Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry [1][9]. Core Insights - The electronic upstream price increase trend is spreading, with a focus on storage, Foundry, PCB, and LCD sectors. The demand for AI is driving price increases across various categories, with significant supply shortages in storage and high-end PCB supply chains. The report anticipates a mild recovery in industry profitability as price increases are passed on to end consumers [1]. - The NAND Flash spot market remains strong, with prices increasing by 7% this week due to tight supply conditions. Global cloud infrastructure spending is projected to reach $102.6 billion in 2025, reflecting a 25% year-on-year growth, benefiting domestic storage companies [2]. - SMIC has raised prices for certain capacities by approximately 10%, particularly in the 8-inch BCD process platform, indicating a positive cycle for analog chips and foundry enterprises [3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.88%, while the electronic sector increased by 4.96%, with other electronics up by 7.46% and optical electronics up by 0.86% [10]. Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - SMIC, Aojie Technology, Demingli, Jiangbolong, Lante Optics, Shengyi Technology, Lens Technology, and others, focusing on self-controllable (foundry + equipment) and overseas computing + storage chains [1]. - The report highlights the growth opportunities in the storage industry chain, particularly for companies like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and others [2]. Price Trends and Predictions - The report notes that the price of copper and glass fabric is expected to continue rising, impacting PCB manufacturers' cost structures [4]. - The report suggests that the domestic logic and storage wafer factories will proceed with expansion as domestic lithography machines continue to advance [4]. Investment Portfolio - The report lists a focus on key sectors such as consumer electronics, semiconductors, and equipment/materials, with specific companies highlighted for investment [8].

Group 1 - The external environment presents uncertainties but is overall favorable, with global economic resilience expected in 2026, as major economic organizations forecast slight declines in growth rates compared to 2025, with the World Bank predicting a growth rate of 2.40% for 2026, up from 2.30% in 2025 [6][10] - The U.S. is likely to continue lowering interest rates in 2026 due to a weak labor market, with expectations of more than one rate cut, as indicated by the Federal Reserve's recent actions [6][13] - The U.S. dollar's strength is supported by weak economic expectations, with factors such as reduced immigration and uncertain tariff policies suppressing economic activity [6][21] Group 2 - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for qualitative and quantitative economic growth, emphasizing stability in employment, enterprises, and market expectations, with policies to support effective growth and enhance quality [6][44] - The investment sector is expected to stabilize, with government initiatives to increase investment in infrastructure and optimize the use of local government bonds [6][49] - Consumer spending is projected to improve, supported by policies aimed at boosting consumption and enhancing the supply of quality goods and services [6][52] Group 3 - The market is expected to continue a "slow bull" trend, with overall company performance anticipated to improve, driven by supportive policies and resilient economic dynamics [6][59] - The technology (TMT) and advanced manufacturing sectors are expected to benefit from long-term policy support and are key drivers of economic transformation [6][67] - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors such as non-involution, supply-demand changes, and emerging themes like artificial intelligence and renewable energy [6][70]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 1.74%, the Hang Seng Index by 0.86%, and the National Enterprises Index by 1.12% [1][2]. Technology Sector - Major technology stocks collectively rose, with Baidu surging nearly 9%, and NetEase and Xiaomi both increasing over 2%. Other notable gains were seen in JD.com, Tencent, Alibaba, and Meituan [5][6]. - Semiconductor stocks also experienced significant gains, led by InnoCare, which rose over 15%, while major players like SMIC increased by over 4% [7][8]. New Listings - Six new stocks were listed on the Hong Kong market, with notable increases including InnoSilicon up 24.66%, and Wuyiyi Vision up 29.9% [3]. Energy Sector - Oil stocks strengthened, with CNOOC rising nearly 4% as international oil prices surged due to heightened geopolitical risks. WTI crude surpassed $58 per barrel, and Brent approached $62 per barrel [14]. Entertainment Sector - The film and entertainment sector was active, with Emperor Culture Industries rising nearly 9%. The 2025 box office has already surpassed 5.3 billion yuan, marking a new high in recent years [13]. Wind Power Sector - Wind power stocks fell sharply, with Goldwind Technology dropping nearly 11%, alongside declines in other related companies [16][17]. AI and Robotics Sector - AI application companies like MaiFusTech saw significant gains, rising over 11% after announcing strategic partnerships with major tech firms [18][21]. - Robotics stocks also performed well, with Sanhua Intelligent Control increasing over 12% [11]. Investment Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong market may continue to trend upward due to supportive domestic policies and a weaker US dollar. There is a focus on technology growth and high dividend strategies as potential investment opportunities [23].

Core Insights - The 2025 "Global Vision, Betting on China" top ten core ETFs recorded a 28.86% increase, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index by 10.96 percentage points [1] - The semiconductor sector and Hong Kong internet stocks were key contributors to market performance, with the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) and Hong Kong Internet ETF (159792) rising 64.32% and 21.73% respectively in 2025 [1] Semiconductor Sector - The domestic semiconductor sector's growth is driven by strong policy support and capital investment in "self-controllable" technologies, leading to accelerated industry consolidation [1] - Mergers and acquisitions in the semiconductor industry are becoming more active, with leading companies expanding through horizontal integration and supply chain strengthening [2] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) focuses on leading chip companies in the Sci-Tech board, with a semiconductor purity of 94.21%, covering the entire semiconductor industry chain [2] - The latest scale of the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) is 39.086 billion yuan, making it the largest product in the semiconductor theme, with a daily average trading volume of 2.612 billion yuan in 2025 [2] Hong Kong Internet Sector - The Hong Kong internet sector has shown strong performance due to a clearer regulatory environment, AI transformation of enterprises, and significant net inflows of southbound funds [3] - Major internet companies are increasing investments in AI infrastructure, with Alibaba's cloud and AI product revenues growing rapidly, and a significant investment of 380 billion yuan in AI and cloud infrastructure [3] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (159792) has seen a net inflow of 56.997 billion yuan in 2025, leading the entire ETF market in capital attraction [3][4] - The ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, focusing on 30 pure internet companies, with over 70% of its top ten holdings in major firms like Alibaba and Tencent [7] Future Outlook - The outlook for the Hong Kong internet sector remains positive, with attractive valuations despite macroeconomic pressures, suggesting a profit valuation midpoint of 15-20 times for leading companies in 2026 [7]

Group 1: Policy and Industry Dynamics - The Shanghai Stock Exchange released guidelines to expand the fifth listing standard for commercial rocket companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aiming to support the innovation and development of the commercial aerospace sector [1][17] - The guidelines consist of 14 articles detailing requirements related to business scope, "hard technology" attributes, and standards for commercial rocket enterprises, providing targeted support for high-quality companies without significant revenue [1][17] - Several rocket companies have recently submitted IPO counseling records, indicating a growing interest in capital market participation [1][17] Group 2: Market Overview and Trends - The commercial rocket industry is at a critical stage of large-scale commercialization, necessitating further support from the capital market [2][18] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board focuses on hard technology, including sectors like electronic chips, emerging software, and new information technology services, reflecting the rise of advanced manufacturing in China [2][18] - Recent trends show a rebound in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, particularly in sectors such as chips, information technology, and new materials [3][19] Group 3: Sector Performance - The top five industries on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board are electronics, biomedicine, power equipment, computers, and machinery, collectively accounting for 88.2% of the board's market capitalization [4][20] - The semiconductor sector has seen significant interest, with a notable rebound in chip stocks driven by demand for AI computing infrastructure [21] - The high-end equipment manufacturing sector is experiencing growth, with a 15.4% year-on-year increase in engineering machinery import and export trade, reflecting a recovery in overseas demand [22] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The AI computing demand is expected to surge, with continued capital investment from cloud vendors driving high demand for advanced chips [21] - The domestic engineering machinery update cycle is starting, supported by favorable policies in real estate and infrastructure [22] - The pharmaceutical sector remains active, with multiple innovative drugs and medical devices receiving approvals, indicating a robust pipeline for growth [23]

Overall Research - In December, A-shares showed a general increase, with the ChiNext Index rising by 6.3% and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increasing by 1.4%. The defense, communication, and non-ferrous metal sectors performed well, while financial real estate and consumer sectors lagged behind [1][7] - The Hong Kong stock market experienced volatility in December, influenced by expectations of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and fluctuations in US stocks. The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.2%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 1.8% [1][10] A-share Insights - The A-share market is expected to experience a steady upward trend, supported by ongoing policy initiatives and increased capital inflows. Historically, a "spring rally" occurs almost every year in the A-share market, with 13 out of 14 years since 2012 (excluding 2022) witnessing such rallies [2][15] - The central economic work conference emphasized a "more proactive fiscal policy" and "moderately loose monetary policy," which is expected to provide a solid foundation for economic growth and capital market prosperity [2][15][16] - The report suggests focusing on growth and consumer sectors, particularly TMT and advanced manufacturing, which have historically shown greater elasticity during spring rallies. The consumer sector, currently underperforming, may attract "missed opportunity" funds [2][17][18] Hong Kong Insights - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to continue its upward trend due to domestic policy support and a weaker US dollar. Despite recent gains, overall valuations remain low, indicating high long-term investment value [3][20] - A "barbell" strategy is recommended, focusing on technology growth and high-dividend stocks. Key areas include self-sufficiency, chips, and high-end manufacturing, as well as stable dividend sectors like telecommunications and utilities [3][20] Stock Recommendations - For January 2026, the A-share stock selection includes: - Sunlord Electronics, Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, SMIC, PetroChina, Sinopec, Haier Smart Home, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Zijin Mining, and Shanghai Lingang [2][22] - The recommended Hong Kong stocks for January 2026 are: - Alibaba-W, Tencent Holdings, SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Yujian, and Goldwind Technology [2][26]

Group 1: Market Performance - The computing power sector has seen a rise, with the cloud computing ETF Huatai (159273) increasing by nearly 1% and trading volume exceeding 13 million yuan [1] - Most weighted stocks in the Huatai ETF index showed positive performance, including Zhongji Xuchuang and Kingsoft Office, which rose over 1% [4] Group 2: Mergers and Acquisitions - Meta has completed the acquisition of AI startup Butterfly Effect, which developed the AI agent Manus, marking Meta's third-largest acquisition since its inception, with the deal amounting to several billion dollars [3] - Manus was valued at $2 billion prior to the acquisition and has processed over 147 trillion tokens since its launch, with a revenue run rate of $90 million as of December [3] Group 3: Chip Market Dynamics - Nvidia plans to deliver AI chips H200 to Chinese customers, with an initial shipment of 40,000 to 80,000 units, following a policy adjustment allowing conditional exports [6] - Major Chinese tech companies are rapidly procuring H200 chips, with Alibaba planning to order 40,000 to 50,000 units and ByteDance testing 20,000 units [6] - The domestic chip market is experiencing a split in procurement strategies, with companies like Baidu focusing on self-developed Kunlun chips to reduce reliance on external suppliers [7] Group 4: Optical Module Market - The demand for high-speed optical modules is expected to grow significantly, driven by the rapid upgrade of GPUs and ASICs, with 800G optical modules showing high growth rates [8] - The average scale-up bandwidth of XPU products is significantly higher than scale-out, indicating a large market potential for network hardware, including optical modules [9][11]

Core Insights - The establishment of the Embodied Intelligence Joint Research Center between the University of Electronic Science and Technology and Dongtu Technology marks a significant step in developing a domestically controlled electronic architecture for intelligent robots in China [1][6] - This collaboration aims to break the reliance on foreign standards and technologies in the robotics sector, which is crucial for the high-quality development and industrial safety of China's robotics industry [3][4] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The partnership between the University of Electronic Science and Technology and Dongtu Technology is a strategic alliance to build a neural network system for intelligent robots in China [1][6] - The collaboration is expected to empower the autonomous control of core electronic architecture for intelligent robots, enhancing the efficiency of large model training applications [6] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Dongtu Technology has led the development of the AUTBUS international standard, which is the first internationally recognized standard in the robotics field independently established by China, breaking the long-standing foreign monopoly on industrial network technology [4] - The AUTBUS standard enables the replacement of foreign industrial bus standards like CAN and EtherCAT, providing a foundation for autonomous communication technology in robotics [4] Group 3: System Integration and Innovation - The Intewell operating system developed by Dongtu Technology is recognized as the only national-level intelligent robot operating system, facilitating the integration of data across various fields such as robotics and factory control [5] - The innovative architecture of intelligent robots, based on the Intewell operating system and AUTBUS standard, allows for unique IPv6 identification for each control node, ensuring secure and sustainable development of robotic systems [5][6] Group 4: Future Development and Impact - The collaboration aims to foster the development of a robotics industry cluster in the western region of China, complementing other major economic areas and contributing to the national new industrialization efforts [6] - This initiative is expected to inject strong momentum into achieving technological self-reliance and ensuring industrial safety in China [6]

Core Viewpoint - The enthusiasm in China's capital market is being fueled by the rise of "domestic GPUs," with companies like Moore Threads making significant strides in the industry and contributing to a broader transformation driven by autonomous computing [2] Group 1: Industry Trends and Developments - The central economic work conference for 2026 emphasizes "innovation-driven" growth and the cultivation of new economic drivers, particularly in the context of AI and domestic chip development [2] - The GPU industry is transitioning from "single-point breakthroughs" to "systematic challenges and ecosystem building," indicating progress in overcoming critical technological barriers [5][6] - The first MUSA Developer Conference (MDC 2025) highlighted the importance of building a developer ecosystem around the MUSA architecture, which aims to compete with NVIDIA's CUDA [5] Group 2: Company Strategy and Positioning - Moore Threads aims to enhance its core competitiveness through a strategy centered on a full-function GPU and the MUSA architecture, focusing on comprehensive computing capabilities from cloud to edge [6] - The company plans to increase R&D investment and foster collaboration between academia and industry to accelerate the development of the domestic GPU sector [6][7] - The recent release of the "Huagang" architecture, which boasts a tenfold performance improvement over previous generations, exemplifies the company's commitment to technological advancement [6] Group 3: Policy and Market Opportunities - The central government's focus on "AI+" and the promotion of core technology independence presents significant strategic opportunities for companies like Moore Threads [8][10] - The concept of "new momentum" in the intelligent computing sector includes building a self-sufficient technology base, integrating AI into various industries, and fostering a collaborative ecosystem centered around developers [10] Group 4: Regional Development and Ecosystem - The national strategy for regional integration is seen as a way to maximize resource advantages and create unprecedented collaborative opportunities for the domestic computing industry [11] - Moore Threads aims to position itself as a foundational player in Beijing's integrated circuit industry, leveraging the city's rich resources and supportive policies [12][14] - The company advocates for enhancing the resilience of the integrated circuit supply chain and promoting collaborative innovation across the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [16][18]

Core Viewpoint - Huawei's HarmonyOS is initiating a transformative shift in the PC operating system market, traditionally dominated by Western powers, by leveraging its unique capabilities and innovative strategies [1][3]. Group 1: Origin and Development of HarmonyOS - Huawei recognized the necessity of an independent operating system to realize its innovative ideas, particularly after facing collaboration challenges with partners between 2017 and 2018 [3]. - The launch of HarmonyOS in 2019-2020 prompted Huawei to explore the possibility of creating a fundamentally different type of computer, leading to the development of a PC ecosystem that integrates mobile device capabilities [3][4]. - The core motivation for Huawei's innovation is to enhance user experience rather than merely achieving self-sufficiency in technology [3]. Group 2: User Experience and Adoption - Huawei aims to provide a productivity experience on HarmonyOS PCs that is comparable to traditional computers, ensuring no decline in user satisfaction [4]. - The integration of touch interaction and cross-device collaboration from mobile devices into the PC environment is a key feature of HarmonyOS [4]. - The rapid iteration cycle, with updates every two weeks, has contributed to user familiarity and acceptance of HarmonyOS PCs, aligning their usage duration with that of x86 architecture computers [5]. Group 3: Ecosystem and Collaboration - The success of HarmonyOS is attributed to an open and collaborative ecosystem, with over 5,000 developers engaged across various sectors by the end of 2025 [7]. - The "soft bus" technology of HarmonyOS facilitates real-time data exchange between devices, enhancing productivity in sectors like government and education [7]. - Huawei's commitment to open-source principles has attracted significant contributions, with over 1.2 billion lines of code from more than 70 organizations, fostering a collaborative innovation platform [7]. Group 4: Future Directions and Impact - Huawei's HarmonyOS is positioned as a unique "third path" in operating system development, diverging from traditional Western models and aiming to establish new technical standards [10]. - The emergence of HarmonyOS PCs fills a gap in China's self-sufficient PC operating system landscape, supporting the digital economy and creating over 3 million jobs by 2025 [10]. - The positive cycle of technological breakthroughs, ecosystem growth, and industrial empowerment is expected to open new growth avenues for China's software industry [10].