摩根士丹利利率策略师指出，本周即将公布的通胀数据可能意外回落，叠加油价下跌，有望遏制债市对 未来两年的通胀预期。 策略师建议通胀互换市场的客户做好准备，预计两年期通胀预期（当前约为2.79%）将回落至10年期通 胀预期（当前约为2.48%）下方。自美国大选日以来，短期通胀预期一直高于长期预期。 由阿里亚曼·辛格（Aryaman Singh）领导的团队表示，若周三公布的5月消费者价格指数（CPI）报告显 示通胀低于经济学家预期，相关交易最早可能在当日达成目标。 策略师写道，5月CPI数据"对于理解关税对核心商品的初步影响至关重要"。 机构调查显示，经济学家对5月整体CPI的普遍预期为环比上涨0.2%，剔除食品和能源后的CPI环比涨幅 则预计从0.2%加快至0.3%。然而，策略师称，通胀互换合约隐含的涨幅分别为0.12%和0.23%，该市 场"向来更精准预测CPI数据"。 报告还指出，一年期通胀互换利率已呈下行趋势，"表明市场参与者正逐步排除未来实际关税税率进一 步上升的可能性"。 策略师预测，当前较10年期高31个基点的两年期CPI互换利差有望收窄10个基点。不过他们建议，若利 差扩大至45个基点则止损。交易风 ...

穆迪：零售资本涌入私募信贷可能压缩信贷利差并促使风险更高的放贷行为。 ...

Group 1 - The credit market is experiencing low volatility, with North American corporate credit default swap (CDS) price fluctuations dropping nearly three-quarters, approaching historical lows [1][3] - Fund managers are adopting a cautious approach, avoiding increased risk exposure until U.S. tariff policies become clearer, leading to a stabilization in risk premiums [3][4] - Despite the low volatility, major banks' bond traders are preparing for potential market turbulence, indicating that future macroeconomic news could impact corporate fundamentals and investor risk appetite [4] Group 2 - The global corporate bond spread has returned to levels seen before the "liberation day" comments by Trump in April, reflecting a relatively tight market environment [3] - There are no fundamental reasons for a large-scale credit sell-off, and no specific industry is in clear distress, suggesting a different environment compared to previous cycles [3] - Investors are bracing for potential increases in volatility due to upcoming events such as the G7 meeting and the July 9 tariff deadline set by the Trump administration [4]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Caidie Industrial Co., Ltd. has announced a cash dividend distribution plan, with a cash dividend of RMB 0.30 per share (before tax) for A-shares, totaling RMB 34.8 million for all shareholders [1][2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Dividend Distribution Details - The cash dividend of RMB 0.30 per share (including tax) will be distributed based on a total share capital of 116 million shares [1]. - The total cash dividend payout amounts to RMB 34.8 million [1]. Important Dates - The key dates for the dividend distribution are as follows: - Share registration date: June 16, 2025 - Last trading date: June 17, 2025 - Ex-dividend date: June 17, 2025 [2]. Implementation of Distribution - The cash dividends for unrestricted circulating shares will be distributed through the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch [2]. - Shareholders who have completed designated transactions can receive their cash dividends on the distribution date at their designated securities business department [2]. Taxation on Dividends - For individual shareholders holding unrestricted circulating shares, dividends are subject to different tax treatments based on the holding period: - Holding period over 1 year: exempt from individual income tax - Holding period within 1 year: no withholding tax on this dividend [4]. - The actual cash dividend after tax for shareholders will be RMB 0.27 per share [6]. Consultation Information - For inquiries regarding the dividend distribution, shareholders can contact the Securities Investment Department at 0572-3958999 [7].

Core Points - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.195 CNY per share (including tax) to all shareholders based on the total share capital as of the record date [1][2] - The total number of shares eligible for the dividend distribution is 362,729,860 shares after excluding shares held in the company's repurchase account [2][3] - The dividend distribution plan was approved at the annual general meeting on May 20, 2025 [1][2] Dividend Distribution Details - The cash dividend distribution will occur on June 17, 2025, with the record date set for June 16, 2025 [1][2] - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to approximately 70.73 million CNY (including tax) [2] - The reference price for the ex-dividend date will be calculated based on the previous closing price minus the cash dividend [2][3] Tax Implications - For individual shareholders holding shares for more than one year, the dividend income is exempt from personal income tax [5] - For shares held for less than one year, the tax rate is 20% for those held for one month or less, and 10% for those held between one month and one year [5][6] - For qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII), a 10% withholding tax will be applied to the dividend [6][7] Contact Information - For inquiries regarding the dividend distribution plan, shareholders can contact the company's securities affairs department at 0573-83625213 [8]

【环球网财经综合报道】自2022年4月中国人民银行指导利率自律机制建立存款利率市场化调整机制以来，存款挂牌利率历 经七次下调。2024年5月20日第七次下调后，存款利率全面进入"1%"时代，中小银行也纷纷跟进。 储蓄型寿险产品吸引力提升是寿险保费增长主因。银行存款"保值增值"属性弱化，而保险产品兼具保障与投资功能，成为 居民储蓄"避风港"。多数寿险产品预定利率仍高于一年期存款利率，对资本市场投资能力较低的消费者而言是较好选择。 不过，定期寿险、年金保险和两全保险的费率会因预定利率下调有所提升。 存款利率下行背景下，寿险业务原保险保费收入却逆势增长。2022年以来，保险业原保险保费收入与寿险业务原保险保费 收入逐年递增且增速加快，2024年寿险业务实现原保险保费收入3.19万亿元，同比增长15.45%，高于行业整体增速。 在此形势下，保险公司产品策略改变，加大浮动收益型产品供给。今年一季度，人寿保险中分红型、万能型产品占比近四 成，年金保险中此类产品占比超三成且较去年上升10个百分点。多家上市险企高管也表示将加大分红险等浮动收益型产品 供给。 业内人士认为，长远来看，保险公司需从"储蓄替代"向"风险保障 + 长 ...

// 债市综述 // 1. 公开市场操作 海外方面，最新美国隔夜融资担保利率为 4.29% 。 （IMM） 央行公告称， 6 月 9 日以固定利率、数量招标方式开展了 1738 亿元 7 天期逆回购操作，操作利率 1.40% ，投标量 1738 亿元，中标量 1738 亿 元。 Wind 数据显示，当日无逆回购到期，据此计算，单日净投放 1738 亿元。 （*数据来源：Wind-央行动态PBOC） 2. 资金面 继上周万亿买断式逆回购操作提振信心后，央行公开市场周一净投放继续驰援，银行间市场资金愈发宽松，存款类机构隔夜质押式回购利率下行超 3 个 bp ，跌破 1.4% 关口，七天质押式回购利率下行近 2 个 bp 。 （*数据来源：Wind-国际货币资金情绪指数、资金综合屏） 3. 同业存单 全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新成交在 1.67% 附近，较上日有所下行。 （*数据来源：Wind-同业存单-发行结果） 4. 银行间主要利率债收益率 | | 1Y | | 2Y | | ЗУ | | SY | | 7Y | | 10Y | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

Group 1 - The market experienced a net inflow of funds, but trading activity decreased, with total A-share trading volume at 4.84 trillion yuan, down from the previous week, and turnover rate at 5.58%, also a decline from the prior week. The total net inflow of funds was 156.42 billion yuan, indicating stronger liquidity [7][8][19] - The domestic liquidity situation showed a net withdrawal of 671.7 billion yuan in open market operations, with DR007 and R007 rates declining, and the spread between R007 and DR007 narrowing. The yield on 10-year government bonds decreased by 2 basis points, while the yield on 1-year bonds fell by 4 basis points, leading to an expansion of the yield curve spread [10][11][18] Group 2 - The issuance scale of equity funds increased to 13.75 billion yuan, up from the previous week. The top three sectors for fund accumulation were electronics, communications, and computers, while the sectors with the largest reductions were food and beverage, household appliances, and transportation [21][24][28] - The net inflow of margin financing was 7.649 billion yuan, with margin trading accounting for 8.4% of total A-share trading volume. The total number of ETF shares decreased by 750 million, with the largest inflow seen in the broad index of the CSI 300 ETF [28][29][32] Group 3 - In the primary market, there were two IPOs raising 5.007 billion yuan, while no refinancing occurred. The total amount of restricted shares that became tradable was 28.758 billion yuan, with the electronics, biomedicine, and automotive sectors having the highest amounts of unlocked shares [37][41][42] - The report highlighted that industrial capital reduced holdings by 3.18 billion yuan, with non-bank financials, coal, and household appliances being the top sectors for increased holdings, while electronics, biomedicine, and machinery equipment saw the largest reductions [38][39]

Core Viewpoint - The decline in deposit interest rates since April 2022 has significantly increased the attractiveness of savings-type life insurance products, leading to continuous growth in life insurance premium income in China, with accelerating growth rates observed since 2022 [1][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Deposit Rate Changes - The People's Bank of China established a market-oriented adjustment mechanism for deposit rates, leading to multiple reductions in deposit rates by major banks since September 2022, with the latest adjustments bringing one-year fixed deposit rates below 1% [2][4]. - As of May 20, 2023, the seventh reduction in deposit rates was implemented, with significant cuts in both current and fixed deposit rates across major banks [2]. Life Insurance Premium Growth - Life insurance premium income has shown consistent growth since 2022, with the industry achieving approximately 5.7 trillion yuan in original insurance premium income in 2024, reflecting an 11.15% year-on-year increase, while life insurance specifically saw a 15.45% increase [4][5]. - The demand for savings-type life insurance products has surged due to the declining deposit rates, as consumers seek stable long-term returns amidst low-risk preferences [5][6]. Product Strategy Adjustments - Insurance companies are shifting their product strategies to focus on floating yield products, such as dividend and universal life insurance, to mitigate the impact of declining interest rates and reduce reliance on traditional fixed-income products [12][13]. - The introduction of over 170 new life insurance products in the first quarter of the year, with a significant proportion being floating yield products, indicates a strategic pivot in response to the low interest rate environment [11][12]. Risk Management Focus - The insurance industry is gradually transitioning from a model focused on premium growth to one centered on risk management services, which are less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations [14][15]. - This transformation aims to enhance the risk management capabilities of insurance products, encouraging consumers to view insurance as a tool for risk management rather than merely a savings alternative [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For credit bonds, continue to focus on coupon hunting and maintain a 3 - year duration for in - depth exploration [8][9][10] - For convertible bonds, the sentiment is weak, and it is recommended to reserve positions and wait for right - side adding opportunities [11][32] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Credit & Convertible Bond Market Observation and Thinking 3.1.1 Credit Bonds - From June 2nd to June 8th, the primary issuance of credit bonds was 273.7 billion yuan, with a slight increase compared to the previous period. The total repayment amount was 147.5 billion yuan, a reduction of about 1/3 compared to the previous period, resulting in a net inflow of 126.2 billion yuan. The average coupon rates of AAA and AA+ grades were 1.99% and 2.18% respectively, remaining flat and decreasing by 27bp compared to the previous week [8] - Short - term yields of each grade increased slightly by about 1bp, with higher - grade bonds having a larger increase. Long - term yields generally decreased by about 2bp. The risk - free yield curve shifted downward by 2 - 3bp. Short - duration spreads of each grade generally widened by about 4bp, while medium - and long - term spreads fluctuated within ±1bp. The term spreads of each grade continued to narrow by about 2bp, with the 5Y - 1Y spreads of medium - and high - grade bonds narrowing by 4 - 5bp. Most grade spreads narrowed by about 2bp, except for the 5Y AA - AAA spread which widened by 2bp [9] - In terms of urban investment bond credit spreads, most provincial credit spreads widened slightly by 1 - 2bp, with some high - valuation areas narrowing slightly. In terms of industrial bond credit spreads, industry spreads fluctuated narrowly but generally tended to widen, with a central value of about 1bp, and the real estate industry continued to widen by 14bp [9] - Affected by the fewer trading days during the holiday, the turnover rate decreased by 0.75pct to 1.01%. High - discount bonds were mainly real - estate enterprise bonds, with high - frequency and large - amplitude discount real - estate entities mainly involving Country Garden [9] - The bond market was stable last week, with a significant decline on Friday. The central bank has a strong willingness to support, but as spreads continue to narrow, the risk of credit bond valuation being affected by interest - rate bond fluctuations is increasing. It is not recommended to extend the duration at this stage, and it is advisable to maintain a 3 - year duration for in - depth exploration [10] 3.1.2 Convertible Bonds - Last week, the equity market fluctuated upward, with all major indices rising. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.42%, the CSI 300 rose 0.88%, the CSI 1000 rose 2.10%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.32%, the STAR 50 rose 1.50%, and the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 rose 1.30%. The daily average trading volume increased by 114.305 billion to 1.21 trillion yuan [11] - Convertible bonds significantly followed the upward trend. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.08%, the parity center rose 0.7% to 96.0 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center decreased 1.0% to 26.0%. The daily average trading volume significantly increased to 64.075 billion yuan. Medium - and low - grade, high - price, and small - cap convertible bonds performed well, while high - grade and large - cap convertible bonds were relatively weak [11] - Currently in a data vacuum period, the equity market is expected to fluctuate. From a long - term perspective, the convertible bond market still has allocation demand, and the logic of scarce bottom - positions remains unchanged. The current convertible bond valuation is relatively neutral, not significantly overvalued. Considering potential credit risk disturbances in June, it is recommended to reserve positions and wait for right - side adding opportunities [11] 3.2 Credit Bond Review 3.2.1 Negative Information Monitoring - There were no bond defaults, overdue payments, downgrades of corporate or bond ratings, or overseas rating downgrades during the week from June 2nd to June 8th [12] - There were three major negative events: Guizhou Hongcai Investment Group Co., Ltd. was involved in two major lawsuits with a total execution amount of 604 million yuan; Huai'an Hongxin State - owned Assets Investment Management Co., Ltd. was sued for failing to pay project funds, with a total execution amount of 261 million yuan; and the credit enhancement measures of "H20 Shanshan 1" of Shanshan Group Co., Ltd. had significant adverse changes [13] 3.2.2 Primary Issuance - The primary issuance volume of credit bonds increased slightly compared to the previous period, while the maturity scale decreased significantly, resulting in a significant increase in the net inflow, exceeding 100 billion yuan. Only one credit bond was cancelled or postponed for issuance [13][14] - The primary issuance cost of medium - and low - grade bonds decreased significantly compared to the previous period, while that of high - grade bonds remained flat. The average coupon rates of AAA and AA+ grades were 1.99% and 2.18% respectively, remaining flat and decreasing by 27bp compared to the previous week. The frequency of newly issued AA/AA - grade bonds remained at a low level [14] 3.2.3 Secondary Trading - Credit bond valuations increased at the short - end and decreased at the long - end. The risk - free interest rate curve shifted downward. Short - end spreads of each grade widened significantly, while medium - and long - term spreads remained basically unchanged [16] - The term spreads of each grade continued to narrow by about 2bp, with the 5Y - 1Y spreads of medium - and high - grade bonds narrowing by 4 - 5bp. Most grade spreads narrowed by about 2bp, except for the 5Y AA - AAA spread which widened by 2bp [18] - In terms of urban investment bond credit spreads, most provincial credit spreads widened slightly by 1 - 2bp, with some high - valuation areas narrowing slightly. In terms of industrial bond credit spreads, industry spreads fluctuated narrowly but generally tended to widen, with a central value of about 1bp, and the real estate industry continued to widen by 14bp [21][23] - Affected by the fewer trading days during the holiday, the turnover rate decreased by 0.75pct to 1.01%. High - discount bonds were mainly real - estate enterprise bonds, with high - frequency and large - amplitude discount real - estate entities mainly involving Country Garden [24] 3.3 Convertible Bond Review 3.3.1 Market Overall Performance - From June 3rd to June 6th, the equity market fluctuated upward, with all major indices rising. The communication, non - ferrous metals, and electronics sectors led the gains, while the household appliances, food and beverage, and transportation sectors led the losses [28] - Seven convertible bonds with the highest gains outperformed their underlying stocks. Jinling, Yitian, and Jingyuan Convertible Bonds led the gains, rising 24.42%, 14.89%, and 14.85% respectively. Tianyang, Jinling, and Limin Convertible Bonds were relatively active in trading [28] 3.3.2 Convertible Bonds Followed the Upward Trend, and the Wait - and - See Sentiment Remained - Convertible bonds followed the upward trend. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.08%, the parity center rose 0.7% to 96.0 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center decreased 1.0% to 26.0%. The daily average trading volume significantly increased to 64.075 billion yuan. Medium - and low - grade, high - price, and small - cap convertible bonds performed well, while high - grade and large - cap convertible bonds were relatively weak [32] - Currently in a data vacuum period, the equity market is expected to fluctuate. From a long - term perspective, the convertible bond market still has allocation demand, and the logic of scarce bottom - positions remains unchanged. The current convertible bond valuation is relatively neutral, not significantly overvalued. Considering potential credit risk disturbances in June, it is recommended to reserve positions and wait for right - side adding opportunities [32]