Summary of Metal Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The metal industry is expected to continue its upward cycle in 2026, with industrial metals showing aggressive potential and valuation advantages [1][2] - Copper prices are projected to rise due to domestic consumption stimulation, tariffs, and overseas replenishment demand, supported by trends in AI and a strong US stock market [1][4] Key Insights on Copper - Copper demand is expected to grow by 3% in 2026, driven by new energy vehicles, power infrastructure, and AI data centers, leading to a slight supply-demand gap [1][4] - The Grasberg mine's slow recovery and rising nationalism are limiting global copper supply growth, with an estimated increase of only 400,000 to 500,000 tons in 2026 [4] - The demand structure for copper is shifting significantly, with emerging demands from new energy vehicles and AI data centers becoming major growth drivers [1][6] Valuation and Investment Opportunities - Major leading companies in the copper sector, such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Western Mining, are currently undervalued, with P/E ratios between 15-17 times based on an average copper price of 80,000 RMB/ton in 2025 [1][8] - For 2026, if the average price rises to 85,000 RMB/ton, valuations for some companies could drop to around 10 times, with dividend yields potentially reaching 5% [1][8] - Investors are encouraged to consider companies with high elasticity in the copper and aluminum sectors, while those seeking stability may look at companies like Western Mining and Zijin Mining [5] Aluminum Market Insights - The aluminum market has shown strong performance recently, influenced by seasonal demand and supply constraints due to production halts [12][13] - Future aluminum prices are expected to remain above 22,000 RMB/ton, supported by tight supply-demand balance and low inventory levels [14] - The demand structure for aluminum is diversifying, with significant growth expected in sectors like power, electric grids, and new energy vehicles [17] Lithium Carbonate Market - The lithium carbonate market is anticipated to maintain strong pricing due to robust downstream demand, with a projected increase in demand growth exceeding 20% next year [22] - Current prices are around 85,000 RMB, with potential for further increases, although seasonal demand fluctuations may temper growth [22] Steel Industry Performance - The steel sector has rebounded in 2025, with estimated profits around 20 billion RMB, although overall profitability remains low [25] - High-end manufacturing steel demand is expected to grow, driven by manufacturing upgrades, while exports may slow due to anti-dumping policies [25][26] - Companies focused on high-end steel production, such as Baosteel and CITIC, are recommended for their stable earnings and strong cash flow [25][27] Conclusion - The metal industry is poised for growth, particularly in copper and aluminum, with emerging demands reshaping the market landscape. Investors are advised to focus on undervalued companies with strong growth potential and stable earnings in the high-end manufacturing sector.

Summary of Fuxiang Pharmaceutical Conference Call Company Overview - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical is the second-largest producer of tazobactam globally, focusing on high-end antibiotics and cost reduction through new processes, aiming for a 15%-20% cost decrease in collaboration with Jiangxi Normal University [2][3] Key Points Industry Position and Product Lines - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical specializes in compound and high-end antibiotics, with a leading market share in enzyme inhibitors like sulbactam, and is the only supplier with international market certification [3] - The company has a production capacity of 500 tons for sulbactam and 100 tons for tazobactam, with plans to expand tazobactam production to 500 tons by the end of 2025 [4][14] New Energy Sector - Since 2022, Fuxiang has entered the new energy sector, producing lithium battery electrolyte additives VC and FEC, ranking among the top three in VC shipments in 2023 [2][5] - The current production capacity is 8,000 tons for VC and 4,000 tons for FEC, with VC prices rising to 100,000-150,000 yuan per ton due to increased demand from energy storage and power batteries [5][7] - Plans to expand VC production to 10,000 tons and FEC to 5,000 tons by Q2 2026 [5][8] Synthetic Biology Sector - Fuxiang is developing microbial protein products, having received certifications in the US and China, with a current production capacity of 1,200 tons and plans to expand to 20,000 tons of microbial protein and 50,000 tons of amino acid water-soluble fertilizer by Q2 2026 [6][15] - The microbial protein market is projected to reach $290 billion by 2035, with microbial protein accounting for 22% of that demand [15] Cost Management and Profitability - The price of 6-APA has decreased from 300,000 yuan to around 160,000 yuan per ton, positively impacting the gross margin of sulbactam and tazobactam products [12] - Fuxiang's intermediate products, including sulbactam and penem series, contribute approximately 40% to the company's revenue [13] - Current unit costs for VC are below 50,000 yuan, with expectations for further reductions as production capacity increases [9] Market Dynamics and Competition - The recent price surge in VC is attributed to increased demand for energy storage batteries, rising penetration of new energy vehicles, and industry maintenance [7] - Fuxiang aims to maintain its competitive edge through cost control and high purity, despite market fluctuations [21] - The company is confident in its ability to respond to market changes and maintain supply stability without altering long-term plans due to short-term price volatility [19] Future Outlook - Fuxiang plans to achieve a production capacity of 10,000 tons for VC by Q2 2026, with potential further expansion to 20,000 tons depending on market conditions [20] - The company has established subsidiaries to develop C-end products and engage with B-end clients, enhancing its market presence [15][16] Conclusion - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical is strategically positioned in the pharmaceutical and new energy sectors, focusing on cost reduction, capacity expansion, and market responsiveness to sustain its competitive advantage and drive future growth [2][21]

Global Market Overview - The overseas markets experienced more gains than losses in the week of November 10-14, 2025, with moderate valuation changes. The Eurozone saw mixed performance, with France leading at +2.77%, Germany at +1.3%, and the UK slightly up by +0.16%. The Asian markets generally rose, except for the Hang Seng Tech Index, which fell by 0.42%. The US indices showed mixed results with slight adjustments. The valuation changes were mild, with only the Korean Composite Index (+1.8x) and the German DAX (-1.01x) showing significant PE changes exceeding 1x, indicating an upward revision in profit expectations [2][7]. A-share Market Analysis - In the same week, the A-share core broad indices all declined, with a slight contraction in valuations. Specifically, the CSI 500 led the decline at -1.26%, while the SSE 50 remained flat at +0.00%. The value style continued to outperform, with large-cap growth stocks leading the decline at -1.64%, while large-cap value stocks rose by +1.44%. The CSI 2000, representing small-cap stocks, also performed well with a +0.89% increase. Most valuations contracted slightly alongside stock prices, with only the CSI 2000 showing a PE change exceeding 1x at +1.38x [2][27]. Industry Performance - The week saw mixed performance across primary industries, with the comprehensive sector leading gains at +6.99%. The TMT sector collectively retreated, with electronics and communications leading the decline at -4.77%. Downstream consumption and large financial sectors all rose, with retail and textile sectors increasing by over 4%. Valuations adjusted with stock prices, where electronics, computers, and communications saw PE contractions exceeding 2x, while the comprehensive sector's PE expanded significantly by 3.35x. Downstream consumption sectors like retail, social services, beauty care, textiles, and pharmaceuticals all experienced PE expansions exceeding 1x [2][51]. Valuation Comparisons - The downstream consumption sector shows superior valuation attractiveness. Analyzing PE, PB, PS, and PCF percentiles, the TMT sector's valuations have declined with stock price adjustments. The upstream resource sectors, represented by basic chemicals and oil & gas, are at high valuation levels, with rolling 1-year valuation percentiles averaging above 99% and 3-year averages above 96%. The valuation percentiles for non-ferrous metals and coal also exceed 94% for both 1-year and 3-year periods. In contrast, the downstream consumption sectors, including home appliances, beauty care, and food & beverage, maintain high valuation attractiveness, with all three industries' valuation percentiles averaging below 75% [2][53].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited, for the first time [4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a coal production target of 300 million tons by 2030, supported by ongoing capacity expansion and acquisitions [2][4]. - The chemical products segment is projected to see steady growth, with total production expected to reach 8.702 million tons in 2024, aiming to exceed 9 million tons in the future [2]. - The company has a stable dividend history and is expected to continue providing high returns to shareholders [2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited, established in September 1997, is primarily engaged in coal mining and sales, coal chemical product production and sales, logistics, equipment manufacturing, and power generation [13][19]. - The company is backed by Shandong Energy Group, which holds a 52.84% stake [14][15]. Business Analysis Coal Business: Rich Reserves and Capacity Expansion - The company has a total coal resource of over 460 billion tons, with significant reserves in Shandong, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Australia [20][25]. - The coal production capacity is steadily increasing, with a current capacity of approximately 285 million tons per year, and plans to reach 300 million tons by 2026 [28][34]. Chemical Business: Capacity Expansion and Focus on High-End Products - The chemical segment is expanding, with a focus on high-end products, and is expected to produce 8.702 million tons in 2024 [2][19]. - The company aims to enhance its chemical product offerings and increase production capacity to over 20 million tons annually in the future [23][24]. Investment Value Analysis - The company has a strong international presence, reducing reliance on a single market, and is actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance its resource base [2][8]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 10.02 billion, 15.23 billion, and 18.05 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.7, 9.7, and 8.1 [2][4]. Financial Summary - The company reported a revenue of 139.12 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year decrease of 7.27% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decrease by 28.37% in 2025, followed by a significant recovery in subsequent years [4].

Group 1 - Public funds have increased their positions in TMT, electric equipment, and non-ferrous metals, indicating a potential new "hugging" trend in the market [1] - The current market is experiencing fluctuations, and while there are concerns about the collapse of this "hugging" trend, there are still opportunities in specific sectors [1] - The long-term prospects for AI are generally viewed positively, although there are concerns regarding computing power [1] Group 2 - In the renewable energy sector, energy storage and solid-state batteries are identified as new growth points, with solar and wind power also presenting opportunities [1] - Non-ferrous metals are favored due to risk aversion, and recent performance in energy storage and solid-state batteries has been strong, leading to rapid growth in related ETFs [1] - Alibaba's launch of the "Qianwen" project has boosted the Hang Seng Technology Index, resulting in an increase in the scale of the Hang Seng Technology ETF [1]

而朱一凡，作为这家老牌机构的管理合伙人兼首席财务官，正在以其独特的复合型背景与前瞻性的战略眼光，成为联创新一代领导力量中的关键人物。日 前，他入选2025年《财富》"中国40岁以下最具潜力的商界精英榜"，正是对其行业影响力的有力印证。从法学院毕业、精研数字的专业人士，再到执掌百 亿资本的舵手，朱一凡的职业生涯恰好与中国私募股权行业的大爆发时代同频共振。 上海联创 管理合伙人兼首席财务官 朱一凡 在中国风起云涌的风险投资史上，上海联创（NewMargin Ventures）无疑是一块厚重的基石。自1999年由国家部委与上海市政府联合发起成立以来，这家 机构见证并参与了中国创投行业从无到有、从萌芽到繁盛的整个历程。累计管理规模超过500亿元，投资逾400家企业，其中90余家成功上市，这份沉甸甸 的成绩单，是其行业地位的最佳注脚。 在行业爆发前夜转身 这个故事淋漓尽致地体现了联创的投资风格：不追逐昙花一现的明星项目，不热衷于机会导向的热点，而是专注于寻找"扎扎实实的创始人在做一份事 业"，并愿意与之长期陪跑。 这一哲学在当下如火如荼的人工智能、智能制造、新能源等赛道中，显得尤为冷静。对于当前这轮人工智能热潮，朱一凡 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" investment rating for Jianghan New Materials [2][5]. Core Views - Jianghan New Materials is the largest silane coupling agent producer in China and the third largest globally, with a market share of nearly 20% [3][11]. - The demand for functional silanes is expected to rise due to emerging needs in new energy, photovoltaics, and semiconductors, which will likely drive price recovery [3][52]. - The company has a strong competitive edge due to low-cost advantages, high-quality customer resources, robust R&D capabilities, and ample cash flow [4][68]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Jianghan New Materials has over 20 years of experience in product R&D and operations, maintaining the largest market share in China and ranking among the top three globally [3][11]. - The company has a comprehensive "silicon powder-silane-high-end materials" integrated industrial chain, with over 100 varieties across 14 series of silane products [3][25]. 2. Demand Growth Drivers - The demand structure shows that silicone rubber accounts for the largest share at 32%, followed by composite materials at 18.5% and adhesives at 16.7% [42][44]. - The production of rubber tires, especially green tires, is expected to increase the demand for sulfur-containing silanes, with domestic new energy vehicle sales reaching 8.33 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.37% [51][52]. - The CAGR for new photovoltaic installations is projected at 14% from 2024 to 2028, which will boost the demand for high-end silanes in encapsulation films and backsheet materials [52]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has achieved significant cost control through large-scale production and a closed-loop chlorine element recycling process, with a gross margin of 27.91% in H1 2025 [4][69]. - Jianghan New Materials has established long-term framework agreements with several high-end clients, ensuring stable order fulfillment [4][74]. - R&D investment remains high, with R&D expenses accounting for 3.30% of revenue in H1 2025, reflecting a commitment to innovation [4][81]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 450 million, 595 million, and 698 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.20, 1.59, and 1.87 yuan per share [5][6]. - The report indicates that the company's profitability is expected to recover as the market for functional silanes begins to improve [5][68].

Core Viewpoint - The company has launched a new silicon carbide G2.0 technology platform that utilizes advanced 8-inch manufacturing technology, achieving a globally leading level [1] Group 1: Technology and Innovation - The new technology platform is optimized through both device structure and process technology to achieve core goals of "high efficiency, high power density, and high reliability" [1] - This platform covers two major application scenarios: electric drive and power supply [1] Group 2: Market Applications - The technology can be widely applied in the markets of new energy vehicle main drives, onboard power supplies, and AI data center power supplies [1]

2025年11月16日 国泰君安期货研究周报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 | 镍：镍价破位下行，承压震荡运行 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：弱现实压制钢价，但下方难言广阔 | 2 | | 工业硅：仓单去化，盘面仍具备上行驱动 | 11 | | 多晶硅：下周成都行业大会，关注情绪提振 | 11 | | 碳酸锂：动力和储能需求短期转弱，矿端发运起量，上方承压 | 20 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 11 月 16 日 镍：镍价破位下行，承压震荡运行 不锈钢：弱现实压制钢价，但下方难言广阔 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 报告导读： 沪镍基本面：镍价破位下行，预计承压震荡。从基本面来看，现实仍然是以冶炼累库矛盾为主，全球 精炼镍显性库存维持累增，边际内盘累库更多导致进口亏损稍有扩大，同时，预期端亦呈现供增需弱，市 场普遍预期隐性补库放缓，且镍合金端使用镍铁取代镍板的比例有所提高，而纯镍投产仍有增加的预期， 叠加远端低成本湿法路径 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the operational challenges faced by Bull Group, evidenced by a decline in both revenue and net profit in their latest financial report [4][8][10] - Bull Group's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 decreased by 3.22% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 8.72%, with the third quarter showing a more significant decline of 10.29% [8][9][11] - This marks the first time since its IPO in 2020 that Bull Group has experienced a simultaneous decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters [10] Group 2 - The company's core business, which includes electrical connections and smart electrical lighting, has been under pressure, with both segments reporting declines in revenue [12][13] - The electrical connection business generated revenue of 36.62 billion yuan, down 5.37% year-on-year, while the smart electrical lighting segment brought in 40.94 billion yuan, down 2.78% [12] - The decline in performance is attributed to macroeconomic factors and intensified industry competition, particularly from internet companies like Xiaomi entering the socket market [13] Group 3 - The actual controller of Bull Group, Ruan Xueping, announced a significant share reduction plan, intending to sell up to 36.17 million shares, which represents 2% of the company's total shares, potentially raising over 1.6 billion yuan [15][18] - This is the second major reduction by Ruan Xueping in two years, following a previous sale of 17.79 million shares in July 2023 [15][18] - The timing of the share reduction, just before the disappointing financial report, has raised concerns among investors regarding the company's future prospects [18] Group 4 - Bull Group is attempting to diversify its business by entering the renewable energy sector, focusing on electric vehicle charging stations and energy storage [19][22] - However, the contribution of the renewable energy business to overall revenue remains minimal, with only 386 million yuan generated in the first half of 2025, accounting for just 4.73% of total revenue [22] - The company's international expansion strategy relies heavily on a "big client model," which may not yield significant results in the short term to offset domestic market declines [22]