Industry News - The Ministry of Finance and five other departments announced the continuation of tax and fee preferential policies for community family services such as elderly care, childcare, and housekeeping, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027. Income from these services will be exempt from VAT and calculated at 90% for taxable income [24][26] - Recently, a surge in commercial space activities has prompted banks to participate actively. Several banks, including SPDB and CMB, successfully launched satellites aimed at enhancing their risk control capabilities. Satellite remote sensing technology will allow banks to monitor loan project progress and collateral status in real-time, addressing the limitations of traditional inspections [24][26] - Starting from January 20, 2026, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 85 yuan per ton, marking the first price hike for refined oil in 2026. The average increase for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel will be 0.07 yuan per liter [24][26] - Japan plans to invest over $330 billion in artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors [25] - A recent report indicates that the shipment share of ASIC AI servers is expected to rise to 27.8% in 2026, the highest since 2023, with growth rates surpassing those of GPU AI servers [25] - Shanghai has released an action plan to enhance the linkage between futures and spot markets for non-ferrous metals, aiming to improve resource allocation and global pricing influence [25] Company News - Hikvision reported a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.46% [26][34] - Hu Silicon Industry announced that its second-largest shareholder, the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, reduced its stake by 2% between January 7 and January 19, completing the reduction plan [26] - Liou Co. announced the completion of its suspension review and will resume trading [29] - Kailong High-Tech is planning to acquire control of Jinwangda, leading to a suspension of its stock [29] - Yifan Transmission intends to purchase 87.07% of Beijing Helish's shares, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [29] - Tonghu Microelectronics forecasts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.34% to 99.24% [29] - Baile Tianheng's application for the listing of iza-bren for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has been accepted and included in the priority review list [29] - Guosheng Technology expects a net loss of 325 million to 650 million yuan for 2025 due to low component prices affecting revenue [29] - Kangxin New Materials plans to acquire 51% of Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan, marking a strategic shift towards the semiconductor industry [29]

来源：中信建投证券 摘要：A股呈现延续震荡走势，资金重新从权重蓝筹向中小盘成长股迁移。板块上，资源、消费升级板 块强势，部分前期热门成长赛道回调，资金聚焦基本面支撑的结构性机会。财政部、发改委昨日出台多 项政策，覆盖消费、投资等领域，划定高端制造、科创长期主线。当前震荡是政策调控后的正常反应， 慢牛逻辑未变，短期板块轮动成常态，投资者应聚焦政策与业绩双优赛道。 昨日市场三大指数集体收跌，创业板指一度跌超2%。沪深两市成交额2.78万亿，较上一个交易日放量 694亿。盘面上，全市场超3100只个股下跌。从板块来看，化工板块逆势爆发，十余只成分股涨停。贵 金属概念延续强势。房地产板块表现活跃。AI应用端局部走高。下跌方面，算力硬件、商业航天等板 块跌幅居前。其中商业航天概念股集体大跌。截至收盘，沪指跌0.01%，深成指跌0.97%，创业板指 1.79%。 习近平：努力提高国民经济循环质量和效率，让内需成为经济发展的主动力。 省部级主要领导干部学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神专题研讨班20日上午开班。习近平指出，我国人 口多、市场大、产业全、发展动能强，有条件加快构建新发展格局。要坚持以国内大循环为主体，正确 处理消 ...

Group 1: Delisting Risks - *ST Xin Yan: The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has approved the company's application to revoke the delisting risk warning due to restructuring [1] - *ST Zhong Zhuang (Rights Protection): The delisting risk warning has been revoked, but other risk warnings will continue, and the stock will be suspended for one day starting tomorrow [2] - ST Sai Wei: Expected to incur a loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan in 2025, with a possibility of being subject to delisting risk warnings [3] Group 2: Earnings Forecasts - Hikvision: Expected net profit attributable to shareholders to grow by 18.46% year-on-year in 2025 [28] - Langzi Co.: Expected net profit to increase by 245.25% to 302.8% year-on-year in 2025 [4][30] - Zhaoyan New Drug: Expected net profit to increase by 214% to 371% year-on-year in 2025 [5][30] - Huachen Equipment: Expected net profit to increase by 193.64% to 242.04% year-on-year in 2025 [6][30] - Qianyuan Power: Expected net profit to increase by 160% to 190% year-on-year in 2025 [7][30] - Jin Fang Energy: Expected net profit to increase by 123.97% to 193.7% year-on-year in 2025 [8][31] - Zhongfu Industrial: Expected net profit to increase by 120.27% to 141.59% year-on-year in 2025 [9][32] - Batian Co.: Expected net profit to increase by 117.53% to 139.53% year-on-year in 2025 [10][32] - Zhongrong Electric: Expected net profit to increase by 104.89% to 131.10% year-on-year in 2025 [11][32] - Kaisheng New Materials: Expected net profit to increase by 96.47% to 150.06% year-on-year in 2025 [12][32] - Putailai: Expected net profit to increase by 93.18% to 101.58% year-on-year in 2025 [13][32] - Dongfang Iron Tower: Expected net profit to increase by 91.4% to 125.07% year-on-year in 2025 [14][32] - Pulaike: Expected net profit to increase by 89.64% to 110.11% year-on-year in 2025 [15][32] - Huabang Health: Expected profit of 660 million to 730 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [16][32] - Hongyuan Green Energy: Expected net profit of 180 million to 250 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [17][32] - Kangda New Materials: Expected profit of 125 million to 135 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [18][32] - Langxin Technology: Expected profit of 100 million to 150 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [19][32] - Hualv Biological: Expected profit of 100 million to 130 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [20][32] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - Kangxin New Materials: Plans to acquire 51% of Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan [21][32] - Aibo Medical: Plans to gain control of Demei Medical [22][32] Group 4: Share Buybacks and Reductions - Hengtong Co.: Plans to repurchase company shares worth 80 million to 100 million yuan [24][32] - Haier Smart Home: Plans to repurchase D shares up to 200,000 euros [29][32] - Blue Universe Co.: Shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3.02% [29][32] - Hesheng Silicon Industry: Controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Aolian Electronics (Rights Protection): Shareholder Liu Junsheng plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Bluefeng Biochemical: Hainan Wenqin plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Zhixin Precision: Shareholders plan to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Peking University Medical: Peking University Health plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] Group 5: Other Updates - Liou Co.: Self-inspection work has been completed, and the stock will resume trading on January 21 [29][32] - Yongxing Materials: The lithium mica green intelligent and efficient lithium extraction project has reached production capacity [29][32] - Debang Co.: Plans to voluntarily withdraw A shares from trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [29][32]

今日关注 申购提示：今日1只新股申购。 财政部：2026年财政总体支出力度"只增不减"。 财政部发布多项政策，提高个人消费贷贴息标准，实施民间投资专项担保计划。 2．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，财政部门将继续实施更加积极的财政政策。概括起 来就是"总量增加、结构更优、效益更好、动能更强"。2026年财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量将保持 必要水平，确保总体支出力度只增不减。 3．1月20日，财政部官网同时公布五项财政金融协同促内需一揽子政策，分别从加力提振消费、扩大民 间投资两个方面，推动扩大有效需求。 4．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，本次优化调整个人消费贷款贴息政策，将信用卡账 单分期业务纳入到了贴息范围，取消现有政策当中对一些消费领域的限制。新政策意味着只要是消费贷 款都可以享受贴息。 5．财政部综合司司长李先忠在国新办新闻发布会上表示，近期财政部、税务总局发布公告，明确自 2026年4月1日起取消光伏等产品出口退税，并分两年取消电子产品出口退税。此次出口退税政策调整， 有利于促进资源高效利用，也有利于引导产业结构合理调整，综合整治"内卷式"无序竞争，推动经济高 质量发展。 6． ...

Key Points - Sony officially announced the spin-off of its television business, forming a joint venture with TCL, where TCL will hold 51% and Sony 49% [4][5] - The new company will manage the entire global operations of television and home audio equipment, with plans to start operations by April 2027, pending regulatory approvals [4][5] - Sony's market share in China has significantly declined, with foreign brands collectively holding less than 5% of the market share in 2024, averaging around 1.25% each [4][5] - The overall shipment of televisions in China is projected to drop by 8.5% in 2025, reaching a new low since 2010, with the top eight brands dominating 94.1% of the market [5] - Xiaomi responded to two vehicle fire incidents, stating that the power batteries were functioning normally at the time of the incidents [10][11] - MiHoYo announced the closure of the Genshin Impact server operated in partnership with Xiaomi, effective January 20, 2025, due to strategic adjustments [12] - New Oriental's founder, Yu Minhong, announced the hiring of Chen Xingjia as a consultant with an annual salary of 1.5 million RMB, amidst controversy over high salaries in the nonprofit sector [7][8] - The mobile phone market in China for 2025 shows Vivo, Xiaomi, and Apple as the top three brands by activation volume, with Xiaomi's growth attributed to the success of its 17 series [21][22] - Hikvision reported a slight increase in revenue for 2025, achieving 92.517 billion RMB, with a net profit of 14.188 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 18.46% year-on-year [30]

Group 1 - Trump stated that his goal to control Greenland "will never change" and did not rule out the possibility of using force to acquire it [2] - Akademiker Pension, a Danish pension fund, plans to sell all of its US Treasury holdings, totaling approximately $100 million, due to concerns over the US government's financial situation [2] - The US stock market experienced a significant decline, with the Dow Jones falling by 1.76%, the Nasdaq by 2.39%, and the S&P 500 by 2.06% [3][5] Group 2 - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury rose by 6.76 basis points to 4.2906%, while the 30-year yield increased by 7.92 basis points to 4.9158%, reaching a high not seen since early September [4] - The dollar index fell by over 0.7%, reaching a low of 98.25 during trading [4] - The US Supreme Court has not yet ruled on the legality of Trump's tariff policy, with further discussions expected after February 20 [8] Group 3 - Microsoft CEO Nadella emphasized that energy costs will determine which countries succeed in the AI race, warning that if AI benefits only a few, it could lead to a speculative bubble [9] - OpenAI signed a three-year partnership with ServiceNow to integrate its AI models into commercial software, aiming to enhance enterprise workflows [14] - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are expected to reduce NAND flash wafer production in 2026, with Samsung planning to produce 4.68 million wafers and SK Hynix 1.7 million wafers, both lower than their 2025 targets [13]

今日关注 申购提示：今日1只新股申购。 财政部：2026年财政总体支出力度"只增不减"。 财政部发布多项政策，提高个人消费贷贴息标准，实施民间投资专项担保计划。 国新办今日举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年工业和信息化发展成效。 4．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，本次优化调整个人消费贷款贴息政策，将信 用卡账单分期业务纳入到了贴息范围，取消现有政策当中对一些消费领域的限制。新政策意味着 只要是消费贷款都可以享受贴息。 5．财政部综合司司长李先忠在国新办新闻发布会上表示，近期财政部、税务总局发布公告，明 确自2026年4月1日起取消光伏等产品出口退税，并分两年取消电子产品出口退税。此次出口退税 政策调整，有利于促进资源高效利用，也有利于引导产业结构合理调整，综合整治"内卷式"无序 竞争，推动经济高质量发展。 6．财政部等部门发布关于延续实施养老、托育、家政等社区家庭服务业税费优惠政策的公告， 为社区提供养老、托育、家政等服务的机构，按照规定享受税费优惠政策。 7．上海期货交易所发布通知，自2026年1月22日（星期四）收盘结算时起，调整铜、黄金等期货 合约交易保证金比例和涨跌停板幅度。 8．1月20日2 ...

Group 1 - Xiaomi reported two incidents of vehicle fires, emphasizing that the battery status was normal during both events [3][5] - In the first incident on January 19, a vehicle in Haikou experienced a fire shortly after being parked, but no injuries were reported [3] - The second incident involved a collision on a highway in Henan, where the vehicle caught fire after the accident, with no casualties [5] Group 2 - Gree Electric plans to mass-produce silicon carbide chips for automotive use, with expectations that half of the chips used by GAC Group will come from Gree [4] - The company is expanding its production capabilities to include chips for photovoltaic storage and logistics vehicles [4] Group 3 - OpenAI's CFO announced that the company's annual revenue for 2025 is projected to exceed $20 billion, a significant increase from $6 billion in 2024 [16] - The growth is attributed to the expansion of computing capabilities and the introduction of advertising in ChatGPT [16] Group 4 - Hikvision reported a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan for 2025, representing an 18.46% year-on-year increase [22] - The company's total revenue reached 92.518 billion yuan, with a slight growth of 0.02% [22] Group 5 - Zhaoyan New Drug expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a rise of approximately 214% to 371% [23] - The company anticipates a decrease in revenue, estimating between 1.573 billion to 1.738 billion yuan, a decline of about 13.90% to 22.10% [23] Group 6 - Hongyuan Green Energy forecasts a turnaround in net profit for 2025, estimating between 180 million to 250 million yuan [24] - The improvement is attributed to a vertically integrated supply chain and the sale of equity in a subsidiary, contributing approximately 291 million yuan to profits [24] Group 7 - Bright Dairy expects a net loss of 120 million to 180 million yuan for 2025, a significant decline from a profit of 722 million yuan in the previous year [25] - The loss is primarily due to production issues at its overseas subsidiary, leading to increased costs and inventory write-offs [25]

Group 1 - Xiaomi reported two incidents of car fires involving its vehicles, with no injuries reported. The first incident occurred in Haikou, where a vehicle caught fire shortly after being parked, and the second incident involved a collision in Henan, which also resulted in a fire after the vehicle was safely pulled over [1][2][3] - Gree Electric plans to mass-produce silicon carbide chips for automotive applications, with the CEO stating that half of the chips used by GAC Group in the future will be supplied by Gree [5][6] - The Renminbi cash payment regulations will take effect on February 1, 2026, prohibiting the refusal of cash payments and allowing the public to report discriminatory practices against cash [8][9] Group 2 - The personal consumption loan subsidy policy has been extended until the end of 2026, with credit card installment payments now included in the subsidy program [2][3] - The charity organization, Yanyuan Foundation, has raised over 23 million yuan for medical assistance to patients, with funds being allocated based on donor specifications [2] - HSBC's market value is approaching 300 billion pounds, with expectations of significant stock price increases [11]

2、 随着雪球大V"金浤"因"抢帽子"操纵市场被重罚，一批雪球投资大V被相继封号。1月20日，雪球发 布三则涉资本市场违规信息专项整治行动处置公告，22个大V账号被永久封禁，其中包括被称为"雪球 带货三大天王"的"杭州新城路"、"轮回666"和"福禄娃爷爷"。 3、 格陵兰危机与财政压力担忧引发全球债市抛售潮。日本长期国债遭遇史诗级抛售，30年期和40年期 国债收益率单日涨逾25个基点，40年期国债收益率升至4%上方，为近30多年来首次。美国10年期、20 年期、30年期国债收益率均上涨8个基点左右。丹麦养老基金AkademikerPension计划"清仓"美国国债， 称美国"不再是优质信用主体"。该基金截至2025年底持仓美债约1亿美元。 1、 国务院副总理何立峰出席世界经济论坛2026年年会并发表致辞。何立峰还应约分别与美国财长贝森 特、英国财政大臣里夫斯举行中美经贸磋商机制和中英经济财金对话机制双方牵头人会谈，就中美、中 英经贸领域相关问题交换意见。 2、 国家发改委有关负责人介绍，2026年宏观政策要把发力点放在做强国内大循环上，全方位扩大国内 需求。其中，将优化"两新"政策的支持范围和补贴标准；研究 ...