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和讯投顾邹同树:七月哪些赛道业绩爆发的会更高?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-05 07:29
Group 1 - The overall performance of listed companies in the first half of 2025 is strong, with 68% of 120 companies forecasting earnings growth, indicating a positive market outlook [1] - Key sectors driving this growth include pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, high-end manufacturing, new energy, and consumer recovery, characterized by strong support, high market demand, and active technological innovation [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor sector is primarily driven by domestic substitution and price increases, with a projected market size of 174 billion in 2025, growing at over 25% [2] - Significant price increases are noted in materials such as photolithography and silicon wafers, with domestic breakthroughs leading to price hikes of 18% and 25% respectively [2] - The demand for storage chips is surging due to AI server requirements, with a notable increase in prices following a period of production adjustments by major companies [2] Group 3 - The pharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs, is experiencing substantial growth, with over 60% of pre-announced earnings in the biopharmaceutical segment, and an average net profit increase of 180% [2]
万万没想到!中国第一大出口商品,竟被卡脖子了
商业洞察· 2025-07-05 02:14
以下文章来源于非凡油条 ,作者豆腐乳儿 非凡油条 . 非凡油条新家 作者: 豆腐乳儿 来源: 非凡油条 中国第一大出口商品是什么? 熟悉外贸的人可能会回答出口"旧三件", 即服装、家电、家具 ;最近几年做外贸的朋友,则有 可能想到新崛起的出口"新三件",即 电动汽车、锂离子电池、太阳能电池 。 但是这些答案都不正确。 按出口金额算,去年海关总署统计的中国第一大出口商品,是 集成电路 ,也就是这么多年里一 直喊着"卡脖子"的芯片。 ---------------------------------- 有人看了这张图,洋洋得意地说: "卡了这么多年脖子,都卡成出口第一了。" 但只要稍微了解一下芯片产业,就知道这个"第一"还远谈不上乐观。 如果我们再看中国进口商品,就会发现, 去年中国第一大进口商品还是芯片 ,其进口额高于我 们刻板印象中大量进口的原油,说中国还很缺芯片一点也不为过。 而且无论是数量还是金额, 芯片进口都远大于出口。 进口芯片平均下来5元一个,出口芯片均价只有3.8元,说明进口芯片比出口芯片高端, 中国缺 的是高端芯片 。 事实也是如此,比如现在的前沿方向AI大模型,需要高端的AI芯片来进行训练和推 ...
半导体材料:CMP抛光材料中国突出重围,自主可控不断提升(附46页PPT)
材料汇· 2025-07-04 15:38
Core Viewpoint - CMP (Chemical Mechanical Polishing) technology is essential for the development of integrated circuits, playing a critical role in achieving surface flatness during chip manufacturing, which is increasingly important as technology nodes shrink and the number of layers in chips increases [6][38]. Group I: CMP Technology and Market Overview - CMP technology is a necessary process in wafer manufacturing, which includes multiple steps such as diffusion, lithography, etching, ion implantation, thin film growth, and CMP itself [9]. - The global CMP materials market is experiencing continuous growth, driven by advancements in semiconductor technology and increasing demand from various sectors, including 5G and AI [32][49]. - The CMP materials market is characterized by a high degree of technical, talent, and patent barriers, with significant market share held by leading companies from the US and Japan [54]. Group II: Market Size and Growth - The global CMP polishing pad market size increased from $650 million in 2016 to $1.13 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 11.69% [49]. - The CMP polishing liquid market also saw growth, rising from $1.1 billion in 2016 to $1.43 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 5.39% [50]. - China's CMP polishing liquid market grew significantly, from 1.23 billion yuan in 2016 to 2.2 billion yuan in 2021, achieving a CAGR of 12.28%, indicating a faster growth rate compared to the global market [50]. Group III: Domestic Industry Dynamics - Chinese companies are increasingly entering the CMP materials market, with government policies supporting the development of the semiconductor industry and promoting domestic alternatives to imported materials [39][41]. - The domestic semiconductor materials market is expected to continue growing at a rate higher than the global average, driven by technological advancements and increasing local demand [32][39]. - The shift towards domestic production of CMP materials is seen as a strategic move to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers, especially in light of export controls from the US and Japan [39][54]. Group IV: Product Segmentation and Applications - CMP materials are primarily categorized into polishing liquids, polishing pads, and cleaning agents, with polishing liquids accounting for 49% and polishing pads for 33% of the market share [18]. - Various types of polishing liquids are used for different applications, including copper CMP, tungsten CMP, and dielectric CMP, each tailored for specific manufacturing processes [19][21]. - Polishing pads are typically made from polyurethane and are designed to maintain a stable polishing environment while effectively distributing polishing liquids [20][22].
稳定币产业生态加速构建,重视国产替代新机遇
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-07-04 14:36
行业月报 · 计算机行业 稳定币产业生态加速构建,重视国产替代新机遇 2025 年 7月 1 日 计算机行业 推荐 维持评级 分析师 吴砚靖 ☎:010-66568589 网:wuyanjing@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码: S0130519070001 鲁佩 ☎:(021)20257809 网: lupei_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师证书编码:S0130521060001 研究助理 胡天昊 ☎: (8610) 80927637 @: hutianhao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 300 表现图 资料来源:Wind,中国银河证券研究院 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 2024-7-1 6 月板块震荡上行,结构性行情持续演绎。人工智能板块指数(884201.WI) o 6 月涨跌幅为 7.6%, 同期上证综指涨跌幅 2.9%、沪深 300 涨跌幅 2.5%、创 业 板 指 涨 跌 幅 8.02%, 6 月 人 工 智 能 板 块 成 交 额 为 9838.37 ...
浦东科创集团傅红岩:半导体产业应持续突破攻坚 警惕低效内卷
7月3日—5日,2025第九届集微半导体大会在上海张江科学会堂举行。该大会由半导体投资联盟、ICT 知识产权发展联盟主办,爱集微承办,上海市集成电路行业协会协办,浦东科创集团、海望资本战略协 作。 报告显示,从营业收入来看,预计2025年中国半导体上市公司总营业收入将达到9175亿元,同比增长 9%,近五年总增长100%。净利润将达到513亿元,同比增长9%,近五年总增长45%。此外,本次报告 还对比了中美半导体上市公司。从总市值来看,美股半导体公司的总市值达86754亿美元,是A股的14 倍。从营业收入来看,美股总营收达7482亿美元,是A股的6.4倍。从净利润来看,美股总净利润达1697 亿美元,是A股的24.2倍。中国半导体公司上市单位营收创造的净利润仅为美股的四分之一,特别是设 计和制造领域,中国半导体上市公司单位营收创造的净利润仅为美股的八分之一。 (文章来源:证券时报网) 浦东科创集团党委书记、执行董事傅红岩出席会议并致辞。傅红岩表示,当前,半导体产业投资正经历 深度调整,具有总体降温、结构固化、逻辑变化等三个显著特征。投资人对企业估值的容忍度逐渐降 低,估值方式也在随之调整——从市销率、市盈率转 ...
国产GPU爆发,但“中国英伟达”言之过早
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-04 13:50
以下文章来源于AGI接口 ,作者丸都山 AGI接口 . AI卷起的财富风暴。 出品 | 虎嗅科技组 作者 | 丸都山 编辑 | 苗正卿 在这场国产GPU的冲刺中,摩尔线程与沐曦的创始团队皆堪称豪华。摩尔线程创始人张建中,曾 担任英伟达全球副总裁并执掌中国区业务,对GPU行业的全球格局和市场需求有着深刻的洞察; 沐曦创始人陈维良来自AMD,曾主导AMD数代核心产品的研发工作,对GPU架构设计和技术演进 有着深厚的专业造诣。 身处国产GPU热潮之中,又有明星创始团队光环加持,两家公司在资本市场备受追捧,早早就已 进入了"独角兽"行列。上市前,摩尔线程Pre-IPO投前估值已经达到246.2亿元,沐曦也超过了210 亿元。 在这样的背景下,行业内关于谁是"中国英伟达"的争议也愈发甚嚣尘上,但就从两家公司披露的 招股书信息来看,讨论这个问题实在为时过早。 作为国内最具潜力的GPU公司,摩尔线程与沐曦的所反映出的也是这个赛道的现状——从"可 用"到"好用",国产GPU还有相当长的一段路要走。 头图 | 视觉中国 6月30日,摩尔线程与沐曦两家国产GPU公司在同一天递交科创板IPO申请,正式吹响冲刺上市的 号角。 亏损不 ...
江丰电子(300666):靶材实现国产化供应链,零部件打开第二成长曲线
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-04 12:46
证券研究报告 | 2025年07月04日 江丰电子(300666.SZ) 优于大市 靶材实现国产化供应链,零部件打开第二成长曲线 1Q25 营收同比增长 29.53%,归母净利润同比增长 163.58%。公司 2025 年第 一季度实现营收 10.00 亿元(YoY +29.53%,QoQ +2.11%),归母净利润 1.57 亿元(YoY +163.58%,QoQ +38.22%)。公司基于自身晶圆制造溅射靶材领域 的竞争优势,在国产半导体材料零部件自主可控的背景下,实现技术创新和 规模化供应能力,提升半导体靶材的市场份额。同时,公司积极布局半导体 精密零部件,为客户提供高品质的定制化产品,打开公司业务第二成长曲线。 2024 年业绩高速增长,超高纯靶材毛利率改善。公司 2024 年实现营业收入 36.05 亿元(YoY +38.57%),归母净利润 4.01 亿元(YoY +56.79%),扣非归母 净利润 3.04 亿元(YoY +94.92%)。公司整体毛利率为 28.17%,同比下降 1.03 个百分点。分业务看,2024 年超高纯靶材业务实现销售收入 23.33 亿元,占 比 64.73%,受益于 ...
PCR仪:打破进口垄断,中国“智造”领跑分子诊断赛道,头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2025-07-04 12:42
/ / / / PCR仪:打破进口垄断,中国"智造"领跑分子诊断赛道 头豹词条 报告系列 吕佳睿 · 头豹分析师 2025-06-18 未经平台授权,禁止转载 年 PCR Copyright © 2025 头豹 行业分类: 制造业/体外诊断设备制造 摘要 PCR仪行业依托聚合酶链式反应技术,在生物医学等领域广泛应用。该行业受技术创新驱动,PCR仪性能不断升级,实现多重PCR和定量PCR等功能,未来更注重集成化 和智能化。行业高度依赖产业链整合,试剂市场与仪器市场相辅相成。同时,受严格法规监管,确保产品质量和安全。市场规模随技术进步和应用领域拓宽而显著增长,未 来因传染病诊断和治疗需求增加及数字PCR仪的崛起,预计将持续扩展,展现巨大发展潜力。 聚合酶链式反应(PCR)是一种广泛应用于分子生物学中的技术,其核心原理是通过特定的酶在体外快速扩增DNA片段。PCR仪是一种用于 进行PCR反应的实验仪器,通过依次变换温度来实现PCR反应的不同步骤,包括变性、退火和延伸。PCR仪具有高度敏感性、高度特异性、快速 高效、可复制性和重复性好、多样性和灵活性以及可自动化等优点,可广泛应用于生物医学研究、生命科学和分子生物学等 ...
「寻芯记」禁令一月游,“芯弦”不能松!三巨头短暂离场归来,国产EDA突围迫在眉睫
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-07-04 12:35
Core Viewpoint - The recent reversal of the U.S. export control policy on EDA (Electronic Design Automation) companies has significant implications for the semiconductor industry in China, highlighting the urgent need for domestic alternatives in core technology areas [1][4]. Group 1: Policy Changes - On July 3, 2023, the U.S. Department of Commerce notified major EDA suppliers—Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens—that the previous requirement for government licenses for their operations in China has been lifted, allowing them to fully restore services to Chinese clients [2][3]. - The initial export restrictions imposed in May 2023 required these companies to apply for licenses to export specific EDA tools to China, which could have severely impacted both the companies and the domestic semiconductor industry [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The three major EDA companies dominate the global market, holding over 70% of the global EDA market share and exceeding 80% in the Chinese market [3]. - The recent export ban and its subsequent lifting have underscored the vulnerability of Chinese chip design firms to supply chain disruptions, as they rely heavily on these international EDA tools [4][5]. Group 3: Domestic Industry Response - The need for domestic EDA solutions has been amplified by the recent events, with experts suggesting that the Chinese semiconductor industry must support local EDA companies while also encouraging the adoption of domestic alternatives through policy measures [1][5]. - Domestic EDA companies, such as Huada Empyrean, GigaDevice, and Gexin Electronics, are currently small players in a market dominated by international giants, indicating a significant gap in technology and product offerings [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The long-term development of domestic EDA capabilities is essential, as the current reliance on international tools poses a substantial risk to the Chinese semiconductor supply chain [4][6]. - Mergers and acquisitions are seen as a strategy for domestic EDA firms to strengthen their market position and enhance technological capabilities, with several companies actively pursuing such opportunities [6][7].
药监局新政出台:十项举措,高端医疗器械迎创新升级
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement of measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs has also positively impacted the high-end medical device sector, with the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) introducing specific policies to enhance innovation in this field [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Measures - The NMPA's announcement includes ten specific measures aimed at optimizing special approval processes and improving classification and naming principles for high-end medical devices [1]. - The measures emphasize a full lifecycle regulatory approach to support significant innovations in high-end medical devices, facilitating the transformation of new technologies, materials, and methods into marketable products [1][3]. - The measures are expected to enhance the efficiency of material submissions, approvals, and research and development for companies in the medical device industry [1][4]. Group 2: Market Impact - Following the announcement, several medical device companies saw significant stock price increases, with companies like Hotgen Biotech rising by 20% and others like Zhongyuan Union and Jianfan Bio increasing by nearly 10% [2]. - The measures are anticipated to accelerate the market entry of high-end medical devices, particularly those related to artificial intelligence and new biological materials [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Improvements - The measures propose to streamline the approval process for high-end medical devices, reducing the average approval cycle from 12 months to potentially 9 or 10 months [3][4]. - The NMPA aims to enhance the standardization of medical devices, including the development of standards for medical robots and artificial intelligence devices [4][6]. - The focus will also be on improving post-market surveillance and quality safety monitoring for innovative products [6]. Group 4: Internationalization and Challenges - The measures support high-end medical device companies in participating in international standard-setting and expanding their global market presence [7]. - Despite advancements, challenges remain for Chinese companies in terms of technology implementation and market competition with established Western firms, which may require significant time and investment [8].