谈及当前大热的投资品种，刘睿认为黄金依然具备长期配置价值。 21世纪经济报道记者李域 全球经济格局调整、外部环境不确定性加剧的背景下，资金的 "避风港" 在哪里？ 近日，在贝莱德中国举办的2026年投资展望上，这家全球资管巨头给出了最新回答，即构建更具韧性和适应性的组合，从区域、战略、主题三 大维度进行系统性资产配置，实现真正的分散化，既不要"把所有鸡蛋放在一个篮子里"，又要避免"把所有篮子放在同一辆车上"的伪分散化情 况。 谈及当前大热的投资品种，贝莱德建信理财副总经理、首席投资官刘睿指出，黄金依然具备长期配置价值，"从长期看，黄金配置逻辑依然坚 实，去全球化趋势、美元走弱、全球央行持续增持等因素提供了结构性支撑，这些驱动因素伴随全球环境的阶段性发展而产生，具有不可逆 性"。他同时提醒，短期需警惕交易拥挤带来的高波动。 在股市和债市方面，贝莱德基金权益、量化及多资产首席投资官王晓京认为，接下来的A股市场，科技是核心主线，若消费等领域出台增量政 策，将催生新的结构性机会。港股因拥有大量可与美股对标甚至替代的科技标的，且估值普遍低于美股，也具备一定吸引力。 "从绝对收益率角度看，美债目前仍具吸引力。"贝莱德基金 ...

2月5日，"尊享智第 笃行未来"2026年浦发银行私人银行投资策略三亚论坛在三亚举办。来自全国的高净值客户代表、行业专家及合作伙伴齐聚一堂，共同 探讨全球经济形势下的资产配置策略与财富传承新路径。 本次论坛以"全球视野下的资产配置之道"为主题，深入解析全球经济发展趋势与中国市场机遇。来自上海信托、大成律师事务所及浦发银行海外机构的专 家，就跨境资产配置、家族信托、税务规划等议题展开深度对话，为高净值家庭与企业提供"家业、家族、家财"三位一体的海外财富管理方案。 近年来，浦发银行私人银行持续深化"浦和人生"财富管理信托账户"1+3+N"服务体系，打造覆盖"财富传承、家族传承、企业传承、精神传承"的一站式综合 服务生态。依托"浦发企明星"企业家服务平台与"浦银寰球"海外财富管理品牌，浦发银行为企业及企业实控人、股东高管提供全景化服务，在"分红减持、 股份管理、全球视野、公益慈善"四大场景中持续赋能。2025年，浦发银行私人银行凭借卓越的服务能力与创新实践，在"亚洲银行家"中评选为"年度家族传 承服务"和"最佳跨境财富与业务架构私人银行"两项中国区大奖，品牌影响力与专业价值备受认可。 作为服务海南自贸港建设的重要布 ...

来源：@智通财经微博 图片来源：界面图库 智通财经记者 |安震 何柳颖 "这是我连续第三天来买黄金了，前两天黄金跌得比较猛，每天100克，三天300克。"2月4日，在北京菜市口百货（以下简称"菜百"）四层投资金条柜台前， 王先生向智通财经展示购买小票，按照菜百金价计算，王先生此次购买的金条金额超过11.4万元，从选购、开票到刷卡，整个过程还不到3分钟。 "我们看金价跌了，赶紧去水贝买三金，结果后面又跌了。"准备订婚的小圆告诉智通财经记者。在深圳水贝，各大商场熙熙攘攘，商家与顾客们在热切地交 谈，有年轻伴侣在挑选三金，有人在为家里长辈挑选礼物，有人来选购金珠"继续攒"...... 近期，国际黄金价格经历"过山车"式大幅波动，在遭遇40年来最大单日跌幅后，2月3日，国际金价强势反弹。2月5日，贵金属市场抛售风暴再度来袭，现货 黄金一度跌近4%失守4800美元/盎司关口。2月6日， 现货黄金又重新站上4800美元/盎司...... 随着黄金价格震荡起伏，这场黄金热潮，在南北两个黄金交易市场，正以同样烈火烹油的姿态上演。 "2018年我在这儿买了一对耳环，当时金价300多元，我感觉现在金价已经涨了不少，打算把它卖掉。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing a warming trend, with government bond futures rising across the board and interbank bond yields generally declining by 1-2 basis points, indicating a more optimistic market sentiment due to liquidity injections from the central bank [1][5]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract up 0.42% at 112.57, the 10-year main contract up 0.08% at 108.42, and the 5-year main contract up 0.03% at 105.945 [2]. - The interbank major interest rate bond yields fell, with the 30-year government bond yield down 1.5 basis points to 2.224%, and the 10-year government bond yield down 0.5 basis points to 1.803% [2]. Liquidity and Central Bank Actions - The central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 146 billion yuan in a single day, with a total of 6 billion yuan in 14-day reverse repos over two days, indicating a focus on managing liquidity ahead of the Spring Festival [1][5]. - The central bank's net injection since January has exceeded the impact of a typical reserve requirement ratio cut, suggesting ongoing liquidity support [1]. Institutional Insights - Citic Securities anticipates that the market will gradually stabilize, with asset pricing returning to focus on domestic policy and economic recovery, alongside expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts [6]. - Zhongyou Fixed Income notes that recent improvements in the real estate sector are primarily due to seasonal factors and low base effects, with ongoing monitoring required for sustainability [7]. International Market Trends - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the 2-year yield down 9.04 basis points to 3.457% and the 10-year yield down 9.34 basis points to 4.180% [3]. - In the Eurozone, yields on 10-year French bonds fell by 0.2 basis points to 3.444%, while German bonds decreased by 1.7 basis points to 2.841% [3].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the need for a reassessment of asset allocation strategies in light of increasing global macroeconomic uncertainties and rising correlations between traditional equity and bond assets [1] - It highlights the unique role of precious metals ETFs as risk diversifiers in investment portfolios, particularly during periods of economic stagnation and high inflation [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Precious metals such as copper, aluminum, and gold exhibit a non-linear relationship with stock and bond yields, making them valuable during economic downturns [1] - The demand for copper is being reshaped by long-term factors such as new energy installations and AI data center construction, while supply constraints persist due to reduced capital expenditures from 2018 to 2022 [1] - Historical data shows that during the quantitative easing period post-2008, gold prices surged from approximately $750/oz to $1,900/oz, reflecting a 150% increase over three years [1] Group 2: Inflation and Asset Performance - During the inflation surge from 2020 to 2022, gold prices rose from below $1,450 to over $3,400/oz by 2025, while copper prices increased from $4,400/ton to over $10,700/ton, marking a 140% rise within 15 months [2][4] - Gold serves as a hedge against currency devaluation, while copper captures demand expansion during industrial recovery phases [4] Group 3: Investment Strategies - The investment strategy employed by David Swensen at Yale involved increasing the allocation to physical assets like commodities and energy to about 15%, leveraging their low correlation with financial assets [5] - Precious metals ETFs provide a practical avenue for ordinary investors to engage in this strategy, offering essential cyclical hedging capabilities [6] Group 4: ETF Performance and Structure - The ETF in focus, Huatai-PineBridge's index, covers a broad range of metals including gold, copper, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, positioning it to benefit from a "super cycle" in the metals market [6] - As of February 5, 2026, the index's top three sectors are copper (34.2%), aluminum (14.6%), and gold (14.4%), indicating a balanced exposure to both industrial and precious metals [7][9] - The fund has achieved a remarkable return of 173.08% over the past two years, significantly outperforming major indices like the CSI 300, with a lower maximum drawdown, showcasing a favorable risk-return profile [9]

每日经济新闻 值得关注的是，十年国债ETF成立以来经历了2018~2024年共计7个完整自然年度，均保持每年正收益， 有望成为穿越牛熊周期的资产配置利器。 风险提示：数据来源基金定期报告、Wind，相关业绩经托管行核对，过往表现不代表未来。十年国债 ETF成立于2017年8月4日，2017年~2025年上半年净值增长率/业绩比较基准为：-1.55%/-1.01%； 7.6%/8.47%；2.49%/4.81%；1.92%/2.09%；5.19%/5.78%；2.52%/2.87%；4.37%/4.83%；9.02%/8.09%； 0.67%/-0.24%。提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构 成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产 品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 股市震荡，关注债市配置机遇，2月6日，十年国债ETF（511260）上涨0.07%。 相关机构表示，从消息角度，银行存款留 ...

H *本图片部分内容由Al生成 基金有风险,投资须谨慎(中国建设银行代销) "低利率环境下,投资如何升级?" "股票、债券、商品、海外 …… 该如何做资产配置?" "全市场上万只基金,该怎么选?" 面对投资中的各种难题 "专业基金买手" -- FOF都能轻松破解! · 投资市能 "P « FOF助力一步到位! FOF,即基金中基金,顾名思义,是一种投资于其 他基金的基金,其核心优势在于: 横跨多元资产 FOF天然具备多元资产配置属性,投资范围覆盖股 票、债券、商品、海外及另类资产等,可实现跨资 产、跨市场、跨地域的分散配置,可作为低利率时代 基金投资选择。 另类资产 商示 债 超外 专业投资管理 FOF由专业团队在全市场筛选和评估，选择具有潜力 的基金合理搭配、布局,目定期进行组合再平衡,提 升了投资者自主挑选基金与多元资产配置的体验。 投资相对分散 普通基金主要投资于股票、债券等大类资产,而FOF 以"一篮子"基金为投资对象,形成"FOF->基金 ->资产"双层分散效果。 基金 贺声 FOF诸多优势,可以直接"抄作业"、 模仿FOF的持仓吗? 三思而后行! 因为FOF公布的持仓情况往往有一定的局限性和滞后 ...

武泽伟 星图金融研究院高级研究员 美元并非普通货币，它是当今国际体系的基石，是全球最主要的交易、储备和计价信用货币。其信用一 旦出现裂痕，波及范围将远超国界。参考日本的经验，一个面临巨额债务的政府，确有可能选择容忍更 高的通胀水平来减轻实际债务负担。如果类似逻辑在美国上演，其影响将更为深远。全球持有大量美元 资产的国家、机构和个人，都将面临资产价值被稀释的风险。 正是在这种宏大而真切地担忧之下，黄金的耀眼涨势获得了最坚实的逻辑支撑。黄金作为一种非信用资 产，其价值不依赖于任何政府的承诺或偿付能力。当主要储备货币的信用根基出现松动的预期时，黄金 自然成为全球资本寻求庇护的终极目的地。 黄凡 宁波银行私人银行部原总经理 市场点金 黄金暴涨，背后是信用货币信任危机 因此，当前的黄金牛市，远非简单的周期性上涨，而是对全球货币体系深层结构变迁的提前定价。只要 主权债务膨胀与货币政策独立性的矛盾持续存在，黄金作为价值"压舱石"的吸引力就不会消退，其上涨 空间依然维系在对信用货币体系的普遍质疑之中。 金银巨震后的启示：没有永远上涨的资产，只有清醒的投资理念 消费新声 AI重构酒店业：商业模式的颠覆性变革与未解之思 投资世界 ...

中泰证券表示，虽然从价格相关性看，长端利率债和风险资产的"跷跷板"效应并不强，但在其他资产大 幅波动的背景下，债市表现风平浪静、超低波动，跟黄金、白银等传统避险资产的超高波动率相比，可 以说债市初步回归了"避险资产"的属性。临近春节，机构筹划节前资产配置策略，增配国债是重要方 向。从短期和中期来看，央行动作和降准降息窗口仍是市场焦点。 2026年2月6日早盘，截至11:06，30年国债ETF(511090)维持0.3%左右的稳定涨幅，呈现窄幅震荡格局， 盘中现涨0.29%。流动性方面，30年国债ETF盘中换手11.92%，成交25.81亿元，市场交投活跃。拉长时 间看，截至2月5日，30年国债ETF近1年日均成交82.71亿元。 消息方面，近期，黄金白银价格大跌，全球资产经历大涨大跌，关于中国国债"避风港"属性讨论增多。 不少债市圈人士看来，近期中国国债对冲表现不明显，但波动率明显下降，恰恰彰显了其避险特性。部 分外资机构判断，随着美元信用弱化，美债、日债吸引力下降，中国债券的韧性将进一步凸显。聚焦春 节前表现，多数机构判断，债市将维持震荡偏强表现。 具体来看，进入2026年，债市利率以更高起点开局后继续攀升 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the increasing importance of Hong Kong strategy and style indices as refined tools for asset allocation, risk management, and style expression amid a backdrop of deepening capital market openness and rising demand for diversified investment tools [2] - Different indices serve distinct purposes: the defensive strategy represented by the CSI Hong Kong 300 Stable Index focuses on fundamentally strong leading companies, showcasing excellent drawdown control and risk-adjusted returns, while the offensive tools like the CSI Hong Kong 200 Momentum Index excel in capturing trends in small and mid-cap stocks [2][2] - The evolution of strategy and style indices from supplementary tools to core components is driven by the need for risk separation and enhanced returns in a market characterized by structural trends and accelerated sector rotation [2] Group 2 - The report outlines the historical performance of various indices, indicating that during the risk-on phase from early 2020 to mid-2021, the defensive strategy indices lagged behind growth indices, reflecting their characteristic of sacrificing return elasticity for risk reduction [28] - In the subsequent market downturn starting mid-2021, the relative advantages of defensive indices became apparent, as they exhibited significantly lower drawdowns compared to growth indices, thus providing effective downside protection [28] - The report notes that in the weak market environment of 2022-2023, defensive indices maintained stronger stability, with their cumulative return curves showing significantly less volatility than growth indices, indicating their effectiveness in achieving relative returns during turbulent periods [28] Group 3 - The report discusses the performance of offensive indices, stating that the CSI Hong Kong 300 Dynamic Index outperformed others during the strong risk appetite phase from early 2020 to mid-2021, benefiting from the growth and offensive style-driven bull market [31] - However, as the market transitioned to a downtrend, both the CSI Hong Kong 300 Dynamic and High Beta indices experienced significant drawdowns, with the Dynamic Index showing better resilience due to its composition and risk control mechanisms [31] - The report concludes that the CSI Hong Kong 300 Dynamic Index possesses both elasticity and recovery capability, while the High Beta Index is more sensitive to market fluctuations, leading to greater pressure during downturns [31] Group 4 - The report highlights the performance of the CSI Hong Kong 200 Momentum Index, which excelled during the bullish phase from early 2020 to mid-2021, capturing strong trends and significantly outperforming the Hong Kong 200 parent index [35] - In contrast, during the subsequent market downturn, the Momentum Index faced substantial drawdowns, reflecting the inherent risks of momentum strategies in reversing trends [35] - The report indicates that while the Momentum Index has the potential for excess returns in clear bull markets, it also carries higher drawdown risks in bearish and volatile market conditions [35] Group 5 - The report emphasizes the performance of the CSI Hong Kong 100 Momentum Index, which showed significant outperformance during the bullish phase from early 2020 to mid-2021, capturing strong trends effectively [38] - However, as the market entered a downtrend, the Momentum Index experienced considerable drawdowns, indicating its sensitivity to market reversals [38] - The report concludes that the Momentum strategy's excess returns are primarily concentrated in bull markets, while the equal-weighted and risk-contribution indices serve more as risk diversification tools without consistently outperforming the parent index [38]