证券研究报告|海外策略周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 2 月 22 日 [Table_Title] 本周亚太市场震荡较多 全球主要市场表现 | [Table_Market1] 指数 | 收盘价 | 周涨跌 | 周涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 幅(%) | | 韩国综合指数 | 5,808.53 | 301.52 | 5.48 | | 胡志明指数 | 1,824.09 | 68.60 | 3.91 | | 法国 CAC40 | 8,515.49 | 203.75 | 2.45 | | 欧元区 STOXX50(欧元) | 6,131.31 | 146.08 | 2.44 | | 英国富时 100 | 10,686.89 | 240.54 | 2.30 | | 加拿大 S&P/TSX 综合 | 33,817.51 | 743.80 | 2.25 | | 巴西 IBOVESPA 指数 | 190,534.42 | 4,070.12 | 2.18 | | 富时新加坡海峡指数 | 5,017.60 | 79.82 | 1.62 | | 纳斯达克指数 | 22, ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月22日 2026年02月21日 港股市场速览 优于大市 能源与材料估值拉升，盈利预测平稳前滚 股价表现：行业分化较大，科技显著回撤 本周，恒生指数-0.6%，恒生综指-0.7%。风格方面，中盘（恒生中型股+0.6%） ＞小盘（恒生小型股+0.3%）＞大盘（恒生大型股-1.0%）。 主要概念指数走势分化。上涨的主要有恒生生物科技（+1.5%）；下跌的主 要有恒生互联网（-2.8%）。 国信海外选股策略表现分化。上涨的主要有 ROE 策略进攻型（+1.0%）；下 跌的主要有 ROE 策略防御型（-0.5%）。 18 个行业上涨，12 个行业下跌。上涨的主要有：石油石化（+5.4%）、有色 金属（+2.8%）、综合（+1.9%）、建筑（+1.9%）、医药（+1.6%）；下跌的 主要有：商贸零售（-3.7%）、电子（-2.4%）、传媒（-2.2%）、国防军工 （-2.1%）、计算机（-2.1%）。 估值水平：整体水平下降，能源与材料提升 本周，恒生指数估值（动态预期 12 个月正数市盈率，后同）-0.9%至 11.4x； 恒生综指估值-0.7%至 11.5x。 国信海外选股策略估值普 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance during the Spring Festival holiday, providing a positive reference for the A-share market as it prepares to open. The performance of overseas assets and Hong Kong stocks during the holiday is expected to be a key indicator for sector rotation in the A-share market [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant rally, contributing to a positive atmosphere for the A-share market's opening [1][9]. - During the holiday, the Hong Kong stock index fluctuated but ultimately rose, while the U.S. stock index saw only slight increases [2][10]. - Gold prices showed a four-day winning streak, indicating a strong performance in the precious metals sector [2][11]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - The Hong Kong market displayed structural trends, with sectors such as technology, internet, consumer electronics, and lithium batteries leading the gains. Notable stocks included Meituan, Tencent, and Alibaba [3][11]. - The optical fiber and cable leader, Longi Fiber Optic, saw its stock price double this year, driven by increased demand for high-fiber-count cables due to AI data center construction [12]. - Shipping and port stocks rose significantly due to geopolitical tensions, with China Merchants Energy's stock increasing nearly 90% since the beginning of the year [12]. Group 3: Fund Performance - Several funds heavily invested in Hong Kong stocks saw substantial gains, particularly in sectors like AI hardware, gold, innovative pharmaceuticals, and oil transportation, with some stocks rising over 10% during the A-share market's closure [11][12]. - Some innovative pharmaceutical companies in Hong Kong, such as Hang Seng Biotechnology and Hang Seng Healthcare, reported year-to-date gains exceeding 10% [4][13]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts expect structural opportunities in the A-share market to continue, with resource products and AI sectors remaining the main focus for capital [15]. - The ongoing geopolitical tensions are likely to sustain demand for gold, with expectations of a continued bull market for gold over the next 2-3 years [15][16]. - Investment strategies are suggested to focus on high-growth sectors like AI hardware and applications, as well as undervalued sectors that may experience fundamental improvements and valuation recovery [17].

Core Viewpoint - The travel data during the Spring Festival showed strong performance, while the IEEPA tariff ruling and escalating Middle East tensions disturbed risk appetite. The AI competition accelerated, and the resilience of the US economy led to a decline in interest rate cut expectations [1][2][7] Group 1: Major Events and Market Trends - The US Supreme Court ruled the IEEPA tariffs illegal, prompting Trump to invoke the Trade Act of 1974, resulting in an average tariff rate that may not differ significantly from previous levels [2][8] - The technology sector continues to see a high level of interest with new AI and robotics products emerging [2][14] - The US economy remains resilient, with inflation pressures emerging, leading to a decline in interest rate cut expectations [2][23] Group 2: Asset Class Performance - During the Spring Festival, major asset classes showed divergence, with the Nasdaq, Korean index, and European stocks rising by 1.51%, 5.92%, and 2.44% respectively, while Hong Kong stocks weakened due to liquidity and competitive pressures [3][26] - The bond market showed mixed results, with US Treasury yields slightly rising while Japanese and German long-term bond yields fell [3][26] - Precious metals and oil performed strongly due to safe-haven demand, with gold and silver prices reaching $5104 and $84 per ounce, respectively, and oil prices rising to $71 per barrel [3][26] Group 3: Debt Market Outlook - The post-Spring Festival bond market will largely depend on the fundamentals, policy signals, supply and demand, and stock market performance [4][41] - The bond market is expected to remain in a volatile state, with limited space below 1.8% for the 10-year Treasury yield [4][41] - The demand side of the bond market is primarily driven by insurance and bank allocations, with a focus on the potential for structural opportunities in medium to short-term bonds [4][40] Group 4: Stock Market and Convertible Bonds - The stock market is expected to open slightly lower on the first trading day after the holiday, with a focus on tariff and trade issues, the Fed's interest rate decisions, and geopolitical concerns [5][42] - The overall market sentiment is expected to remain positive, with potential for a quick recovery after a slight dip [5][42] - Investors are advised to optimize their positions during the post-holiday low opening, particularly in sectors like AI applications and humanoid robots that may be undervalued due to market sentiment [5][48]

阿里、腾讯、美团等被总结为建议调出的"老登恒生"成分股。同时，恒生生物科技指数也在当日逆市收 涨0.96%，另外，石油股也出现走强。 值得留意的是，虽然港股互联网主题ETF、恒生科技ETF等节前资金流入最多的ETF并未迎来涨势，但 表现强势的个股也有公募基金的布局身影，次新股以打新的方式布局，而表现强势板块则在此前已有主 动权益基金的加仓迹象。 2月22日，节后首个交易日，恒指和恒生科技虽然没有收涨，但AI概念股的涨势如期而至。 2月20日，港股三大指数集体收跌。其中，恒生科技收跌2.91%，恒生指数收跌1.10%，而恒生国企指数 收跌1.22%。相较于恒生科技的继续下挫，港股上市的AI概念次新股却迎来上涨，网友也出现了调整恒 生科技部分成分股的建议。 小米、中芯国际、比亚迪、腾讯、快手等成分股也在去年四季度被主动权益基金减持，不过，美团在去 年四季度得到主动权益基金增持超过1700万股。 石油、创新药板块走强 港股AI概念股大涨 截至2月20日收盘，智谱延续强势表现，收涨42.72%，报725港元；MiniMax也同样收涨14.52%，报970 港元。两大AI龙头盘中最高市值双双突破3000亿港元，与上市初 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened on February 20, 2023, with the Hang Seng Index closing down by 1.10% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 2.91% [1][8] - Despite the overall market decline, several robotics concept stocks rose significantly, indicating a "Spring Festival effect" [3][11] IPO and Market Activity - As of the new year, 24 new stocks have been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising over 87 billion HKD, with 488 companies currently waiting to go public [4][15] - The average daily trading volume in January exceeded 278 billion HKD, reflecting the effectiveness of liquidity enhancement measures [15] Sector Performance - The technology sector faced pressure, with major internet stocks like JD Health, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent experiencing declines ranging from 2.06% to 6.27% [9][10] - In contrast, the robotics sector saw notable gains, with stocks such as Yujian up by 21.4%, Sutech up by 9.24%, and Ubtech up by 4.71% [11][12] Gold Market - The Hong Kong gold market also performed well, with gold prices rising to 46,685 HKD per tael, an increase of over 200 HKD from the previous trading day [17][18] - The Hong Kong government aims to establish the city as an international gold trading center, targeting over 2,000 tons in gold storage within three years [16][17] Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index will increase its constituent stocks from 88 to 90, adding companies like CATL and Luoyang Molybdenum, effective March 9, 2023 [18][19] - The adjustments in the Hong Kong Stock Connect are expected to lead to significant trading activity, particularly for newly included stocks in the healthcare and technology sectors [19]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a collective decline on the first trading day of the Lunar New Year, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.1% to close at 26,413.35 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 2.91%, and the National Enterprises Index decreasing by 1.22% [1] Technology Sector - Most tech stocks saw declines, with Baidu Group down over 6%, Kingdee International and Bilibili down over 5%, Alibaba down 4.91%, NetEase down 4.27%, Xiaomi and SMIC down over 3%, Meituan down 1.58%, and Tencent Holdings down 2.06% [1] Robotics Sector - The robotics sector experienced a surge, driven by the Lunar New Year Spring Festival, with companies like Yujian rising over 21%, Shoucheng Holdings increasing nearly 12%, and Sutech Juchuang up over 9% [1] Oil Sector - Oil-related stocks saw gains, with China Merchants Energy rising by 6.34%, China Petroleum up by 3.7%, and CNOOC increasing by 2.23%. This uptick is attributed to rising international oil prices and concerns over escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, particularly in the Middle East oil-producing regions [1] Notable Stock Performance - Zhipu's stock price surged, closing with a gain of 42.72% at 725 HKD, bringing its total market capitalization to 323.2 billion HKD. The stock has seen a cumulative increase of 220.51% since February [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened for trading on February 20, 2023, with the Hang Seng Index closing down 1.10% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.91% [1][5] - Despite the overall market decline, several robotics concept stocks rose significantly, driven by the "Spring Festival Gala effect" [1][5] IPO Activity - As of the beginning of the year, 24 new stocks have been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising over 87 billion HKD, with 488 companies currently waiting to go public [1][12] - The average daily trading volume in January exceeded 278 billion HKD, indicating effective liquidity enhancement measures [12] Sector Performance - The technology sector faced pressure, with major internet stocks like Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent experiencing declines of 6.25%, 4.91%, and 2.06% respectively [5] - In contrast, the robotics sector saw notable gains, with stocks such as Yujian rising by 21.4%, SUTENG by 9.24%, and UBTECH by 4.71% [6][8] Gold Market - The Hong Kong gold market also performed well, with gold prices opening at 46,518 HKD per two taels and closing at 46,685 HKD, marking an increase of over 200 HKD [13] - The Hong Kong government aims to establish the city as an international gold trading center, targeting over 2,000 tons in gold storage within three years [12][13] Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index will increase its constituent stocks from 88 to 90, adding companies like CATL and Luoyang Molybdenum, effective March 9, 2023 [16] - The adjustments are expected to influence trading strategies, particularly for stocks that will be included in the Stock Connect program [17]

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index fell by 292.59 points, a decline of 1.1%, closing at 26,413.35 points [1] - The National Enterprises Index decreased by 110.76 points, closing at 8,959.56 points, a drop of 1.22% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 156.02 points, closing at 5,211.5 points, a decline of 2.91% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings decreased by 2.06%, closing at 522 HKD [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing fell by 0.24%, closing at 407.8 HKD [1] - China Mobile increased by 0.13%, closing at 78.5 HKD [1] - HSBC Holdings rose by 0.07%, closing at 134.3 HKD [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings declined by 0.93%, closing at 46.8 HKD [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 0.74%, closing at 135.7 HKD [1] - Henderson Land Development rose by 3%, closing at 33.68 HKD [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China increased by 0.21%, closing at 4.67 HKD [1] - China Construction Bank rose by 0.37%, closing at 8.04 HKD [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China increased by 0.16%, closing at 6.41 HKD [1] - Ping An Insurance decreased by 0.14%, closing at 70.55 HKD [1] - China Life Insurance fell by 0.47%, closing at 33.56 HKD [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - Sinopec fell by 0.55%, closing at 5.41 HKD [1] - PetroChina increased by 3.7%, closing at 9.52 HKD [1] - CNOOC rose by 2.23%, closing at 25.7 HKD [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market faced significant pressure on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, closing with the Hang Seng Index down 1.1% at 26,413 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.91%, and the National Enterprises Index down 1.22% with a total market turnover of HKD 165.4 billion [1][2]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with major players like JD Health and Baidu dropping over 6%. Other notable declines included Huahong Semiconductor, Kingdee International, Tencent Music, and Bilibili, all falling over 5%. Alibaba and NetEase dropped over 4%, while Xiaomi and SMIC fell over 3% [2][4]. - In contrast, oil and gas producers saw gains, with PetroChina and Henderson Land rising over 3%, and Midea Group, CSPC Pharmaceutical, CNOOC, Li Ning, and Hang Lung Properties increasing over 2% [2][4]. Specific Stock Movements - JD Health closed at HKD 56.85, down 6.27%, while Baidu fell 6.25% to HKD 129.00. Huahong Semiconductor and Kingdee International also saw significant declines of 5.76% and 5.65%, respectively [5]. - In the oil sector, companies like Yanchang Petroleum International led the gains, with shares rising 3.75% to HKD 0.415, and PetroChina increasing 3.70% to HKD 9.520 [10]. Emerging Trends - The robotics sector gained attention, with companies like Yujian rising 15.61% to HKD 70, driven by the popularity of robotics showcased during the Spring Festival Gala. Analysts predict significant growth in the robotics industry from 2021 to 2025, with large-scale production expected to begin in 2026 [14]. - The semiconductor sector is also highlighted, with a focus on storage solutions as a key area for investment, particularly in light of ongoing global inflation trends and improving domestic PPI [16].