中国经济网北京4月30日讯 今日，人民币对美元汇率中间价报7.2014，较前一交易日调升15个基 点。 中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布，2025年4月30日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价为：1 美元对人民币7.2014元，1欧元对人民币8.2250元，100日元对人民币5.0872元，1港元对人民币0.92813 元，1英镑对人民币9.6867元，1澳大利亚元对人民币4.6177元，1新西兰元对人民币4.2996元，1新加坡 元对人民币5.5219元，1瑞士法郎对人民币8.7640元，1加拿大元对人民币5.2298元，人民币1元对1.1103 澳门元，人民币1元对0.59837马来西亚林吉特，人民币1元对11.2833俄罗斯卢布，人民币1元对2.5688南 非兰特，人民币1元对197.47韩元，人民币1元对0.50795阿联酋迪拉姆，人民币1元对0.51875沙特里亚 尔，人民币1元对49.1105匈牙利福林，人民币1元对0.51867波兰兹罗提，人民币1元对0.9079丹麦克朗， 人民币1元对1.3326瑞典克朗，人民币1元对1.4349挪威克朗，人民币1元对5.32563土耳其里拉，人民币1 元对2 ...

Core Points - The central viewpoint of the article is the fluctuation of the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rates against various currencies as of April 30, 2025, indicating a general appreciation of the RMB against most currencies [1] Exchange Rate Summary - USD/RMB is reported at 7.2014, down by 15 points, indicating an appreciation of the RMB [1] - EUR/RMB is reported at 8.2250, down by 120 points [1] - HKD/RMB is reported at 0.92813, down by 4 points [1] - GBP/RMB is reported at 9.6867, down by 149 points [1] - AUD/RMB is reported at 4.6177, down by 290 points [1] - CAD/RMB is reported at 5.2298, up by 1 point [1] - JPY/RMB is reported at 5.0872, down by 25 points [1] - RMB/RUB is reported at 11.2833, down by 679 points [1] - NZD/RMB is reported at 4.2996, down by 229 points [1] - RMB/MYR is reported at 0.59837, down by 33.1 points [1] - CHF/RMB is reported at 8.7640, down by 231 points [1] - SGD/RMB is reported at 5.5219, up by 40 points [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in the RMB exchange rate indices indicates a potential stabilization of the RMB against the USD, following a period of depreciation pressure, with expectations for continued stability in the exchange rate [1][5][6]. Exchange Rate Indices - The CFETS RMB exchange rate index rose to 96.29, up 0.15% week-on-week - The BIS currency basket RMB exchange rate index reached 102.25, increasing by 0.11% week-on-week - The SDR currency basket RMB exchange rate index reported 90.47, with a weekly increase of 0.03% [1][2]. USD Index and Market Dynamics - The USD index rebounded after four consecutive weeks of decline, closing at 99.58, a 0.36% increase for the week - The offshore RMB against the USD was reported at 7.2889, up 148 points for the week, while the onshore RMB closed at 7.2862, gaining 177 points [5][6]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the depreciation pressure on the RMB has significantly eased, with expectations for the exchange rate to remain stable due to improved supply and demand in the foreign exchange market [5][6]. - The upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including non-farm payrolls and GDP figures, may influence the RMB exchange rate positively if they continue to show a cooling trend [8]. Global Economic Context - The IMF has downgraded the global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 2.8%, reflecting concerns over U.S. economic performance and potential impacts on the global financial system [9][10]. - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent reports highlight rising global trade risks and uncertainties in U.S. debt sustainability, which could affect the overall financial landscape [9].

人民币汇率弹性增强 今年以来，我国外汇市场运行总体平稳。人民币汇率双向浮动，保持相对稳定。4月份以来，美方单边 主义、保护主义行径引发国际金融市场剧烈波动，人民币对美元汇率先贬后升，与4月3日美宣布对贸易 伙伴加征所谓"对等关税"前的水平大体相当。 今年以来，外部环境发生深刻变化，国际金融市场波动加大。我国有力有效应对外部挑战，经济保持回 升向好，外汇市场运行总体平稳。国家外汇管理局数据显示，今年一季度，我国外汇市场交易理性有 序，跨境资金呈现净流入。 跨境资金净流入 一季度，企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金净流入517亿美元，处于历史同期较高水平。 "主要渠道跨境资金流动平稳有序。"国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌介绍，货物贸易资金净流 入较快增加。一季度，我国外贸克服外部压力呈现较强韧性，货物贸易项下跨境资金净流入2063亿美 元，同比增长1.2倍。外资配置人民币债券增多。2月份至3月份外资净增持境内债券269亿美元，同比增 长84%。服务贸易、外资企业利润汇出总体平稳。一季度，服务贸易跨境资金净流出同比增长25%，其 中旅行项下资金净流出增长12%。 近一段时间，境外机构普遍看好我国债券市场，增持债券 ...

Exchange Rate Trends - The CNY has recently appreciated against the USD, with the USD index closing at 99.84 on April 23, up 0.61% from the previous week, while the CNY closed at 7.293, up 0.12%[12] - Since Q2 2022, the USD has shown stronger performance compared to other currencies due to expansionary fiscal and industrial policies in the US, exerting depreciation pressure on the CNY[3] US Policy Impact - Trump's recent softening stance on tariffs has alleviated some market concerns, contributing to a slight recovery in the USD index[4] - The USD index has experienced two significant depreciations since March, contrary to actual interest rate trends, indicating heightened global economic risks due to US tariff policies[4] Future Outlook - The CNY's recent recovery may indicate a potential stabilization against the USD, but uncertainties remain due to ongoing US tariff strategies and potential fiscal expansions[5] - The Chinese government has prepared balanced policies to stabilize foreign trade, domestic demand, and exchange rates amid external shocks[5] Monetary Policy Considerations - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) aims to maintain the CNY at a reasonable equilibrium level, with a focus on avoiding excessive depreciation pressures[25] - The MLF net injection in April is projected to reach 500 billion, the highest monthly figure since 2024, indicating a shift in liquidity management strategies[25] Risks - There is a risk that the monetary policy easing may not meet expectations, which could impact the stability of the CNY[6]

来源：人大CMF 王晋斌 中国人民大学经济学院原常务副书记、国家发展与战略研究院研究员、中国宏观经济论坛（CMF）主要成员 本文字数：1851字 阅读时间：5分钟 在当前各种冲突叠加，外部环境复杂多变的背景下，对美元金融汇率稳定的好处是：有助于稳定跨境资本流动，并进一步稳定人民币汇率预期。对一篮子 货币贸易汇率较大幅度贬值的好处是：有利于出口。 美元指数大幅度下行，在相当程度上已经脱离了传统的利率平价关系。换言之，在利率平价关系等式一侧添加了风险溢价因子，风险溢价主要是对美国激 进关税政策等的补偿。与年初相比，十年期美国国债收益率从年初的4.57%下行至4月22日的4.41%，仅下行16个BP，而欧元区、日本以及英国十年期国债 上行基本在20个BP以下，美元指数竟然下行了近9%，美元出现了美国激进政策叙事导致的阶段性贬值"超调"迹象。 与去年底和今年初相比，十年期中国国债收益率在4月22日基本还处在1.65%左右。中美十年期国债收益率之差变化不大，如果纯粹从利差来看，人民币 汇率不发生较大变化也属于正常。从今年以来人民币汇率中间价和收盘价之差来看，人民币略有贬值压力，主要还是受到了关税摩擦等因素带来的预期影 ...

2025年4月23日银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价 美元/人民币报7.2116，上调（人民币贬值）42点； 欧元/人民币报8.2496，下调744点； 港元/人民币报0.9295，上调7.9点； 英镑/人民币报9.6399，下调333点； 澳元/人民币报4.6397，下调58点； 加元/人民币报5.2550，上调223点； 100日元/人民币报5.1001，下调489点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报11.1609，上调214点； 新西兰元/人民币报4.3492，下调25点； 人民币/林吉特报0.60743，上调25.9点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.7857，下调1455点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.5180，下调230点。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that China's foreign exchange market is experiencing rational and orderly trading, with a net inflow of cross-border funds, particularly from non-bank sectors, amounting to $51.7 billion in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a relatively high level compared to the same period in previous years [1][2] - In March 2025, banks settled $189.6 billion in foreign exchange and sold $191.6 billion, resulting in a deficit of $2 billion, which is a significant narrowing from the previous deficit of $10.4 billion [1] - The cross-border capital flow remains positive, with a surplus of $49.2 billion in bank customer foreign exchange receipts and payments in March, contributing to the overall net inflow of $51.7 billion in the first quarter [1][2] Group 2 - The main channels of cross-border capital show that the net inflow under goods trade reached $206.3 billion in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 120%, while foreign investment in Chinese bonds increased significantly, with net purchases of $26.9 billion in February and March, up 84% year-on-year [2] - The RMB exchange rate has shown two-way fluctuations, remaining relatively stable, with the onshore RMB to USD exchange rate at 7.288 as of April 21, 2025, reflecting a slight appreciation of 0.1% since the end of 2024 [2] - The Chinese government plans to introduce new policies to expand domestic demand and support the stability of the RMB exchange rate and the foreign exchange market, while enhancing the attractiveness of the domestic securities market to foreign capital [3]

4月以来，跨境资金延续净流入。 国家外汇管理局4月22日公布的2025年3月银行结售汇和银行代客涉外收付款数据显示，一季度外汇市场交易理性有序，跨境资金呈现净流入；企业、个人等非银行 部门跨境资金净流入517亿美元，处于同期较高水平。 国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示，下一步，外汇管理部门将持续强化外汇形势监测，保持汇率弹性，同时不断丰富跨境资金流动宏观审慎管理工具 箱，坚决对市场顺周期行为进行纠偏，防止汇率超调风险，防范跨境资金异常流动风险。 一季度外汇市场理性有序 跨境资金净流入 今年一季度，外汇市场交易理性有序，跨境资金呈现净流入。当季银行累计结汇5290亿美元，累计售汇5866亿美元；银行代客累计涉外收入18871亿美元，累计对 外付款18354亿美元。 银行结售汇逆差反映外汇市场情绪和预期。今年3月，银行结汇1896亿美元，售汇1916亿美元，逆差为20亿美元，前值为104亿美元，逆差明显收窄。 今年1至3月，银行结售汇逆差逐月收窄、趋向均衡，显示外汇市场交易理性有序。从市场购汇结汇看，3月企业等主体购汇需求回落，当月衡量购汇意愿的购汇率 （银行代客购汇与涉外外汇支出之比）为64.4%，较1 ...

国家外汇管理局4月22日公布的2025年3月银行结售汇和银行代客涉外收付款数据显示，一季度外汇市场交 易理性有序，跨境资金呈现净流入；企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金净流入517亿美元，处于同期较高 水平。4月以来，跨境资金延续净流入。 银行代客涉外收支反映企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金流动情况。今年3月，银行代客涉外收入6920亿 美元，对外付款6428亿美元，顺差492亿美元，显示跨境资金继续保持净流入。一季度，企业、个人等非 银行部门跨境资金净流入517亿美元，处于同期较高水平。 货物贸易跨境资金流入和外资投资境内债券规模是银行代客涉外收支的重要部分。从跨境资金主要渠道 看，一季度货物贸易项下跨境资金净流入2063亿美元，同比增长1.2倍；外资配置人民币债券增多，2至3 月外资净增持境内债券269亿美元，同比增长84%，4月1日至18日净买入332亿美元，保持较高规模；服 务贸易、外资企业利润汇出总体平稳，当季服务贸易跨境资金净流出同比增长25%，其中旅行项下资金净 流出增长12%。外资企业利润汇出处于季节性低位，同比下降7%。 人民币汇率双向浮动 国家外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌表示，下一步，外汇管 ...