今日市场十大单品七涨三跌。上涨产品中，国窖1573、青花汾20、古井贡古20各环比上涨10元/瓶，渠 道补货与成交重心上移带动价格显著抬升；五粮液普五八代同步回升，上涨8元/瓶，批零价差得到阶段 性修复；洋河梦之蓝M6+环比上涨6元/瓶，区域库存去化支撑报价上调；精品茅台环比上涨2元/瓶，高 端礼赠需求继续带动成交价微调，该酒品已四连阳累计涨幅超60元；水晶剑南春微涨1元/瓶。下跌产品 方面，习酒君品回落17元/瓶，跌幅领先，625元/瓶的均价创下30天来新低；飞天茅台下跌15元/瓶，青 花郎回落6元/瓶。 新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在2月2日呈分 化走势，但整体价格继续走升。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为9020元，较昨日上 涨9元，升至1月8日以来最高位。 "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有合理分布的约200个采集点，包括但不限于酒企的指定经销 商、社会经销商、电商平台和零售网点等，原始取样数据为过去24个小时中各点位经手的真实成交终端 零售价格，力求为社会各界提供一份关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market shows a divergence in retail prices for the top ten products, with an overall upward trend in prices, reaching the highest level since January 8, 2023, at a total price of 9020 yuan for a bundled sale of these products, an increase of 9 yuan from the previous day [1]. Price Movements - Among the top ten products, seven saw price increases while three experienced declines. Notable price increases include: - Guojiao 1573, Qinghua Fen 20, and Gujing Gong 20, each rising by 10 yuan per bottle due to channel restocking and a shift in transaction focus [1]. - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation increased by 8 yuan per bottle, indicating a recovery in the price difference between wholesale and retail [1]. - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ rose by 6 yuan per bottle, supported by regional inventory reduction [1]. - Premium Moutai increased by 2 yuan per bottle, driven by high-end gifting demand, accumulating a total increase of over 60 yuan in four consecutive days [1]. - Crystal Jian Nan Chun saw a slight increase of 1 yuan per bottle [1]. Price Declines - The products that experienced price declines include: - Xijiu Junpin, which fell by 17 yuan per bottle, reaching a 30-day low at an average price of 625 yuan [1]. - Feitian Moutai decreased by 15 yuan per bottle [1]. - Qinghua Lang dropped by 6 yuan per bottle [1]. Current Prices of Major Products - Current retail prices for notable products are as follows: - Feitian Moutai: 1715 yuan per bottle, down by 15 yuan [3]. - Premium Moutai: 2417 yuan per bottle, up by 2 yuan [3]. - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation: 801 yuan per bottle, up by 8 yuan [4]. - Qinghua Fen 20: 384 yuan per bottle, up by 10 yuan [4]. - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+: 585 yuan per bottle, up by 6 yuan [4]. - Gujing Gong 20: 520 yuan per bottle, up by 10 yuan [4]. - Xijiu Junpin: 625 yuan per bottle, down by 17 yuan [4]. - Qinghua Lang: 707 yuan per bottle, down by 6 yuan [4]. - Crystal Jian Nan Chun: 389 yuan per bottle, up by 1 yuan [4].

华宝新兴消费混合A自2021年3月成立以来，业绩表现持续承压，中短期收益均大幅跑输业绩比较基准。截至2026年1月29日，该基金不仅过去一年跑输基准 超过15个百分点，且成立以来的累计净值仍处于下跌状态，同类排名靠后。 华宝新兴消费混合A成立以来中短期业绩均表现欠佳。 Wind数据显示，截至2026年1月29日，华宝新兴消费混合A过去1年净值上涨7.36%，跑输基准超过15个百分点；成立以来净值累计下跌14.63%，同类排名 1260/1664。 在业绩表现不佳的同时，该基金也经历了频繁的人事变动，历任多位基金经理，目前由吴心怡独自管理。 近期披露的基金四季报显示，华宝新兴消费混合重仓互联网平台和白酒板块。基金持股集中度较高，前十大重仓股占基金净值的比例超过75%。 过去1年跑输业绩基准逾15个百分点 华宝新兴消费混合的基金合同生效日为2021年3月18日，基金投资目标为：主要投资于新兴消费主题的优质上市公司，在控制风险的前提下，力争实现资产 的稳健增值。基金的业绩比较基准为：中证800指数收益率×55%+中证综合债指数收益率×30%+恒生指数收益率×15%。 | 基金简称 | 如果如果未麻俯头 | | -- ...

Investment Rating - The report rates multiple companies in the consumer staples sector as "Outperform," including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili [1]. Core Insights - The consumer staples industry in January 2026 shows a recovery in basic demand while hedonic consumption remains under pressure, indicating a divergence in performance across different segments [3][29]. - Among the eight key consumer industries tracked, four are experiencing positive growth (condiments, frozen food, soft drinks, and catering), while four are facing declines (high-end and above Baijiu, mass-market Baijiu, dairy products, and beer) [29]. Summary by Segment Baijiu (High-end and Above) - In January, the revenue for high-end Baijiu reached 47 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 14.0%. The price pressure is significant, with expectations of over a 10% price drop throughout the year due to high inventory levels [11]. Baijiu (Mass-market and Below) - The mass-market Baijiu segment generated 22.9 billion yuan in January, down 3.0% year-on-year. Despite the decline, the segment shows resilience due to rigid demand and adaptability to consumption scenarios [13]. Beer - The beer industry reported revenues of 17 billion yuan in January, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year. The demand was affected by adverse weather and the delayed Spring Festival, leading to a cautious inventory approach by distributors [15]. Condiments - The condiment sector achieved revenues of 46.9 billion yuan in January, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.5%. The recovery in the catering channel and increased demand from small and medium-sized businesses are key drivers [17]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector's revenue was 43.5 billion yuan in January, down 3.3% year-on-year. The demand remains under pressure, but a potential recovery is anticipated in the coming months due to low base effects [19]. Frozen Food - The frozen food segment saw revenues of 14.99 billion yuan in January, with a year-on-year increase of 8%. The demand is supported by pre-Spring Festival stocking and favorable weather conditions [21]. Soft Drinks - The soft drink industry generated 96.2 billion yuan in January, with a modest growth of 1.1% year-on-year. Increased promotional activities indicate heightened market competition [24]. Catering - The catering sector reported revenues of 16.2 billion yuan in January, up 2.5% year-on-year. The demand is gradually improving, particularly in small and medium-sized restaurants [26].

Group 1 - The market experienced fluctuations last week, with the China Securities Xinhua National Brand Engineering Index rising by 0.10% to 2029.77 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% and the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.62% [1][2] - Key stocks such as Lanke Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Luzhou Laojiao showed strong performance, with Lanke Technology leading with a 13.64% increase [2] - Since the beginning of 2026, Lanke Technology has surged by 54.37%, followed by Zhaoyi Innovation at 46.97%, indicating significant growth among certain stocks [2] Group 2 - Market performance was heavily influenced by investor sentiment, with significant volatility across different styles and sectors, particularly in defensive financial sectors [3] - The recent market fluctuations are attributed to the excessive gains in certain sectors, while fundamental and liquidity factors remain stable [3] - Looking ahead, the A-share market is expected to present mid-term investment opportunities, driven by trends in household savings and performance realization across multiple industries [3] Group 3 - Precious metals and resource sectors, which had previously seen significant gains, experienced a pullback, leading to a shift in funds towards more certain areas [4] - The logic behind the non-ferrous metals industry remains unchanged, with constrained supply and increasing demand from emerging sectors like new energy and AI expected to support price increases [4] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is anticipated to favor economic stimulation over inflation suppression, benefiting large commodities priced in dollars [4]

Group 1 - The core event is the "Follow the Spring Festival Gala to Yibin" activity, which aims to boost tourism and consumption in Yibin during the Spring Festival 2026, with Yibin being one of the four sub-venues for the CCTV Spring Festival Gala [2] - The "Five Blessings Yibin" initiative includes various promotional activities such as "Blessing Tour," "Blessing Gift," "Blessing Feast," "Blessing Purchase," and "Blessing Bag" to attract visitors [2] - The "Blessing Tour" consists of three segments: "Immediate Exemption," where visitors with the surname or zodiac sign of horse can enter specific scenic spots for free throughout 2026; "Consumption Reduction," offering vouchers for ticket purchases; and "Free Travel," featuring six curated travel routes [2] Group 2 - The "Blessing Gift" offers a New Year gift package for visitors spending over 28 yuan at designated locations during the Spring Festival, with a total of 100,000 packages to be distributed [3] - The "Blessing Feast" includes special dining vouchers for events at the Wuliangye 501 Ancient Cellar, with a total of 1 million yuan in dining vouchers to be issued across various districts [3] - The "Blessing Purchase" initiative features a shopping area for traditional New Year goods and offers retail vouchers worth 2 million yuan, while the "Blessing Bag" encourages social media engagement through short video submissions for cash rewards [3]

风险提示： 宏观经济波动加大、行业竞争加剧、食品安全风险。 报告导读： 白酒板块动销和批价上行。大众品板块中零食、乳制品有望迎来春节备货投资 行情。 投资建议： 成长为主线、重视供需出清下的拐点机会。 白酒：春节动销渐起，飞天批价上涨。 本周1月29日白酒板块单日大幅上涨，主要受地产政策、茅台批价、流动性等多重因素催化。据我们观察，茅台价盘 理顺后渠道融合度显著提升，线上i茅台掀起抢购潮，线下经销商出货甚至略快于往年，近期礼赠及饮用需求增加，普飞批价本周一度涨超1700元。展望后 续：1）短期维度，白酒开门红推进中，除强势品牌外多数渠道打款积极性一般，预计动销高峰2月开启，届时若普飞等核心大单品需求持续释放，则有望支 撑价盘，若批价确认企稳，我们认为其对股价的压制将会减轻；2）中期维度，2026年景气修复和库存去化尚需时间，预计酒企通过以价换量或控量的方式维 持渠道韧性，典型的以价换量如高端龙头茅台、五粮液，控量如习酒、郎酒等，5-6月起行业迎来低基数，动销或将逐步企稳，具备较强放量潜力的品牌有望 更快修复，行业预计呈现主动或被动去库之势，为后续发展奠定基础。 大众品：元旦良好人流量利好出行相关食饮需求。 （ ...

财经大件事（2026年1月26日-2026年2月1日） 头条 金价震荡！黄金"牛股"跌停，股东精准"套现"1.8亿 随着现货黄金价格的剧烈震荡，A股黄金板块在经历连续大涨后出现显著分化。 杰我睿兑付危机持续发酵，多家同类平台小程序被暂停服务 日前，深圳"杰我睿珠宝"黄金兑付危机引发市场关注。据悉，该平台提现已经受限，全国投资者未结清余额超百 亿元。 湾财社记者注意到，在杰我睿平台出现兑付危机后，"云点当""融通金"等同类平台的小程序被相继暂停，不过"融 通金"已启动备用方式维持正常运营。 在这场黄金兑付风波中，危机核心是"预定价"模式，其本质为无实物支撑的高杠杆黄金对赌。此前已有同类平台 出现兑付困难，这类平台多无金融资质、缺乏监管，价格波动下易失控。 配送员将水仙种球当百合配送，消费者索赔300万？盒马回应 近日，有媒体报道，北京一位消费者在盒马App下单一盒鲜百合，配送员误将有毒性的水仙种球配送上门，其家 人不慎误食就医。 截至1月30日午间收盘，黄金概念股走势呈现两极分化态势：湖南黄金（002155.SZ）、中国黄金（600916.SH）大 涨，赤峰黄金（600988.SH）、山东黄金（600547.S ...

行 业 及 产 业 食品饮料 2026 年 02 月 01 日 茅台量价表现验证观点 推荐茅台为 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 《白酒持仓继续下降 食品配置环比回升— —食品饮料 2025 年四季度基金持仓分 析》 2026/01/26 《茅台批价坚挺旺季氛围渐起 鸣鸣很忙上 市催化零食板块——食品饮料行业周报 20260119-20260123》 2026/01/25 《贵州茅台（600519）点评： i 茅台全面 向 C，市场化改革全面推进 》 2026/01/09 证券分析师 吕昌 A0230516010001 lvchang@swsresearch.com 周缘 A0230519090004 zhouyuan@swsresearch.com 王子昂 A0230525040003 wangza@swsresearch.com 联系人 王子昂 A0230525040003 wangza@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@boser ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略月报】 红利内部轮动模型：迈向周期与制造 ——多行业联合红利资产 1 月报 策略研究 策略月报 2026 年 02 月 01 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：姚佩 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120004 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：马野 邮箱：maye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040003 相关研究报告 《【华创策略】杠杆&ETF 资金分化趋势逆转—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-12-01 《【华创策略】自媒体 A 股搜索热度重回高位— —流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-25 《【华创策略】60 日均线的机遇挑战——策略周 聚焦》 2025-11-23 《【华创策略】股票型 ETF 为当前流入主力—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-11-1 ...