上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 作为资本市场的重要"稳定器"和"压舱石"，社保基金凭借审慎稳健的投资运营管理，已经成为A股市场 长期投资、理性投资的典范。 根据A股上市公司2025年一季报披露，截至4月28日记者发稿，一季度末已有324家公司前十大流通股股 东名单中出现社保基金的身影，社保基金最新投资路线图逐次揭晓。东方财富Choice数据显示，上述 324家公司累计获社保基金重仓持股54.97亿股，对应持股市值为853.85亿元。 社保基金新进持有100家上市公司 今年一季度，社保基金对云铝股份、华鲁恒升、常熟银行、万华化学、赤峰黄金、广汇能源、西部超 导、新奥股份、宇通客车、宝钢股份、长城汽车等15家公司的重仓持股市值超过10亿元。其中，社保基 金持有云铝股份1.45亿股，对应持仓市值为25.13亿元；持有华鲁恒升1.06亿股，对应持仓市值23.42亿 元；持有常熟银行2.54亿股，对应持仓市值为17.7亿元；持有万华化学2121万股，对应持仓市值为14.26 亿元；持有赤峰黄金6145.75万股，对应持仓市值为14.07亿元；持有广汇能源2.1 ...

Group 1: New Energy Vehicle Industry - The China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index (930997) increased by 0.58%, with notable gains from component stocks such as Huichuan Technology (300124) up 4.41% and Hangke Technology (688006) up 3.23% [1] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700) also rose by 0.58%, with a recent price of 1.57 yuan, and saw a significant scale increase of 383.62 million yuan over the past week, ranking first among similar funds [1] - As of April 28, 2025, the New Energy Vehicle ETF had the smallest relative drawdown of 0.07% among comparable funds this year, with the lowest management fee of 0.15% and custody fee of 0.05% [2] - The Henan Province has introduced policies to boost the development of the new energy vehicle industry, including plans for an AI conference in 2025 and the establishment of industry empowerment centers [2] - Guoyuan Securities suggests focusing on battery and structural components that benefit from low upstream raw material prices, as well as leading companies that will benefit from industry recovery [2] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry - The China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) rose by 0.41%, with significant increases from stocks like Weidao Nano (688147) up 10.10% and Jinlang Technology (300763) up 4.31% [4] - The Photovoltaic ETF (516180) increased by 0.56%, with a latest price of 0.53 yuan [4] - Guoyuan Securities indicates that photovoltaic companies have adequately accounted for asset impairments, leading to a solid performance base, and suggests focusing on glass and battery cell manufacturers that have undergone sufficient corrections [4] Group 3: New Materials Industry - The China Securities New Materials Theme Index (H30597) decreased by 0.14%, with mixed performance among component stocks, including Anji Technology (688019) up 4.98% and Hunan Youneng (301358) down 12.06% [4][5] - The New Materials ETF Index Fund (516890) fell by 0.41%, with a latest price of 0.48 yuan [5] - The New Materials ETF Index Fund saw a turnover of 1.08% and a total transaction volume of 25.82 million yuan, with a significant increase of 200,000 shares over the past two weeks, ranking first among similar funds [6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investors can leverage the New Energy Vehicle ETF (515700), Photovoltaic ETF (516180), and New Materials ETF Index Fund (516890) to capture investment opportunities in these sectors [9] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF closely tracks the China Securities New Energy Vehicle Industry Index, which includes 50 representative companies in the new energy vehicle sector [9] - The Photovoltaic ETF tracks the China Securities Photovoltaic Industry Index, selecting up to 50 representative companies in the photovoltaic industry [12] - The New Materials ETF Index Fund tracks the China Securities New Materials Theme Index, which includes 50 companies involved in advanced materials [15]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [7] Core Views - Oil prices are experiencing fluctuations due to tariff negotiations, OPEC+ production changes, and Middle East tensions. The report emphasizes a focus on leading companies with strong fundamentals and low correlation to oil prices, suggesting bottom-fishing strategies. There is a recommendation to pay attention to domestic demand and opportunities in new material domestic substitution, particularly in the agricultural chemical sector during the spring farming season [14][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report highlights the importance of monitoring oil prices and related inventory levels, with U.S. crude oil commercial inventory at 443.1 million barrels, a weekly increase of 20 barrels. Gasoline inventory decreased by 4.5 million barrels to 229.5 million barrels, while distillate inventory decreased by 2.4 million barrels to 106.9 million barrels [3][16]. 2. Price Changes - Among 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for polymer MDI (up 6.0%), DEG (up 5.7%), and diethanolamine (up 5.7%). The largest decreases were for silicone oil (down 12.9%), DMC (down 11.1%), and natural gas (down 9.5%). Monthly price increases were led by trichloroethylene (up 16.3%), epoxy chloropropane (up 9.2%), and diethanolamine (up 7.7%) [10][17]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [14]. - Huangma Technology: A leading special polyether company that has entered a growth phase [14]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [14]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [14]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to continuous improvement in price differentials [15].

2025 年 4 月 29 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【金融工程】各类行业主题基金普遍上涨，被动资金显著加仓黄金 ETF——基金市场 与 ESG 产品周报 20250428 本周权益型基金净值明显上涨，中长期纯债型基金业绩小幅回调；各类行业主题基金 均呈现上涨，新能源主题基金表现占优，上涨 2.76%。股票型 ETF 资金呈现净流出， 大盘宽基 ETF 为资金流出的主要方向，黄金 ETF 为代表的商品型 ETF 资金流入超百 亿。从主动资金行业配置动向看，有色金属、电子、银行等行业获主动资金增配。 【金融工程】市场波动温和提升，杠铃组合或占优——金融工程市场跟踪周报 20250428 上周 A 股窄幅震荡，市场整体表现不佳。主要宽基指数量能维持近期低位，量能择时 指标仍维持谨慎信号。资金面方面，ETF 资金周度净流出，大盘宽基 ETF 为净流出主 要方向。市场波动方面，主要宽基指数截面波动率、时序波动率环比上周皆有上升。 行业研究 【环保】25 年新增核准 10 台核电机组，可控核聚变领域近期频现突破——碳中和领 域动态跟踪（一百五十七）(买入) 我国核电项目审批已经进入规模化核准阶段。" ...

第十届生物基大会暨展览 Bio-based 2025 （5月25-27日，上海佘山茂御臻品之选酒店） 由 4位 院士领衔100+顶尖专家和企业高层 ，为生物基行业的下一个拾年"把脉问诊"。活动以" 行业大会、 创新展览、新叶奖评选与颁奖 " 三大板块同期进行，共设置 1场评选、5大论坛、17大专场、8大特 色对接会 ，预 计将 超过 2000+ 行业同仁出席。 向绿而行，向新而质 。第十届生物基大会立足全球视野，加速科技创新与产业创新融合发展，助力 行业上下游企业迈向新征程。 组织机构与展会信息 Bio-based 2025 01 大会主席团 浙江省 生物基高分子材料重点实验室 宁波德泰中研信息科技有限公司（DT新材料） 协办单位 吉林省国科创新孵化投资有限公司 长春市新材料知识产权产业运营服务中心 舟山市投资促进中心 支持单位 中国合成树脂协会生物基与可降解分会 中国合成橡胶工业协会热塑性弹性体分会 生物基材料产业技术创新战略联盟 生物质产业碳中和技术创新联盟 nova institute 韩国生物塑料协会（KBPA） 大会专家顾问团 （顾问专家无先后排列顺序） 姚献平 ， 杭州市化工研究院院长、俄罗斯自然 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry, specifically for the petrochemical and transportation sectors [4]. Core Views - The macroeconomic recovery in China, driven by various government measures to stabilize employment and promote economic growth, is expected to positively impact the chemical industry, leading to a rebound in profitability for chemical products in 2025 [1][2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in cyclical sectors such as refining, MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate), agricultural chemicals, and vitamins, with overall chemical prices expected to rise from their current lows [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The Chinese government has introduced several measures to stabilize employment and promote economic growth, which are expected to support the chemical industry [1]. - In Q1 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.4% year-on-year, surpassing the growth rate of 5% for the entire year of 2024 [1]. 2. Chemical Product Price Trends - Refining: Lower energy prices are expected to ease cost pressures for downstream refining companies, with a positive outlook for large refining and coal chemical enterprises [2]. - MDI: Major companies have increased MDI prices by €175 per ton in Europe and $100-$300 per ton in other regions, although the average industry price continues to decline [2]. - Agricultural Chemicals: Potash prices have rebounded due to seasonal demand and tariffs, while phosphate prices are also showing signs of recovery [2]. - Vitamins: Supply for certain vitamins is shifting towards China, with prices for Vitamin D3 rising significantly [2]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued, high-dividend companies in the oil sector, including China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [3]. - It also highlights opportunities in domestic material companies benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution, as well as in the agricultural chemicals and private refining sectors [3]. - Companies in the vitamin and methionine sectors are also recommended for investment [3].

【导读】一季度社保基金新进持有100只个股 作为资本市场的重要"稳定器"和"压舱石"，社保基金凭借审慎稳健的投资运营管理，已经成为A股市场 长期投资、理性投资的典范。 根据A股上市公司2025年一季报披露，截至4月28日记者发稿，一季度末已有324家公司前十大流通股股 东名单中出现社保基金的身影，社保基金最新投资路线图逐次揭晓。数据显示，上述324家公司累计获 社保基金重仓持股54.97亿股，对应持股市值为853.85亿元。 增持方面，今年一季度社保基金加仓了中国巨石（600176）、鱼跃医疗（002223）、亿联网络 （300628）、广联达（002410）、山金国际（000975）、国药股份（600511）、天山铝业（002532）等 72只个股。 全国社会保障基金理事会日前表示，始终坚持长期投资、价值投资、责任投资理念，坚定看好中国资本 市场发展前景，主动融入国家发展战略，在积极开展股票投资的同时实现基金安全和保值增值。 社保基金新进持有100家上市公司 今年一季度，社保基金对云铝股份（000807）、华鲁恒升（600426）、常熟银行（601128）、万华化学 （600309）、赤峰黄金（600988 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The market prices of the company's main products in the nutrition sector have recovered, leading to an upward revision of EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to RMB 2.19 and RMB 2.44 respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at RMB 2.63. A target price of RMB 30.66 is set based on a 14x PE for 2025 [4][7]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of RMB 21.61 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.87 billion, up 117.01% year-on-year [4][7]. - The first quarter of 2025 is projected to show significant growth, with net profit expected to be between RMB 1.8 billion and RMB 1.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 107%-118% [4][7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2023A: RMB 15,117 million - 2024A: RMB 21,610 million (up 43.0%) - 2025E: RMB 24,323 million (up 12.6%) - 2026E: RMB 27,763 million (up 14.1%) - 2027E: RMB 29,875 million (up 7.6%) [3][6]. - **Net Profit (Attributable to Shareholders)**: - 2023A: RMB 2,704 million - 2024A: RMB 5,869 million (up 117.0%) - 2025E: RMB 6,719 million (up 14.5%) - 2026E: RMB 7,502 million (up 11.7%) - 2027E: RMB 8,087 million (up 7.8%) [3][6]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: RMB 0.88 - 2024A: RMB 1.91 - 2025E: RMB 2.19 - 2026E: RMB 2.44 - 2027E: RMB 2.63 [3][6]. - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: - 2023A: 10.9% - 2024A: 20.0% - 2025E: 20.0% - 2026E: 19.6% - 2027E: 18.6% [3][6]. Sector Performance - The nutrition sector is expected to see revenue growth of 52.58%, while fragrances, new materials, and other products are projected to grow by 19.62%, 39.51%, and 24.33% respectively in 2024 [4][7]. - The gross profit margin changes for these sectors are +13.27 percentage points for nutrition, +1.33 percentage points for fragrances, -5.84 percentage points for new materials, and +7.49 percentage points for other products [4][7]. New Projects and Products - The nutrition sector has seen the release of methionine project capacity at 300,000 tons/year, with a joint venture for a liquid methionine project nearing completion. The company is also advancing in the fragrances and new materials sectors with various projects [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Guoguang Co., Shengquan Group, and others as strong investment opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The chemical market is experiencing active trading, with growth stocks presenting favorable allocation opportunities. The report highlights the "Five Tigers" of Minsheng Chemical, which includes Shengquan Group, Guoci Materials, Guoguang Co., Amway Co., and Polymeric Co. [1][4]. - Phosphate fertilizer demand remains stable, with high prices for phosphate rock expected to continue due to increased entry barriers and a delayed supply release from new mines [1]. - The report suggests focusing on large phosphate chemical enterprises with integrated advantages, such as Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group, Chuanheng Co., and Chuanfa Longmang [1]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Overview - The basic chemical industry index closed at 3335.36 points, up 2.71% from the previous week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.32% [10]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 298 stocks rose (65%), while 148 stocks fell (32%) [16]. Key Chemical Products - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 59 products seeing price increases and 119 products experiencing declines. Notable price increases were observed in liquid chlorine, sulfuric acid, and MDI [21]. - Liquid chlorine prices surged by 105% to 41 CNY/ton, while sulfuric acid prices rose by 21% to 100 CNY/ton [22]. Subsector Tracking - Polycarbonate (PC) production capacity is expected to grow from 875,000 tons in 2018 to 3,810,000 tons by 2024, with a gradual improvement in supply-demand balance anticipated from 2025 to 2029 [2]. - The organic silicon sector is projected to see a recovery in supply-demand balance, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.4% in production capacity from 2021 to 2024 [2]. Company Profit Forecasts - Guoguang Co. is forecasted to have an EPS of 0.78 CNY in 2024, with a PE ratio of 19, while Shengquan Group is expected to have an EPS of 1.03 CNY with a PE ratio of 24 [4].

以下为研究报告摘要： 中银证券近日发布化工行业周报：本周（04.21-04.27）均价跟踪的100个化工品种中， 共有17个品种价格上涨，58个品种价格下跌，25个品种价格稳定。跟踪的产品中29%的产品 月均价环比上涨，64%的产品月均价环比下跌，另外7%产品价格持平。周均价涨幅居前的 品种分别是高效氯氟氰菊酯、聚合MDI（华东）、石脑油（新加坡）、R134a（巨化）、双 酚A（华东）；而周均价跌幅居前的品种分别是NYMEX天然气、维生素A、DMF（华 东）、煤焦油（山西）、丙烯腈。 四月份，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，建议关注年报季报 行情，自主可控日益关键的电子材料公司，以及分红派息政策稳健的能源企业等。 投资建议 截至4月27日，SW基础化工市盈率（TTM剔除负值）为21.45倍，处在历史（2002年至 今）的56.30%分位数；市净率为1.76倍，处在历史水平的8.83%分位数。SW石油石化市盈率 （TTM剔除负值）为10.41倍，处在历史（2002年至今）的9.89%分位数；市净率为1.16倍， 处在历史水平的0.93%分位数。四月份，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因 ...