转自：北京日报客户端 1月4日， 在乌拉圭首都蒙得维的亚，一辆中国新能源旅游巴士（前）在路上行驶。新华社发（尼古拉斯·塞拉亚 摄） 新华社蒙得维的亚1月5日电"2025年，乌拉圭平均每售出3辆乘用车，就有一辆是中国新能源汽车。"乌 拉圭汽车贸易协会经理伊格纳西奥·帕斯日前在接受新华社记者采访时说，中国新能源汽车日益受到乌 拉圭消费者欢迎。 正如帕斯所说，2025年以来，记者在乌首都蒙得维的亚等城市看到的中国新能源汽车越来越多。 12月22 新能源汽车畅销与乌拉圭政府相关举措密切相关。2025年，乌政府颁布一系列面向新能源汽车的优惠政 策，包括减免关税、牌照税、污染税等税费。与此同时，乌拉圭国家电力公司在全国建设了一批充电 桩，基本保证国道每50公里就有一个充电站。 12月22 日，在乌拉圭首都蒙得维的亚，一辆中国新能源汽车（中）在路上行驶。新华社发（尼古拉斯·塞拉亚 摄） 乌拉圭政府数据显示，该国超过97%的电力来自可再生能源，且非用电高峰时段电力供应有盈余。"这 为乌拉圭推广新能源汽车提供了极佳条件。"帕斯说。 另一方面，较低的使用成本也促使更多乌拉圭消费者选择新能源汽车。蒙得维的亚的网约车司机米格尔 对记 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 8 points or 0.03% to close at 26,347 points, after fluctuating between a low of 26,256 points and a high of 26,445 points during the day[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 54 points or 1.4%, closing at 4,023 points, with a total trading volume of 1.07 trillion yuan[2] - The S&P 500 Index gained 43 points or 0.6%, reaching a new high of 6,902 points[2] Currency and Economic Indicators - The RMB/USD central parity rate was adjusted up by 58 points to 7.0230[2] - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for December fell to 47.9, marking the lowest level since October 2024, and below the market expectation of 48.3[3] Corporate Developments - China National Airlines sold 108 million shares of Cathay Pacific at a price of 12.22 HKD per share, a 6.6% discount to the closing price, raising approximately 1.32 billion HKD[5] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining expects a net profit of 3 to 3.2 billion RMB for 2025, an increase of 70%-81% year-on-year, driven by a 49% rise in gold product prices[5] - Hon Hai Precision Industry reported a 22% year-on-year increase in Q4 revenue to 2.6 trillion TWD (approximately 82.6 billion USD), exceeding analyst expectations[6]

有券商表示，2025年，不仅黄金、白银等贵金属显著上涨，铜、铝等工业金属和钴、锂等能源金属也涨幅良好，多个金属创下历史 新高或阶段性新高，有色金属迎来超级周期。综合来看，有色金属超级周期的成因主要有三个：一是美联储降息周期美元呈走弱趋 势，推动以美元计价的有色金属价格上涨；二是供需缺口的支撑，铜等工业金属面临主要矿山品位下降、边际成本抬升以及前期矿 业资本开支萎缩带来的供给压力，需求端有人工智能、新能源、数据中心等基础设施建设的带动；三是国内"反内卷"政策发力，推 动过剩产能的优化，有利于促进供需平衡。 受盘面影响，有色、矿业相关ETF涨约4%。 | 代码 | 类型 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159690 | 王 | 有色矿业ETF招商 | 2.096 | 0.087 | 4.33% | | 159880 | 主 | 有色ETF基金 | 2.083 | 0.085 | 4.25% | | 560860 | 主 | 工业有色ETF | 1.697 | 0.067 | 4.11% | | 561330 | H | ...

（文章来源：北京商报） 1月6日，广东金融监管局发布《关于支持我省保险业高质量发展助力广东在中国式现代化建设中走在前 列的指导意见》（以下简称《指导意见》）。《指导意见》提出，强化保险服务制造强省。围绕广东建 设具有国际竞争力的现代化产业体系目标，聚焦制造业重点产业链，强化对重点产业、重点产品、重点 集群、重点企业保险保障服务。在做好广东传统产业保险保障服务升级的基础上，加大对新能源、新材 料、商业航天等战略性新兴产业集群和新能源车船、集成电路、新型储能、医药和医疗器械、无人机和 无人船等新兴产业的保险支持力度。加大保险服务低空经济力度，围绕低空飞行基础设施和智能网联系 统建设、低空飞行器重点制造产业、低空飞行运用场景等重点，开发全产业链、全链条、全场景保险产 品和服务。优化新能源汽车保险服务，探索开发智能驾驶责任保险产品，支持广东新能源汽车产业发 展。 ...

中邮证券发布研报称，国家发布政策推动光热发电规模化发展，目标到2030年装机达1500万千瓦，实现 度电成本与煤电相当。光热发电兼具发电与长时储能功能，可在容量市场和辅助服务市场获得价值，并 通过CCER等渠道获取绿色溢价。我国产业链已成熟，成本持续下降，有望成为具备竞争力的新能源产 业。 中邮证券主要观点如下： 事件 光热的绿色溢价可能更优一些 理论上，同属于减碳的绿证和CCER的价值是一致的，但CCER有望随着全球碳市场的逐步建立，获得 更高的溢价，光热电站可以选择CCER作为其绿色收益的来源。 投资建议：建议关注西子洁能（002534）。 风险提示：政策支持不及预期的风险，产业链技术进步不及预期的风险。 光伏产业链具有发展的潜力 目前我国已成功掌握塔式、槽式、菲涅尔式等主流光热发电技术，已建成全球领先的光热发电产业链， 电站单位千瓦建设成本从10年前的约3万元下降至1.5万元，度电成本降至0.6元上下，随着政策的支持， 依靠规模经济和技术进步，其能量成本(度电成本)有望和煤电打平，可以作为部分地区的支撑性能源。 容量市场对任何技术是一视同仁的 光热发电兼具调峰电源和长时储能的双重功能，能够实现用新能源调 ...

北京商报讯（记者 胡永新）1月6日，广东金融监管局发布《关于支持我省保险业高质量发展 助力广东 在中国式现代化建设中走在前列的指导意见》（以下简称《指导意见》）。《指导意见》提出，强化保 险服务制造强省。围绕广东建设具有国际竞争力的现代化产业体系目标，聚焦制造业重点产业链，强化 对重点产业、重点产品、重点集群、重点企业保险保障服务。在做好广东传统产业保险保障服务升级的 基础上，加大对新能源、新材料、商业航天等战略性新兴产业集群和新能源车船、集成电路、新型储 能、医药和医疗器械、无人机和无人船等新兴产业的保险支持力度。加大保险服务低空经济力度，围绕 低空飞行基础设施和智能网联系统建设、低空飞行器重点制造产业、低空飞行运用场景等重点，开发全 产业链、全链条、全场景保险产品和服务。优化新能源汽车保险服务，探索开发智能驾驶责任保险产 品，支持广东新能源汽车产业发展。 ...

继昨日大涨2.6%之后，1月6日，有色金属板块继续强势走高，有色ETF华宝（159876）一度涨逾 3%，再刷上市以来新高。其跟踪的中证有色指数冲高至3261点，再刷近十年新高。行情持续火热，资 金纷至沓来，有色ETF华宝（159876）目前盘中获资金实时净申购3300万份，后市表现值得期待。 揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色ETF华宝（159876）及其联接基金（017140）标的指数全面覆盖铜、 铝、黄金、稀土、锂等行业，相较投资单一金属行业，能够分散风险，适合作为投资组合的一部分进行 配置。截至1月5日，有色ETF华宝（159876）最新规模8.79亿元，在全市场3只跟踪同标的指数的ETF产 品中，是规模最大的ETF。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 从宏观经济映射至大宗商品市场，2026年，或有三条主线（绿通胀、反内卷、降息潮）继续引领商 品波动。华 ...

s | 2011 06:11 # # and and the stat THE SE H POWER t 2026年达州东部经开区自届创新创造创业大赛暨2026第十四届"东并称"国际创业大赛运州专场 y HD 7550 取消费 1 11 11 a F NNBOAD E 11 达开科 十文创新示范 67 I FTC WANDAKAI SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY "INNOVATION DEMONSTRATION ZONE t 2019 2000 201400 0 - 14 PENGENER FOR 2451 下载 时时彩金彩 al Research *** *** 1月4日，经过全天比拼，各领域一、二、三等奖揭晓，其中，北京博雅数智科技有限公司获得数字 经济领域一等奖，北京星辰道合科技有限公司获得新能源/新材料领域一等奖，北京衔微医疗科技有限 公司获得智能制造领域一等奖。 赛事的成功举办，离不开达州东部经开区坚实的产业基础。达州东部经开区"十四五"期间，全力以 赴拼经济、搞建设、抓发展，实施重大项目55个，完成投资422亿元，全区固定资产投资年均增速40% 以上，逆势增长62亿元。推动建设达钢 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic recovery momentum is still weak, but different investment products have different trends. For example, the stock index is expected to have its fluctuation center gradually move up, while the treasury bond futures are expected to face some pressure [6][9]. 3. Summary by Category Treasury Bonds - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw most treasury bond futures close down. The 30 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year main contracts declined by 0.05%, 0.02%, and 0.03% respectively, while the 10 - year main contract rose by 0.03% [5]. - **Policy and News**: The central bank conducted 13.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations on January 5th, with a net withdrawal of 468.8 billion yuan due to 482.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing. The 9 - department notice on promoting green consumption was released [5]. - **Outlook**: Treasury bond futures are expected to face some pressure, and caution is advised [6]. Stock Index Futures - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw mixed performance in stock index futures. The main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM rose by 2.26%, 2.55%, 3.11%, and 2.69% respectively [8]. - **Policy and News**: The China Securities Regulatory Commission held a symposium on promoting the cross - departmental work of the comprehensive prevention and control system for financial fraud in the capital market. It aims to improve the system, strengthen coordination, and enhance corporate governance [9]. - **Outlook**: The fluctuation center of the stock index is expected to gradually move up, and investors can choose the right time to go long [9]. Precious Metals - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the gold main contract close at 995 with a 1.78% increase, and the silver main contract close at 18,247 with a 6.87% increase [11]. - **Policy and News**: The Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari commented on the employment market, inflation, and economic outlook [11]. - **Outlook**: The market volatility is expected to significantly increase. It is advisable to exit long positions and wait and see [11]. Steel Products (Thread and Hot - Rolled Coil) - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw thread steel and hot - rolled coil futures weakly oscillate. The spot prices of Tangshan billet, Shanghai thread steel, and Shanghai hot - rolled coil were reported [13]. - **Supply and Demand**: The demand for thread steel is in a year - on - year decline, and the market will enter the off - season. The supply pressure has eased as the production is at a low level this year. The inventory is higher than last year but the consumption speed is fast. The hot - rolled coil has similar fundamentals [13]. - **Outlook**: The prices are likely to continue to weakly oscillate. Investors can look for short - selling opportunities at high levels during rebounds and manage their positions carefully [13]. Iron Ore - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw iron ore futures oscillate at a high level. The spot prices of PB powder and Super Special powder were reported [15]. - **Supply and Demand**: The national hot metal daily output has declined in the past two months. The import volume in the first 11 months of 2025 increased by 1.4% year - on - year, and the domestic production is lower than in 2024. The port inventory is at the highest level in the same period of the past five years [15]. - **Outlook**: The market supply - demand pattern is weak, but the futures may continue to be strong in the short term. Investors can look for short - selling opportunities at high levels and manage their positions carefully [15]. Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw coking coal and coke futures decline significantly [17]. - **Supply and Demand**: After the holiday, domestic coking coal production increased. The demand from downstream coke enterprises is weak, and the fourth - round price cut of coke procurement has been implemented. The blast furnace profit is low, and the demand for coke is weak [17]. - **Outlook**: The futures may continue to weakly oscillate in the short term. Investors can look for buying opportunities at low levels and manage their positions carefully [17]. Ferroalloys - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the manganese - silicon main contract decline by 0.78% and the silicon - iron main contract decline by 1.37% [19]. - **Supply and Demand**: The manganese ore supply is gradually recovering, and the port inventory is slightly increasing. The cost of ferroalloys fluctuates slightly at a low level. The production of thread steel by sample steel mills is lower than in 2024, and the production of ferroalloys is at a low level in the past five - year period, but the inventory continues to increase [19]. - **Outlook**: After a decline, investors can consider long - position opportunities at low levels when the spot loss expands [20]. Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw INE crude oil decline significantly due to the possible development of Venezuelan oil resources by the US [21]. - **Policy and News**: The US may have captured the Venezuelan president, and the US oil production reached a record high in October. The OPEC meeting confirmed a suspension of production increase in the first quarter [21]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the main crude oil contract [22]. Fuel Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw fuel oil decline significantly and close below the moving average group. The Asian VLSFO spot discount narrowed, and the HSFO oscillated within a range [23]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Singapore fuel oil inventory is high, which is negative for prices. The spot discount narrowing and the possible increase in crude oil prices may support the fuel oil price [24]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the main fuel oil contract [25]. Polyolefins - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Hangzhou PP market have mixed price movements, and the Yuyao LLDPE price increased [26]. - **Supply and Demand**: The production enterprises are actively reducing inventory, and the market price has stopped falling and rebounded, which is conducive to price stability [26]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [27]. Synthetic Rubber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the synthetic rubber main contract rise by 0.95%. The Shandong mainstream price increased, and the basis was stable [28]. - **Supply and Demand**: The price increase was supported by the rise in butadiene price and high device operating rate, but the weak downstream demand limited the increase. The inventory of domestic cis - polybutadiene rubber decreased [28][29]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate strongly [30]. Natural Rubber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the natural rubber main contract and 20 - rubber main contract rise by 1.06% and 1.14% respectively. The Shanghai spot price increased, and the basis slightly widened [31]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic supply has stopped, but the overseas pressure remains. The demand from tire enterprises is weak, and the inventory is seasonally increasing. The 20 - rubber delivery supply has expanded [31]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate [32]. PVC - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PVC main contract decline by 0.67%. The spot price was stable, and the basis slightly widened [33]. - **Supply and Demand**: It is in the traditional off - season. The supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is weak. The cost support is strong, and the social inventory is increasing [33][34]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate at a low level. Attention should be paid to changes in the supply side [33][34]. Urea - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the urea main contract rise by 1.43%. The Shandong Linyi price increased, and the basis was stable [35]. - **Supply and Demand**: The daily output has slightly increased, and the agricultural demand is expected to increase. The demand from the industrial sector is weak. The inventory has decreased [35]. - **Outlook**: The downward space is limited [36]. PX - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PX2603 main contract decline by 1.23%. The PXN spread and short - term profit are recovering [37]. - **Supply and Demand**: The PX load is stable, and the inventory is low. The crude oil price may be adjusted due to the US - Venezuela situation [37][38]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate and adjust in the short term. It is advisable to participate with caution and pay attention to macro - policies and fundamental changes [38]. PTA - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the PTA2605 main contract decline by 1.87%. The processing fee has recovered [39]. - **Supply and Demand**: The PTA load has increased, and the polyester load has recovered. The export has increased. The cost of crude oil may be uncertain due to geopolitical situations [39]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate in the short term. It is advisable to operate with caution and pay attention to oil price changes [39]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the ethylene glycol main contract decline by 2.51% [40]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is expected to increase, the port inventory is increasing, and the demand support is slightly weakening [40][41]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see and pay attention to port inventory and supply changes [41]. Short - Fiber - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the short - fiber 2602 main contract decline by 1.25% [42]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is at a relatively high level, and the terminal factories are mainly consuming inventory. The new orders in the weaving sector are weak [42]. - **Outlook**: It may oscillate following the raw material price. It is necessary to control risks and pay attention to cost changes and macro - policy adjustments [42]. Bottle - Chip - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the bottle - chip 2603 main contract decline by 1.46%. The processing fee is around 410 yuan/ton [43]. - **Supply and Demand**: The bottle - chip factory load has increased, and the export growth rate has increased. The supply - demand structure has slightly improved, but the cost is still the main influencing factor [43]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate following the cost. It is advisable to participate with caution and control risks [44]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the lithium carbonate main contract rise by 7.74% [45]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply is at a high level, and the demand from the energy - storage and power - battery sectors has improved. The inventory has decreased [45]. - **Outlook**: The price may be supported in the short term, but it is necessary to operate with caution as it is easily affected by news [45]. Copper - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai copper main contract rise by 2.22% [46]. - **Supply and Demand**: The global copper supply may be tight due to strikes in Chile. The domestic consumption is in the off - season, and the inventory is increasing [46]. - **Outlook**: The price is at a high level. It is necessary to be cautious about chasing the rise [46]. Aluminum - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai aluminum main contract rise by 2.57%, and the alumina main contract decline by 0.72% [48]. - **Supply and Demand**: The alumina supply is in excess, and the electrolytic aluminum production is stable. The demand from processing enterprises is weak [48]. - **Outlook**: The price is at a high level. It is necessary to be vigilant about price retracement [48]. Zinc - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai zinc main contract rise by 1.16% [50]. - **Supply and Demand**: The zinc concentrate processing fee is low, and the refined zinc production may decrease. The overseas supply - demand tension has eased [50]. - **Outlook**: It is necessary to be cautious about chasing the rise as the consumption off - season is approaching [50]. Lead - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai lead main contract rise by 0.32% [52]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply from primary and secondary lead enterprises is weak, and the consumption is in the off - season. The inventory is low [52][53]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate within a range [54]. Tin - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai tin main contract rise by 1.05% [55]. - **Supply and Demand**: The tin supply is tight due to geopolitical conflicts and slow production resumption in Wa State. The demand has some resilience [55]. - **Outlook**: It is expected to oscillate strongly [55]. Nickel - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Shanghai nickel main contract rise by 0.71% [56]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Indonesian nickel policy may increase costs. The stainless - steel demand is weak, and the primary nickel is in an oversupply situation [56]. - **Outlook**: It is necessary to pay attention to policy changes [56]. Soybean Oil and Soybean Meal - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the soybean meal main contract decline by 0.28% and the soybean oil main contract decline by 0.13% [57]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Brazilian soybean planting is almost completed. The soybean supply is relatively loose, and the demand for soybean meal is growing moderately, while the demand for soybean oil has slightly improved [57][58]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to look for long - position opportunities in the cost - support range for soybean meal and long - position opportunities for call options at low levels for soybean oil [58]. Palm Oil - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw Malaysian palm oil rise slightly [59]. - **Supply and Demand**: The Malaysian palm oil inventory is expected to reach a seven - year high, and the export has decreased. The domestic import has increased [60]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [61]. Rapeseed Meal and Rapeseed Oil - **Market Performance**: The Canadian rapeseed price increased by more than 1% [62]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic rapeseed and rapeseed oil imports have changed, and the inventory of rapeseed meal and rapeseed oil is at a relatively high and low level respectively in the past seven years [62]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to wait and see for now [63]. Cotton - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the domestic Zhengzhou cotton first rise and then fall. The overseas cotton price rose by 1% [64]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic cotton production is expected to increase slightly, but the future planting area may decrease. The textile and clothing export has shown some resilience [65][66]. - **Outlook**: The cotton price is expected to be strong [66]. Sugar - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the Zhengzhou sugar oscillate and rebound, and the overseas raw sugar slightly rebounded [68]. - **Supply and Demand**: The domestic and Indian sugar production is expected to increase, and the supply pressure is increasing. The import volume has changed [69]. - **Outlook**: The upward space may be limited after the significant rebound [70]. Apples - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the domestic apple futures rise significantly [72]. - **Supply and Demand**: The apple inventory is at a low level in recent years, and the new - season production and quality have declined [73]. - **Outlook**: The price is expected to be strong in the medium and long term [73]. Pigs - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the national average pig price remain unchanged. The main contract declined by 0.98% [75][76]. - **Supply and Demand**: The supply of large - scale farms may increase in January, and the demand has weakened after the holiday. The frozen - product inventory has decreased [75][76]. - **Outlook**: The supply may face great pressure in the first quarter. It is advisable to consider an inverse spread strategy [76]. Eggs - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the main contract rise by 1.42% [78]. - **Supply and Demand**: The egg supply is expected to remain at a high level in January, but the supply may improve marginally. The consumption is weak after the New Year's Day [77][78]. - **Outlook**: It is advisable to consider a positive spread strategy [78]. Corn and Starch - **Market Performance**: The previous trading day saw the corn main contract decline by 0.22% and the corn starch main contract decline by 0.44% [79]. - **Supply and Demand**: The North Port corn inventory is low, and the Northeast production area's grain - selling progress is fast. The

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