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欧乌新贸易框架落地 伦敦金日内剑指3986高位
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-30 02:27
摘要今日周四(10月30日)亚盘时段,伦敦金目前交投于3915.08美元附近,截至发稿,伦敦金最新报 3948.88美元/盎司,涨幅0.51%,最高上探至3965.84美元/盎司,最低触及3915.08美元/盎司。目前来 看,伦敦金短线偏向看涨走势。 今日周四(10月30日)亚盘时段,伦敦金目前交投于3915.08美元附近,截至发稿,伦敦金最新报 3948.88美元/盎司,涨幅0.51%,最高上探至3965.84美元/盎司,最低触及3915.08美元/盎司。目前来 看,伦敦金短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 欧盟委员会发布声明称,自29日起,升级后的欧盟-乌克兰深度全面自由贸易区协定(DCFTA)正式生 效。升级后的协定限制了欧盟对敏感农产品的进口,纳入了强有力的新保障条款,并规定了乌克兰和欧 盟生产标准的协调一致。 欧盟理事会10月13日发布公告称,理事会当天表决通过决议:同意在欧盟-乌克兰联合委员会中,降低 或取消乌克兰乳制品、新鲜果蔬、肉类等农产品关税。该决议源于2025年6月30日双方就欧盟-乌克兰深 度全面自由贸易区审查达成的初步协议,旨在构建长期互惠贸易框架。 【最新伦敦金行情解析】 美联储降息2 ...
金晟富:10.30黄金过山车行情震荡洗盘!日内黄金行情分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 01:52
换资前言: 交易之路,并非为求人人理解而来。你做得再好,未必人人喜欢;付出再多,未必人人称道——旁人都 是盯紧盈亏结果,缺很少顾及你复盘的深夜、控险的煎熬。一样的眼有不同看法,一样的心有别样想 法,强求认同本就是自我束缚。更要清醒:交易市场不同情弱者,更不相信眼泪。做事无需人懂,尽心 尽力便好;交易不必讨喜,问心无愧即可。 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势?后市黄金多空该如何研判? 周三(10月29日)现货黄金上演了一场惊心动魄的过山车行情。亚欧盘时段,金价在避险情绪和美联储 降息预期双重推动下,一度狂飙近2%,成功站上4000美元整数关口,盘中最高触及4029.90美元/盎 司。然而好景不长,美联储如期降息25个基点,但美联储主席鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的"鹰派"表态如同 一盆冷水浇灭了多头热情,金价迅速回吐全部涨幅并转跌,最低下探3916.56美元/盎司,收报3930美元 附近,单日跌幅约0.57%。本交易日重头戏无疑是中美领导人在韩国首尔的会晤。若贸易谈判未能取得 突破性进展,或将为金价提供短期避险支撑;反之,若谈判进展乐观,叠加12月降息预期进一步降温, 金价恐面临更大下行压力。 鲍威尔在开场白中说出最重 ...
美联储偏鹰,??震荡回落
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-10-30 01:45
Report Industry Investment Rating - The precious metals market is rated as "oscillating strongly" in the short - term and is expected to benefit from the downward trend of real interest rates in the medium - term. London gold is expected to trade between $3900 - $4100 per ounce, and London silver between $48 - $52 per ounce [9] Core Viewpoints - The Fed's "rate cut + end of quantitative tightening" signals a marginal improvement in liquidity, but Powell's hawkish remarks at the press conference dampened market expectations of continuous easing. The combination of hawkish policy signals and tightened money markets leads to short - term oscillations in the precious metals market, while the medium - term outlook remains positive due to the downward trend of real interest rates [3][5][9] Summary by Related Catalogs Key Information - The Fed cut the federal funds rate target range by 25bp to 3.75% - 4.00% and will stop the balance - sheet reduction operation from December. The New York Fed will reinvest all maturing Treasury and MBS principal, keeping the balance - sheet size at about $6.6 trillion [4] - Powell signaled hawkishness, stating that a December rate cut is "far from certain". After the meeting, the market's probability of another rate cut in December dropped from nearly 100% to 64% [4] - Chinese and US leaders held a meeting in Busan, South Korea on October 30, the first face - to - face meeting since Trump returned to the White House, exchanging views on Sino - US relations and issues of common concern [4] - The Israel - Palestine conflict escalated, with Israeli military air - strikes on the Gaza Strip killing at least 100 civilians, and Hamas denying violating the cease - fire agreement [4] Price Logic - The Fed's "rate cut + end of quantitative tightening" supports gold in the short - term as nominal interest rates decline, but Powell's hawkish stance suppresses expectations of continuous easing. The passive contraction of the Fed's balance - sheet has tightened short - term liquidity, which restricts the price elasticity of gold in the short - term. However, if the money - market pressure persists, gold's hedging and liquidity - hedging functions will strengthen in the medium - term [5] - Silver oscillated and declined with gold, but its price adjustment was limited due to high financing rates in the London market and spot premiums. Industrial demand is moderately recovering, with a strong long - term outlook [5] Outlook - In November, attention should be paid to non - farm substitute data and frequent speeches by Fed officials. If employment indicators show signs of cooling and liquidity tightness persists, the probability of a December rate cut may be revised upwards. Overall, precious metals are expected to oscillate strongly in the short - term and benefit from the downward trend of real interest rates in the medium - term [6][9]
金价波动,官方为何提示风险?
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-10-30 00:39
Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices, with a peak above $4300 per ounce and a subsequent drop below $4000, highlight the importance of understanding market dynamics and potential risks [1][7]. Group 1: Market Risk Control - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued 12 market risk control notices in 2025, surpassing the total for the previous year, indicating heightened market volatility [2]. - Frequent risk control notifications are a necessary measure to protect the market and investors, especially in light of significant price movements [4]. - The exchange can adjust margin levels and price limits under various conditions, including market risk changes and significant price fluctuations [3]. Group 2: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold possesses three key attributes: monetary, commodity, and safe-haven, which influence its price fluctuations based on global economic conditions and geopolitical events [5]. - Historical analysis shows that gold prices have experienced three significant upward cycles, each reflecting profound changes in the global economic landscape [6]. - From mid-2018 to October 2023, gold prices surged approximately 258.33%, with a notable increase of 66% in 2025 alone, driven by geopolitical uncertainties [7].
金价如坐“过山车”,搅动年轻人投资观
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-10-29 21:57
Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in gold prices has created tension among both consumers and investors, raising questions about the future of gold investments and purchasing decisions [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Gold jewelry prices have dropped below 1190 yuan per gram, with a decline of over 7% in domestic gold spot prices [1] - In just seven trading days, gold jewelry prices fell by more than 70 yuan per gram, from a peak of 1262 yuan per gram on October 20 to the current levels [2] - The current market is characterized by two main types of gold jewelry products: "weight gold + processing fee" and "fixed price" products, with the former being more sensitive to gold price fluctuations [2] Group 2: Investment Behavior - The gold spot price reached a peak of 1002.99 yuan per gram on October 17, then fell to 925.00 yuan per gram by October 28 [3] - There has been an increase in the number of investors purchasing physical gold, paper gold, and accumulating gold through banks, as well as interest in gold ETFs and new investment channels [3] - Young investors, including students as young as 20, are increasingly interested in gold investments due to lower entry barriers and perceived lower risks compared to stock and real estate markets [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The international gold price is projected to be between 3970 and 3930 USD per ounce, with gold seen as a defensive asset amid ongoing trade tensions [5] - Financial institutions are advising investors, particularly inexperienced young ones, to view gold as a long-term hedging tool rather than a short-term speculative asset [5] - The current market environment allows for more diverse investment options, which helps mitigate risks associated with gold price volatility [4]
25年10月29日金价普跌,各大金店价格到底谁家更优惠?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 21:54
Core Insights - The international gold price has recently dropped, yet a specific brand, Lao Pu Gold, has increased its prices significantly, with some items rising over 40% [1][3] - Lao Pu Gold's unique pricing strategy, which is not tied to gold market fluctuations, has led to a substantial increase in revenue and membership [3][5] - The brand's positioning as a luxury item, similar to high-end brands like Hermes and LV, has attracted consumers despite the overall decline in gold prices [3][5] Market Overview - On October 29, the international gold price fell to $3,952 per ounce, leading to a decrease in prices from major domestic brands like Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook [3] - Lao Pu Gold has raised prices multiple times, with specific items seeing increases of up to 70,000 yuan, causing consumer backlash on social media [3][5] - The brand's founder, Xu Gaoming, has positioned Lao Pu Gold as a luxury brand, with a reported revenue of 12.3 billion yuan and a net profit increase of over 200% this year [3][5] Consumer Behavior - Despite the rising prices, consumers are still purchasing Lao Pu Gold products, indicating a perception that higher prices equate to higher value [5] - The opening of a new store in Shanghai saw long queues, suggesting strong demand for the brand's products [1][5] - The brand's strategy of hoarding gold while opening new stores reflects a speculative approach, akin to stock market behaviors [5]
金价跌声一片,2025年10月27日各品牌报价走向成谜?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 21:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the volatility in gold prices, with a significant drop of 12 yuan per gram in domestic gold jewelry prices, while major brands like Chow Tai Fook maintain prices at 1232 yuan per gram, indicating a disparity in pricing strategies [1][3] - International gold prices experienced a dramatic decline of 6%, marking the largest single-day drop since 2020, with prices falling to 4080 USD before rebounding to over 4100 USD. This reflects a broader trend of fluctuating gold prices influenced by market dynamics [3][4] - Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices could reach 5055 USD per ounce by the end of next year, driven by strong demand from central banks and investors, who are expected to consume 566 tons of gold each quarter [3][4] Group 2 - The article discusses the varying prices of gold jewelry among different brands, with Chow Tai Fook and others maintaining higher prices, while some stores like Sun Gold offer lower prices at 1099 yuan per gram, suggesting a competitive market landscape [3] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive despite short-term volatility, as it is considered a stable asset in uncertain times. Investors are advised to compare prices and consider recovery channels before making purchases [4] - The article raises questions about the pricing strategies of major gold retailers, suggesting that the current market dynamics may not favor average consumers, who could be caught in a cycle of price fluctuations [4]
黄金暴跌是精准手术?切除杠杆毒瘤后,三大长期逻辑让金价更稳
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 19:42
2025年有天伦敦金价上演了一出"惊魂戏码",从4144美元往下跌,短短6小时就砸到4044美元,100美元 的跌幅里,200亿美元的多头头寸直接没了,很多拿着这些头寸的投资者,打开账户一看都懵了,这钱蒸 发得比想象中还快。 暴跌时的"反向操作":散户慌抛,巨头抄底 其实在这次暴跌前,黄金已经涨了一阵子了,过去六周里,累计涨了大概8个点,市场里全是追高的声音, 很多人都忘了基本的投资纪律,眼里就剩"还能涨"这三个字。 后来看美国银行的调查才发现,43%的投资者都把"做多黄金"当成了首选,比做多美股那七个巨头的比 例还高。 这可不是普通的市场小波动,更像是资本市场给黄金做了次"精准手术",本来想跟着之前的涨势赚点快 钱的人,这时候才发现,市场里的风险早藏在热闹背后了。 200亿的亏损可不是小数目,散户们最先慌了神,手里的黄金筹码不管不顾就往外抛,生怕跌得更狠。 可让人没想到的是,另一边的贝莱德却在悄悄行动,他们旗下的黄金ETF,当天净流入直接飙到18.7亿 美元,创了2020年疫情以来的单日最高。 这两边的操作对比,一看就是老玩家和新手的区别,散户在割肉,巨头却在捡便宜。 很显然,这时候的市场已经挤得不行了,风 ...
现货黄金最新上涨0.84%
(原标题:现货黄金最新上涨0.84%) 人民财讯10月30日电,现货黄金最新上涨0.84%,报3985美元/盎司。 ...
全球银行悄悄布局,黄金即将迎来暴涨?金价或将重演历史
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 17:59
上周金价跌破4000美元整数关口,投资群里瞬间炸开了锅。 "要跌到3800! ""牛市完了! "各种悲观论调不绝于耳。 这种场景让我不禁回想起2011年冬天, 当时金价从1920美元高点坠落,市场上一片"泡沫破裂"的哀嚎。 | 足数 = | 叠加 ▼ | 图线 | 显示 ▼ | 简约 | 隐藏 ▶▶ 123 | | COMEX黄金 | | | 下载东方财富期货APP | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 设置均线 | | | GC00Y 4099.0 | | | 提醒 ◆ | 自选十 | | | | | 4398.0 - | | | | - 0.25% | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 当前品种行情延时10分钟展示 | | 最新 | 4099.0 194 | 4125 | | | | | | | 4300.00 | | | | | | | | 大价,加速上涨后调整 | | | | | | 1 | 4099.4 | 1 | 涨跌 | -10.1 今天 | ...