Industry News - The Ministry of Finance and five other departments announced the continuation of tax and fee preferential policies for community family services such as elderly care, childcare, and housekeeping, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027. Income from these services will be exempt from VAT and calculated at 90% for taxable income [24][26] - Recently, a surge in commercial space activities has prompted banks to participate actively. Several banks, including SPDB and CMB, successfully launched satellites aimed at enhancing their risk control capabilities. Satellite remote sensing technology will allow banks to monitor loan project progress and collateral status in real-time, addressing the limitations of traditional inspections [24][26] - Starting from January 20, 2026, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 85 yuan per ton, marking the first price hike for refined oil in 2026. The average increase for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel will be 0.07 yuan per liter [24][26] - Japan plans to invest over $330 billion in artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors [25] - A recent report indicates that the shipment share of ASIC AI servers is expected to rise to 27.8% in 2026, the highest since 2023, with growth rates surpassing those of GPU AI servers [25] - Shanghai has released an action plan to enhance the linkage between futures and spot markets for non-ferrous metals, aiming to improve resource allocation and global pricing influence [25] Company News - Hikvision reported a net profit of 14.188 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.46% [26][34] - Hu Silicon Industry announced that its second-largest shareholder, the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, reduced its stake by 2% between January 7 and January 19, completing the reduction plan [26] - Liou Co. announced the completion of its suspension review and will resume trading [29] - Kailong High-Tech is planning to acquire control of Jinwangda, leading to a suspension of its stock [29] - Yifan Transmission intends to purchase 87.07% of Beijing Helish's shares, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [29] - Tonghu Microelectronics forecasts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 62.34% to 99.24% [29] - Baile Tianheng's application for the listing of iza-bren for the treatment of recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma has been accepted and included in the priority review list [29] - Guosheng Technology expects a net loss of 325 million to 650 million yuan for 2025 due to low component prices affecting revenue [29] - Kangxin New Materials plans to acquire 51% of Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan, marking a strategic shift towards the semiconductor industry [29]

来源：中信建投证券 摘要：A股呈现延续震荡走势，资金重新从权重蓝筹向中小盘成长股迁移。板块上，资源、消费升级板 块强势，部分前期热门成长赛道回调，资金聚焦基本面支撑的结构性机会。财政部、发改委昨日出台多 项政策，覆盖消费、投资等领域，划定高端制造、科创长期主线。当前震荡是政策调控后的正常反应， 慢牛逻辑未变，短期板块轮动成常态，投资者应聚焦政策与业绩双优赛道。 昨日市场三大指数集体收跌，创业板指一度跌超2%。沪深两市成交额2.78万亿，较上一个交易日放量 694亿。盘面上，全市场超3100只个股下跌。从板块来看，化工板块逆势爆发，十余只成分股涨停。贵 金属概念延续强势。房地产板块表现活跃。AI应用端局部走高。下跌方面，算力硬件、商业航天等板 块跌幅居前。其中商业航天概念股集体大跌。截至收盘，沪指跌0.01%，深成指跌0.97%，创业板指 1.79%。 习近平：努力提高国民经济循环质量和效率，让内需成为经济发展的主动力。 省部级主要领导干部学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神专题研讨班20日上午开班。习近平指出，我国人 口多、市场大、产业全、发展动能强，有条件加快构建新发展格局。要坚持以国内大循环为主体，正确 处理消 ...

今日关注 申购提示：今日1只新股申购。 财政部：2026年财政总体支出力度"只增不减"。 财政部发布多项政策，提高个人消费贷贴息标准，实施民间投资专项担保计划。 2．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，财政部门将继续实施更加积极的财政政策。概括起 来就是"总量增加、结构更优、效益更好、动能更强"。2026年财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量将保持 必要水平，确保总体支出力度只增不减。 3．1月20日，财政部官网同时公布五项财政金融协同促内需一揽子政策，分别从加力提振消费、扩大民 间投资两个方面，推动扩大有效需求。 4．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，本次优化调整个人消费贷款贴息政策，将信用卡账 单分期业务纳入到了贴息范围，取消现有政策当中对一些消费领域的限制。新政策意味着只要是消费贷 款都可以享受贴息。 5．财政部综合司司长李先忠在国新办新闻发布会上表示，近期财政部、税务总局发布公告，明确自 2026年4月1日起取消光伏等产品出口退税，并分两年取消电子产品出口退税。此次出口退税政策调整， 有利于促进资源高效利用，也有利于引导产业结构合理调整，综合整治"内卷式"无序竞争，推动经济高 质量发展。 6． ...

Group 1 - Trump stated that his goal to control Greenland "will never change" and did not rule out the possibility of using force to acquire it [2] - Akademiker Pension, a Danish pension fund, plans to sell all of its US Treasury holdings, totaling approximately $100 million, due to concerns over the US government's financial situation [2] - The US stock market experienced a significant decline, with the Dow Jones falling by 1.76%, the Nasdaq by 2.39%, and the S&P 500 by 2.06% [3][5] Group 2 - The yield on the 10-year US Treasury rose by 6.76 basis points to 4.2906%, while the 30-year yield increased by 7.92 basis points to 4.9158%, reaching a high not seen since early September [4] - The dollar index fell by over 0.7%, reaching a low of 98.25 during trading [4] - The US Supreme Court has not yet ruled on the legality of Trump's tariff policy, with further discussions expected after February 20 [8] Group 3 - Microsoft CEO Nadella emphasized that energy costs will determine which countries succeed in the AI race, warning that if AI benefits only a few, it could lead to a speculative bubble [9] - OpenAI signed a three-year partnership with ServiceNow to integrate its AI models into commercial software, aiming to enhance enterprise workflows [14] - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are expected to reduce NAND flash wafer production in 2026, with Samsung planning to produce 4.68 million wafers and SK Hynix 1.7 million wafers, both lower than their 2025 targets [13]

今日关注 申购提示：今日1只新股申购。 财政部：2026年财政总体支出力度"只增不减"。 财政部发布多项政策，提高个人消费贷贴息标准，实施民间投资专项担保计划。 国新办今日举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年工业和信息化发展成效。 4．财政部副部长廖岷在国新办新闻发布会上表示，本次优化调整个人消费贷款贴息政策，将信 用卡账单分期业务纳入到了贴息范围，取消现有政策当中对一些消费领域的限制。新政策意味着 只要是消费贷款都可以享受贴息。 5．财政部综合司司长李先忠在国新办新闻发布会上表示，近期财政部、税务总局发布公告，明 确自2026年4月1日起取消光伏等产品出口退税，并分两年取消电子产品出口退税。此次出口退税 政策调整，有利于促进资源高效利用，也有利于引导产业结构合理调整，综合整治"内卷式"无序 竞争，推动经济高质量发展。 6．财政部等部门发布关于延续实施养老、托育、家政等社区家庭服务业税费优惠政策的公告， 为社区提供养老、托育、家政等服务的机构，按照规定享受税费优惠政策。 7．上海期货交易所发布通知，自2026年1月22日（星期四）收盘结算时起，调整铜、黄金等期货 合约交易保证金比例和涨跌停板幅度。 8．1月20日2 ...

机构认为，"春季躁动"行情面临短期压力位考验。 【财经日历】 IEA公布月度原油市场报告 2026年中国会展经济国际合作论坛(武汉,1/21-1/23) 财报发布：奈飞、强生 ►►在国新办1月20日举行的新闻发布会上，财政部相关负责人表示，2026年，我国将继续实施更加积极的财政政策，扩大财政支出盘子，确保总体支出力 度"只增不减"、重点领域保障"只强不弱"。 为更大力度激发民间投资，促进居民消费，财政部等多部门推出财政金融协同促内需一揽子政策。其中，首次设立民间投资专项担保计划，通过国家融资担 保基金专设担保计划5000亿元，分两年实施，引导银行新增投放5000亿元中小微企业民间投资贷款。首次实施中小微企业贷款贴息政策，从今年1月1日起， 向中小微民营企业发放的符合条件的固定资产贷款，每年贴息1.5个百分点，最长贴息2年，单户贷款额度上限5000万元，单户最多可享受贴息150万元，覆 盖新能源汽车、工业母机等14个"重点产业链及上下游产业"、生产性服务业领域，以及农林牧渔相关领域。此外，还优化实施了服务业经营主体贷款贴息、 个人消费贷款财政贴息、设备更新贷款财政贴息等政策。 ►►财政部等六部门发布公告，为社 ...

先看海外要闻： 美股大跌，道指收跌1.76%、纳指收跌2.39%、标普500收跌2.06%；英伟达收跌4.38%，特斯拉跌4.17%，苹果跌3.46%，亚马逊跌3.40%，Meta跌 2.60%，谷歌A跌2.42%，微软跌1.16%。 马斯克兑现承诺，开源X推荐算法。 大家早上壕！ OpenAI与ServiceNow在商业软件领域达成AI Agent合作协议。 分析师：2030年前 OpenAI广告年收入有望达250亿美元。 报道：三星美国厂3月启动EUV试产，计划下半年量产特斯拉AI芯片。 花旗集团将闪迪目标股价从280美元上调至490美元。 Neuralink首例受试者：脑机接口已能实现OTA升级。 据央视，加拿大百年来首次模拟美国军事入侵；丹麦官员称欧盟已准备好对美国商品加征反制关税。 财政部长贝森特：美国计划对关键矿产设定价格下限和上限。 美国天然气期货日内涨超25%。 COMEX黄金期货涨3.70%，报4765.50美元/盎司，盘中一度刷新历史高位至4771.50美元。 国内重大事件汇总： 1、习近平:努力提高国民经济循环质量和效率，让内需成为经济发展的主动力。（新华社） 到2026年底，台积电WM ...

2、 随着雪球大V"金浤"因"抢帽子"操纵市场被重罚，一批雪球投资大V被相继封号。1月20日，雪球发 布三则涉资本市场违规信息专项整治行动处置公告，22个大V账号被永久封禁，其中包括被称为"雪球 带货三大天王"的"杭州新城路"、"轮回666"和"福禄娃爷爷"。 3、 格陵兰危机与财政压力担忧引发全球债市抛售潮。日本长期国债遭遇史诗级抛售，30年期和40年期 国债收益率单日涨逾25个基点，40年期国债收益率升至4%上方，为近30多年来首次。美国10年期、20 年期、30年期国债收益率均上涨8个基点左右。丹麦养老基金AkademikerPension计划"清仓"美国国债， 称美国"不再是优质信用主体"。该基金截至2025年底持仓美债约1亿美元。 1、 国务院副总理何立峰出席世界经济论坛2026年年会并发表致辞。何立峰还应约分别与美国财长贝森 特、英国财政大臣里夫斯举行中美经贸磋商机制和中英经济财金对话机制双方牵头人会谈，就中美、中 英经贸领域相关问题交换意见。 2、 国家发改委有关负责人介绍，2026年宏观政策要把发力点放在做强国内大循环上，全方位扩大国内 需求。其中，将优化"两新"政策的支持范围和补贴标准；研究 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance announced that the overall fiscal expenditure in 2026 will "only increase, not decrease," with a focus on ensuring strong support in key areas [1][1][1] - The Ministry of Finance and other departments released a notification to implement a loan interest subsidy policy for small and micro enterprises, providing a subsidy of 1.5 percentage points per year for up to two years, with a maximum loan amount of 50 million yuan per enterprise [1][1][1] - A special guarantee plan of 500 billion yuan will be established through the National Financing Guarantee Fund to support eligible small and micro enterprises' private investment loans [1][1][1] Group 2 - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the importance of establishing a national-level merger fund to promote innovation and entrepreneurship [1][1] - The recent increase in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 85 yuan per ton reflects fluctuations in international oil prices [3][3] - The announcement of tax and fee preferential policies for community service industries, including elderly care and housekeeping services, aims to stimulate growth in these sectors [1][1][1] Group 3 - The recent performance reports indicate significant profit growth for several companies, such as Hikvision with an 18.46% increase in net profit and Longzi Co. with a projected increase of 245.25%-302.8% [7][7] - Debon Holdings plans to withdraw its A-share listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, potentially becoming the first company to voluntarily delist in 2026 [3][3] - The use of satellite technology in the banking sector is becoming more prevalent, with banks like SPDB and CMB launching satellites to enhance risk control capabilities [3][3]

Group 1: Government Policies and Economic Measures - The Ministry of Finance announced multiple policies to enhance personal consumption loan interest subsidies and implement a special guarantee plan for private investment [1] - The fiscal deficit, total debt, and overall expenditure will maintain necessary levels through 2026, ensuring that overall expenditure "only increases" and key areas are "only strengthened" [1][2] - A tax and fee exemption policy for community service industries, including elderly care and childcare, will be effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027 [2] Group 2: Company News and Financial Performance - Hikvision reported a revenue of 92.518 billion yuan for 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.02%, while net profit grew by 18.46% to 14.188 billion yuan [5] - Tongfu Microelectronics expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 62.34% to 99.24% year-on-year [5] - Puxin Technology anticipates a net profit of 2.3 billion to 2.4 billion yuan for 2025, marking a growth of 93.18% to 101.58% year-on-year [5] - Aifan Transmission plans to acquire 87.07% of Beijing Heli Technology Co., which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [6][7] - Aifan Transmission's acquisition is expected to enhance its overall strength and improve business performance [7] Group 3: Clinical and Pharmaceutical Developments - Baili Tianheng received approval for its innovative drug application for a dual-target antibody ADC for treating recurrent or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, marking a significant milestone in clinical development [8] - Aibo Medical plans to acquire at least 51% of Demai Medical, a high-tech enterprise, to expand into the sports health sector [9][10] Group 4: Market and Investment Insights - CITIC Securities reports that the recent pullback in the securities sector does not indicate the end of the market rally, suggesting potential upward paths for the sector [11]