5月13日国内金价快报：国内各大金店金价跌下千元大关，目前这个金价大概和4月中旬那会差不多。周六福等金店金价今 日跌了16元/克，最新标价992元/克，还是最高价金店。上海中国黄金下跌24元/克，报价969元/克，再次成为最低价金店。 今日金店黄金价差23元/克，价差稍稍扩大。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2025年5月13日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 987 | 元/克 | 13 | 跌 | | 六福黄金价格 | 992 | 元/克 | 16 | 時 | | 周大福黄金价格 | 992 | 元/克 | 16 | 联 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 992 | 元/克 | 16 | ま | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 992 | 元/克 | 16 | 時 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 995 | 元/克 | 7 | 跌 | | 潮宏基黄金价格 | 992 | 元/克 | 16 | 跌 | | 周生生黄金价格 | 991 | 元/克 | 16 ...

周一因中美达成削减关税协议，市场对美国经济衰退的担忧缓解，美元指数一度逼近 102，最终收涨 1.37%至 101.80。美债收益率双双走高，利 率市场削减美联储年内降息定价，提振美元需求。不过美元短线虽偏多，但面临关键阻力，且美国 CPI 数据将至，若通胀低于预期，多头或将 了结。当前美联储降息预期调降，鹰派空间有限，通胀火热还可能加剧滞胀担忧，利空美元。 黄金昨日跳空低开并延续跌势，最低触及3207后企稳反弹，美盘最高涨至3248后震荡整理，午夜弱势整理至 3220 后修复，最终收盘于 3234。 今日早间行情先小幅拉升，随后强势下跌至 3216，亚盘又强势上涨至 3260 后承压整理。目前行情处于修复阶段，晚间 CPI 数据备受关注。若 欧盘行情未延续上涨而是回落，多头或于 3270终结。技术面上方阻力在 3268 - 3274，下方支撑在 3244 - 3237。操作上徐老师建议回调做多为 主，反弹高空为辅。 操作策略1：建议回调3244-3237分批多，各止损8美金，止盈看15-20美金。 操作策略2：建议反弹3268-3274分批空，各止损8美金，止盈看20-40美金。 面对市场，实际上就是面对自 ...

Group 1 - The eurozone benchmark German government bond yield has risen to a one-month high, indicating a significant decrease in market expectations for an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) [2] - ECB Governing Council member Schnabel stated that the central bank should stop cutting rates due to rising price pressures from global economic turmoil, with inflation potentially exceeding the 2% target in the medium term [2] - The market anticipates the ECB's deposit rate in December to be 1.75%, higher than previous expectations of 1.55% to 1.67% [2] Group 2 - The euro to USD exchange rate is facing strong resistance at 1.1570 and is currently testing key trend support, with downside risks accumulating near the 50-day moving average at 1.1070 [3] - The currency pair has formed a series of lower highs and lows over the past month, indicating a weakening upward momentum, confirmed by the daily MACD indicator [3] - If the support at the 50-day moving average around 1.1070 is breached, further declines may occur, targeting the range of the March high of 1.1025 to 1.0950 [3]

Group 1 - The Geneva trade talks between China and the US have led to a significant reduction in punitive tariffs, with both sides agreeing to lower tariffs by over 100% [2] - The upcoming US April CPI data release is expected to influence market dynamics, particularly in the context of easing inflation expectations [2][9] Group 2 - Agricultural products such as soybeans and corn are expected to see increased exports to China due to reduced tariffs, which previously imposed a 125% tariff on US soybeans, negatively impacting domestic crushing margins [3] - Livestock products may face short-term pressure due to increased domestic feed supply, affecting futures for live pigs and eggs [4] - Cotton prices may find strong support in the short term due to improved export expectations and a decrease in inventory [5] Group 3 - In the energy sector, the easing of tariff concerns is anticipated to lead to a recovery in demand for crude oil and natural gas, positively impacting domestic energy products [6] - Lithium carbonate may experience reduced negative sentiment as US tariffs on electric vehicle imports are expected to decrease, potentially benefiting North American lithium battery material manufacturers [6] - Industrial silicon prices may improve as expectations of tariffs on the photovoltaic industry ease, leading to a potential demand recovery [6] Group 4 - The chemical sector is likely to see a chain reaction from eased export restrictions, with polyester and related products such as PTA and short fibers expected to rebound due to improved inventory balance [7] Group 5 - Gold prices may decline further as trade negotiations between China and the US and global geopolitical tensions show signs of easing, with a high level of speculative long positions in gold potentially leading to technical sell-offs [8]

这一转变与美联储近期的谨慎立场形成呼应。上周美联储决议全票通过维持利率在4.25%-4.50%区间不变，政策声明强调"通胀与失业率上行风险加剧"。主 席鲍威尔在记者会上重申，特朗普政府的关税政策不会干扰美联储独立性，当前利率水平将保持至经济前景明晰。 BK资产管理公司宏观策略师鲍里斯·施罗斯伯格分析称，经贸谈判进展与劳动力市场韧性降低了美国经济急剧放缓的可能性，美联储年内宽松力度或弱于市 场预期。他预计，若消费支出保持稳定，出口复苏将进一步支撑二季度GDP增速。 在中美日内瓦经贸会谈释放积极信号后，全球金融市场掀起乐观浪潮。美元指数强势攀升，黄金价格大幅回落，折射出市场避险情绪显著降温。这一转变不 仅为美国经济"软着陆"预期注入强心剂，更让美联储的降息路径再添变数——政策制定者或因贸易风险缓和而获得更多观望空间。 根据央视新闻披露的会谈成果，中美双方达成历史性关税削减协议：美方取消对华商品加征关税的91%，中方同步撤销反制关税;美方暂停24%的"对等关 税"计划，中方亦采取对等措施。这场波及近6000亿美元贸易额的关税争端，曾导致全球供应链紊乱与经济衰退担忧，如今随着双方重启高层对话，贸易壁 垒大幅消解。 市 ...

中美贸易紧张局势的缓和，如同一场及时雨，浇灭了市场此前的诸多担忧。消息一经公布，华尔街大行 与利率市场交易员迅速调整策略，大幅降低对美联储年内降息的押注。从利率互换合约的数据变化中， 我们能清晰看到这一趋势：美联储今年降息幅度预计从之前市场押注的 75 个基点，显著下降至约 55 个 基点；而交易员对首次降息时间的预期，也从原本较为接近的时间点，大幅延后至 9 月份，年内降息次 数更是被压缩到仅有两次。 这一系列预期的调整，在美债市场引发了强烈震动。对货币政策极度敏感的两年期美债收益率，周一一 度最高攀升 12 个基点，重新突破 4% 大关。收益率的上升与降息确定性的下降，恰似一对 "孪生兄 弟"，反映出美债市场看涨押注的进一步减弱。究其原因，此次关税下调被市场视为对经济的有力支 持。随着经济前景的预期改善，资金开始流向风险资产领域，本周初美股等风险资产的大幅反弹，更是 直接削弱了美债的吸引力，使得美债市场的热度明显降温。 回顾过去几周，市场对美联储降息的预期本就处于不断变化之中。自美联储上周发表 5 月议息会议声 明，主席鲍威尔主张采取观望态度，以评估关税调整对通胀和经济增长的影响后，市场的降息押注便开 启 ...

Group 1 - U.S. stock markets experienced a significant rally, with the Dow Jones rising over 1100 points, marking a new high since March. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also reached their highest closing levels since early March, driven by positive news regarding U.S.-China trade relations [2] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index surged by 5.40%, indicating a strong performance among popular Chinese stocks. The market's reaction suggests that it may have already priced in the benefits of the U.S.-China joint statement [2] - The S&P 500 index has risen over 8% since mid-June, while the Nasdaq has increased by more than 12%, reflecting optimistic expectations regarding trade tensions [2] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury yields rose collectively, with the 10-year yield increasing by 9.05 basis points to 4.4729%. This rise is attributed to improved market sentiment regarding trade tensions following U.S.-China negotiations [3] - The dollar index (DXY) increased by 1.27% to 101.61, indicating a stronger dollar amid rising Treasury yields and a shift away from safe-haven assets like the euro and yen [3] Group 3 - Major U.S. tech stocks saw substantial gains, with Amazon up over 8%, Tesla up over 6.7%, and Meta up over 7.9%. Analysts suggest that the reduction in tariffs could be a "best-case scenario" for U.S. tech stocks, potentially leading to new highs in the market [5] - The market sentiment is bolstered by expectations of significant tariff reductions in the coming months, which could enhance profit margins for companies reliant on Chinese goods [5] Group 4 - The gold market experienced a sharp decline, with spot gold prices falling below $3200 per ounce. Analysts attribute this drop to reduced demand for safe-haven assets as U.S.-China tensions ease [7] - The decline in gold prices is also linked to expectations of further interest rate cuts by central banks, which may increase gold exposure in the future [7] Group 5 - Consumer sectors, including footwear, apparel, and department stores, saw significant gains in the U.S. stock market, driven by improved sentiment from U.S.-China trade discussions. Retailers are expected to benefit from lower import costs, enhancing their profit margins [8] - The easing of tariffs is anticipated to alleviate inventory pressures for smaller retailers, leading to a more optimistic outlook for the industry [8] Group 6 - President Trump signed an executive order aimed at reducing drug prices, requiring pharmaceutical companies to align their prices with those in other countries. This order poses challenges for implementation and sets ambitious price reduction targets [9] - Apple is considering raising the prices of its upcoming iPhone models, which could be influenced by the additional costs incurred from tariffs, estimated at around $900 million for the current quarter [10]

Group 1 - Wall Street bets on the easing of US-China trade tensions, signaling an end to the comprehensive tariff war [2][5] - The S&P 500 index surged by 3.3%, and the Nasdaq 100 index returned to a bull market, led by large tech stocks [2] - Safe-haven assets declined, with gold dropping over $90, and the dollar rising more than 1%, marking its largest single-day gain since Trump's election victory [2] Group 2 - The easing of tariffs between the US and China exceeded expectations, establishing a framework for continued discussions, which is what the stock market hopes for [6] - Investors are now focused on whether temporary solutions can evolve into lasting agreements, indicating a shift in sentiment towards risk assets [6] - The temporary pause in trade tensions provides US companies with more time to adapt and plan for contingencies [6] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley strategists noted that while investor sentiment towards the US stock market is improving, it is premature to sound the alarm [6] - The firm identified four factors necessary for a sustained rally, with progress made on two: optimism around a trade agreement with China and stable earnings revisions [6] - Upcoming economic data, including inflation, retail sales, and earnings reports, will be crucial in maintaining market momentum [6]

新华财经纽约5月12日电（记者刘亚南）由于中美贸易紧张缓解改善美国经济增长前景并推动美联储降 息预期降温，12日美元兑一揽子货币全面走高，美元指数在隔夜市场大幅上涨，当日维持窄幅盘整，尾 盘时美元指数暴涨。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨1.45%，在汇市尾市收于101.788。 中美两国10日至11日在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会谈，在经贸领域达成一系列重要共识，同意大幅 降低双边关税水平。 Monex美国公司说，瑞士法郎和日元等避险货币大幅下跌，日元在G10国家货币中跌幅最大，对美元跌 幅一度接近2%。 富国银行分析师表示，中美经贸协议支持该行认为美元在近期将走强的观点，美联储在降息方面行动迟 缓也为此提供支撑。 截至纽约汇市尾市，1欧元兑换1.1089美元，低于前一交易日的1.1259美元；1英镑兑换1.3180美元，低 于前一交易日的1.3315美元。 1美元兑换148.34日元，高于前一交易日的145.27日元；1美元兑换0.8457瑞士法郎，高于前一交易日的 0.8311瑞士法郎；1美元兑换1.3994加元，高于前一交易日的1.3930加元；1美元兑换9.8166瑞典克朗，高 于前一交易 ...

金十数据5月13日讯，高盛将其预期的美联储下一次降息的时间调整至12月（此前预期为7月），该行分 析师表示："鉴于情况发展以及上个月金融环境显著宽松，我们将美国2025年第四季度的经济增长年率 预测上调0.5个百分点至1%，并将未来12个月出现经济衰退的可能性降至35%。同时，我们已下调核心 个人消费支出（PCE）通胀路径预期，预计其峰值为3.6%（此前预期为3.8%）。" 高盛推后美联储降息预期至年底 下调美国衰退可能性 ...