Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference outlines key tasks and policy arrangements for 2026, emphasizing the need for economic potential exploration, policy support, and reform innovation to achieve quality and reasonable growth in the economy [2][3]. Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy for 2026 will maintain a "more proactive" stance, with a fiscal deficit rate expected to be no lower than 4%, reflecting the need to stimulate economic growth and address local fiscal challenges [3][4]. - The fiscal deficit for this year is set at 5.66 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 1 percentage point from the previous year, indicating a strong commitment to using fiscal tools to boost demand [3][4]. - There is a clear trend towards increasing spending on healthcare, education, and social security, highlighting a focus on "investing in people" [4][5]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy will adopt a "more proactive" approach, with an emphasis on flexible and efficient use of tools like interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments to maintain liquidity [6][7]. - The expectation is for 1-2 instances of interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a stable financing environment [6][7]. - Structural monetary policy tools will be enhanced to support key areas such as domestic demand expansion and technological innovation [7]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with specific policies aimed at increasing residents' income and stabilizing investment [8]. - The conference emphasizes the need for a plan to boost urban and rural residents' income, aligning with the broader goal of enhancing consumption capacity [8]. - Investment strategies will focus on increasing central budget investments and optimizing project implementation to stabilize investment levels [8]. Real Estate Market - The conference stresses the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, with "de-stocking" identified as a key strategy for 2026 [10][11]. - Measures will include city-specific policies to control new supply and encourage the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [11][12]. Capital Market Reforms - The conference highlights the need for continuous deepening of capital market reforms, focusing on enhancing the market's ability to support technological innovation and the real economy [13][14]. - Reforms will include improving the adaptability of capital market systems and encouraging long-term investments [13][14]. Innovation and Technology - The establishment of three major international technology innovation centers in Beijing, Shanghai, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is emphasized as a core strategy for fostering new economic momentum [15][16]. - These centers will leverage existing research and development resources to enhance China's competitiveness in global technology [15][16][17]. Market Environment and Competition - The conference outlines plans to optimize the market environment and reduce "involution" competition, aiming to enhance economic vitality and support high-quality development [18][19]. - A nationwide unified market construction regulation is proposed to address existing regulatory gaps and improve market efficiency [18]. International Trade and Investment - The conference calls for promoting more regional and bilateral trade and investment agreements, reinforcing China's commitment to multilateral trade systems [20][21]. - The focus will be on expanding high-standard free trade agreements and enhancing trade relations with partners [20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the need for a dual approach of policy support and reform innovation to enhance economic potential and achieve a good start for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a projected economic growth target of around 5% for 2026 [1][3]. Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy for 2026 will maintain a "more proactive" stance, with a fiscal deficit rate not lower than 4%, reflecting the need to stimulate economic growth and address local fiscal challenges [3][4]. - The fiscal deficit for this year is set at 5.66 trillion yuan, the highest in recent years, indicating a significant increase in fiscal spending to support economic stability [3][4]. - There is a clear trend towards increasing spending on healthcare, education, and social security, highlighting a focus on "investing in people" [5]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy will continue to be "appropriately loose," with an emphasis on flexible and efficient use of tools like reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions [7][8]. - The expectation is for 1-2 instances of RRR cuts or interest rate reductions in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a stable liquidity environment [8]. - The conference aims to guide financial institutions to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand and technological innovation [8]. Domestic Demand Expansion - Expanding domestic demand is prioritized, with specific policies to implement a plan for increasing urban and rural residents' income and stabilizing investment [10][11]. - The focus on consumer spending and investment as key drivers for domestic demand reflects a shift towards demand-side economic strategies [10]. Real Estate Market - The conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market, with "de-stocking" as a key strategy, particularly in light of high inventory levels in many cities [13][14]. - Measures include encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing, which aims to optimize market supply and meet housing needs [14]. Capital Market Reform - The conference highlights the need for continuous deepening of capital market reforms to enhance support for technological innovation and the real economy [15][17]. - There is a focus on improving the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems, with an emphasis on attracting long-term investment [15][17]. Innovation and Technology - The establishment of three major international technology innovation centers in Beijing, Shanghai, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is aimed at fostering innovation and addressing global technological competition [19][20]. - The centers will focus on leveraging existing resources and enhancing collaboration to drive technological advancements and economic transformation [19][20]. Market Environment and Competition - The conference outlines plans to optimize the market environment and stimulate enterprise vitality through reforms, including the establishment of a unified national market [22][23]. - There is a commitment to addressing "involution" in competition, with targeted policies to mitigate its negative effects on the economy [23]. International Trade and Investment - The conference stresses the importance of signing more regional and bilateral trade agreements to enhance cooperation and maintain a multilateral trade system [25][26]. - The goal is to expand high-standard free trade networks and facilitate trade and investment with partners, particularly in the context of the RCEP and other agreements [25][26].

Group 1 - The central economic work conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing determined to deepen the comprehensive reform of capital market financing [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) plans to introduce a refinancing framework issuance system to enhance the flexibility of financing for listed companies and support mergers and acquisitions [1] - CSRC emphasizes the importance of improving corporate governance and increasing dividends and buybacks as prerequisites for refinancing, which will help stabilize the secondary market [1] Group 2 - The CSRC aims to enhance the role of long-term funds as stabilizers in the market and promote reforms in public funds, enterprise annuities, and insurance funds [2] - Suggestions include improving the regulatory environment for long-term investments and facilitating the entry of insurance funds into the market to foster a positive interaction between the pension system and capital markets [2] - The construction of a "financing and investment integrated" ecosystem in the capital market will be a focus, with reforms on both ends being mutually reinforcing [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the Central Economic Work Conference is to continue deepening the comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing, emphasizing the need for institutional innovation to enhance the capital market's role in serving the real economy [1] - The conference's focus on capital market reform for two consecutive years indicates a long-term strategy aimed at building a modern capital market system that is safe, standardized, transparent, open, vibrant, and resilient, which is crucial for national financial competitiveness [1] - The past year has seen solid progress in capital market investment and financing reforms, with significant increases in medium- and long-term funds entering the market, public fund sizes reaching historical highs, and a steady rise in insurance capital's equity investment ratio [1] Group 2 - The dual focus of the past year's reforms has been on activating the financing side and strengthening the investment side, although challenges remain, such as the depth of investment reforms lagging behind financing reforms and persistent market volatility [2] - Future reforms should aim to enhance the investment function of the capital market by promoting more long-term funds to enter the market and strengthening regulatory measures to protect investors' rights [2] - Key future reform directions include improving the inclusiveness and adaptability of capital market systems, enhancing coordination between investment and financing functions, and fostering a more attractive environment for long-term investments [2]

证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 2025 年 12 月 11 日 2025 年中央经济工作会议如何指引 A 股？ ——中央经济工作会议点评 中央经济工作会议 12 月 10 日至 11 日在北京举行。会议整体延续政治局会议 相对积极的表态。短期来看，过去 10 年间，会后 7 天大盘风格往往相对占优。 行业表现上，从平均超额收益水平来看，近 5 年，社会服务、公用事业、煤炭、 传媒这五个行业会后 7 天平均超额水平相对更高。中长期来看，建议重点关注 会议"推动投资止跌回稳"下，明年重大项目的安排。 专题报告 相关报告 1、《如何理解 12 月政治局会 议？对资本市场意味着什么？ ———政策专题》2025-12-08 2、《今年以来服务消费政策部 署梳理，美政府结束停摆——国 内外产业政策周报（1116）》 2、《黄金税收政策调整，美国 与亚洲多国达成合作——国内 外产业政策周报（1103）》 3、《发布会召开介绍和解读四 中全会精神，有哪些增量信息？ — — 国 内 外 产 业 政 策 周 报 （1025）》 4、《整治内卷聚焦价格治理， 特朗普威胁对华大幅加征关税 — — 国 内 外 产 业 政 策 周 报 ...

据新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策 对于财政政策和货币政策，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币 政策。 在财政政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效， 发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。要继续实 施更加积极的财政政策。保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，加强财政科学管理，优化财政 支出结构，规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。 在货币政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促进经济稳定增长、物 价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保持流动性充裕，畅通 货币政策传导机制，引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。保持人民币 汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。 会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性，持续 扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing outlined key tasks for economic work in the coming year, emphasizing the need for reform and enhancing high-quality development momentum. Group 1: Economic Reforms - The conference proposed to persist in reform efforts to enhance the vitality of high-quality development [1] - A nationwide unified market construction regulation will be formulated to address "involution" competition [1] - Further deepening of state-owned enterprise reforms and improving supporting regulations for promoting the private economy will be implemented [1] Group 2: Financial and Market Improvements - There will be an accelerated effort to clear overdue payments owed to enterprises [1] - The development of platform enterprises and the mutual benefits for platform operators and workers will be promoted [1] - Market-oriented reform pilot programs will be expanded [1] Group 3: Tax and Financial System Enhancements - A sound local tax system will be established [1] - Continuous improvement of small and medium-sized financial institutions will be pursued, focusing on quality over quantity [1] - Ongoing comprehensive reforms in capital market investment and financing will be deepened [1]

责任编辑：山上 据新华社消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议确定，明年经济工作抓好以下重点 任务。坚持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力。制定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞 争。制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业 账款。推动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。 深入推进中小金融机构减量提质，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革。 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> ...

专题：中央经济工作会议在北京举行 据新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 会议确定，明年经济工作抓好以下重点任务。其中包括：坚持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力。制 定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞争。制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善 民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业账款。推动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发 展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。深入推进中小金融机构减量提质，持续深化资本市场 投融资综合改革。 责任编辑：刘万里 SF014 专题：中央经济工作会议在北京举行 据新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 会议确定，明年经济工作抓好以下重点任务。其中包括：坚持改革攻坚，增强高质量发展动力活力。制 定全国统一大市场建设条例，深入整治"内卷式"竞争。制定和实施进一步深化国资国企改革方案，完善 民营经济促进法配套法规政策。加紧清理拖欠企业账款。推动平台企业和平台内经营者、劳动者共赢发 展。拓展要素市场化改革试点。健全地方税体系。深入推进中小金融机构减量提质，持续深化资本市场 投融资综合改革。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing outlined key priorities for economic work in the coming year, focusing on high-quality development and reform initiatives [1] Group 1: Economic Reforms - Emphasis on reform to enhance the vitality and momentum of high-quality development [1] - Development of a national unified market construction regulation to address "involution" competition [1] - Implementation of further deepening reforms for state-owned enterprises and improvement of supporting regulations for the promotion of the private economy [1] Group 2: Financial and Market Initiatives - Acceleration of clearing overdue payments owed to enterprises [1] - Promotion of win-win development for platform enterprises, operators, and workers [1] - Expansion of pilot programs for market-oriented reforms of factors [1] - Improvement of the local tax system [1] - Continued advancement of quality improvement and reduction in small financial institutions, along with ongoing comprehensive reforms in capital market investment and financing [1]