沪铝早报- 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 ：祝森林 从业资格证号：F3023048 投资咨询证号：Z0013626 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日观点 铝: 1、基本面：碳中和控制产能扩张，下游需求不强劲，房地产延续疲软，宏观短期情绪好转；中性。 2、基差：现货19860，基差55，升水期货，中性。 3、库存：上期所铝库存较上周减21483吨至215074吨；中性。 4、盘面：收盘价收于20均线下，20均线向下运行；偏空。 5、主力持仓：主力净持仓空，空减；偏空。 6、预期：碳中和催发铝行业变革，长期利多铝价，美国全面关税远超预期，关税延期情绪或有所好转。 近期利多利空分析 利多： 利空： 逻辑： 降息和需求疲软博弈 1、碳中和控制产能扩张。 2、俄乌地缘政治扰动，影响俄铝供应。 3、降息 | 现货 昨日现货 | 地方 地方 | 中间价 中间价 | 涨跌 涨跌 | | 类型 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **power solutions industry**, focusing on **liquid cooling technology** and **power distribution systems** in data centers [2][3][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Trends in Power Solutions**: The industry is experiencing significant changes, particularly in liquid cooling technology and power distribution systems. The growth in IT capital expenditure is not linear, influenced by increased hardware iterations and computational power [2]. - **Liquid Cooling Deployment**: There is a notable trend towards large-scale deployment of liquid cooling systems, especially in North America, with over 170 MW of fully liquid-cooled products already implemented [2]. - **Power Distribution Changes**: The externalization of power conversion devices and the development of high-voltage direct current (HVDC) architecture are key trends. This is driven by the need for more space in large computing cabinets [4][5]. - **High-Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) Systems**: The evolution of HVDC systems is moving from traditional AC to direct integration into computing units, enhancing efficiency by reducing conversion stages [5][6]. - **Data Center Power Supply Technologies**: Key technologies include liquid cooling bus bars and ±400V power supply systems, which are recommended for currents exceeding 3,000 Amperes [7][8]. - **NVIDIA's New Naming Convention**: NVIDIA has shifted from GPU package-based calculations to GPU unit-based calculations, reflecting flexibility in computing cluster design [15]. Additional Important Content - **Solid-State Transformers (SST)**: SSTs have promising applications in microgrids and data center energy storage, with companies like China Mobile and Tencent innovating to reduce costs [2][38]. - **Market Dynamics**: The North American tariffs are impacting supply chains, particularly for imported components like diesel generators, while domestic investments in China are increasing significantly [16][58]. - **Competitive Landscape**: Companies like Delta, Vicor, and Magtech are competing in the HVDC space, each with unique strengths and strategies [51]. - **Investment Trends**: Major cloud service providers in China, such as Alibaba and Tencent, are significantly investing in data center construction, with plans for substantial capacity increases [52][53]. - **Challenges for Power Supply Companies**: Companies focusing solely on UPS systems face challenges due to the shift towards direct current systems and the dominance of established players in the market [47]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and trends discussed in the conference call, highlighting the evolving landscape of power solutions in data centers and the competitive dynamics within the industry.

Core Insights - The national carbon market in China is a government-led trading system aimed at reducing carbon emissions, officially launched on July 16, 2021, covering 2,225 enterprises in the power sector with an annual emission coverage of approximately 4.5 billion tons, making it the largest carbon trading market globally [1][2] Group 1: Key Terminology - Carbon Emission Allowance (CEA) allows companies to emit a specific amount of CO₂, where 1 allowance equals 1 ton of CO₂ equivalent (tCO₂e). Companies must hold enough allowances to cover their emissions by the end of the compliance period to avoid penalties [3][4] - Carbon Allowance refers to the emissions permits allocated to companies by the government, with a future trend of decreasing free allowances and increasing paid allowances to incentivize emission reductions [5] - Carbon Trading involves the buying and selling of carbon allowances or reduction credits, primarily through agreements, with potential future inclusion of financial instruments like futures and options [6] Group 2: Market Mechanisms - CCER (China Certified Emission Reduction) represents carbon credits generated from projects like renewable energy and forestry, which can offset up to 5% of a company's emissions [7] - The MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, Verification) system ensures the accuracy of carbon emission data, serving as the foundation for fair market operations [8] - Carbon Price is the market price for carbon allowances, currently ranging from 50 to 80 RMB per ton, significantly lower than the EU price of approximately 80 Euros per ton, with expectations of gradual increases as policies tighten [9][10] Group 3: Goals and Strategies - Peak Carbon refers to the point at which CO₂ emissions reach their highest level before beginning to decline, with China committing to achieve this by 2030 [11][12] - Carbon Neutrality aims for net-zero emissions by 2060 through emission reductions, carbon sinks, and technological innovations [15] - Carbon Sink involves natural processes, such as forests absorbing CO₂, which can be developed into carbon credit projects [16] Group 4: Financial and Regulatory Aspects - Carbon Finance encompasses financial innovations related to the carbon market, enhancing market liquidity and reducing compliance costs for companies [17] - Carbon Footprint measures the total carbon emissions produced directly or indirectly by individuals, companies, or products throughout their lifecycle [18] - Carbon Border Tax is a proposed tariff on high-carbon imports to balance domestic and international carbon costs, with potential implications for high-carbon exporting companies [19] Group 5: Monitoring and Verification - Carbon Monitoring utilizes technologies like sensors and satellites to track carbon emissions and greenhouse gas concentrations, with pilot projects already underway in 16 cities [20][21] - Carbon Accounting systematically quantifies carbon emissions for companies or products over a specific period, adhering to international standards [22] - Carbon Verification involves third-party audits of carbon emission reports to ensure data accuracy, a requirement for major emitters in the national carbon market [27]

第十三届储能国际峰会暨展览会（ESIE 2025） 时间：2025年4月10-12日 地点：首都国际会展中心 主办： 中关村储能产业技术联盟、中国能源研究会、中国科学院工程热物理研究所 展馆冠名： 阳光电源、中天科技、宁德时代、新源智储、海博思创、中车株洲所 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司 将亮相第13届储能国际峰会暨展览会，展位位于 A2馆（宁德时 代馆）A203展位 。 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司 宁德时代新能源科技股份有限公司（简称"宁德时代"）是全球领先的新能源创新科技公司， 致力于为全球新能源应用提供一流解决方案和服务。20 1 8年6月，公司于深圳证券交易所上 市，股票代码300750。 宁德时代总部位于福建省宁德市。公司在全球已设立福建宁德、江苏溧阳、青海西宁、四川 宜宾、广东肇庆、上海临港、福建厦门、江西宜春、贵州贵阳、山东济宁、河南洛阳、德国 图林根州埃尔福特、匈牙利德布勒森十三大电池生产制造基地。其中宁德基地、宜宾基地、 溧阳基地被世界经济论坛评选为全球灯塔工厂，这是锂电行业仅有的三座灯塔工厂。宜宾基 地是全球首家电池零碳工厂。公司在德国慕尼黑、法国巴黎、日本横滨、美国底特律等地设 有 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a positive recommendation for the company's convertible bond, suggesting active participation in the new bond subscription with an expected listing price of around 124 yuan, reflecting a 25% premium on the first day of trading [3][13]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in distributed photovoltaic (PV) brackets, with a strong international market strategy and a focus on product quality and technological innovation [5][35]. - The company has shown resilience in a challenging market, with a slight increase in revenue despite a decline in net profit, indicating potential for recovery and growth [4][29]. - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the photovoltaic industry, driven by increasing installation capacities and favorable market conditions [19][41]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bond Basic Situation Analysis - The convertible bond has an issuance scale of 500 million yuan, with a bond and issuer rating of A+/A+. The conversion price is set at 12.93 yuan, and as of April 3, 2025, the conversion value is 99.3 yuan. The bond has a maturity of 6 years and an average annual coupon of 1.23 yuan, with a maturity compensation rate of 14% [1][10]. Subscription Value Analysis - The company operates in the photovoltaic auxiliary materials industry, with a current PE (TTM) of 29 times and a PB (MRQ) of 3 times, placing it above average among peers. The company's market capitalization is 3.516 billion yuan, and it has shown a stock price increase of 2.88% year-to-date [3][13]. Company Operating Situation Analysis - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.319 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.76%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.49% to 98 million yuan [4][29]. Competitive Advantage Analysis - The company has established a strong international presence with marketing headquarters and service centers in multiple countries. It has also achieved various international certifications for its products, enhancing its competitive edge [5][35][36]. Industry and Market Analysis - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing significant growth, with a projected increase in installed capacity. The report anticipates that by 2030, China's photovoltaic installed capacity could reach 317 GW, driven by declining costs and improved technology [19][41]. Fundraising Project Analysis - The funds raised from the convertible bond issuance will be allocated to projects such as the establishment of an intelligent factory for distributed photovoltaic brackets and an energy research and development center, indicating a strategic focus on enhancing production capabilities and innovation [40][41].

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the defensive attributes of the public utility sector, particularly in light of recent policy changes aimed at enhancing price governance mechanisms [1][14][30] - In March, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07%, while the public utility index rose by 1.87%, indicating a relative outperformance of the sector [1][32] - The report highlights the significant drop in coal prices, which enhances the profitability of thermal power generation, with a projected increase in earnings per kilowatt-hour as coal prices decrease [2][16][18] Group 2 - The report recommends major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, citing their resilience in the face of declining coal prices and electricity prices [3][30] - It notes that the water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with improved free cash flow and a favorable investment environment due to declining risk-free rates [31] - The report identifies high-dividend water power stocks, particularly Changjiang Electric Power, as having strong defensive characteristics and long-term investment value [24][25][29] Group 3 - The report discusses the expected stability in nuclear power company earnings, recommending companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][30] - It highlights the growth potential in the renewable energy sector, recommending leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, which are expected to benefit from ongoing government support for new energy development [3][30] - The report also points out the significant market opportunity in the domestic waste oil recycling industry, recommending companies like Shanggou Environmental Energy as beneficiaries of upcoming EU policies [31]

作者丨黎曼 来源丨 投中网 美丽的海滨小城厦门，也跑出了一个全球前三企业。 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 估值高达250亿元。 2025年3月底，厦门海辰储能科技股份有限公司（以下简称"海辰储能"）正式向港交所递交招股书。 这家成立仅6年的企业，由前宁德时代工程师吴祖钰掌舵，凭借对行业的精准预判和"逆周期"布局， 从储能行业的寒冬中突围，以35.1GWh的锂离子储能电池出货量跻身全球前三，仅次于宁德时代和 亿纬锂能。 吴祖钰的创业故事堪称戏剧性。 2019年，当储能行业骤冷时，他放弃宁德时代工程师的稳定职位，与搭档王鹏程在厦门创立海辰储 能，专注大容量储能电池研发。在同行收缩时，他们却押注产能扩张，以280Ah电池重新定义行业标 准，仅用三年便实现出货量增速超500%，斩获国内外头部客户订单。 如今，这家"宁德系"企业在2024年以129亿元营收实现扭亏为盈，成为全球储能赛道的一匹"黑马"。 在鑫睿创投、朝希资本、中国宝安、大公资本、前海众创资本、迈为股份、恩沃格林投资、中贯新创 投、农银国际、建信股权、经纬创投、盛屯矿业、峰和资本、厦门火炬集团、厦门创投、招银电信基 金、金风集团、国寿股权、 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the central government's commitment to advancing electricity price reforms and the expectation of a more refined market mechanism [11][12] - The market-oriented reform of electricity pricing is expected to benefit various power sources, particularly thermal power, which is anticipated to gain significantly from these changes [11][12] - The report highlights the importance of green electricity price reforms and the acceleration of environmental value realization [11][12] Summary by Sections Event Description - The Central Committee and the State Council issued an opinion on improving price governance mechanisms, advocating for a gradual and systematic market-oriented reform of electricity pricing across various power sources [6][11] Event Commentary - The report notes that the elevation of electricity reform to the central government level indicates a strong commitment to market-oriented reforms, with a focus on establishing a supportive system for smooth reform progression [11] - It discusses the potential for capacity and ancillary service price reforms to create systemic benefits for stable output and flexible adjustment capabilities, particularly for thermal and nuclear power [11] - The report also mentions the need to eliminate unreasonable price competition and government interference in price formation, which could lead to a more orderly market environment [11] - The emphasis on green electricity pricing reform suggests that the environmental value of green power is expected to be realized more rapidly [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "carbon neutrality" era and electricity market reforms will redefine the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [11] - It recommends focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng Power, as well as large hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [11] - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power, China Nuclear Power, and China Three Gorges Energy as potential investment opportunities [11]

Group 1: Company Overview - Clenergy Technology Co., Ltd. is planning to issue convertible bonds to unspecified investors and list them on the main board [1] - The company is headquartered in Xiamen Torch High-tech Zone, with multiple addresses listed [1] - The company has a credit rating of A+ for both the issuer and the convertible bonds, with a stable outlook [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the reporting periods was 1,017.98 million, 1,441.93 million, 1,936.45 million, and 873.58 million [6] - Net profit figures for the same periods were 48.68 million, 109.30 million, 168.78 million, and 54.34 million, with a significant decrease of 49.47% in the first half of 2024 [6] Group 3: Market Context - The global photovoltaic (PV) industry saw a new installed capacity of 239 GW in 2022, a year-on-year increase of 44.85%, with distributed PV accounting for approximately 49.37% of this growth [16] - China's PV industry is recognized as a strategic emerging industry, with significant advancements in technology and production capacity, leading to a total industry output value exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan in 2022 [15][16] Group 4: Investment and Risk Factors - The company is raising funds primarily for the "Distributed Photovoltaic Support Intelligent Factory Project," which aims to enhance core production capacity [6] - The company has not provided any guarantees for the convertible bonds, which may increase investor risk if adverse events affect its operational management and debt repayment capabilities [2][3] Group 5: Profit Distribution Policy - The company has a proactive profit distribution policy, prioritizing cash dividends when conditions allow, with a minimum cash distribution of 20% of the distributable profits in the absence of major investment plans [8][9]

ESIE 2025 | CONFERENCE & EXPO 第十三届储能国际峰会暨展览会 THE 13TH ENERGY STORAGE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE AND EXPO 数智赋能产业变革 储能重塑能源格局 DIGITAL INTELLIGENCE LEADS INDUSTRY REVOLUTION ENERGY STORAGE DRIVES ENERGY TRANSFO 2025年04月10-12日 April 10-12, 2025 Capital International Exhibition & Convention Center Beijing China 北京 · 首都国际会展中心 4月10日 相约北京 Meeting in Beijing on April 10 卡 由中关村储能产业技术联盟、中国能源研究会、中国科学院工程热物理研究所主办的 第十三届 储能国际峰会暨展览会（ESIE 2025） 将于 2025年4月10- 12日 在 北京首都国际会展中心 盛 大启幕！ 本届峰会以 "数智赋能产业变革，储能重塑能源格局" 为主题，将举办1场开幕式、1场院士论 坛 ...