:21
有色金属ETF(512400)业绩比较基准为中证申万有色金属指数收益率,管理人为南方基金管理股份有 限公司,基金经理为崔蕾,成立(2017-08-03)以来回报为140.45%,近一个月回报为4.51%。 声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布,不代表新浪财经观点,任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问,请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 3月4日,有色金属ETF(512400)开盘跌4.19%,报2.263元。有色金属ETF(512400)重仓股方面,紫 金矿业开盘跌2.99%,洛阳钼业跌4.00%,北方稀土跌3.29%,华友钴业跌1.90%,中国铝业涨1.43%,赣 锋锂业跌1.62%,山东黄金跌6.07%,云铝股份涨2.59%,中金黄金跌5.59%,藏格矿业涨0.00%。 ...
钨价加速冲向百万-后市怎么看
2026-03-04 14:17
钨价加速冲向百万,后市怎么看?20260304 摘要 2025 年原生钨精矿产量同比下降约 2%,2026 年国内产量预计维持在 13.5 万标吨,供给端无大型新建矿山投产,中钨高新柿竹园技改增量需 待 2027 年底释放。 2026 年全球钨消费增速预计由 1.2%常态水平跃升至 5%以上,军工、 航天及新能源领域需求确定性增长,钨粉环节单吨利润最高达 20 万元, 反映终端高溢价承受力。 2025 年 55 度钨精矿均价 21.27 万元/吨(+58%),预计 2026 年均 价将高于 2025 年,价格维持高位震荡,但受替代风险及利润兑现影响, 100 万元/吨关口存在回调压力。 2026 年海外钨矿预计增量 0.8-1 万标吨,主要来自哈萨克斯坦巴库鲁 矿及越南马山技改;中国出口管制导致 2025 年海外供应减 20.8%,驱 动国内外价格倒挂及轮动。 全产业链库存处于历史低位,废钨库存因 2025 年高价已集中出清,矿 山端因利润极高(达 60-70 万元/吨)无囤货动力,2026 年原料缺口难 以通过二次资源有效补足。 行业集中度高,中钨高新、厦门钨业、洛阳钼业等五大头部企业产量占 配额约 50% ...
金属全品种会议
2026-03-04 14:17
金属全品种会议 20260303 摘要 中东地缘扰动触发电解铝减产约 65 万吨(全球占比 0.86%),能源成 本高企强化铝价弹性,短期景气度优于铜。 黄金避险情绪阶段性见顶后进入 V 型修复,长期逻辑由美国财政扩张及 美元信用决定,白银反弹弹性预计更高。 锡供给增量受限且 AI 数据中心贡献 2.3%需求增量,兴业银锡因 2028 年产能倍增预期(白银/锡产量增 200%)为首选。 稀土供需维持紧平衡,缅甸停产及国内指标收缩支撑价格上行,交易基 本面首选北方稀土,交易战略价值首选中国稀土。 镍矿受印尼配额削减及环保政策叠加影响,供给端存在强约束,港股利 星资源因低估值与高利润预期具备高性价比。 锑因军工战略价值重估,对标稀土估值仍有 50%以上空间;钨受刀具补 库支撑,2026 年下半年海外新矿投产前易涨难跌。 Q&A 伊朗相关事件通过哪些路径影响有色金属,尤其是电解铝? 主要通过供给端的"运输扰动"和"能源扰动"两条路径影响电解铝。第一, 围绕霍尔木兹海峡附近的中东 6 国产量合计约占全球电解铝产量的 9%,且该 区域电解铝以外销为主,生产链条呈现"从外部进口氧化铝、当地冶炼电解铝、 再对外出口"的特征 ...
金属行业3月投资策略展望:关注国内需求复苏,警惕海外地缘扰动
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2026-03-04 08:47
——金属行业 3 月投资策略展望 分析师: 张珂 SAC NO: S1150523120001 2026 年 3 月 4 日 钢铁 有色金属 投资要点: 行业数据 钢铁:节后需求复苏仍需一定时间,关注两会期间钢企自主减排对钢价的影 响以及两会期间"反内卷"相关信息。 行 行业月报 关注国内需求复苏,警惕海外地缘扰动 铜:国内下游企业逐步复工复产,市场需求有限,高价对需求仍有抑制作用。 美以对伊朗发动战争,地缘冲突可能扰乱全球供应链,进一步强化资源民族 主义,间接对铜价有支撑,但高铜价对需求的抑制或使铜价持续上升动力不 足,关注海外地缘局势和铜库存去化进度。 铝:氧化铝方面,考虑到节后氧化铝厂部分检修产能复工,供应增加或压制氧 化铝价格。电解铝方面,3 月国内电解铝厂将逐步复产,随着下游的复工,短 期铝行业将进入需求预期的验证阶段,关注实际需求、莫桑比克的 Mozal 铝 厂停产信息和海外地缘局势影响。 黄金:黄金的避险属性与央行购金将对金价形成支撑,需关注海外地缘局势 变化,短期金价或与避险情绪密切相关。 锂:3 月旺季需求预期乐观,行业供应或维持偏紧状态,碳酸锂价格有望维持 高位,关注监管层面信息、澳洲锂矿 ...
洛阳钼业(03993) - 截至二零二六年二月二十八日止股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2026-03-04 08:32
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03993 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 ...
上期有色金属指数解析:期货指数与股票指数有何差异?
申万宏源金工· 2026-03-04 07:31
| | | 表 1.《信号短篇门业冠增达_17万类 (2025-2026)》 上要内容 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 类别 | 核心内容 | 具体要点 | | | | 以质量效益为中心,供需协同发力, | | 1.坚持稳中求进工作总基调,强化科技创新与产业创新融 | | 息体要求 | | | 推动绿色化、数字化转型,培育新质 合; 2.统筹增量优化与存量盘活,以资源高效利用、精深 | | | | | 生产力,提升产业链供应链韧性和安 加工提质为核心;3.服务全国统一大市场,应对外部环境 | | | | 全水平 | 不确定性 1.增加值年均增长 5%左右,十种有色金属产量年均增长 | | 主要目标 | | | | | | | 2025-2026 年行业平稳增长、效益 | 1.5%左右;2.铜、铝、锂等国内资源开发取得进展,再生 | | | | 向好,资源保障与产品供给能力提升 | 金属产量突破 2000万吨;3.高端产品供给增强,绿色低 | | | | | 碳、数字化发展水平持续提升 | | 工作举措 | | | 1.实施找矿突破战略行动,攻关低品位等资源绿色采选冶 | | | ...