Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Company Involved - The notes primarily focus on the **electronic fabric** industry and **real estate** market, with specific mentions of companies such as **China Jushi**, **Keshun Co., Ltd.**, **Sankeshu**, **Rabbit Baby**, **Hankao Group**, **Beixin Building Materials**, **Weixing New Materials**, **Oriental Yuhong**, **Qingniao Fire Protection**, **Qiba Group**, and **Xinyi Glass**. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Price Increase in Electronic Fabric** The price of 7628 electronic fabric has increased again, with international composite materials rising by **0.5-0.6 yuan/meter**. The supply-demand dynamics in the industry continue to improve, leading to a tight supply of traditional electronic yarn and fabric, alongside a strong demand for mid-to-high-end products. This trend supports a continued price increase, and the outlook for the fiberglass sector is positive for **2026** [1][1][1]. 2. **Stable Demand in Fiberglass Sector** The demand in sectors such as wind power and thermoplastics remains stable, and the expected impact of new supply in **2026** is limited. The supply-demand balance is anticipated to improve marginally, with a strong recommendation for **China Jushi** and suggestions to pay attention to **International Composite Materials**, **Changhai Co.**, and **China National Materials Technology** [1][1][1]. 3. **Real Estate Market Recovery** In January **2026**, the transaction volume of second-hand houses in major cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen) has collectively rebounded, with a **16% month-on-month increase** and a **33% year-on-year increase** in transaction area. The growth in first-tier cities exceeds **20%** year-on-year, supported by ongoing real estate policy adjustments that help stabilize the market [2][2][2]. 4. **Price Recovery in Construction Materials** The real estate downturn has accelerated the clearing of supply in the construction materials industry, leading to a rebound in prices for certain products. Several leading companies have begun to report profit recovery after strategic adjustments over the past 2-3 years. Recommended companies for stable growth include **Sankeshu** and **Rabbit Baby**, with additional attention to **Hankao Group**, **Beixin Building Materials**, **Weixing New Materials**, **Oriental Yuhong**, **Keshun Co.**, and **Qingniao Fire Protection** [2][2][2]. 5. **Opportunities in Float Glass Industry** The float glass industry is facing challenges, with two new cold repair lines added this week, reducing production capacity to approximately **14.9 million tons/day**. The industry is currently experiencing losses, and the pressure from inventory accumulation during the traditional Chinese New Year may accelerate the exit of production capacity. The glass sector is expected to stabilize, with recommendations to focus on **Qiba Group** and **Xinyi Glass** [2][2][2]. Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - The overall sentiment in the electronic fabric and construction materials sectors indicates a positive outlook for **2026**, with price increases and demand stability being key themes. - The recovery in the real estate market is seen as a potential catalyst for related industries, suggesting a broader economic recovery may be on the horizon. - The mention of specific companies provides actionable insights for investors looking to capitalize on emerging trends in these sectors [1][2][2].

Core Viewpoint - The company faces challenges in its performance primarily due to the slow recovery of demand in the construction waterproofing industry, proactive optimization of its business structure to reduce the proportion of risky operations, and the prudent decision to make impairment provisions [2] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is experiencing performance challenges linked to the slow recovery in the construction waterproofing sector [2] - Management is committed to diligent governance and risk control measures under the leadership of the board [2] - The company is focused on high-quality development strategies, emphasizing retail, construction, and overseas market expansion [2] Group 2: Risk Management and Investor Relations - The company is enhancing accounts receivable management and cost control to improve operational quality [2] - There is a strong emphasis on valuing shareholder opinions, with efforts to maintain investor rights through standardized operations and continuous improvement [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, as a leading player in the waterproofing industry, is committed to providing high-standard products and services, with its offerings included in the recommended list by regulatory authorities [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Current performance fluctuations are primarily influenced by the slow recovery of demand in the construction waterproofing sector, the company's proactive optimization of its business structure to reduce the proportion of risky operations, and the prudent approach of provisioning for credit and asset impairments [2] - These factors reflect the cyclical adjustments in the industry and the company's strategic transformation phase [2] Group 2: Management Strategy - Under the leadership of the board, the company adheres strictly to corporate governance practices and is committed to high-quality development strategies [2] - The focus is on retail, construction, and overseas market expansion, alongside strengthening accounts receivable management and cost control to enhance operational quality [2] Group 3: Shareholder Engagement - The company places significant importance on the opinions of all shareholders and aims to fulfill its responsibilities to investors through standardized operations and continuous improvements [2] - The commitment is towards achieving long-term stable development [2]

发布时间：2026-02-09 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 6076.69 | | 52 周最高 | 6160.52 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-09 2025-11 2026-01 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 近期研究报告 《防水发布涨价函，关注内需弹性品 种》 - 2026.01.26 建材行业报告 （2026.02.02-2026.02.08） 电子布涨价超预期，看好 26 年涨价持续性 投资要点 2 月 4 日，光远新材、国际复材等玻纤龙头对电子布再度提价， 新一轮提价幅度较大，涨价幅度约 0.5-0.6 元/米。此次涨价，我们 判断一方面由于铜价及下游 CCL 涨价预期导致 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of Keshun Co., Ltd. shows a significant decline in revenue and net profit, indicating potential challenges in the company's operations and market conditions [2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of January 20, Keshun Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 4.703 billion yuan for the period from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 8.43% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 20.088 million yuan, down 84.08% year-on-year [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 6.92 billion yuan, with 5.36 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 2: Shareholder and Market Activity - As of February 6, Keshun Co., Ltd. had a total of 29,600 shareholders, a decrease of 2.39% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 2.45% to 29,965 shares [2]. - On February 6, the company experienced a financing buy-in of 29.2335 million yuan, with a net financing outflow of 520,700 yuan, indicating a high level of trading activity [1]. Group 3: Business Operations - Keshun Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, production, and sales of new building waterproof materials, as well as providing waterproof engineering construction services [1]. - The revenue composition of the company includes waterproof membranes (51.11%), waterproof coatings (27.10%), waterproof engineering construction (17.31%), and other products (2.61%) [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the building materials sector, particularly focusing on price increase chains and structural prosperity chains [3][14]. Core Insights - The building materials sector is currently experiencing a price increase chain, with fiberglass leading the way due to a significant price rise in ordinary electronic cloth, which is expected to enhance profitability in the fiberglass sector [3][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the upcoming months (March-April) for potential growth, suggesting that investors should continue to focus on key sectors such as electronic cloth, domestic coatings/waterproofing, domestic cement, and domestic glass [3][14]. - The report highlights the potential of companies like Shengfeng Cement, which has a stable business model and is investing in new economic projects, indicating a strong cash flow and future investment returns [4][16]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - The building materials sector is performing well, driven by price increases, particularly in fiberglass and electronic cloth [3][14]. - The report suggests a focus on structural prosperity chains and external demand chains, with a positive outlook for various sub-sectors [3][14]. Market Performance - The building materials index decreased by 0.67%, with specific sectors like glass manufacturing showing a 2.00% increase, while cement manufacturing saw a decline of 1.05% [21]. - The report notes that the average price of cement is currently 342 RMB/ton, down 53 RMB/ton year-on-year, with a national average shipment rate of 24.6% [17][31]. Price Changes in Building Materials - The average price of float glass increased to 1154.49 RMB/ton, reflecting a rise of 9.69 RMB/ton, with inventory levels showing a slight increase [17][44]. - The report indicates that the price of electronic cloth has risen significantly, enhancing the profitability outlook for the fiberglass sector [3][14]. Industry Trends - The report identifies a strong demand for AI-PCB upstream materials, particularly in substrate materials, driven by CPU shortages and price increases in downstream products [5][16]. - The report also highlights the importance of UTG glass and TCO glass in the aerospace energy sector, driven by advancements in solar energy production [4][15].

Core Viewpoints - The traditional building materials sector is expected to bottom out and recover due to a combination of factors such as the slowdown in new real estate demand and the gradual release of stock renovation demand, with consumer building materials benefiting significantly [4] - The special fiberglass electronic cloth sector is experiencing high demand due to the explosion of computing power needs, and companies with outstanding technical advantages and production capacity reserves are favored [4] - Infrastructure investment opportunities are promising, particularly in sectors related to urban renewal and underground pipeline construction [4] Cement Sector - Cement demand is expected to stabilize as confidence in the housing market strengthens, with a potential bottoming out of demand [26][29] - The production of cement is declining due to weak demand from the real estate sector, with a forecasted production volume of 1.693 billion tons in 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year [29] - The average price of cement is recovering due to industry self-discipline and effective supply control, with policies aimed at eliminating backward production capacity expected to accelerate this trend [33] Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass sector is expanding its application fields, with strong demand for electronic fiberglass cloth driven by the growth of computing power needs [36][41] - The apparent consumption of fiberglass in China has increased from 187,000 tons in 2012 to 624,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.56% [40] - The demand for high-performance computing and AI applications is significantly increasing, leading to a structural change in demand for fiberglass materials [44] Glass Sector - The demand for flat glass is under pressure due to a decline in housing completion areas, with consumption levels expected to continue decreasing [51] - The glass industry is facing high inventory levels, with total inventory reaching 58.227 million weight boxes as of December 11, 2025, indicating a need for supply-side adjustments [51] - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing growth, but overall glass prices are under pressure due to capacity expansion and declining demand [51] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a release of stock demand, with policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market expected to support sales and completion rates [62] - The renovation demand is anticipated to recover as macroeconomic policies stimulate consumption, with a significant portion of demand coming from homes built 10-15 years ago [66] - The urban renewal initiatives and the establishment of a housing pension system are expected to further boost demand for consumer building materials [66] Recommended Investment Targets - Companies such as Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝, 002043) and Beixin Building Materials (北新建材, 000786) are highlighted for their strong market positions and competitive advantages in the consumer building materials sector [4][103] - International Composites (国际复材, 301526) is recommended for its strong performance in the special fiberglass cloth sector [4] - Companies like Jinjing Technology (金晶科技, 600586) and Puhua Co., Ltd. (濮耐股份, 002225) are noted for their promising second growth curves in TCO glass and high-activity magnesium oxide businesses, respectively [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights the recovery opportunities in the consumer building materials sector, driven by the stabilization of the real estate market and the emergence of sub-industry advantages [2][3] - The funding aspect shows an increasing proportion of active equity funds' holdings in the building materials sector, with noticeable net inflows into building materials ETFs since late January 2026 [10][11] - The fundamental aspect indicates that the consumer building materials sub-industry is showing alpha advantages due to an optimized competitive landscape, smoother price transmission, channel transformation, and dual recovery of performance and valuation [14][42] Group 2 - The competitive landscape in the consumer building materials industry has improved, with the market concentration in the waterproof materials sector expected to increase, as indicated by the CR5 rising from 55% in 2023 to 60% in the first half of 2025 [17][19] - The report notes that major companies in the waterproof materials sector have begun to raise prices in response to rising raw material costs, indicating a shift away from intense competition [19][20] - The transformation of business models is highlighted, with companies shifting focus from large B clients to small B and C end customers, which helps mitigate risks associated with large client concentration [20][25] Group 3 - The report anticipates a turning point in the revenue and net profit growth rates for the consumer building materials index, with current PB valuations below the 50th percentile since 2020, suggesting potential for both performance improvement and valuation recovery [42][44]

Group 1 - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a slight decline, closing at 18,314.37 points with a drop of 0.03% [1] - Donghong Co. led the decline among renovation and building materials stocks, closing at 13.71 yuan per share with a decrease of 2% [1] - Aiyang Ceiling closed at 78.90 yuan per share, down 1.88%, ranking second in the decline among renovation and building materials stocks [1] Group 2 - Pinao saw an increase of 5.53%, closing at 32.8 yuan per share, leading the gains in the renovation and building materials sector [1] - Keshun Co. closed at 7.82 yuan per share, up 3.58%, ranking second in the gains among renovation and building materials stocks [1] - Gu Di Technology closed at 3.43 yuan per share, with an increase of 2.39%, ranking third in the gains among renovation and building materials stocks [1] Group 3 - China Galaxy's research report indicates that in the medium to long term, the demand for consumer building materials will be supported by the renovation of existing homes, old renovations, and urban renewal [1] - Leading companies in the consumer building materials sector are accelerating adjustments to their sales strategies, with retail business scale continuously expanding [1] - As urban development shifts towards improving existing stock, the market share of leading companies is expected to continue increasing [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes increasing allocations to high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials and anticipates price increases in electronic fabrics due to shortages [2][3]. - Consumer building materials are highlighted as a strong investment opportunity due to significant supply exits, with production levels for various materials projected to be at 97% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum boards, and 77% for cement in 2024 compared to their peak levels [3]. - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the African chain, and the AI chain, suggesting a shift in demand dynamics and growth opportunities in these areas [7]. Summary by Sections Basic Situation - Cement shipments have seen a slight month-on-month increase, while glass inventory continues to decline [6]. - In late January, cement demand showed slight recovery due to warmer weather in southern regions, with a shipment rate of approximately 32% in key domestic areas, up by 3 percentage points [6][23]. Outlook for 2026 - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stock chain, African chain, and AI chain. The stock chain is expected to see a qualitative change in demand, with home renovation demand projected to rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030 [7]. - The African chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, with recommendations for leading companies such as Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [7]. - The AI chain focuses on the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities for domestic replacements in low CTE and low-Dk products [7]. Electronic Fabrics - The report is optimistic about price increases in electronic fabrics due to dual demand dynamics, with AI electronic fabrics benefiting from high demand and ordinary electronic fabrics facing supply constraints [5]. - The shortage of weaving machines is expected to continue, leading to sustained price increases [5]. Cement and Glass Market - The report notes that the national average price of cement is 349.84 yuan per ton, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.74 yuan [24]. - The national average price of glass is reported at 63.11 yuan per weight box, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.50 yuan [36].