数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)前十大权重股分别为天合光能、晶科 能源、阿特斯、奥特维、厦钨新能、大全能源、容百科技（维权）、嘉元科技、固德威、天奈科技，前 十大权重股合计占比46.03%。 关联产品： 消息面上，1)海外风险缓解及AI算力板块修复推动市场普涨，太空光伏概念受马斯克提及太空光伏成本 优势刺激；2)固态电池产业化进程加速，2026年电芯产品定型目标明确，能量密度及循环性能指标提 升。节后需求回暖、固态招标启动及产业链通胀预期形成三重催化；3)新能源装备项目进展顺利，锂电 订单超1亿。 截至02月11日09:37，科创新能源ETF（588830.SH）上涨0.94%，其关联指数科创新能（000692.SH）主 要成分股中，晶科能源上涨3.82%，聚和材料上涨6.89%，天合光能上涨2.05%，艾罗能源上涨4.10%， 奥特维上涨2.12%。 券商研究方面，国信证券指出电力设备新能源行业中太空光伏前景广阔，全球科技巨头持续扩大AI资 本开支；山西证券认为光伏行业在反不正当竞争法实施后价格逐步回升，硅料环节毛利转正，中下游盈 利修复空间较大，同时强调AIDC电源 ...

Group 1: AIDC and Power Supply Innovations - The global AIDC demand is experiencing significant growth, with major cloud companies increasing their capital expenditures. In FY2025, the top three global cloud providers are expected to collectively spend nearly $300 billion [3][19] - High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) is becoming the preferred solution for next-generation data center power supply, as it enhances power efficiency and reduces material usage. The global HVDC market is projected to reach approximately $30 billion by 2027 [4][59] - Key recommendations for HVDC and Storage Solutions include companies like Zhongheng Electric and Siyuan Electric, with additional attention on Keda Data, Kstar, and others [10][65] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning towards high-quality development, with supply-demand dynamics expected to gradually improve. In 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations are projected to reach a record high, although global installation growth is anticipated to slow down post-2026 [5][6] - The industry is actively reducing operating rates to improve supply-demand structures, with significant declines in operating rates for polysilicon and other segments noted [6][7] - Key recommendations in the photovoltaic sector focus on supply-side improvements and new technologies, with companies like Flat Glass and Quartz Holdings highlighted for their potential [11][10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Synchronize with the market - A" [1] Core Insights - SpaceX's application for deploying a satellite system with up to 1 million satellites has been accepted by the FCC, which aims to support advanced AI models and related applications [2] - The utilization rate of photovoltaic power generation is projected to reach 94.8% by 2025, with wind power utilization at 94.3% [3] - The National Energy Administration announced that by December 2025, there will be 6,190 new registered photovoltaic power generation projects [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Haibo Technology (688411.SH) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Longxin Technology (300682.SZ) - Buy - B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy - A [3][4] Market Performance - The report indicates a 7.4% year-on-year increase in the national electricity market transaction volume by 2025 [4] - The report highlights a stable price trend for polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules, with no significant fluctuations observed [5][7][8] Investment Suggestions - Key investment directions include: - BC new technology: Aishuo Co., Ltd. - Supply-side focus: Daqo New Energy, Flat Glass Group - Energy storage direction: Haibo Technology, Sungrow Power Supply - Market-oriented direction: Longxin Group - Domestic substitution direction: Quartz Co., Ltd. - Attention to space photovoltaic: Liancheng CNC, Dike Co., Ltd., Longi Green Energy, and others [9]

消息面上，近期钠电&固态等产业化进展积极。钠电方面，2月5日，全球首款钠电池量产车型亮相，并 将在2026年中上市。固态电池方面，2月7-8日 第三届中国全固态电池创新发展高峰论坛在北京召开， 会议对全固态电池研发进展、关键技术问题展开深度研讨，明确了2026-2027年的产品定型到装车示范 等核心人物。头部几家电池企业有望在26Q1陆续进行产线招标；太空等场景快速发展有望打开固态电 池新应用领域。 有机构指出，（1）供给端：锂电排产环比有望进入显著提升通道：2月份受日历效应和春节假期影响， 锂电池排产环比回落13%左右，但同比增长近30%、淡季表现依旧亮眼。3月排产预计环比显著向好， 部分企业环比提升幅度有望达到15%-20%、部分企业有望创单月新高。（2）政策端：政策明朗下需求 有望快速释放：1月30日，发改委&能源局下发关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知，明确建立电网侧 独立新型储能容量电价机制。政策助推下国内储能、特别是长时储能有望获得更快发展。26年1月底2月 初以来，北京&上海&天津&江苏等各地陆续下发2026年汽车以旧换新补贴实施细则，助推政策快速落 地与实施。（3）容量电价补贴叠加锂盐价格波动回 ...

科创新能源ETF紧密跟踪上证科创板新能源指数，上证科创板新能源指数从科创板市场中选取50只市值 较大的光伏、风电以及新能源车等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映科创板市场代表性新能源 产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)前十大权重股分别为天合光能、晶科 能源、阿特斯、奥特维、厦钨新能、大全能源、容百科技、嘉元科技、固德威、天奈科技，前十大权重 股合计占比46.03%。 科创新能源ETF（588830）、创业板新能源ETF鹏华（159261）、光伏ETF鹏华（159863） 光伏概念表现活跃，消息面上，特斯拉正评估美国多个选址，计划扩大太阳能电池制造业务，目标在未 来三年内实现每年100吉瓦的太阳能制造能力。特斯拉副总裁邦妮·埃格尔斯顿、太阳能产品工程高级经 理塞思·温格相继在领英发布岗位，面向全球招募制造工程师与材料科学家，直言要"以极限速度解决规 模化制造难题，助力美国可再生能源突破"。官网招聘更给出明确时间表：2028年底前，在美国本土实 现从原材料端起的100GW一体化光伏制造。兑现马斯克的Tesla的100GW产能，预计第一期10G ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has approved solid-state battery testing, with industrialization expected to occur soon, targeting an energy density of over 400Wh/kg by 2026-2027, focusing on electrolyte and negative electrode collector materials [1] - Solid-state batteries are anticipated to see a bidding catalyst in 2025, with high certainty in equipment and significant flexibility in materials, offering a unit value five times that of liquid batteries [1] - JinkoSolar may collaborate with SpaceX to resolve TOPCon patent issues within the equipment chain, with auxiliary materials and flexibility being maximized, and the semiconductor and copper paste business valued at 80 billion [1] Group 2 - As of February 9, 09:43, the Kexin New Energy ETF (588830.SH) rose by 3.97%, with its related index Kexin New Energy (000692.SH) increasing by 3.89%; major constituent stocks included JinkoSolar up 10.44%, Juhua Materials up 20.00%, Rongbai Technology up 9.61%, Trina Solar up 4.15%, and Aotewi up 3.06% [1] - Guosen Securities highlights the promising prospects of space photovoltaics in the new energy power equipment sector, with global tech giants continuously expanding AI capital expenditures, leading to "outperform" ratings for certain storage equipment sector stocks [1] - Great Wall Securities believes that solid-state battery technology is entering a golden development period, with a combination of cold isostatic pressing and warm isostatic pressing processes offering efficiency and cost advantages in large-scale production, driving technological innovation in the equipment sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric power equipment and new energy sectors, including Ningde Times, Keda Li, and others [6][7]. Core Insights - The global photovoltaic market is expected to maintain high growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with annual new installations projected to reach 725-870 GW globally and 238-287 GW domestically [3][39]. - The electric power equipment sector is witnessing significant developments, including the approval of a major grid project by the National Development and Reform Commission, marking a new phase of market competition [4][39]. - The new energy vehicle market shows strong momentum, with major manufacturers like BYD and NIO reporting substantial year-on-year delivery increases [2][14]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - In January 2026, several new energy vehicle manufacturers reported significant delivery growth, with NIO delivering 27,182 units (+96.1% YoY) and BYD leading with 210,051 units [2][14][24]. - The third China All-Solid-State Battery Innovation Development Summit was held, focusing on key materials and technological advancements [2][27]. New Energy Generation - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning from scale expansion to high-quality development, with a focus on technological integration and new application scenarios [39][40]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, will push companies towards innovation and sustainable competitiveness [45]. Electric Power Equipment and Automation - The State Grid's recent tender for ultra-high voltage equipment involved 119 packages, with 115 awarded, indicating robust market activity [4]. - The approval of the first major grid project under the "14th Five-Year Plan" signifies a positive outlook for the electric power sector [4]. Commercial Aerospace - The domestic first "one rocket, 36 satellites" satellite launch technology facility has been accepted, indicating advancements in commercial aerospace capabilities [5]. Market Performance - The electric power equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 2.20%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, with lithium battery and solar indices showing significant gains [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for key companies in the electric power equipment and new energy sectors, including Ningde Times, Keda Li, and others [6][7]. Core Insights - The global photovoltaic market is expected to maintain high growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with annual new installations projected to reach 725-870 GW globally and 238-287 GW domestically [3][39]. - The electric power equipment sector is witnessing significant developments, including the approval of major grid projects and the awarding of contracts for high-voltage equipment [4][39]. - The new energy vehicle market continues to show strong momentum, with major manufacturers reporting significant year-on-year delivery increases [2][14]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - In January 2026, several new energy vehicle manufacturers reported substantial delivery growth, with NIO delivering 27,182 units (+96.1% YoY) and BYD maintaining a leading position with 210,051 units delivered [2][14][24]. - The third China All-Solid-State Battery Innovation Development Summit was held, focusing on key materials and technological advancements [2][27]. New Energy Generation - The photovoltaic industry is transitioning from scale expansion to high-quality development, with a focus on technological integration and new application scenarios [39][40]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, marks a shift to full market competition, pushing companies towards innovation and sustainable competitiveness [45][48]. Electric Power Equipment and Automation - The State Grid's recent tender for ultra-high voltage equipment involved 119 packages, with 115 awarded, indicating robust demand in the sector [4][39]. - The approval of the first major grid project by the National Development and Reform Commission signifies a positive outlook for infrastructure development in the electric power sector [4][39]. Commercial Aerospace - The domestic first "one rocket, 36 satellites" satellite launch technology facility has been accepted, indicating advancements in commercial aerospace capabilities [5]. Market Performance - The electric power equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 2.20%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, with lithium battery and solar indices showing significant gains [1].

联络人 作者 企业评级部 汤梦琳 010-66428877 mltang@ccxi.com.cn 李洁鹭 010-66428877 jlli@ccxi.com.cn 其他联络人 www.ccxi.com.cn 2026 年 2 月 目录 | 核心观点 | 1 | | --- | --- | | 分析思路 | 2 | | 行业基本面 | 2 | | 行业财务表现 | 12 | | 结论 | 19 | | 附表 | 20 | 王梦莹 010-66428877 mywang01@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 行业展望 中国光伏制造行业 中国光伏制造行业展望，2026 年 2 月 展望 2026 年，国内光伏装机需求将出现小幅回落，海外出口增速也将 趋于下行，预计下游需求增速整体放缓；供给端，在法律政策与自律 协会的推动下，企业将继续减产控价，产业链价格或将出现不同程度 的回升，随着落后产能淘汰，行业集中度将进一步提升。不过短期内 行业供需失衡的格局仍难以得到根本性扭转，产业链价格仍将处于低 位。长期来看产业发展环境有望得到优化，但盈利修复仍需依赖减产 联盟共识、供给侧政策持续发力与需求端的带动，而持续亏损导致 ...

2月4日，有市场传闻称，马斯克团队近期走访了中国多家光伏企业，考察项目涉及设备、硅片、电池组件等环节，其中重点考察了有异质结、钙钛矿技术 路线的光伏企业。当日，协鑫、晶科能源（688223.SH）、TCL中环（002199.SZ）等上市公司确认与马斯克团队有过接洽。 对此，多家光伏产业链公司在回应中强调，目前并未与马斯克团队达成实质性合作，并提示"太空光伏"仍处早期阶段，投资者应理性看待相关概念；且光 伏调整期下公司业绩处于大幅下滑或亏损态势，提醒投资者审慎投资。 光伏板块上市公司2月5日走势，截至5日午间收盘 上市公司回应： 尚未开展合作，"太空光伏"处于探索期 2月4日晚，晶科能源发布股票异动公告表示，公司关注到近期资本市场对"太空光伏"等概念关注度较高，相关板块二级市场表现较为活跃。目前"太空光 伏"尚处技术初步探索阶段，产业化进程受技术发展、行业政策、市场环境等多方面因素影响，未来技术应用与产业化落地仍需要一定的时间周期。截至 目前，公司主营业务产品仍聚焦于地面光伏领域，公司未有涉及"太空光伏"的订单收入，未对公司经营业绩造成影响，请投资者 注意理性判断。 晶科能源进一步指出，截至目前，公司未与马斯克 ...