Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Insights - The mining industry is entering a new investment cycle driven by rising metal prices and increasing capital expenditures (CAPEX), with a projected 50% growth in global mining CAPEX by 2030 [6][12] - The report highlights two main themes: 1) Green energy and equipment consumables, and 2) Resources and recycling [6] Summary by Sections Main Line 1: Green Energy and Equipment Consumables - **Longjing Environmental Protection**: Driven by rising metal prices, mining CAPEX is expected to increase, leading to a surge in demand for green electricity and new energy equipment in mining [6][14] - **Sains**: With Zijin Mining's support, there is significant potential in mining pollution prevention and chemical agents, as the company expands its offerings in customized solutions for heavy metal pollution [21][24] - **Jingjin Equipment**: As a leader in solid-liquid separation equipment, the company has a market share of over 40%. The report indicates a recovery in demand and highlights the company's high dividend yield as a safety margin [33][34] - **Yutong Heavy Industry**: The company is experiencing a doubling in sales of new energy mining vehicles, benefiting from the electrification trend. The mining equipment segment saw revenue of 641 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 111% [6][14] Main Line 2: Resources and Recycling - **High Energy Environment**: The company is seeing significant growth in metal resource recycling, with a strategic move into mining. The performance of recycling projects is expected to improve with rising metal prices [6][19] - **Sains**: The price of rhenium, a strategic aerospace metal, continues to rise, and the company is positioned to benefit from this trend through its collaboration with Zijin Mining [6][23] - **Weiming Environmental Protection**: The tightening supply of nickel is driving price increases, and the company is focusing on overseas solid waste management opportunities, particularly in Indonesia [6][19]

联合研究丨行业点评 [Table_Title] 氢能周度观察（10）：工信部明确发挥新型举国 体制优势，推动氢能等攻关突破 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年 2 月 3 日，工信部党委会明确将氢能定为推动攻关突破领域的第 4 位，值得重视。2026 年 1 月氢能产业政策密集推进：1）顶层机制与标准体系加速完善；2）地方政策不断精细化与 场景化，着力降低全生命周期成本；3）电力市场机制破冰，探索绿电直连机制；4）重大项目 与试点示范持续推进，形成产业拉动效应。展望"十五五"，预计氢能产业将向规模化、商业化 深度演进，重视氢能标的投资机会。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 司鸿历 贾少波 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490520070003 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BVD284 李博文 盛意 SAC：S0490524080004 SAC：S0490525070006 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 7 %% %% % ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the expansion of China's carbon market, which now includes high-energy-consuming industries such as petrochemicals, chemicals, construction materials, non-ferrous metals, paper, and banking, with a full implementation expected by 2027 [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - The new industries added to the carbon market are expected to contribute an additional 1 to 1.5 billion tons of carbon emissions, which is relatively limited compared to the existing emissions from the power, steel, cement, and aluminum sectors that account for 70-80% of China's total carbon emissions [2][7]. - The carbon market is transitioning from energy consumption control to carbon emission control, with local governments facing assessments based on carbon intensity, impacting project approvals and officials' promotions [2][23]. - The pricing of carbon credits is expected to stabilize and gradually rise, with projections estimating prices to be between 150 to 200 yuan by 2030 [2][25][26]. Allocation of Carbon Quotas - New high-energy industries will likely have their carbon quotas allocated based on production output, with specific methods such as baseline allocation for different product concentrations in industries like caustic soda [4][9]. - For complex industries, historical total or intensity methods may be used, which could disadvantage advanced companies planning to expand production [4][10]. - The aviation sector is currently only partially included, with airports subject to carbon management while airlines will be managed separately by the Civil Aviation Administration [5][16]. Impact on Related Industries - The expansion of the carbon market will directly affect downstream industries such as petrochemicals, chemicals, construction materials, non-ferrous metals, and paper, requiring them to report and manage their carbon emissions [3]. - The clean energy sector is expected to benefit from this expansion, with opportunities arising in areas like green electricity, green hydrogen, and biofuels [3]. - Companies involved in energy-saving equipment and carbon monitoring technologies are also anticipated to gain from the market's growth [3]. Regulatory and Compliance Aspects - Companies failing to meet carbon quota requirements face severe penalties, as illustrated by a case where a company was fined 420 million yuan for not clearing its carbon emissions [20]. - The carbon quota distribution process includes a pre-allocation phase (typically 70%) followed by final adjustments based on actual verified data [19]. Future Projections and Considerations - The carbon market is expected to gradually tighten its regulations, particularly for new coal-fired power plants, while industries like steel and cement may benefit from historical production quotas [14]. - The transition to carbon emission control will require industries to adapt their operations, with different pathways for emission reductions depending on the sector [15]. Additional Important Points - The carbon market's current coverage includes approximately 7 to 8 billion tons of emissions, with the total carbon emissions in China around 10 billion tons [7]. - The methodology for quota allocation may evolve, with potential shifts towards more comprehensive management strategies that consider both historical production and emission intensity [10][11].

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint indicates that recent liquidity shocks in overseas markets, driven by concerns over the AI software bubble and subsequent momentum selling, have led to significant volatility in equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. It suggests that some assets may have been "wrongly killed" due to these liquidity shocks, as the macroeconomic fundamentals and broad liquidity environment have not changed significantly [1][13] - The report anticipates that the upcoming U.S. non-farm employment and CPI data for January may present upward risks, potentially reversing the slight increase in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts observed this week [1][13] Financial Products - The report highlights that overseas market liquidity shows signs of stabilization, which may improve market sentiment. It predicts a positive outlook for the A-share market in February, with a historical probability of 78.57% for an increase following a macro timing model score of 0 [1][16] - Fund allocation recommendations suggest a balanced ETF configuration due to expected short-term market fluctuations, with a focus on sectors like chemicals and electric grid equipment, which continue to see increasing fund sizes [1][16] Commodity Market - The report discusses the impact of liquidity shocks on commodity prices, noting that certain commodities, which rely on supply-demand improvements, have been "wrongly hurt" but may return to fundamental pricing logic as market conditions stabilize [2][17] - It emphasizes that the recent volatility in silver and other precious metals indicates a potential end to the liquidity shock, with silver becoming a key indicator of market sentiment [2][17] Environmental Industry - The report stresses the importance of advancing the national carbon market and outlines investment recommendations in clean energy, energy conservation, and recycling sectors. It highlights specific companies such as Longjing Environmental and others involved in renewable energy and waste management [6][10] Non-Banking Financial Sector - The report notes a recovery in the IPO and refinancing market, with significant year-on-year growth in both areas. It indicates that the capital market reforms and increased market activity are expected to benefit brokerage firms' investment banking revenues [9] AI Industry and Bond Financing - The report focuses on the AI industry, highlighting the need for a diversified financing system to support technology companies, particularly private firms with high growth potential. It reviews case studies of leading tech companies' bond financing paths to assess the feasibility of similar strategies in China [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has issued a notification to enhance the national carbon market construction, indicating a clear expansion of the carbon trading market by 2026 [1][4]. Group 1: Carbon Market Management - Strengthening the management of key emission units in power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, with a focus on quota compliance by 2025 [2]. - Key emission units with direct emissions reaching 26,000 tons of CO2 equivalent must be included in the 2027 national carbon trading market list, to be published by provincial ecological environment departments by October 31, 2026 [2]. - Data quality management for key emission units will be organized by provincial departments, with a control plan due by December 31, 2026 [2]. Group 2: Reporting and Verification - Other key industries such as petrochemicals, chemicals, construction materials, non-ferrous metals, paper, and civil aviation are required to report their 2025 emissions data, with verification deadlines set for March 31 and December 31, 2026 [3]. - Industries not yet included, like steel and cement, must also report by March 31, 2026, with verification by July 31, 2026 [3]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Future Outlook - The carbon market currently covers approximately 8 billion tons of emissions, accounting for over 60% of national carbon emissions, with plans to expand coverage to major industrial sectors by 2027 [4]. - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is preparing technical documents for quota distribution and verification for industries like chemicals, petrochemicals, and civil aviation, supporting the market's expansion [4]. - The tightening of long-term quotas is expected to drive carbon prices upward, alongside total control and a combination of free and paid allocations [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include focusing on clean energy companies such as Longjing Environmental Protection and those involved in biofuels and green hydrogen [5]. - Companies engaged in energy-saving technologies and waste resource recovery are also highlighted for investment opportunities [5]. - Carbon monitoring firms like Xuedilong and JuGuang Technology are suggested for attention due to their relevance in the evolving carbon market [5].

非银金融 沪深北交易所优化再融资，资本市场服务实体经济提质增效 措施的落地对上市公司、资本市场和实体经济均具有深远影响。①对上市公司而言，措施降低了优质企业的融资门槛与成 本，拓宽了融资渠道，为企业转型升级与技术创新提供了有力支撑。②对资本市场而言，措施进一步完善了再融资制度体 系，推动再融资市场从扩量向提质转变，强化了资本市场资源配置功能。③对实体经济而言，再融资制度优化可引导社会资 本更多流向科技创新、产业升级、新质生产力培育等重点领域。 措施的推出或标志着融资层面监管进入新阶段。2023年8月证监会阶段性收紧IPO及再融资后，监管对于资本市场融资端基本 持谨慎态度，政策导向以防风险、扶优限劣为主。2024年后，监管以科创板为试验田，推出科创板"1+6"改革等代表性举措， 开始针对科创板企业融资进行差异化支持，推动相关政策精准滴灌。本次一揽子措施的政策对象则进一步放宽至全市场具有 代表性与市场认可度的优质上市公司，或表明融资层面政策导向已由"差异化支持"逐步过渡至"系统性优化"。 IPO及再融资市场逐步回暖，叠加政策优化信号，券商投行业务修复可期。2025年，伴随资本市场改革深化以及市场活跃度 提升，IP ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 6 months [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of the national carbon market construction, with a clear roadmap for the second expansion, emphasizing the importance of carbon trading in driving up carbon prices [5]. - It notes that the carbon market currently covers approximately 8 billion tons of emissions, accounting for over 60% of national carbon emissions, with plans to expand coverage to additional industries by 2027 [5]. - The report suggests a carbon neutrality investment framework focusing on energy substitution, energy conservation, and recycling, recommending specific companies in clean energy, energy efficiency, and recycling sectors [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The report discusses the recent notification from the Ministry of Ecology and Environment regarding the management of carbon emissions quotas for key industries, including power generation, steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, which will be included in the carbon trading market by 2027 [5]. - It outlines the timeline for quota allocation and compliance, indicating a structured approach to managing carbon emissions and ensuring timely compliance by relevant industries [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on clean energy companies such as Longjing Environmental Protection and those involved in bio-oil resources like Shanggou Energy and Langke Technology [5]. - It also highlights opportunities in energy efficiency management and recycling, suggesting companies like Ruicheng Environmental Protection and High Energy Environment for hazardous waste resource utilization [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the recovery in the environmental protection industry, particularly in lithium battery recycling, with a noted decline in lithium and cobalt prices leading to improved profitability [1][7] - Key recommendations include companies such as Longjing Environmental (龙净环保), High Energy Environment (高能环境), and others, indicating a strong focus on firms with growth potential in the environmental sector [2] - The report highlights the performance of Jingjin Equipment (景津装备) as a leading filter press manufacturer, with a market share exceeding 40% and a projected dividend of 6.1 billion yuan for 2023-2024, reflecting a dividend yield of 4.5% [3] Group 2 - The 2026 strategy focuses on value and growth resonance, emphasizing the importance of market-oriented improvements and operational value reassessment in the solid waste sector [4] - The report identifies three main themes: value-driven growth, quality growth, and dual carbon initiatives, with specific recommendations for companies involved in renewable energy and waste management [5] - The sanitation equipment sector is projected to see significant growth, with a 150% increase in unmanned sanitation project bids and a 71% increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles [6][7]

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-10 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 海外周报 20260208：1 月美国非农和 CPI 前瞻：关注上行风险——海外 宏观与交易复盘 核心观点：本周（2 月 2-8 日）在美股 AI 软件泡沫担忧引发的科技股大 跌、及随后的动量抛售等交易因素造成的流动性冲击下，海外权益、大宗 商品和比特币等资产经历剧烈波动。我们认为，近期资本市场的流动性冲 击更多来自交易层面，而海外宏观基本面和广义流动性环境并未有显著 变化，这意味着部分资产存在被流动性冲击"错杀"的可能。关注下周公 布的 1 月美国非农就业和 CPI 数据，我们预期二者均存在上行风险，令 本周略有升温的美联储降息预期再度面临回调。 宏观量化经济指数周报 20260208：预计 2026 年 1 月贷款温和增长、社 融小幅同比多增 晨会编辑 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 东吴证券研究所 1 / 37 [Table_Tag] 节前经济供需两端基本符合季节性特征 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1] Core Insights - The Jilin Green Power Direct Connection Project is under public consultation, aiming for a minimum of 30% self-consumed electricity by 2030, increasing to 35% for new projects [4][6] - The State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on green energy transition [4][6] - The average electricity purchase price in January 2026 decreased by 8% year-on-year [4][38] - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 695 yuan per ton as of February 6, 2026, a year-on-year decrease of 7.70% [4][46] - The inflow to the Three Gorges Reservoir increased by 65.3% year-on-year, while the outflow decreased by 5.3% [4][54] Industry Data Tracking Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in 2025 was 10.37 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 5.0% [4][13] - The growth rates for different sectors were: primary industry +9.9%, secondary industry +3.7%, tertiary industry +8.2%, and urban-rural residential +6.3% [4][13] Power Generation - Total power generation in 2025 was 9.72 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [4][20] - The growth rates for different power sources were: thermal power -1.0%, hydropower +2.8%, nuclear power +7.7%, wind power +9.7%, and solar power +24.4% [4][20] Installed Capacity - New installed capacity in 2025 included: thermal power +94.5 million kW (up 63.8%), hydropower +12.15 million kW (down 11.9%), nuclear power +1.53 million kW, wind power +120.48 million kW (up 50.9%), and solar power +317.51 million kW (up 14.2%) [4][58] Investment Recommendations - For green power, focus on companies like Longyuan Power, Zhongmin Energy, and Three Gorges Energy, with a strong recommendation for Longjing Environmental Protection [4] - For thermal power, consider Huaneng International and Huadian International [4] - For hydropower, Longjiang Power is highlighted due to its low cost and strong cash flow [4] - For nuclear power, China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are recommended due to their growth potential [4] - For solar assets and charging pile assets, companies like Southern Power Grid Energy and Longxin Technology are suggested [4]