FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 1. 股份分類 普通股 股份類別 H 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) 是 證券代號 (如上市) 01880 說明 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 庫存股份數目 已發行股份總數 上月底結存 116,383,500 0 116,383,500 增加 / 減少 (-) 0 0 本月底結存 116,383,500 0 116,383,500 足夠公眾持股量的確認(註4) 呈交日期: 2026年2月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份 ...

Core Viewpoint - Songcheng Performance (300144) maintains an open attitude towards cross-industry cooperation, indicating a strategic approach to enhance business opportunities through partnerships [1] Group 1: Business Cooperation - The company has engaged in business collaborations with China Duty Free Group (601888), including advertising resource exchanges and joint marketing of ticket sales and duty-free vouchers [1] - Current contributions from such collaborations to overall performance are limited, suggesting a cautious approach to these initiatives [1] - The company plans to actively evaluate and steadily advance various cooperative business efforts [1]

格隆汇2月3日｜长江证券研报指出，中国中免收购DFS大中华区业务，港股定增引进LVMH，国际化布 局更进一步。展望后市，中国中免是我国免税行业领军企业，经过40年的发展，已经积累了渠道、规 模、精细化运营管理、品牌等多维度的核心竞争优势。盈利预测及投资建议：看好公司，奋力创新，行 稳致远，未来，在拓宽海内外市场、丰富产品品类、提升消费者体验、优化门店运营等方面持续发力， 实现收入业绩稳健增长。预计2025-2027年归母净利润分别为36.86/42.67/49.66亿元，对应PE分别为 50.16/43.33/37.23X，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the selection of 263 stocks by brokerages as "golden stocks," with a focus on balancing growth and stability amid macroeconomic uncertainties. The selected stocks are categorized into two main themes: embracing the AI-driven technology revolution and investing in value sectors benefiting from cyclical recovery. Group 1: Growth-Focused Stocks - The "offensive" aspect of the stock selection emphasizes a comprehensive layout in the AI industry, covering everything from infrastructure to application and cloud services, directly addressing the surging global demand for AI computing power and domestic alternatives [1][2] - Key stocks include Alibaba, which is expected to see a 32% revenue growth in its cloud business due to AI demand, and Tencent, which is leveraging AI in social and gaming sectors to enhance user engagement and monetization [3][9] Group 2: Stability-Focused Stocks - The "defensive" aspect is characterized by investments in companies with strong cash flows, policy benefits, and unique brand advantages. China Ping An is highlighted for its high dividend yield and improving fundamentals, while Kweichow Moutai benefits from its brand strength and channel reforms [2][5][18] - Other stable stocks include China Duty Free, which is expected to benefit from ongoing policy advantages in Hainan, and Foster, which is expanding its electronic materials business alongside its core photovoltaic operations [2][16][14] Group 3: Individual Stock Insights - **Alibaba**: Expected net profit of 1,045.52 million yuan in 2026, with a growing user base for AI products [3] - **Haiguang Information**: Revenue of 9.49 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 54.65% [4] - **China Ping An**: Projected net profit of 157.55 billion yuan in 2026, with a PE ratio of 7.59 [5] - **Wanhua Chemical**: Anticipated net profit of 16.36 billion yuan in 2026, with a PE ratio of 15.37 [7][8] - **Tencent**: Monthly active users of WeChat at 1.414 billion, with AI-related capital expenditures rising to 40% [10] - **Zijin Mining**: Expected net profit of 45.70 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with significant gold resource reserves [12][13] - **Foster**: Projected net profit growth of 49.98% in 2026, with over 50% market share in photovoltaic films [15] - **China Duty Free**: Expected net profit growth of 27.10% in 2026, benefiting from policy advantages [16][17] - **Kweichow Moutai**: Net profit of 66.90 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin of 91.29% [18]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The notes focus on the Macau gaming industry, highlighting the recovery of high-end consumption and its impact on gaming revenue growth [1][1]. Key Points - **Macau Gaming Revenue**: In January, Macau's gross gaming revenue reached MOP 22.63 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 24%, significantly exceeding market expectations of 18.5% [1][1]. - **High-End Consumer Trends**: The growth in the gaming industry is primarily driven by high-end clientele, confirming the trend of high-end consumption recovery that has been noted since Q2 of the previous year [1][1]. - **Comparison with Sands Q4 Performance**: Sands' Q4 performance indicates that high-end (VIP + premium mass) segments continue to lead industry growth, while the recovery rate for the mass market is only at 95% of 2019 levels, compared to a 117% recovery rate for the premium mass segment, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6 percentage points [1][1]. - **February Outlook**: The upcoming Chinese New Year in February is expected to be dominated by the mass market, which may lead to a situation where visitor numbers increase but revenue does not, potentially causing a downward fluctuation in gaming revenue growth [1][1]. Investment Strategy - **Supply-Side Focus**: The investment strategy emphasizes a supply-driven approach, identifying Galaxy and Sands as the main winners in the next 1-2 years due to the benefits from new high-end supply, with both companies showing upward market share in Q4 [1][1]. Additional Insights - **Sands Q4 Margin**: Although Sands' Q4 margin was below expectations, management anticipates a potential slowdown in rebate marketing competition in 2026, which could lead to an upward trend in margins [2][2]. - **Other Beneficiaries**: Attention is also drawn to other companies benefiting from the high-end consumption recovery, including China Duty Free Group, Zhuhai Duty Free Group (key players at the Zhuhai-Macau border), and Zhongsheng Holdings [3][3].

Group 1: Macro Policy Insights - The report emphasizes that recent policies are focused on stimulating domestic demand to achieve a strong start in 2026, highlighting six key areas of focus [4] - It notes that the early issuance of "two new" policies, a comprehensive fiscal and financial package, and continued support for the real estate sector indicate proactive policy measures aimed at economic growth [4] - Key short-term focuses include monitoring local GDP and CPI targets, the pace of fiscal stimulus, and the performance of real estate, exports, and infrastructure in the first quarter [4] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report identifies the top-performing industries in January, with oil and petrochemicals leading at 11.3%, followed by media at 10.8%, and non-ferrous metals at 10.4% [2] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors include banking at -6.2%, non-bank financials at -5.0%, and agriculture at -3.7% [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks for February, including China Aluminum, which is noted for its strong position in the electrolytic aluminum market, and Gree, which is expected to benefit from global household storage growth [6] - Other recommended stocks include Tonghuashun, Haiguang Information, and China Duty Free, each with specific growth drivers outlined [6] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - In the environmental sector, the report highlights new policies that promote industrial waste recycling and carbon emission evaluations, benefiting companies like Huicheng Environmental [14] - The agricultural sector is advised to monitor the impact of rising crude oil prices on production costs and demand, particularly for vegetable oils and rubber [16] - In the telecommunications sector, companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are projected to see significant profit growth due to increased demand for high-speed products and ongoing investments in infrastructure [19][22]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of various sectors in the A-share market, indicating a mixed trend with certain industries like electric grid and liquor leading the gains while others like precious metals and fertilizers lag behind [3][7][13] - The macroeconomic analysis suggests that while the GDP growth target for 2025 was achieved, structural issues such as weak demand persist, necessitating policy support to sustain growth momentum [10][11] - The telecommunications sector is experiencing significant changes due to tax adjustments, which may impact revenue and profit margins for major players like China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom [3][6] Market Performance - The A-share market has shown volatility with the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index experiencing declines of 2.48% and 2.69% respectively [1] - The telecommunications industry index outperformed the broader market, reflecting a 12.82% increase in December, driven by strong demand for communication equipment [27] - The new materials sector has also shown robust performance, with a 10.54% increase in January, significantly outperforming the broader indices [18] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the upcoming launch of DeepSeek's new AI model, DeepSeek V4, which is expected to surpass existing models in performance and could significantly impact the AI landscape [15][17] - The photovoltaic industry is highlighted for its strong growth, with over 300GW of new installations in 2025, despite facing challenges such as rising costs and regulatory changes [21][22] - The media sector is experiencing a surge in activity, particularly in gaming and film, with the upcoming Spring Festival expected to drive significant box office revenues [24][26] Economic Indicators - The report notes that China's GDP for 2025 reached 1401879 billion, marking a 5.0% increase from the previous year, with consumption playing a more significant role in growth [10] - The fixed asset investment showed a decline of 3.8%, indicating potential weaknesses in the investment landscape [10] - The telecommunications retail sector saw a year-on-year increase of 20.9% in 2025, reflecting strong consumer demand for communication devices [28] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced strategy, focusing on sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing while also considering cyclical and resource sectors for potential opportunities [3][14] - The report suggests that the media sector, particularly gaming and film, presents high growth potential due to favorable policy environments and technological advancements in AI [26] - In the telecommunications sector, companies involved in optical fiber and AI mobile technologies are recommended for investment due to their growth prospects [31]

Group 1: Free Trade Port Development - Hainan Free Trade Port is positioned as a strategic hub for dual circulation, leveraging the vast domestic market and special economic zone advantages to create a supply chain center, offshore trade service center, and high-end industrial cluster by December 2025 [1][9] - The tax reform is a core driver, with zero tariff items expanding to 6,600, covering 74% of goods, and the processing value-added policy lowering entry barriers for industries like medical devices and high-end manufacturing [1][9] - The implementation of six facilitation measures aims to eliminate barriers to cross-border flow of factors, promoting offshore trade, headquarters economy, and digital economy, with the digital economy's core industry revenue expected to exceed 230 billion yuan by 2025 [1] Group 2: Duty-Free Industry Insights - The duty-free industry is at a new cycle starting point, with a recovery inflection point expected in 2025 after supply-demand adjustments from 2022 to 2024 [2][9] - New policies in November expanded product categories and customer source restrictions, leading to a sales increase of 50.2 billion yuan in the first month post-closure, a 46.8% year-on-year growth [2][9] - Long-term prospects for the industry are supported by the construction of an international tourism consumption center, positioning high-end brands, and cultivating experiential retail formats, with a recovery in consumption confidence among high-net-worth individuals [2][9]

Core Viewpoint - The 35th International Table Tennis Federation-Asian Table Tennis Union Asian Cup will take place from February 4 to 8 in Haikou, featuring top Asian players and a comprehensive experience for fans and visitors through the "Asian Cup Park" [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The Asian Cup Park will be open from February 3 to 8, designed to enhance the spectator experience with a theme of "Gathering in Haikou, Sharing the Asian Cup" [1] - The park will include five core areas: stamp exploration, creative photo opportunities, brand experiences, interactive fun, and a second live viewing area [1] Group 2: Interactive Features - Visitors can collect stamps at various interactive points to redeem exclusive gifts such as mascot toys and local cultural products [2] - Creative photo opportunities will feature table tennis-themed art installations and the mascot "Asian Baby" for social media-worthy pictures [2] - Major brands like Li Ning, China Mobile, and others will create immersive interactive experience zones, blending brand culture with table tennis [2] Group 3: Engagement and Experience - The official merchandise area will offer exclusive themed products, catering to fans' collection needs [2] - Fun challenges like the "Dare to Ping" smart serving challenge and family-friendly games will allow participants to engage with table tennis in a low-barrier environment [2] - A second viewing area equipped with a large LED screen will provide live broadcasts of the matches, enhancing the atmosphere with interactive games and quizzes for fans [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the acceleration of service consumption policies, with the State Council issuing a plan to enhance service consumption across various sectors, including transportation, tourism, and home services. This is expected to significantly boost the industry's outlook in 2026 [4] - The social service sector has shown strong relative performance, with a 1-month increase of 4.2%, a 3-month increase of 4.9%, and a 12-month increase of 17.5%, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Service Consumption Policy - The government has introduced a comprehensive plan to enhance service consumption, focusing on expanding supply, innovating scenarios, and providing financial support. Key initiatives include promoting railway tourism, upgrading cruise and yacht products, and enhancing home service professionalization [4] Human Resources Service Sector - The report mentions that Core International expects a net profit of 267 million to 334 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30% to 62.5%. The company is leveraging technological innovation and industry integration to meet talent demands [5] Scenic Area Sector - Three Gorges Tourism anticipates a net profit of 56 million to 72 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a decline of 38.77% to 52.38% year-on-year, primarily due to tax payments and asset impairment losses [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the human resources service sector, particularly companies like Core International and Beijing Renli. It also highlights opportunities in the duty-free sector, scenic areas, medical aesthetics, catering, tea drinks, and hotels, with specific companies recommended for investment [8]