公司报告 | 公司点评 继峰股份（603997） 证券研究报告 2025 年乘用车座椅业务盈利能力有望大幅提升。2024 年度乘用车座椅业 务首次实现年度盈亏平衡。2025 年度预计将有 8 个项目进入量产阶段， 乘用车座椅业务营业收入有望大幅攀升。目前仍有多个工厂尚未量产或产 能利用率较低，随着规模效应的产生，乘用车座椅业务盈利能力有望随之 提升。 格拉默整合持续推进，25Q1 已成功扭亏 2024 年公司多措并举优化格拉默经营效率：1）对格拉默人工成本进行优 化，：一是实施裁员计划；二是将工作岗位从高成本地区（如德国）的工作 岗位逐步向低成本国家转移。2）将持有的 TMD LLC 的 100%股权转让予 APC LLC。3）联合采购、产业布局整合、改革考核激励制度等。 格拉默整合已初见成效，2025 年有望随着降本增效措施持续推进，业绩继 续好转。2025Q1 格拉默实现净利润 0.097 亿欧元，实现扭亏。公司将持续 推进格拉默降本工作，进一步加强对格拉默海外业务管控。从中高层管理 人员的任命和考核，到采购成本管控，运营成本管控，产能布局优化等方 面，更全、更细、更深入地去落实和管控。我们认为格拉默业绩 ...

京东一季度收入创下近三年来的最高同比增速纪录。在一位接 近管理层人士看来，这是京东集团创始人刘强东"三年来，直 接坐镇一线，进行业务部署决策的结果"。 作者： 钱玉娟 封图：东方IC 5月13日晚，京东集团发布2025年第一季度业绩报告，一季度实现收入3011亿元，同比增长 15.8%，创下近三年来的最高同比增速纪录。 一位接近京东管理层的人士称，这是京东集团创始人刘强东"三年来，直接坐镇一线，进行业务部 署决策的结果"。 该人士透露，刘强东除了每周对京东管理层进行培训外，还会亲自参与零售、物流等核心业务板块 的日会，他在会上多围绕商品、价格、服务等用户体验给出意见或建议，也会直接解决大部分业务 方向性的问题。 外界最关注的，当属刘强东亲自拍板、在今年2月上线的京东外卖会给京东带来多大的影响。 从财报看，京东的零售与物流两大业务，分别实现收入2638亿元、470亿元，其中零售仍是京东业 绩增长的引擎，不仅收入同比增速达16%，该板块的经营利润高达128亿元，同比增长38%。 包括外卖等业务在内的新业务，在2025年一季度收入58亿元，同比增长18％。 在新业务的收入增长背后，经营费用高企，同比增长65%，达2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating challenges in its operational performance and market conditions [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 was 6.838 billion yuan, a decrease of 27% year-on-year, with a net profit of 653 million yuan, down 63% [1]. - In Q4 2024, total revenue was 1.105 billion yuan, a decline of 32%, with a net loss of 216 million yuan compared to a loss of 155 million yuan in Q4 2023 [1]. - For Q1 2025, total revenue was 1.792 billion yuan, down 32%, with a net profit of 455 million yuan, a decrease of 37% [1]. Margin Analysis - Gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 decreased by 2 percentage points and 1 percentage point to 66.69% and 68.66%, respectively, primarily due to changes in product mix and reduced scale effects [1]. - The net profit margin decreased by 9 percentage points and 1 percentage point to 9.47% and 26.04%, respectively, with expectations of gradual improvement in profitability through better cost control [1]. Product Strategy - In 2024, revenue from tablets, powders, and capsules was 1.049 billion yuan, 625 million yuan, and 1.103 billion yuan, reflecting declines of 41%, 42%, and 26%, respectively [2]. - The company is piloting a new low-cost, high-volume model for its calcium product, which has exceeded expectations, with plans to launch new products under this model in Q2 2025 [2]. Channel Strategy - Revenue from online and offline channels in 2024 was 1.222 billion yuan and 3.125 billion yuan, down 28% and 32%, respectively [2]. - The company is enhancing the differentiation between online and offline products, focusing on consumer benefits and increasing the proportion of high-end online offerings [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is adjusting its task allocation to smooth out quarterly fluctuations and expects gradual release of scale effects [3]. - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.46, 0.52, and 0.59 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 24, 21, and 19 times [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company shows steady revenue growth with a focus on category expansion [1] - In Q1 2025, total revenue reached 595 million yuan, representing a 10% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8% to 68 million yuan [4][5] - The report highlights the impact of rising raw material costs on profit margins, with a slight decrease in gross margin to 29.91% [5] - The company is expected to improve profitability through scale effects and ongoing channel expansion [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 gross margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points due to increased raw material costs, but the company is maintaining stable margins through technical upgrades and channel expansion [5] - Sales expense ratio and management expense ratio both increased by 0.2 percentage points to 13.36% and 4.05%, respectively, while net profit margin decreased by 2 percentage points to 11.45% [5] Product and Channel Development - Revenue growth for fish and bean products exceeded 15% in Q1 2025, with ongoing expansion opportunities in fish products [6] - The company is leveraging health attributes of short-shelf-life products to achieve high repurchase rates [6] - Traditional e-commerce channels saw double-digit growth, and the company is enhancing brand perception through e-commerce initiatives [6] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to cultivate strong brand potential through new products and continue expanding across all channels [7] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.72, 0.87, and 1.03 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 16, and 13 times [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2,771 million, 3,239 million, and 3,703 million yuan, with growth rates of 14.9%, 16.9%, and 14.3% respectively [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Recommended" [1] Core Views - Geely Automobile plans to acquire all shares of Zeekr Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., which it currently holds approximately 65.7% of, aiming for a complete merger [4] - The privatization of Zeekr is intended to promote deep integration of internal resources and enhance operational efficiency, thereby improving the company's core competitiveness and long-term value [7] - The merger is expected to create a unified platform that enhances the competitive edge of the group's passenger vehicle segment and allows for better strategic positioning in response to global market fluctuations [8] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Geely Automobile are as follows: - 2023A: 179,204 million CNY - 2024A: 240,194 million CNY (YOY +34.0%) - 2025E: 322,751 million CNY (YOY +34.4%) - 2026E: 420,661 million CNY (YOY +30.3%) - 2027E: 504,956 million CNY (YOY +20.0%) [6] - Net profit estimates are: - 2023A: 5,308 million CNY - 2024A: 16,632 million CNY (YOY +213.3%) - 2025E: 12,500 million CNY (YOY -24.8%) - 2026E: 16,662 million CNY (YOY +33.3%) - 2027E: 19,696 million CNY (YOY +18.2%) [6] - The projected gross margin is expected to improve from 15.3% in 2023A to 16.9% in 2027E [6] Strategic Focus - The merger aims to leverage Zeekr's experience in the smart electric vehicle sector to benefit the entire Geely Automobile Group [7] - The company is focusing on a dual-brand strategy with Geely Automobile Group and Zeekr Technology Group, enhancing collaboration across seven key technological areas [7] - The strategic positioning of brands under Geely includes Zeekr as a global luxury tech brand and Lynk & Co as a high-end global new energy brand [8] Profitability Forecast - The forecasted net profit for Geely Automobile from 2025 to 2027 is as follows: - 2025E: 12,500 million CNY - 2026E: 16,662 million CNY - 2027E: 19,696 million CNY [8] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.24 CNY in 2025, increasing to 1.95 CNY by 2027 [10]

从万辰集团10倍神话看量贩零食赛道的资本迷局。 合并与上市：一场资本驱动的"零食帝国"崛起 2023年11月，零食很忙与赵一鸣零食的合并，标志着中国量贩零食行业进入"双寡头"时代。合并后的鸣鸣很忙集团（以下简称"鸣鸣"）门店总数超1.4万 家，2024年GMV达555亿元，成为行业绝对龙头。这一动作不仅重塑了行业格局，更被视为冲刺港股IPO的关键一步——2025年5月，鸣鸣正式递交招股 书，计划募资用于门店扩张与供应链升级。 1. 万辰集团的"神话"对照： A股上市公司万辰集团（300972.SZ）是鸣鸣的"前车之鉴"。这家原本以食用菌为主业的企业，2022年转型量贩零食后，股价最高涨幅达10倍，市值突破 170亿元。其核心逻辑是通过整合"好想来"等品牌，以"低价+加盟"模式快速扩张，2024年量贩零食业务营收预计突破300亿元，净利润2.4亿-3亿元。万辰 的案例证明，资本对规模故事的狂热足以掩盖低毛利风险。 2. 鸣鸣的上市底气： 规模碾压：截至2024年底，鸣鸣门店数1.4万家，远超万辰的4726家； 下沉市场统治力：58%门店位于县城及乡镇，覆盖28个省份，形成密集网络； 供应链效率：存货周转天数仅1 ...

证券研究报告：食品饮料|公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-06 股票投资评级 买入|维持 个股表现 -38% 12% 62% 112% 162% 212% 262% 312% 362% 412% 462% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-04 万辰集团 食品饮料 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 研究所 万辰集团(300972) 一季度利润超预期，规模效应持续兑现 ⚫ 事件 公司 2025 年 Q1 实现营业收入/归母净利润/扣非净利润 108.21/2.15/2.11 亿元，同比 124.02%/3344.13%/10562.3%。2025 年 Q1 公 司 毛 利 率 / 归 母 净 利 率 为 11.02%/1.99% ， 分 别 同 比 1.24/1.86pct ；销售 / 管 理 / 研 发 / 财务费用率分别为 3.31%/2.55%/0.01%/0.11%，分别同比-0.74/-0.46/-0.01/-0.12pct。 ⚫ 投资要点 零食量贩业务一季度业务累计营业收入 106.88 亿元，我们预估 25Q1 公司新开店百 ...

市场表现 2025 年 05 月 05 日 高景气度延续，盈利能力释放 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：张倩 | S1050124070037 | | zhangqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 164.75 | | 总市值（亿元） | 297 | | 总股本（百万股） | 180 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 156 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 18.02-164.75 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 177.48 | -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 (%) 万辰集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《万辰集团（300972）：拓店势 能延续，规模效应释放》2025-04- 20 2、《万辰集团（300972）：利润持 续释放，布局省钱超市探索新业 态》2025-01-26 3、《万辰集团（300972）：跑马圈 ...

2025 年 05 月 05 日 高景气度延续，盈利能力释放 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：孙山山 | S1050521110005 | | --- | --- | | sunss@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：张倩 | S1050124070037 | | zhangqian@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2025-04-30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 164.75 | | 总市值（亿元） | 297 | | 总股本（百万股） | 180 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 156 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 18.02-164.75 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 177.48 | 市场表现 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 (%) 万辰集团 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《万辰集团（300972）：拓店势 能延续，规模效应释放》2025-04- 20 2、《万辰集团（300972）：利润持 续释放，布局省钱超市探索新业 态》2025-01-26 3、《万辰集团（300972）：跑马圈 ...

2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司发布 2024 年年报以及 2025 年一季报，根据公司公 告，24 全年公司实现收入 111.55 亿元，同比-58.94%，归母净利润-53.19 亿 元，扣非归母净利润-55.53 亿元，同比由盈转亏。 爱旭股份（600732.SH）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 业绩边际改善，出货量大幅提升 2025 年 05 月 03 日 ➢ 事件 我们预计公司 25-27 年营收分别为 192.62/239.82/272.43 亿元，归母净利润分 别为 2.01/8.79/16.97 亿元，25-27 年对应 PE 分别为 96x/22x/11x。公司盈利 能力边际改善显著，出货量大幅提升，随着规模效应的凸显和降本增效的持续推 进，叠加 BC 产品差异化竞争优势，公司业绩有望持续改善，维持"推荐"评级。 ➢ 风险提示 下游需求不及预期、市场竞争加剧、海外市场开拓不及预期、资产减值风险等。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] 分季度看，24Q4 公司单季度实现收入 32.59 亿元，同比-28.42%，环比+19.19%， 实现归母净利润-24.88 ...