Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion HKD, with net inflows of 484 million HKD recorded in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - The US stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 0.63%, S&P 500 up 0.81%, and Nasdaq up 1.26%, driven by Nvidia's strong earnings report [2] Sector Performance - In Hong Kong, local real estate, software, and 5G concept sectors faced significant declines, while gold stocks performed well [1] - The technology sector showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng Technology Index slightly down by 0.19% [1] - In the US, major tech stocks like Microsoft and Facebook saw gains, while the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.47% [2] Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of "self-reliance in technology" and AI applications as key themes for future growth in the Hong Kong stock market, suggesting that leading companies in these sectors may see long-term development opportunities [3] - The recent policies from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology regarding national computing power and communication infrastructure are expected to boost domestic computing and communication sectors [3] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic consumption, such as sports apparel and non-essential services, as well as undervalued central state-owned enterprises with high dividends [3] Key Company Highlights - Haidilao (6862.HK) led the Hang Seng Index component stocks with a gain of 6.2%, while HSBC Holdings (0005.HK) and Longfor Group (0960.HK) rose by 5.5% and 4.6%, respectively [1] - The report notes that the recent adjustments in Shanghai's real estate policies are expected to release pent-up demand, benefiting core area property companies and their supply chains, such as Longfor Group and China Resources Land [10] - The Hong Kong government announced plans to issue licenses for stablecoin issuers and establish a committee focused on AI and industry development, which could benefit sectors related to digital assets and fintech [11]

隔夜全球资本市场迎来普涨行情，欧美股市全线走高，科技股成为上涨核心驱动力，贵金属、大宗商品同步异动。而美股盘后算力龙头英伟达发布的超预期 财报，更是进一步点燃市场情绪，成为当日全球市场的绝对焦点。 当地时间2月25日，美股三大指数全线收涨，连续两个交易日携手上行。Wind数据显示，截至收盘，道琼斯工业指数涨0.63%，报 49482.15点；纳斯达克指 数涨1.26%，报23152.08点；标普500指数涨0.81%，报6946.13点。欧洲市场同步走强，截至收盘，法国CAC40指数涨0.47%，英国富时100指数涨1.18%，德 国DAX指数涨0.76%。 | 美股指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普5( | | 49482.15 | 23152.08 | 6946. | | +307.65 +0.63% +288.40 +1.26% +56.06 + | | | | 中国金龙 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500 | | 7545.55 | 25344.25 | 6954 .! | | -35.49 -0.47% -37.75 -0.15% | | - ...

2026 年 01 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：增持(首次覆盖) 研究所： 证券分析师： 徐鸣爽 S0350525120002 xums@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 上汽红岩出表后轻装上阵，AIDC 电源用发动机 提供盈利弹性 ——动力新科（600841）公司深度研究 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2026/01/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 动力新科 | 48.2% | 43.7% | 99.8% | | 沪深 300 | 1.3% | 0.6% | 23.6% | | 市场数据 | | | 2026/01/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 9.01 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 4.22-9.48 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 12,504.27 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 9,397.65 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 138,782.18 | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Viewpoints - The overseas AIDC construction remains robust, while domestic demand is expected to rebound in 2026. In the second half of 2025, there is a clear divergence in AIDC construction between domestic and international markets. North America continues to experience high levels of capital expenditure, with the four major cloud providers' capital spending reaching $257.4 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a 65% year-on-year increase. In contrast, domestic cloud providers are experiencing a temporary slowdown in capital expenditure growth due to restrictions on high-end computing card imports, which has delayed some AIDC project timelines. However, this impact is seen as a deferral of demand rather than a disappearance of demand. As overseas supply of computing cards improves and domestic alternatives continue to develop, a "pent-up rebound" in domestic AIDC construction is anticipated in 2026, indicating potential for demand release [1]. Summary by Sections AIDC Equipment - The report highlights the ongoing high demand for AIDC equipment in North America, driven by rapid growth in AI computing needs and delayed power grid construction, leading to increased orders for gas turbines for self-generation or distributed power supply [2]. Gas Turbines - The global gas turbine market is characterized by a significant supply-demand imbalance, with an expected increase of over 85 GW in global gas turbine orders in 2025, while existing effective capacity is around 50 GW. The market is dominated by GE, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, which together hold an 88% market share. The backlog of orders extends to 2028, creating opportunities for Chinese companies to enter the overseas market [2][3]. Diesel Generators - Diesel generators are essential backup power sources in AIDC construction, with a long-term market dominated by Cummins, MTU, and Caterpillar, which together hold about 85% of the market share in China. Current capacity bottlenecks faced by overseas manufacturers present a window of opportunity for domestic manufacturers like Weichai to replace foreign brands and expand internationally [4]. Cooling Equipment - The report notes that the rapid increase in AI chip power consumption is pushing the adoption of liquid cooling solutions, as traditional air cooling approaches reach their physical limits. This trend is expected to drive demand for related cooling equipment [5]. Emerging Technologies - Solid Oxide Fuel Cells (SOFC) are being explored as a solution to power shortages in North America, offering high modularity, short delivery cycles, and high efficiency. The report suggests that SOFC costs are approaching those of gas turbines, indicating a potential growth area [7]. Data Center Busbars - The traditional "rack and cable" approach in high-power density scenarios is being replaced by intelligent busbar solutions, which offer higher reliability and easier maintenance, marking a significant upgrade direction for data center power distribution systems [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on several key areas: gas turbines, diesel generators, cooling equipment, and emerging technologies like SOFC and data center busbars, as these sectors are expected to benefit from structural opportunities driven by both domestic and international demand [8]. Key companies to watch include Yingliu, Ice Wheel Environment, Weichai Power, Haomai Technology, and Jerry [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive industry [4][18]. Core Insights - The continuation of the vehicle trade-in policy is expected to bolster demand resilience in 2026, although the marginal stimulus from subsidies is diminishing, leading to increased competition among domestic automakers [15][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of structural opportunities within the industry, particularly for companies that can differentiate their products [15][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Weekly Market Review - The automotive index remained flat over the past week, with the new energy vehicle index down by 1% [2][8]. - Year-to-date, the automotive index has increased by 19%, while the new energy vehicle index has only risen by 1% [9][10]. 2. Vehicle Trade-in Policy Continuation - The central economic work conference highlighted the need to boost consumption and investment efficiency, extending the "two new" policies, which include large-scale equipment updates and trade-in programs [15]. - From January to November 2025, the trade-in policy facilitated over 11.2 million vehicle exchanges [15]. 3. Investment Strategy and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with high cost-performance ratios and emerging technologies, recommending leading firms such as Dechang Motor Holdings and Haoneng Co [18]. - It highlights the competitive pressure in the passenger vehicle market and recommends companies like Great Wall Motors and SAIC Motor for their differentiated product strategies [18]. - The report also identifies opportunities in the data center power supply sector, recommending Weichai Power and Yuchai International [18]. 4. Key Company Performance Predictions - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for several companies, all rated as "Overweight" [19]. - Notable recommendations include BYD, which has a projected EPS of 3.80 for 2025, and Great Wall Motors, with an EPS of 1.53 for the same year [19].

Investment Rating - The report rates the diesel generator industry positively, highlighting significant opportunities for domestic replacements due to supply-demand mismatches and increasing demand driven by AI computing needs [4]. Core Insights - The demand for diesel generators is expected to surge as AI computing power requirements explode, with predictions indicating a growth in China's intelligent computing scale to 725.3 EFLOPS in 2024, a 74.1% year-on-year increase, and doubling to 1,460.3 EFLOPS by 2026 [4][12]. - Major tech companies are significantly increasing their capital expenditures on AI infrastructure, which will accelerate the construction of AI data centers (AIDC) [4][24]. - The mandatory policy requiring A-grade data centers to have "2N redundancy" diesel generators emphasizes the essential role of diesel generators as backup power sources [4][12]. - The mismatch between strong demand and weak supply is expected to lead to a rise in both volume and price of diesel generators, creating a favorable environment for domestic manufacturers [4][40]. Summary by Sections 1. Demand Surge for Diesel Generators - The construction of data centers is driving a high increase in demand for diesel generators, with the AIDC market projected to reach 1,014 billion yuan by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 26.8% [12][24]. - Diesel generators are crucial for ensuring uninterrupted power supply in data centers, which are increasingly reliant on stable electricity for AI training and inference [12][17]. 2. Acceleration of Domestic Replacement - The current supply-demand mismatch, exacerbated by international capacity expansion lagging behind demand, presents a window for domestic manufacturers to capture market share [4][40]. - Domestic manufacturers are expected to see significant profit increases as the market enters a price-up cycle due to supply shortages [4][44]. 3. Opportunities in the Supply Chain - Key component suppliers with high domestic production rates are likely to benefit from the surge in diesel generator demand, with technological breakthroughs and domestic replacements opening new growth avenues [4][50]. - Companies like Tianrun Industrial, which have established strong ties with major manufacturers, are positioned to gain from the increased demand for core components [4][80]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic replacement beneficiaries such as Weichai Heavy Machinery and Yuchai International, as well as component suppliers like Tianrun Industrial [4][24][80]. - The expected profit surge for domestic manufacturers is anticipated to materialize in the second half of 2025 and throughout 2026, driven by increased market share and pricing power [4][44].

本文源自：金融界 作者：行情君 财务数据显示，截至2025年06月30日，玉柴国际收入总额138.06亿人民币，同比增长33.96%；归母净利 润3.66亿人民币，同比增长52.2%。 资料显示，中国玉柴国际有限公司(CYI)是一家成立于1993年4月29日的百慕大控股公司。CYI是总部位 于新加坡的丰隆亚洲有限公司 的子公司。公司在中国开展业务并在纽约证券交易所上市。集团主要经 营的子公司广西玉柴机械有限公司(" GYMCL")是中国最大的发动机制造商之一。GYMCL位于中国南 部的广西壮族自治区玉林市,从事各种轻型、中型和重型发动机的制造、组装和销售,适用于卡车、客 车、乘用车、建筑设备、海洋和农业应用。GYMCL还为柴油发电机生产发动机。GYMCL生产的发动 机范围从柴油到天然气和混合动力发动机。GYMCL通过其区域销售办事处和授权的客户服务中心,将其 发动机直接分销给原设备制造商和零售商,并在中国各地提供维修和改装服务。 8月25日，玉柴国际(CYD)盘中上涨2.2%，截至22:29，报31.958美元/股，成交298.42万美元，总市值 11.99亿美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yuchai International (CYD) shows strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, indicating a positive outlook for the company and its operations in the engine manufacturing sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Yuchai International reported total revenue of 13.806 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.96% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 366 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.2% [2]. Company Overview - Yuchai International, established on April 29, 1993, is a Bermuda holding company and a subsidiary of Hong Leong Asia Ltd, headquartered in Singapore [2]. - The company's main subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Co., Ltd. (GYMCL), is one of the largest engine manufacturers in China, located in Yulin City, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region [2]. - GYMCL manufactures, assembles, and sells a variety of light, medium, and heavy engines for trucks, buses, passenger cars, construction equipment, marine, and agricultural applications, including diesel, natural gas, and hybrid engines [2].

资料显示，中国玉柴国际有限公司(CYI)是一家成立于1993年4月29日的百慕大控股公司。CYI是总部位 于新加坡的丰隆亚洲有限公司 的子公司。公司在中国开展业务并在纽约证券交易所上市。集团主要经 营的子公司广西玉柴机械有限公司(" GYMCL")是中国最大的发动机制造商之一。GYMCL位于中国南 部的广西壮族自治区玉林市,从事各种轻型、中型和重型发动机的制造、组装和销售,适用于卡车、客 车、乘用车、建筑设备、海洋和农业应用。GYMCL还为柴油发电机生产发动机。GYMCL生产的发动 机范围从柴油到天然气和混合动力发动机。GYMCL通过其区域销售办事处和授权的客户服务中心,将其 发动机直接分销给原设备制造商和零售商,并在中国各地提供维修和改装服务。 本文源自金融界 大事提醒： 8月8日，玉柴国际2025财年中报归属股东应占溢利3.658亿人民币，同比增长52.2%，基本每股收益9.75 人民币。 8月12日，玉柴国际(CYD)盘中上涨2.01%，截至21:51，报28.726美元/股，成交50.39万美元，总市值 10.78亿美元。 财务数据显示，截至2025年06月30日，玉柴国际收入总额138.06亿人民币 ...

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - Consumer spending shows improvement in automotive and service sectors, while textile and apparel remain weak due to seasonal factors[6] - CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month in July, with core CPI rising to 0.8%, the highest since March 2024[10] - The overall PPI decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year, indicating persistent downward pressure on industrial prices[12] Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - A-share and U.S. stock markets are recommended for tactical overweight due to improving risk appetite and stable liquidity[15] - The strategic asset allocation (SAA) proposal suggests a 45% allocation to equities, 45% to bonds, and 10% to commodities, with an expected annualized return of 9.1%[15] - The tactical asset allocation (TAA) strategy anticipates a 55% equity weight, 40% bond weight, and 5% commodity weight, with a projected annualized return of 55%[17] Group 3: Sector-Specific Developments - The Hong Kong IPO market is projected to raise approximately HKD 1,300-1,500 billion this year, with a significant portion from A-share companies listing in Hong Kong[18] - The household service robot market is expected to grow significantly, with various companies showcasing products at the 2025 World Robot Conference[40] - The mini-LED television market is anticipated to reach a 25% penetration rate in China by 2025, with Haier's market share at 29.3% in Q1 2025[41]