2026 年 2 月 26 日 星期四 ➢ 每日大市点评 2026 年 2 月 26 日 星期四 不承担责任声明 2 月 25 日，周三港股因美股反弹及外围股市早好，港股大盘先升后回落。恒生指数上午走高后午后升幅收窄，最终收盘 升 175 点（0.7%），收报 26,765 点；恒生科技指数微跌 10（0.2%）收盘报 5,260 点；全天大市成交额 2,368 亿元。南 下资金净流出 40.6 亿元。上海发布楼市"沪七条"，进一步放松住房限购政策，内房股拉升。碧桂园（2007 HK）、旭 辉控股（884 HK）、龙湖集团（960 HK）涨 5%-6.5%。市场期待消费市场复苏，体育服饰板块拉升，安踏（2020 HK）、 滔博（6110 HK）、361 度（1361 HK）分别涨 1.6%-6.5%。汇丰集团（5 HK）公布业绩，去年第四季度收入和税前利润均 高于市场预期。管理层更指引未来三年股东权益回报将达 17%或以上，也高于原先市场预期。市场认为亮眼业绩将带动 股价短期向上。周三汇丰上扬 5.5%，创一年新高。 美股方面，美国时间周二晚上，特朗普发表国情咨文，指出美国正迎来"黄金时代"，当中提出"AI ...

Core Insights - The report highlights changes in the Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings, indicating significant increases and decreases in ownership percentages for various companies. Group 1: Recent Increases in Holdings - VITASOY INT'L (00345) saw an increase of 0.09%, bringing its latest holding percentage to 3.75% [1] - 恒生科技ETF (03032) increased by 0.04%, with a current holding of 18.49% [1] - 永升服务 (01995) experienced a rise of 0.01%, now holding 4.57% [1] - 南方东西精选 (03441) had the largest increase over five days at 18.46%, reaching 41.03% [4] - 喜相逢集团 (02473) increased by 10.04%, with a holding of 45.14% [4] - 兆易创新 (03986) rose by 4.95%, now at 6.65% [4] Group 2: Recent Decreases in Holdings - 南方恒生科技 (03033) experienced the largest decrease of -0.14%, with a current holding of 68.87% [2] - 医渡科技 (02158) decreased by -0.03%, now at 22.59% [2] - 盈富基金 (02800) saw a reduction of -0.02%, with a holding of 3.49% [2] - 山东墨龙 (00568) had a five-day decrease of -1.30%, now at 53.56% [5] - 亿华通 (02402) decreased by -1.00%, with a holding of 27.49% [5] - 国富氢能 (02582) saw a reduction of -0.90%, now at 20.14% [5] Group 3: Long-term Trends in Holdings - Over a 20-day period, 喜相逢集团 (02473) had the highest increase of 42.45%, reaching 45.14% [6] - 南方东西精选 (03441) increased by 27.31%, now at 41.03% [6] - 钧达股份 (02865) rose by 15.74%, with a holding of 64.80% [6] - 天齐锂业 (09696) experienced a significant decrease of -6.48%, now at 31.50% [6] - 金风科技 (02208) decreased by -5.88%, with a holding of 42.49% [6]

// 债市综述 // 1. 公开市场操作 央行公告称，2月25日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了4095亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.40%，投标量4095亿元，中标量4095亿元。Wind数据显 示，当日4000亿元逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放95亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 税期与跨月叠加影响，银行间市场资金面仍显紧平衡，DR001加权平均利率上行近2bp至1.38%上方，DR007则下行。匿名点击（X-repo）系统上，隔夜报 价最新在1.43%，供给不稳；非银机构质押信用债融入隔夜资金，报价仍在接近1.6%一线。 海外方面，美国隔夜融资担保利率为3.66%。 （IMM） （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在1.59%附近，较上日小幅上行。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 纷纷上行 （*数据来源：Wind-成交统计BMW） 5. 近期城投债（AAA）各期限利差走势及数据 （*数据来源：Wind-利差分析） 6. 国债期货收盘 30年期主 ...

商报讯(记者苗露)A股昨日延续前一个交易日的强势走向，沪指盘中涨超1%站稳4100点。截至下午收 盘，沪指涨0.72%报4147.23点，深证成指涨1.29%，创业板指涨1.41%，沪深北三市合计成交约2.48万亿 元，较此前一日增加逾2600亿元。 据介绍，朱雀三号研制团队目前正在对火箭着陆流程进行优化，计划于2026年第二季度再次开展回收试 验，并根据回收试验情况争取于今年第四季度尝试首次回收复用飞行。也就是说，如果朱雀三号一子级 成功回收，将用于下一发朱雀三号火箭上，实现重复使用。 盘面上看，市场整体活跃，A股市场超3700股飘红，逾100股涨停。有色、钢铁、化工等资源股持续活 跃；地产板块拉升，磷概念爆发。值得注意的是，胜宏科技（300476）大幅拉升，盘中涨超10%，全日 成交174.9亿元，位居A股成交额首位。 有色板块全天表现强势 昨日，有色板块表现抢眼，盘中强势拉升，钴、镍、稀土概念等均跑出亮眼成绩。截至下午收盘，寒锐 钴业（300618）涨近14%，华锡有色（600301）、云南锗业（002428）、中钨高新（000657）、章源钨 业（002378）等均涨停。同时，昨日午后稀土永磁概念再度 ...

此番地产行情走强，得益于多重积极信号叠加催化。 政策层面，2月25日，上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策 的通知》，自2026年2月26日起施行，主要包括三方面：进一步调减住房限购政策、优化住房公积金贷款政策和完善个人住 房房产税政策。 其中，限购方面，非沪籍外环内购房社保门槛降至1年；缴纳社保/个税满 3 年可增购1套；持居住证满5年可购1套住房，无 需提供社保或个税证明。公积金方面，首套贷款最高额度提至240万（多子女家庭贷款最高额度可达324万元），并放宽二 套贷款认定。税收方面，成年子女首套房暂免征收个人住房房产税。 上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进表示，上海发布楼市新政，充分体现上海综合施策、因城施策、发挥好存量和增量政 策集成效应的导向，亦符合2026年住房消费工作的相关要求。此次新政将在降低购房成本的同时，进一步促进住房消费需 求积极释放和供求关系平衡，亦进一步巩固当前楼市稳中向好的态势。 除政策利好外，春节期间，房企积极促销，多地项目"春节不打烊"，以特惠房源、购房折扣等促销活动，为市场"小阳 春"提前蓄力。 2月25日，港股、A股两市的地 ...

【解剖大盘】 布计划以约15亿欧元，相当于122.8亿元人民币的对价收购PUMA的29.06%股份，若交易完成，公司将 成为PUMA的第一大股东。重塑Puma中国业务有望获得更高收益，今天涨超2%。 英伟达即将公布2025财年第四财季财报，华尔街高度期待。市场预期其收入将增长至636亿美元，同比 增长68.3%；不知道这次能否超预期。当然，投资者最关心的是后续情况，因为美商务部官员证实：两 个月了，英伟达H200对华销售为零。AI依旧是冷热不均，软件方向继续承压，但汇聚科技(01729)表现 强劲，公司完成配售1.08亿股，净筹约16.35亿港元，公司是谷歌体系的主力供应商，核心产品为MPO 光纤跳线，受益于谷歌800G/1.6T光模块升级与CPO技术推进，用量与价值占比持续提升。今天涨超 9%。 【板块聚焦】 当前A股的走势明显强于港股，这个也好理解，因为每年的春季行情大家都有预期，节前灰头土脸，节 后就会报复性反弹。港股今天小幅上涨，收盘升0.66%。 据MarketWatch报道，美伊双方谈判代表预计将于周四在日内瓦重启会谈。特朗普周二晚在国情咨文中 再度向伊朗施压，称"我们正在与他们谈判，他们想达成协 ...

证券研究报告|固收研究报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 02 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 以史为鉴，地产债修复路径展望 [Table_Title2] 信用策略宝典之三 [Table_Summary] 2025年 11月以来，万科债券展期事件引发地产债调整，目前高评级主体已 率先止跌，地产债后续修复路径备受市场关注。我们以史为鉴，通过复盘 前两轮地产债信用利差走扩与修复的历程，总结其修复的核心驱动因素及 典型特征，并提出后续地产债投资策略。 ►万科债券展期事件引发地产债调整 2025 年 11 月以来，万科经历了首次境内债展期引发股债双杀、初版展期方 案后多轮博弈、第二版展期方案获通过及 68 亿元债券展期落地。与此同 时，万科债券价格经历了"快速大跌-小幅反弹-大幅反弹"。 受万科债券展期的影响，地产债收益率明显上行，且中低评级表现弱于高 评级、1 年以上表现普遍弱于 1 年以内品种。1 月 15 日以来万科第二版展 期方案获通过并兑付部分本金，万科债券价格明显反弹，但地产债并未迎 来全线修复，而是表现分化。2 月 14 日较 1 月 15 日，隐含评级 AAA 各期 限收益率下行 ...

除现金支付外，重组方案还通过"新票据+可转债+强制可交换债券"等多元工具组合，为不同风险偏好 的债权人提供了灵活选择。整体来看，该方案兼顾了碧桂园可持续运营与债权人的合理回报，实现了多 方共赢。据测算，若碧桂园经营持续改善，部分债权人通过转股或债转工具未来有望获得高于债券流通 价格的回收价值。 其中，作为重组对价组成部分的可转债转股亦在快速落地中。自1月以来，碧桂园已累计完成多笔可转 债转股，新增发行股份规模可观。截至2月16日已新增发行合计137.27亿股，新发行数接近重组前已发 行股本的50%。 本报讯 （记者陈潇）碧桂园控股有限公司（以下简称"碧桂园"）境外债务重组方案正以超预期速度落 地。近日，碧桂园公告，香港高等法院已驳回针对碧桂园的清盘呈请。同日，根据碧桂园披露的股份发 行报表，碧桂园累计发行股份数已达416.55亿股，在重组方案落地后发行的新股份数合计137.27亿股。 且碧桂园已向债权人支付3.98亿美元现金对价，约占重组债务本金的2%，履约效率远超市场预期。 分析人士表示，尽管面临大规模股本扩张，但碧桂园股价展现出韧性，同时南向资金持股比例提升至历 年高点。这标志着这一头部民营房企在完成关键 ...

【导读】2月25日，港股大模型股集体大跌 2月25日，港股三大指数涨跌不一。截至收盘，恒生指数涨0.66%，报26765.72点；恒生科技指数跌0.19%，报5260.50点；恒生国企指数涨0.30%，报 9034.75点。全日大市成交额为2368亿港元，南向资金净卖出40.57亿港元。 | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | HSI | 恒生指数 | 26765.72c | 175.40 | 0.66% | 2368亿 | 4.43% | | 2 | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 5260.50c | -10.20 | -0.19% | 519亿 | -4.63% | | 3 | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 15650.45c | -3.74 | -0.02% | 72亿 | 10.38% | | 4 | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9034.75c | 26.89 | 0.30% | 715亿 | 1.36% | | 5 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On February 24, the 1 - year and 5 - year LPR quotes remained unchanged, and the central bank announced a 600 billion yuan MLF operation. The money market was slightly tight, the bond market trading was light after the Spring Festival, the convertible bond market followed the equity market's rise, and the yields of most US Treasury bonds and European government bonds changed [1][4]. - The real estate market is showing positive changes, with the decline in housing prices in large and medium - sized cities narrowing, and the market is moving towards stabilization and recovery [4]. - Trump's 10% "global tariff" took effect on February 24, and the implementation schedule of the 15% tariff has not been finalized, which has brought uncertainty to the global trade [5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News 3.1.1 Domestic News - The LPR has remained unchanged for nine months, and there is still room for a decline this year. On February 24, the 1 - year LPR was 3.0% and the 5 - year LPR was 3.5%, in line with market expectations [3]. - On February 25, the central bank will conduct a 600 billion yuan MLF operation, with a net injection of 300 billion yuan. In February, the net injection of medium - term liquidity reached 90 billion yuan, still at a relatively high level [4]. - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization and recovery, with the decline in housing prices in large and medium - sized cities narrowing in January 2026 [4]. 3.1.2 International News - Trump's 10% "global tariff" took effect on February 24, and the implementation schedule of the 15% tariff has not been finalized. The new policy has exemptions, and the unclear signal has caused confusion in the global market [5]. - A Federal Reserve official said that the current inflation is "not good enough", and the tariff ruling helps to cool inflation. The US 12 - month core PCE price index rose 3% year - on - year [6]. 3.1.3 Commodities - On February 24, international crude oil futures prices fell, with WTI March crude oil futures down 1.03% and Brent April crude oil futures down 1.01%. COMEX gold futures fell 3.06%, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 2.05% [7]. 3.2 Money Market 3.2.1 Open Market Operations - On February 24, the central bank conducted a 526 billion yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation, with a net withdrawal of 926.4 billion yuan due to large - scale reverse repurchase maturities [10]. 3.2.2 Funding Rates - On February 24, due to the tax period and large - scale net withdrawal of reverse repurchases, the money market was slightly tight. DR001 fell 0.25bp to 1.367%, and DR007 rose 1.57bp to 1.555% [11]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics 3.3.1 Interest - Rate Bonds - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On February 24, bond market trading was light after the Spring Festival. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond 250016 remained unchanged at 1.7825%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250220 rose 0.05bp to 1.9435% [14]. - **Bond Tendering**: Information on the tendering of various bonds such as agricultural development bonds and Treasury bonds was provided, including issuance scale, winning yields, and multiples [15]. 3.3.2 Credit Bonds - **Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies**: On February 24, there were no credit bonds with a price deviation of more than 10% [16]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Companies such as Country Garden and Hejingtai reached debt restructuring agreements or announced bond buy - back plans [17]. 3.3.3 Convertible Bonds - **Equity Market Performance**: On February 24, the A - share market had a good start in the Year of the Horse, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising 0.87%, 1.36%, and 0.99% respectively, and the full - day trading volume reaching 2.22 trillion yuan [18]. - **Convertible Bond Market Performance**: The convertible bond market followed the equity market and strengthened. The CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index rose 0.82%, 0.92%, and 0.67% respectively. Most convertible bond issues rose [18]. 3.3.4 Overseas Bond Markets - **US Bond Market**: On February 24, the yield of the 2 - year US Treasury bond remained unchanged at 3.43%, and the yields of other maturities generally rose. The 2/10 - year US Treasury bond yield spread widened by 1bp to 61bp, and the 5/30 - year spread narrowed by 2bp to 89bp [24][25]. - **European Bond Market**: On February 24, the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies generally declined, with the German 10 - year government bond yield falling 1bp to 2.71% [27]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - Issued US - Dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of Chinese - issued US - dollar bonds as of the close on February 24 were provided, including bonds of companies such as Bilibili and Country Garden [29].