Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall increase on January 12, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4165.29 points, up 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14366.91 points, up 1.75%, and the ChiNext Index at 3388.34 points, up 1.82% [1] - The total trading volume for both markets reached 360.14 billion yuan, an increase of 47.87 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 21 billion yuan, with an opening net outflow of 19.86 billion yuan and a closing net outflow of 5.16 billion yuan, totaling 21.31 billion yuan for the day [2] - The CSI 300 index saw a net outflow of 7.26 billion yuan, while the ChiNext index experienced a net outflow of 1.42 billion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The computer industry saw a significant net inflow of 36.56 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.97%, driven by stocks like Tonghuashun [5] - Other sectors with notable inflows included defense and military (7.07 billion yuan, 6.02% increase), media (7.02 billion yuan, 7.35% increase), non-bank financials (3.70 billion yuan, 1.62% increase), and retail (3.61 billion yuan, 2.83% increase) [5] - Conversely, sectors with significant outflows included power equipment (-8.94 billion yuan, 1.73% increase), non-ferrous metals (-6.92 billion yuan, 2.06% increase), electronics (-5.97 billion yuan, 1.97% increase), basic chemicals (-5.47 billion yuan, 1.00% increase), and real estate (-3.79 billion yuan, -0.13% decrease) [5] Institutional Activity - The top stocks with net inflows from institutions included Shanzigaoke (484.20 million yuan, 10.09% increase), Leike Defense (234.98 million yuan, 10.00% increase), and Zhongke Xingtai (186.52 million yuan, 20.00% increase) [8] - Notable stocks with significant institutional outflows included Kunlun Wanwei (-5.36 billion yuan, 19.99% decrease) and other companies like Xinyuan Technology and Yanjin Technology, which also faced substantial outflows [8] Analyst Recommendations - Analysts have given strong buy ratings to stocks such as Xianle Health (target price 32.5 yuan, current price 24.39 yuan, 33.25% upside) and ZheShang Securities' recommendation for Dongfang Securities (target price 15.06 yuan, current price 10.99 yuan, 37.03% upside) [10] - Other stocks with favorable ratings include Yaxiang Integration (target price 162.8 yuan, current price 124.59 yuan, 30.67% upside) and China Merchants Bank (target price 55 yuan, current price 41.12 yuan, 33.75% upside) [10]

187只股公布截至1月10日最新股东户数，相比上期股东户数下降的有81只，降幅居前的是亚翔集成、燕 京啤酒、浙江华远等。 其次是燕京啤酒，截至1月10日最新股东户数为45767户，较12月31日下降16.65%，筹码集中以来该股 累计上涨7.48%，累计换手率为8.37%，其间主力资金净流出8696.71万元。 市场表现方面，最新一期筹码集中股1月1日以来平均上涨3.93%，涨幅居前的有亚翔集成、联发股份、 图南股份等，分别上涨30.46%、25.91%、13.28%。所属行业来看，筹码集中股中汽车、机械设备、电 子等行业最为集中，分别有10只、9只、6只个股上榜。 最新筹码集中股业绩 投资者除了在定期报告中获得股东信息数据外，还可以在交易所互动平台上通过提问方式了解部分公司 更及时（每月10日、20日、月末）的股东户数信息。以往3期分别有878家、1052家、1032家公司在互动 平台透露了股东户数，截至发稿，共有187家公司公布了截至1月10日股东户数。 上期筹码集中股回测：42%跑赢沪指 证券时报·数据宝对上一期(12月31日)筹码集中股监测显示，这些股12月21日以来平均上涨7.76%，走势 强于同期 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The 2026 fiscal policy is set to be positive, with a focus on infrastructure investment and the construction industry expected to see marginal improvements driven by policy and fundamental enhancements [3][9][10] - The demand for cleanroom construction is anticipated to continue growing, benefiting companies like Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration due to the rising prosperity in the semiconductor and cloud service sectors [3][10][11] - The Xinjiang region is expected to maintain rapid investment growth due to ongoing major strategic projects, with companies such as Sanwei Chemical and Donghua Technology being highlighted for their potential [9][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The 2026 fiscal policy is positively oriented, with a focus on high-quality implementation of the "14th Five-Year" railway development plan and the construction of key regional railway networks [15] - The construction industry is projected to see stable growth in fixed asset investment, exceeding 3.6 trillion yuan in 2025, indicating a high investment scale [15] Market Performance - The construction industry rose by 5.72%, outperforming the HS300 index, with several sub-sectors showing significant gains, including other professional engineering (14.44%) and steel structure (12.51%) [17][19] - The industry’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 13.14, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.87, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to other sectors [22] Key Companies to Watch - Low-valuation infrastructure state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction are recommended for investment due to their improving operational metrics and dividend potential [9][11] - Companies in the cleanroom engineering sector, including Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration, are expected to benefit from increased demand driven by advancements in AI and semiconductor industries [10][11] - In the Xinjiang region, companies like Xinjiang Communications Construction and Donghua Technology are positioned to benefit from significant infrastructure investments and coal chemical projects [11]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market performance [2][25]. Core Insights - The construction sector has shown a strong performance with a weekly increase of 5.72%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [4][5]. - Key sub-sectors like steel structures and professional engineering have demonstrated significant growth, with notable companies like Zhite New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure showing exceptional stock performance [4][7]. - The report highlights the government's focus on infrastructure development, particularly in railway projects and green consumption initiatives, which are expected to drive investment opportunities in the sector [11][14]. Industry Performance - The construction industry outperformed major indices with a weekly increase of 5.72%, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 2.79% [4][5]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week included steel structures (+14.51%), professional engineering (+11.49%), and ecological landscaping (+7.63%) [7][10]. Key Company Updates - Honglu Steel Structure signed contracts worth 291.02 billion yuan in 2026, marking a 2.84% year-on-year increase, with a steel structure output of 502.07 million tons, up 11.3% [14]. - Zhite New Materials experienced a remarkable stock increase of 148.84% in the week, reflecting strong market interest [11][10]. - Precision Steel Structure secured 698 new contracts with a total value of 242.7 billion yuan, representing a 10.5% year-on-year growth [14]. Government Initiatives - The Ministry of Transport emphasized accelerating major railway project construction and promoting multi-modal transport systems [11][14]. - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, along with other departments, launched initiatives to promote green consumption and low-carbon production methods [11][14].

- The report introduces a quantitative model named "250-day new high distance" to track market trends and identify investment hotspots. The model is based on momentum and trend-following strategies, emphasizing the effectiveness of monitoring stocks near their 52-week high prices[11][19][20] - The construction process of the "250-day new high distance" model is as follows: Formula: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{Close_t}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ Explanation: - $ Close_t $ represents the latest closing price - $ ts\_max(Close, 250) $ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance equals 0; otherwise, it is a positive value indicating the degree of price fallback[11] - The report evaluates the model positively, highlighting its ability to capture market trends and identify leading stocks in various sectors. It references studies by George (2004), William O'Neil, and Mark Minervini, which support the effectiveness of tracking stocks near their high prices[11][19] - The model's testing results show that as of January 9, 2026, major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and CSI 500 have a "250-day new high distance" of 0.00%, indicating they are at their peak levels. Other indices like CSI 300 and ChiNext have distances of 0.66% and 0.06%, respectively[12][13][33] - A quantitative factor named "Stable New High Stocks" is constructed to identify stocks with smooth price paths and consistent momentum. The factor incorporates analyst attention, relative price strength, price path smoothness, and sustained new high performance[26][28] - The construction process of the "Stable New High Stocks" factor includes: - Analyst attention: At least five buy or overweight ratings in the past three months - Relative price strength: Top 20% in 250-day price change - Price path smoothness: Evaluated using metrics like price displacement ratio - Sustained new high performance: Average "250-day new high distance" over the past 120 days and the last five days[26][28] - The factor is positively evaluated for its ability to capture stocks with strong and consistent momentum, supported by studies on smooth price paths and investor underreaction to gradual price changes[26][28] - Testing results for the "Stable New High Stocks" factor show that 50 stocks were selected, with the highest representation in cyclical and technology sectors. Notable stocks include Yuanjie Technology, Yaxiang Integration, and Xinwei Communication[29][34]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model tracks the distance of stock prices or indices from their 250-day high to identify market trends and hotspots. It is based on the momentum and trend-following strategy, which has been proven effective in various studies[11][19]. - **Model Construction Process**: The formula for calculating the 250-day new high distance is: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{Close_t}{\text{ts\_max}(Close, 250)} $ Where: - $ Close_t $ represents the latest closing price - $ \text{ts\_max}(Close, 250) $ represents the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days If the latest closing price reaches a new high, the distance is 0. If the price falls from the high, the distance is a positive value, indicating the degree of decline[11]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively captures market momentum and highlights leading stocks or indices that are driving market trends[11][19]. 2. Model Name: Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Model Construction Idea**: This model focuses on selecting stocks with stable price paths and consistent momentum, as smoother price trajectories tend to yield stronger momentum effects[26]. - **Model Construction Process**: The selection criteria include: - **Analyst Attention**: At least 5 buy or overweight ratings in the past 3 months - **Relative Strength**: 250-day return in the top 20% of the market - **Price Stability**: Stocks are ranked based on two indicators: - Absolute value of price changes over the past 120 days - Sum of absolute daily price changes over the past 120 days - **New High Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 120 days - **Trend Continuity**: Average 250-day new high distance over the past 5 days Stocks meeting these criteria are ranked, and the top 50 are selected[26][28]. - **Model Evaluation**: The model emphasizes smooth price paths and consistent trends, which are less likely to attract excessive attention, thereby enhancing momentum effects[26]. --- Model Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Model - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance (as of January 9, 2026)**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 0.00% - Shenzhen Component Index: 0.00% - CSI 300: 0.66% - CSI 500: 0.00% - CSI 1000: 0.00% - CSI 2000: 0.00% - ChiNext Index: 0.06% - STAR 50 Index: 4.10%[12][13][33] 2. Stable New High Stock Selection Model - **Selected Stocks**: 50 stocks were identified as stable new high stocks, including Yuanjie Technology, Asia Integration, and Sunway Communication. - **Sector Distribution**: - Cyclical sector: 22 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals) - Technology sector: 14 stocks (e.g., electronics)[29][34] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: 250-Day New High Distance - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the relative position of a stock's price to its 250-day high, capturing momentum and trend-following characteristics[11]. - **Factor Construction Process**: The formula is: $ 250\text{-day new high distance} = 1 - \frac{Close_t}{\text{ts\_max}(Close, 250)} $ Where: - $ Close_t $ is the latest closing price - $ \text{ts\_max}(Close, 250) $ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively identifies stocks with strong momentum and highlights market leaders[11][19]. 2. Factor Name: Price Path Stability - **Factor Construction Idea**: Focuses on the smoothness of price trajectories, as smoother paths are associated with stronger momentum effects[26]. - **Factor Construction Process**: - **Indicator 1**: Absolute value of price changes over the past 120 days - **Indicator 2**: Sum of absolute daily price changes over the past 120 days Stocks are ranked based on these indicators, and the top performers are selected[26]. - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor captures the underreaction of investors to smooth price paths, enhancing the momentum effect[26]. --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. 250-Day New High Distance Factor - **Indices' 250-Day New High Distance (as of January 9, 2026)**: - Shanghai Composite Index: 0.00% - Shenzhen Component Index: 0.00% - CSI 300: 0.66% - CSI 500: 0.00% - CSI 1000: 0.00% - CSI 2000: 0.00% - ChiNext Index: 0.06% - STAR 50 Index: 4.10%[12][13][33] 2. Price Path Stability Factor - **Selected Stocks**: 50 stocks were identified as stable new high stocks, including Yuanjie Technology, Asia Integration, and Sunway Communication. - **Sector Distribution**: - Cyclical sector: 22 stocks (e.g., non-ferrous metals) - Technology sector: 14 stocks (e.g., electronics)[29][34]

Market Trends and Highs - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4] - As of January 9, 2026, major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component are at 0.00% distance from their 250-day highs, while the CSI 300 is at 0.66% [5][23] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, home appliances, defense, non-ferrous metals, media, and electronics are closest to their 250-day highs, while food and beverage, banking, pharmaceuticals, real estate, and utilities are further away [8][24] High-Performing Stocks - A total of 911 stocks reached 250-day highs in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in machinery, electronics, and basic chemicals [2][13] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the defense, non-ferrous metals, and oil and petrochemical sectors, with respective proportions of 48.36%, 43.09%, and 32.00% [13][24] - The manufacturing and technology sectors have the most stocks reaching new highs this week, with respective counts of 323 and 241 [15] Stable High-Performing Stocks - The report identifies 50 stable high-performing stocks based on analyst attention, relative strength, price path stability, and continuity of new highs [3][19] - The cyclical and technology sectors have the most stocks selected, with 22 and 14 respectively, and the non-ferrous metals and electronics industries leading within these sectors [19][24]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China will focus on implementing a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, aiming for high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery [2] - The 2026 National Foreign Exchange Management Work Conference will address the safety, liquidity, and value preservation of foreign exchange reserves, along with revising the Foreign Exchange Management Regulations [2] - In 2025, the number of new A-share stock accounts reached 27.44 million, a year-on-year increase of 9.75% compared to 2024 [3] - The China Securities Index Company announced adjustments to the CSI 1000, CSI 500, and CSI A500 indices, effective January 9, 2026 [3] - Financial regulatory authorities are gathering industry opinions to address barriers to increasing bank wealth management investments in A-shares [3] Group 2 - Fenglong Co. may apply for a trading suspension if its stock price continues to rise abnormally [6] - Yahui Long is developing non-invasive technology for its brain-machine interface products [7] - Guosheng Technology will suspend trading for stock price verification due to significant short-term price increases [8] - Jiamei Packaging will also suspend trading for stock price verification following a substantial price increase [9] - Meilan De's products in the brain-machine interface field are still in the research and market cultivation phase [10] - Xiangyu Medical's brain-machine interface products have not yet achieved large-scale sales, with a small revenue share [11] - Yaxiang Integration's stock price has significantly deviated from the company's fundamentals [12] - Sanbo Neuroscience is not involved in the research, production, or sales of brain-machine interface products [13] - Puni Testing expects a loss for the full year of 2025 and has no undisclosed significant matters [14] - Haige Communication's recent operations are normal with no undisclosed significant matters [15] - Aerospace Huanyu expects that commercial aerospace revenue will account for less than 15% of its total revenue in 2025 [16] - Beidou Xingtong's commercial aerospace is just one application scenario for its products and services [16] - China Satellite Communications' stock has seen significant short-term increases, indicating market overheating and irrational speculation [16] - Aerospace Electronics shows a clear "hot potato" effect in its stock, posing a risk of significant short-term declines [16] - Weisi Medical is focusing on a non-invasive technology route, differing significantly from the current leading invasive brain-machine interfaces [16] - Yahui Long signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Brain Machine Star Chain to jointly develop related products and promote market expansion [16] - Guankang Technology plans to acquire 100% of Liaojing Electronics, with stock resuming trading [16] - Lier Chemical expects a net profit increase of 113.62% to 132.19% year-on-year for 2025 [16] - Times New Materials signed a sales contract for wind turbine blades worth approximately 3.32 billion yuan [16] - Robotech's wholly-owned subsidiary recently signed a sales contract worth 7.7 million euros [16]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce of China has decided to strengthen export controls on dual-use items to Japan, prohibiting all dual-use items from being exported to military users and any end-users that could enhance Japan's military capabilities [2][45][46] - China is considering tightening the export license review for medium and heavy rare earth items to Japan, which will be implemented starting April 4, 2025, under the Export Control Law [3][47] - China's Foreign Ministry has warned that Japan's recent moves towards militarization, including revising security documents to increase defense spending and develop offensive military capabilities, pose a danger to regional peace [4][48] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China has outlined seven key priorities for 2026, emphasizing the importance of monetary policy in promoting high-quality economic development and price stability, with a flexible approach to using tools like interest rate cuts [8][51] - A significant increase in new A-share accounts was reported, with 2.74369 million new accounts opened in 2025, marking a 9.75% year-on-year growth and the highest annual figure since 2022 [9][52][53] - The Shanghai Composite Index achieved a record 13 consecutive positive trading days, marking the longest streak in its history, with a 1.5% increase on January 6 [9][53] Group 3 - Financial regulators are conducting research to address barriers to long-term capital entering the market, focusing on enhancing the investment scale and proportion of bank wealth management products in A-shares [10][54] - The commercial aerospace sector continues to show strong growth potential, with expectations of a turning point in the industry [16][60] - The lithium carbonate market is experiencing a significant price increase at the start of the year due to tight supply and demand conditions [16][60]

Group 1 - The 2026 China Internet Industry Annual Conference will be held in Beijing from January 7 to 8 [1] - Guosheng Technology and Jiamei Packaging will be suspended for verification starting January 7, expected to last no more than three trading days [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China emphasized the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy during the 2026 work conference, utilizing various monetary policy tools to maintain ample liquidity and relatively loose financing conditions [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reported 22 apps and SDKs that infringe on user rights, continuing efforts to regulate violations under personal information protection laws [3] - The Ministry of Water Resources announced that water conservancy construction investment reached 1,284.8 billion yuan in 2025, marking four consecutive years of exceeding 1 trillion yuan [3] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment plans to promote the construction of "waste-free cities" during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, aiming to enhance waste recycling and reuse [3] Group 3 - The domestic public REITs market has seen explosive growth, with 78 products totaling approximately 220 billion yuan, maintaining a similar issuance scale to 2024 [4] Group 4 - The National Development and Reform Commission released a plan for the green transformation of the Chang-Zhu-Tan area, aiming to create a conducive environment for infrastructure, manufacturing, consumption, and technology companies [6] Group 5 - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments issued a notice to promote green consumption, encouraging financial institutions to increase support for green consumption loans [7] - The green consumption market in China is beginning to take shape, with the "dual carbon" strategy and public environmental awareness driving the transition [7] Group 6 - TBEA has a comprehensive development capability in wind and solar power generation [8] - Li Er Chemical expects a revenue of 8.8 billion to 9.1 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit increase of 113.62% to 132.19% [10] - Chip Origin Technology has raised 940 million yuan to acquire control of Zhudian Semiconductor [10] - Chaoying Electronics is increasing its investment in AI high-end printed circuit board expansion from 1.468 billion yuan to 3.315 billion yuan [10] - Zhejiang Xiantong plans to issue A-shares to raise no more than 1.05 billion yuan for smart manufacturing projects and R&D upgrades [10] Group 7 - Axiang Integration has seen net institutional buying of 139 million yuan, with a focus on the semiconductor industry amid geopolitical shifts [14] - Institutions have also net bought shares in Aerospace Electronics, Liou Shares, Goldwind Technology, and others [14]