1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Report's Core View - The international three major institutions (IEA, EIA, OPEC) have adjusted their forecasts for global crude oil supply, demand, and inventory in 2025 in their June reports. The average forecast for inventory change is flat compared to last month, while the supply forecasts have increased, and the demand forecasts have mixed changes. Non - OECD countries, represented by China, are expected to be the main contributors to the global crude oil demand growth in 2025 [2][99][111]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Global Crude Oil Inventory - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict 2025 global crude oil inventory changes to be +110, +82, and - 132 barrels per day respectively, with changes of -10, -5, and +15 barrels per day compared to May 2025 forecasts. The average forecast for 2025 inventory change is +20 barrels per day, unchanged from last month's average [2]. 3.2 Global Crude Oil Supply 3.2.1 Global Crude Oil Supply Overview - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict 2025 crude oil supply to be 10490, 10434, and 10382 barrels per day respectively, an increase of 190, 159, and 147 barrels per day compared to 2024. Compared to May 2025 forecasts, the increases are 30, 22, and 4 barrels per day respectively [16]. 3.2.2 Global Major Regional Crude Oil Supply Situations - **Three - institution Regional Supply Increment Forecasts**: IEA expects the 2025 global crude oil supply increment to be concentrated in OPEC, American OECD countries, and Latin American countries; EIA expects it to be in North American and Central & South American countries; OPEC expects it to be in DoC and American OECD countries [29][31][35]. - **OPEC+**: In May 2025, the total crude oil production of 12 OPEC countries averaged 2702 barrels per day, a month - on - month increase of 18.3 barrels per day, due to production changes in Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. The total remaining capacity of OPEC+ is 619 barrels per day, a month - on - month decrease of 16 barrels per day [37][41]. - **Russia**: In May 2025, Russia's total export volume was 730 barrels per day, a year - on - year decrease of 30 barrels per day [54]. - **USA**: EIA predicts that the average crude oil production in the US in 2025 will be 1341 barrels per day, an increase of 21 barrels per day compared to 2024 and unchanged from the May 2025 forecast. As of June 2024, the total production of the seven major shale oil producing regions in the US was 985 barrels per day, a month - on - month increase of 1.7 barrels per day; the shale oil production in the Permian region was 619 barrels per day, a month - on - month increase of 1.8 barrels per day [63][69]. 3.3 Global Crude Oil Demand 3.3.1 Global Crude Oil Demand Overview - IEA, EIA, and OPEC predict 2025 crude oil demand to be 10380, 10353, and 10513 barrels per day respectively, an increase of 80, 79, and 138 barrels per day compared to 2024. Compared to May 2025 forecasts, the changes are -10, -19, and +14 barrels per day respectively. Non - OECD countries represented by China are expected to be the main contributors to the demand increment, while OECD countries' demand growth is expected to be weak [99][111]. 3.3.2 Global Different Petroleum Product Demand Situations - IEA expects the demand for chemical oil to recover significantly in 2025. Globally, the demand for aviation kerosene, diesel, and gasoline is expected to increase by 13, 4, and 12 barrels per day respectively compared to 2024; the demand for LPG and ethane, and naphtha in the chemical product sector will increase by 30 and 20 barrels per day respectively. In China, the demand for chemical oil is also expected to recover, with changes in the demand for aviation kerosene, diesel, and gasoline being +2, -3, and -13 barrels per day respectively, and the demand for LPG and ethane, and naphtha increasing by 6 and 15 barrels per day respectively [117][119]. 3.4 Related Listed Companies - Recommended companies include CNOOC Limited (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec Corp. (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Development Co., Ltd. (600968.SH). Companies to be concerned about include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), and Sinopec Mechanical Engineering Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the marine economy and deep-sea technology in China, highlighting the government's strong support for these sectors, which are expected to drive high-end, intelligent, and green development [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Government Support**: Deep-sea technology has been included in the government work report for the first time, indicating increased policy support and the establishment of multiple marine economy demonstration zones across the country [1][2]. - **Investment Opportunities**: The marine economy is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, contributing nearly 8% to GDP. Despite external pressures, the sector is expected to grow significantly, with deep-sea technology driving new applications and products [2][3]. - **Offshore Wind Power**: Offshore wind power is a core national strategy, with potential capacity exceeding 6,000 GW, significantly higher than the current 60-70 GW. This sector is expected to create numerous investment opportunities in equipment manufacturing, installation, and maintenance [1][4]. - **Submarine Cable Industry**: The growth of offshore wind projects is driving demand for submarine cables, with investment for a 1 GW wind project potentially increasing from 1.5 billion yuan to 2.5 billion yuan due to rising cable lengths and voltage levels [1][5][6]. - **Marine Scientific Observation**: There is a growing demand for high-quality submarine optical composite cables, with major manufacturers like Zhongtian Technology and Hengtong Optic-Electric leading the market. Hengtong is a top player in global transoceanic communication, but there remains significant growth potential in China [1][7]. - **National Defense**: Marine monitoring and protection are crucial for national security, with technologies like small target radar aiding in strategic monitoring. Companies like Zhongtian Technology and Tongguang Optoelectronics are highlighted for their growth potential in this area [1][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Deep-Sea Machinery**: The deep-sea machinery sector presents multiple investment opportunities, including submersibles and underwater robots, with companies like Weiguang and Diweier expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 30% in the coming years [2][10]. - **Market Growth Projections**: The deep-sea technology market is expected to reach over 920 billion yuan by 2030, with an annual growth rate of approximately 11% from 2025 to 2030. Key growth areas include deep-water oil and gas, underwater drones, and coastal wind power [2][11]. - **Offshore Data Centers**: The development of offshore data centers is in its pilot phase but shows strong growth potential, driven by increasing server power consumption and the need for cooling solutions [8]. - **Investment in Marine Equipment**: The marine equipment sector is expected to see rapid development, with significant advancements anticipated before the centenary of the military in 2027. Key investment areas include infrastructure, materials, underwater communication, and power systems [17][20]. Conclusion - The marine economy and deep-sea technology sectors in China are poised for significant growth, driven by government support, technological advancements, and increasing demand for related products and services. Investors are encouraged to focus on key companies and emerging trends within these industries to capitalize on the anticipated growth opportunities.

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The chemical industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices. Key areas of focus for June include safety regulations, supply changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to export dynamics, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [4][11] - The report suggests a mid-to-long-term investment strategy focusing on high oil prices, robust performance in the oil and gas extraction sector, and the growth potential in new materials, particularly in electronic and renewable energy materials [4][11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of June 29, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemicals sector is 22.34, at the 63.93 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.83, at the 14.09 percentile historically. For the oil and petrochemical sector, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio is 10.98, at the 15.69 percentile historically, and the price-to-book ratio is 1.19, at the 2.39 percentile historically [4][11] Price Changes - In the week of June 23-29, 38 chemical products saw price increases, 38 saw decreases, and 24 remained stable. The average price of WTI crude oil fell by 12.56% to $65.52 per barrel, while Brent crude fell by 12.00% to $67.77 per barrel. The average price of MDI decreased by 1.59% to 15,500 CNY/ton, while H acid increased by 5.39% to 44,000 CNY/ton [10][28][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend policies and those in high-growth sectors such as oil and gas, electronic materials, and new energy materials. Specific companies highlighted for investment include China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and several others in the electronic materials sector [4][11]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The cease - fire of the Israel - Iran conflict led to a significant decline in international oil prices [1] - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the weekly data of the US crude oil and refined oil markets, including prices, inventories, production, demand, and import - export volumes [2] - It also presents the performance of the petroleum and petrochemical sector and related listed companies, along with their valuations [21][24] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - The data sources include Bloomberg, WIND, EIA, TSA, Baker Hughes, and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [8][9] 3.2 This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review 3.2.1 Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance - Information on the sector's performance includes the sector's sub - industry price changes and the trend of the sector's sub - industries and the CSI 300 index [17] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [15][20] 3.2.2 Performance of Listed Companies in the Sector - The report shows the price changes of major companies in the upstream sector in different time periods (last week, last month, last three months, last year, and since the beginning of 2025) [22] - A valuation table for listed companies is provided, including share prices, total market values, net profits attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB ratios from 2024 to 2027 [24] 3.3 Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking 3.3.1 Crude Oil Price - Analyzes the prices and price differences of Brent, WTI, Urals, ESPO crude oils, and the relationships between crude oil prices and the US dollar index, copper prices [29][39][43] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [30][32][34] 3.3.2 Crude Oil Inventory - Examines the correlation between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, and the relationship between the weekly destocking rate of US commercial crude oil and the price change of Brent crude oil [45][46] - Presents data on US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory [48][49][53] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [45][48][49] 3.3.3 Crude Oil Supply - Analyzes US crude oil production, the number of active crude oil rigs, and the number of active fracturing fleets, as well as their relationships with oil prices [57][58] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [57][59] 3.3.4 Crude Oil Demand - Analyzes US refinery crude oil processing volume, refinery operating rate, and Shandong refinery operating rate [62][64] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [63][64] 3.3.5 Crude Oil Import and Export - Analyzes US crude oil import volume, export volume, net import volume, and the import - export volume of crude oil and petroleum products [67][70] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [68][69][70] 3.4 Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking 3.4.1 Refined Oil Price - Analyzes the prices and price differences between crude oil and domestic/US/European/Singapore gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as the wholesale - retail price differences of domestic gasoline and diesel [75][84][90] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [75][77][82] 3.4.2 Refined Oil Inventory - Presents data on US gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene inventories, and Singapore gasoline and diesel inventories [102][105][111] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [102][106][112] 3.4.3 Refined Oil Supply - Analyzes US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene production [117][118][120] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [119][120] 3.4.4 Refined Oil Demand - Analyzes US gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene consumption, and the number of airport security checks for passengers [122][125][129] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [123][126][130] 3.4.5 Refined Oil Import and Export - Analyzes the import - export situation and net export volume of US gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene [132][135][136] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [133][136][137] 3.5 Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - Analyzes the average daily rates of self - elevating and semi - submersible drilling platforms in the industry [146][147][149] - Data sources are WIND and the Dongwu Securities Research Institute [146][148][150]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights five key stocks for July, each representing different industries with strong growth potential and attractive valuations [1][3][4]. Group 2: Industry Summaries - **Electronics - Huakin Technology (603296.SH)**: The company is a global leader in smart product platforms, with data center business expected to ramp up in the second half of the year [3]. - **Textiles and Apparel - Zhejiang Natural (605080.SH)**: The stock is undervalued due to tariff impacts, but is seeing a recovery in orders for old products alongside new product launches, indicating high growth potential [4]. - **Social Services - Tianli International Holdings (1773.HK)**: This company is a leader in K12 private education in China, focusing on high school education and diversifying its brand influence [4]. - **Oil and Petrochemicals - CNOOC Engineering (600583.SH)**: The company benefits from overseas orders, with rapid growth in annual and quarterly performance; projected dividend yield for 2024 is close to 4% [4]. - **New Energy - Putailai (603659.SH)**: The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in lithium battery anode performance, with small-scale production orders for CVD silicon-carbon anodes and plans for production in 2025 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the polyester industry, particularly for polyester filament yarn, anticipating a recovery in demand due to improving Sino-US trade relations [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the expectation of a recovery in polyester filament yarn demand as Sino-US trade restrictions are anticipated to ease, potentially restoring textile and apparel exports to the US [4][5]. - It notes that US apparel wholesalers have been depleting their inventories since Q4 2022, and with the overseas economy recovering, a replenishment phase is expected to begin in 2025, further boosting filament yarn demand [4][7]. - The report emphasizes that downstream inventories for polyester filament yarn are at historically low levels, which supports a stable demand outlook despite external trade pressures [11]. - The report indicates that the valuation of polyester filament yarn companies is currently at historical lows, suggesting potential for upward movement during the seasonal peak periods [14]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil prices fell to $67.77 per barrel, a decrease of 12% week-on-week, while WTI prices dropped to $65.52 per barrel, down 11.27% [22]. - US commercial crude oil inventories decreased to 415 million barrels, down 5.84 million barrels from the previous week, and are 11% lower than the five-year average [24]. - The report anticipates a widening supply-demand trend for crude oil, with expectations of price fluctuations but overall stability due to OPEC+ production cuts [4][22]. Refining Sector - The report notes an increase in the Singapore refining margin to $16.47 per barrel, up $4.89 from the previous week, indicating improved refining profitability [56]. - The report suggests that refining product margins are still low but are expected to improve as economic recovery progresses [4][53]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have been rising, with the average price in East China reaching 5,139 RMB per ton, up 1.08% week-on-week [4]. - The report highlights a positive outlook for leading polyester companies such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, anticipating a recovery in profitability as supply-demand dynamics improve [18]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading polyester companies, refining firms, and offshore oil service companies, citing potential for performance improvement as market conditions stabilize [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving landscape of marine clean energy development in China, highlighting the shift from state-owned electric enterprises to marine engineering leaders in deep-sea projects, particularly in offshore wind energy [2]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - State-owned electric enterprises have traditionally dominated marine clean energy development in China, but this barrier is being challenged as deep-sea projects become more prevalent [2]. - Marine engineering companies with extensive experience in FPSO, deep-water platforms, and floating oil and gas systems are increasingly entering the offshore wind energy sector, reshaping the industry dynamics [2]. - Companies like CNOOC, Zhenhua Heavy Industries, and CIMC Raffles are leveraging their deep-sea oil and gas engineering expertise to become key players in the EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) segment of offshore wind energy [2]. Group 2: Future Collaboration - The future of marine clean energy development in China will depend on collaboration between electric state-owned enterprises and marine engineering companies, focusing on technology standards, resource sharing, and policy coordination [2]. - Electric state-owned enterprises are enhancing their operations through three main strategies: intelligent operation and maintenance, flexible power grids, and ecological integration [2]. Group 3: Upcoming Events - The 2025 Marine Clean Energy Technology and Equipment Summit Forum will be held from July 23-25 in Nantong, featuring various activities including a youth scientist forum, industry development discussions, and technology exhibitions [3][12]. - The forum aims to address trends in marine clean energy development, the "14th Five-Year Plan" policy outlook, and the integration and collaboration within the industry [12].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose later, with the Shanghai Energy Industry Layered Equal-Weight Index down by 1.71% to 2502.08 points, with a trading volume of 14.174 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Energy Industry Layered Equal-Weight Index has increased by 1.24% in the past month, decreased by 4.91% in the past three months, and has fallen by 10.24% year-to-date [1] - The index includes companies from eleven primary industries, providing diversified investment targets through market capitalization weighting and equal weighting within secondary industries [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the Shanghai Energy Industry Layered Equal-Weight Index include: Continental Oil & Gas (3.64%), China Coal Energy (3.53%), China National Petroleum (3.46%), Sinopec Oilfield Service (3.44%), China Oil Engineering (3.44%), Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (3.44%), CNOOC Engineering (3.39%), CNOOC Development (3.39%), China National Offshore Oil Service (3.38%), and Shanghai Petrochemical (3.37%) [1] - The index's holdings are entirely from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with coal accounting for 46.42%, oilfield services for 13.60%, coke for 12.94%, fuel refining for 10.31%, integrated oil and gas companies for 6.75%, oil and gas extraction for 3.44%, oil and gas circulation and others for 3.35%, and natural gas processing for 3.19% [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - Oil prices have been on the rise due to increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a significant drop in U.S. crude oil inventories, with Brent and WTI prices reaching $75.48 and $73.84 per barrel respectively as of June 20, 2025 [7][29] - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown mixed performance, with the sector down 1.03% while the broader market (CSI 300) fell by 0.45% [8][11] - The report highlights the increase in global offshore drilling platforms, with a total of 378 self-elevating platforms and 134 floating platforms as of June 16, 2025 [35] Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - As of June 20, 2025, Brent crude futures settled at $75.48 per barrel, up $1.25 (+1.68%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $73.84 per barrel, an increase of $0.86 (+1.18%) [29] Offshore Drilling Services - The number of global self-elevating drilling platforms increased by 1 to 378, while floating drilling platforms decreased by 2 to 134 as of June 16, 2025 [35] U.S. Crude Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.431 million barrels per day, an increase of 0.03 million barrels from the previous week [49] U.S. Crude Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude oil processing averaged 16.862 million barrels per day, down 364,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 93.20%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points [59] U.S. Crude Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 823 million barrels, a decrease of 11.243 million barrels (-1.35%) from the previous week [68] U.S. Product Oil Inventory - As of June 13, 2025, U.S. gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel inventories were reported at 230.013 million, 109.398 million, and 44.428 million barrels respectively, with slight increases in gasoline and diesel inventories [59] Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [1]

Equity – Asia Research 2025 年全球新能源展望 --哪些可行，哪些不可行 Scott Darling, scott.darling@htisec.com Catherine Li, catherine.dy.li@htisec.com 2025 年 6 月 23 日 （本报告为 2025 年 6 月 19 日发布的英文报告的翻译版，以原稿为准） This research report is distributed by Haitong International, a global brand name for the equity research teams of Haitong International Research Limited ("HTIRL"), Haitong Securities India Private Limited ("HSIPL"), Haitong International (Japan) K.K.("HTIJKK"), Haitong International Securities Company Limited ("HTISCL"), a ...