前两周（2026年2月9日-22日），昆明楼市受春节小长假影响，整体呈现量价齐跌的态势。春节假期昆明的住宅备案共计27套，同比上涨54%，是近五年最 好的一年。 据克而瑞发布的数据显示，仅1个项目供应约0.57万㎡，环比下跌28%；成交约1万㎡，环比下跌84%；成交均价约11286元/㎡，环比下跌8%。其中，新规住 宅成交量占比达3成，新旧规项目成交均价相差约2600元/㎡。 从"双榜"情况来看，邦泰四代宅项目和城市核心区大平层产品热销，上榜项目多为学区盘、新规楼盘。 信达万科·京江隐翠、华润中心、龙江金茂府三个高端改善型楼盘，也成为销售金额榜单上的主力项目，均销售约0.06亿元，成交均价分别约为16370元/㎡、 13348元/㎡、14835元/㎡，套均价约294万/套、282万/套、281万/套。 （信达万科·京江隐翠项目紧挨着金康园金瑞校区） 揽湖半山则因工程抵款房集中备案，成为商品住宅套数TOP5榜首，成交10套，成交均价仅约5000元/㎡，套均价约51万/套。 官渡国投柏悦府次之，成交6套，成交均价约10198元/㎡，套均价约92万/套；西市区的新规住宅项目龙湖天境，则以3套房的成交末位上榜，成交均 ...

开源证券发布研报称，此次新政缩短社保年限、公积金贷款额度提升等政策均在预期工具箱范围内，政 策精准度和诚意均较高，外环内购房门槛大幅降低。政策在春节后、楼市传统"小阳春"前精准落地，旨 在降低刚需及改善型购房门槛，有望进一步巩固上海楼市自年初以来的边际回暖趋势，推动市场止跌回 稳。 投资建议 开源证券主要观点如下： 推荐标的：(1)布局城市基本面较好、善于把握改善型客户需求的强信用房企：绿城中国、建发国际集 团、招商蛇口、中国金茂、中国海外发展、建发股份、滨江集团、越秀地产；(2)住宅与商业地产双轮 驱动，同时受益于地产复苏和消费促进政策：华润置地、新城控股、龙湖集团；(3)"好房子，好服 务"政策下服务品质突出的优质物管标的：华润万象生活、绿城服务、保利物业、招商积余、滨江服 务、建发物业。 事件：上海调减住房限购、优化住房公积金贷款 公积金贷款额度上调，完善个人住房房产税 本次政策灵活应用公积金工具，降低购房成本，首套最高公积金贷款额度提升80万至240万，叠加多子 女家庭和购买绿色建筑最高上浮35%，最高额度可达到324万元，有效降低了购房贷款成本。同时贷款 套数认定向商贷看齐，已结清住房公积金贷款可再 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion HKD, with net inflows of 484 million HKD recorded in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - The US stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 0.63%, S&P 500 up 0.81%, and Nasdaq up 1.26%, driven by Nvidia's strong earnings report [2] Sector Performance - In Hong Kong, local real estate, software, and 5G concept sectors faced significant declines, while gold stocks performed well [1] - The technology sector showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Technology Index slightly down by 0.19% [1] - In the US, major tech stocks like Microsoft and Facebook saw gains, while the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.47% [2] Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of "self-reliance in technology" and AI applications as key themes for future growth in the Hong Kong stock market, suggesting that leading companies in these sectors may see long-term development opportunities [3] - The recent policies from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding national computing power and communication infrastructure are expected to boost domestic computing and communication sectors [3] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic consumption, such as sports apparel and non-essential services, as well as undervalued central state-owned enterprises with high dividends [3] Key Company Highlights - Haidilao (6862.HK) led the Hang Seng Index component stocks with a gain of 6.2%, while HSBC Holdings (0005.HK) and Longfor Group (0960.HK) rose by 5.5% and 4.6%, respectively [1] - The report notes that the recent adjustments in Shanghai's real estate policies are expected to release pent-up demand, benefiting core area property companies and their supply chains, such as Longfor Group and China Resources Land [10] - The Hong Kong government announced plans to issue licenses for stablecoin issuers and establish a committee focused on AI and industry development, which could benefit sectors related to digital assets and fintech [11]

2 月 25 日，上海五部门联合印发楼市新政"沪七条"。在限购松绑、公积 金支持、房产税优化三大维度全面发力，放松力度高于年前的北京新政。我 们认为，新政将有效降低购房门槛、提升支付能力，精准激活刚需与改善需 求，放松力度超市场预期。叠加 2 月 2 日的收储新政，有望推动上海楼市从 "预期底"向"量价修复"加速过渡，为一线城市稳市场提供重要样本，也 有望为房地产市场存量去化与行业转型注入新动能。我们看好"三好"房企、 优秀商业运营商、港资房企、高分红物管公司的投资机遇。 三维发力：大幅降低限购门槛，提升支付能力，疏通置换链条 证券研究报告 稳定楼市预期下的上海范本 ——上海"沪七条"点评 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 25 日│中国内地 动态点评 新政对非沪籍及持居住证群体的限购政策进行系统性优化：1、将非沪籍外 环内购房社保/个税要求从 3 年大幅降至 1 年；2、社保/个税满 3 年的非沪 籍家庭可在外环内增购 1 套；3、持居住证满 5 年者可直接购房，无需社保 证明。新政在公积金和房产税方面同步发力：公积金首套贷款最高额度从 160 万提至 240 万，叠加多子女及绿色建筑政策后最高可达 324 ...

2026 年 2 月 26 日 星期四 ➢ 每日大市点评 2026 年 2 月 26 日 星期四 不承担责任声明 2 月 25 日，周三港股因美股反弹及外围股市早好，港股大盘先升后回落。恒生指数上午走高后午后升幅收窄，最终收盘 升 175 点（0.7%），收报 26,765 点；恒生科技指数微跌 10（0.2%）收盘报 5,260 点；全天大市成交额 2,368 亿元。南 下资金净流出 40.6 亿元。上海发布楼市"沪七条"，进一步放松住房限购政策，内房股拉升。碧桂园（2007 HK）、旭 辉控股（884 HK）、龙湖集团（960 HK）涨 5%-6.5%。市场期待消费市场复苏，体育服饰板块拉升，安踏（2020 HK）、 滔博（6110 HK）、361 度（1361 HK）分别涨 1.6%-6.5%。汇丰集团（5 HK）公布业绩，去年第四季度收入和税前利润均 高于市场预期。管理层更指引未来三年股东权益回报将达 17%或以上，也高于原先市场预期。市场认为亮眼业绩将带动 股价短期向上。周三汇丰上扬 5.5%，创一年新高。 美股方面，美国时间周二晚上，特朗普发表国情咨文，指出美国正迎来"黄金时代"，当中提出"AI ...

Core Insights - The overall real estate market during the Spring Festival (February 15-23) exhibited a typical "holiday mode," with both new and second-hand housing transaction volumes in key cities at seasonal lows due to factors like holiday travel and temporary suspension of online signing in some cities [1][4] - A total of 100,000 square meters of new residential properties were signed in 21 key cities during the Spring Festival, showing a year-on-year stability in daily transaction volume [1][2] - Major cities like Shanghai, Wenzhou, and Jinan led in transaction volumes, while cities like Nanning and Qingdao experienced significant year-on-year growth due to low base effects [1][2] New Housing Market Performance - Shanghai recorded a transaction volume of 13,600 square meters, followed by Wenzhou at 10,800 square meters and Jinan at 10,100 square meters [2] - The overall new housing sales in Chengdu remained flat year-on-year at 5,400 square meters, with promotional activities driving some sales [3][4] - Developers engaged in various promotional activities, including discounts and community events, to stimulate demand during the holiday period [3][4] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a "small spring" recovery in the core city real estate market as pent-up demand is expected to be gradually released post-holiday [3][4] - The upcoming March is anticipated to see a surge in sales as developers aim to meet their annual performance targets, with expectations for various promotional policies to be introduced [5] - The year 2026 is viewed as a critical year for the real estate market to stabilize, with a focus on controlling inventory and improving supply quality [5]

| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 4147 | 0.72 | 0.27 | 1.6 | | 深证综指 | 2746 | 1.21 | 0.01 | 2.46 | | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 5.01 | | 中盘指数 | 1.39 | 0.21 | 21.94 | | 小盘指数 | 1.59 | -0.96 | 15.17 | | 涨幅居前 行业(％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 小金属Ⅱ | 7.77 | 11.75 | 60.09 | | 冶钢原料 | 5.65 | 5.49 | 59.48 | | 房地产服务 | 5.41 | 7.08 | 4.44 | | 普钢Ⅱ | 5.04 | 3.31 | 3.25 | | 航天装备Ⅱ | ...

Group 1 - CME Group temporarily suspended trading in metal and natural gas futures and options due to "technical issues" [3] - Nvidia reported strong Q4 earnings, stating that demand for computing power remains high [3][16] - The U.S. Trade Representative announced that the U.S. will issue a notice regarding a 15% tariff [3][16] Group 2 - The market sentiment improved, leading to a slight decline in the U.S. dollar index, which closed at 97.67, down 0.01% [4] - Gold prices fluctuated, briefly surpassing the $5200 mark before closing at $5164.96 per ounce, up 0.41% [4][8] - WTI crude oil prices fell by 0.76%, closing at $65.56 per barrel, while Brent crude oil decreased by 0.28%, closing at $70.87 per barrel [4][8] Group 3 - U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.63%, S&P 500 up 0.81%, and Nasdaq up 1.26% [5] - European stock indices also saw gains, with Germany's DAX30 up 0.76%, UK's FTSE 100 up 1.18%, and France's CAC40 up 0.47% [5] Group 4 - The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.66% at 26765.72 points, with a trading volume of 2367.65 million HKD [6] - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise over 1% in the morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.72% [7] Group 5 - The U.S. government is setting limits on the new Iran nuclear agreement, prohibiting expiration clauses [13] - Trump stated that tariffs will continue and emphasized the need for Congress to take no action on tariff issues [14]

房地产 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 25 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 2026-02 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 非沪籍外环内购房调整，市场成交稳中向好 《楼市延续筑底行情，政策宽松下布 局时点已至 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.24 《上海三区启动住房以旧换新，推动 新房去库存 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.4 《2025Q4 公募基金延续低配，持股集 中度进一步提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.27 上海限购放宽、公积金提额，力促"小阳春"回稳 ——行业点评报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | huyaowen@kysec.cn 事件：上海调减住房限购、优化住房公积金贷款 2026 年 2 月 25 日，上海市五部门联合印 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the market in 2026 [5][8]. Core Insights - The release of Shanghai's "New Seven Measures" on February 25, 2026, is expected to effectively release pent-up reasonable demand, leading to a simultaneous recovery in both new and second-hand housing markets [3][5]. - The new policies include adjustments to purchase restrictions, optimization of housing provident fund loans, and improvements to property tax regulations, which are designed to stimulate market activity [5][6]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - The new measures involve: - Reduction of purchase restrictions for non-local residents and single individuals, allowing them to buy multiple properties under certain conditions [5]. - Increase in the maximum loan amount for first-time homebuyers from 1.6 million CNY to 2.4 million CNY, with potential increases for families with multiple children and those purchasing green buildings [5]. - Property tax exemptions for local families under specific conditions, aimed at facilitating housing upgrades [5]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a "small spring" in the market characterized by increased transaction volumes and stable prices, driven by targeted policy measures that address qualification, funding, and cost [5][6]. - The combination of these policies is expected to effectively release previously accumulated reasonable demand, boosting both new and second-hand housing markets [5][6]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including: - Development companies: Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and Jin Di Group [5]. - Commercial and residential: China Resources Land and Longfor Group [5]. - Property management: Wanwu Cloud and China Overseas Property [5]. - Cultural tourism: Overseas Chinese Town A [5].