国外 1. 大摩：沃什治下的美联储变化将先体现在缩表上 摩根士丹利在一份报告中表示，在沃什执掌的美联储之下，任何实质性的变化更可能通过资产负债表政 策而非利率来逐步显现。缩减美联储资产负债表规模意味着降低银行对准备金的需求，而这一过程需要 时间，并且还需要对监管框架作出调整。摩根士丹利补充称："在其他条件不变的情况下，一个在对外 沟通和资产负债表规模上都采取更小'存在感'的美联储，应会推动收益率曲线趋于陡峭。" 2. 摩通私银：金价属健康技术性回调、仓位远未拥挤，年底看6150美元 国际金价大幅回调，摩根大通私人银行亚洲宏观策略主管唐雨旋认为，这次金价属健康的技术性回调， 因此前升势带有一定非理性成分，而此次调整有效消化了部分投机性仓位。值得注意的是，金价仅回到 两周前的水平，1月份仍录得13%的升幅。以往经验作参考，去年10月由4400美元回落至3900美元后， 曾短暂盘整，随后突破向上，至12月已收复并重上前高，故该行对黄金的基本面看法并无改变。唐雨旋 称，根据2025年数据，新兴市场央行的黄金储备占比仍处于低双位数，中国亦仅在高个位数，追赶空间 明显，同时ETF持仓亦仍低于2022至2023年的高位，而 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Hema Technology Co., Ltd. (禾迈股份) experienced a 5.36% increase on February 3, with a trading volume of 224 million yuan and a market capitalization of 13.257 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Hema Technology specializes in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of photovoltaic inverters, energy storage products, and electrical equipment [2][7] - The company's main products include micro-inverters, monitoring devices, distributed photovoltaic power generation systems, modular inverters, and energy storage systems [2][7] - Hema Technology has been recognized as a "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprise, indicating its strong market position and innovation capabilities [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hema Technology reported a revenue of 1.323 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.57% [8] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -59.115 million yuan, a significant decrease of 124.07% year-on-year [8] - As of September 30, the number of shareholders increased to 10,200, with an average of 12,134 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 3.68% [8] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The company benefits from a 64.25% share of overseas revenue, aided by the depreciation of the RMB [3] - Hema Technology is set to receive an investment of no less than 111.5 million yuan and up to 223 million yuan from Hangkai Holdings Group, supported by a special loan from China CITIC Bank [3] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of Hema Technology's shares is 109.02 yuan, with recent trends indicating a rapid exit of shares [6] - The current stock price is near a support level of 106.60 yuan, which is critical for potential rebound or further decline [6]

上周五国家发改委、国家能源局发布《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》，《通知》首次明确容量 电价机制，鼓励长时储能的建设运营，该政策或利好储能需求，进一步影响碳酸锂价格。近期现货价格 下跌，或刺激下游低价备货意愿。昨日受市场情绪影响盘面价格大幅下跌，价格一度触及跌停。今日多 头资金卷土重来，主力合约止跌大幅反弹。近期盘面波动较大，入市交易须谨慎，操作上观望为主，可 考虑等待价格逐步企稳后布多机会。 格隆汇2月3日｜据首创期货，今日早盘多头资金抄底，主力合约止跌反弹，开盘后迅速上涨至151000 元/吨以上，涨幅一度超过7%。成本端海外锂矿价格上涨，成本支撑上移。供应端枧下窝锂矿复产预期 延迟，加上春节假期锂盐厂或有检修，供应端预期收窄。终端行业，消息面，据乘联会预测，1月狭义 乘用车零售市场规模约为180万辆，环比下降20.4%，同比增长0.3%。其中新能源零售量预计为80万左 右，渗透率约44.4%。1月新能源汽车进入行业淡季，需求量预期环比减少，或进一步导致动力电池需 求减少。随着储能行业发展迅速，储能对碳酸锂需求仍有支撑。 ...

1 月 26 日，内蒙古兴发科技有限公司建设的 10 万吨 / 年电池级磷酸铁锂项目规划设计方案已经乌达区 2026 年第一次国土空间规划委员 会评审通过。乌海市生态环境局拟作出的建设项目环境影响评价文件审批意见的公示。 该项目属于新建项目， 本项目总投资 15 亿元 ，环保投资 680 万元。 建设规模为 10 万吨 / 年磷酸铁锂产能 ， 主要完成车间的土建施 工、生产设备的安装调试，以及配套公辅设施的建设，涵盖配电房、纯水机房、冷冻机房、空压机房、除湿机房等。 项目生产工艺路线选择固相法（碳热还原法），即采用磷酸铁、碳酸锂、葡萄糖等生产原辅料经配料研磨、喷雾干燥、高温烧结、粉碎包装四 个工段得到磷酸铁锂产品，具有工艺简单可控、原料兼容性强、批次稳定性高的特点。 内蒙古兴发科技有限公司是兴发集团走出湖北建设的重要战略生产基地，主营草甘膦原药生产销售业务。 2018 年，兴发集团宣布以 2.4 亿元的收购了内蒙腾龙公司 100% 的股权，将自身草甘膦生产能力提升至 18 万吨 / 年，进一步巩固在草甘 膦领域的龙头地位；随后，兴发集团向该公司注资 4 亿元，并将公司名称更改为"内蒙古兴发科技有限公司"。 此 ...

中集集团加码商业航天、数据中心，双赛道布局落地见效，目前正加速开拓国内外市场，以模块化技术 承接更多AI数据中心订单，打造数字基建领域的 "中集标准"。另外，中集集团储能业务迎来资本合作 利好，累计出货量已超60GWh，发展势头迅猛。据了解，储能业务是中集重点发展的新兴战略领域之 一，近年来业务持续进阶壮大，已成为中集高质量发展的重要动能之一。 中集集团AH股大幅拉升上涨，H股涨超11%刷新阶段新高，A股强势封涨停。 消息上，中集集团日前发布投资者关系活动记录表，主要讨论内容涉及公司的数据中心业务、海工板块 接单展望、集装箱制造表现及商业航天布局等。在数据中心业务方面，截至目前，中集在中东、东南亚 等多个国家和地区已累计交付规模超过1000兆瓦、模块超过17000个。同时，公司正为超过300MW的 AI、Cloud 计算的客户提供预制化数据中心的技术与制造交付服务。 ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report suggests that the lithium carbonate market will experience range - bound fluctuations and stabilize, with market sentiment cooling. However, it warns of risks of short - term sharp fluctuations [2][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Raw Materials - Supply: Last week, the raw material market generally rose. The SMM total weekly lithium carbonate operating rate was 49.5% (-1.49%), and the operating rate of all processes except for salt lakes decreased. The SMM total output was 21,569 tons (-648 tons), a month - on - month decrease of 2.92% [3]. - Demand: There was a significant structural differentiation in demand. Last week, the SMM lithium iron phosphate output increased by 1.0% month - on - month with increased inventory accumulation; the ternary output decreased by 1.1% month - on - month with gradual inventory reduction. The power cell output decreased slightly last week. As of January 18, the SMM new energy vehicle sales penetration rate rose to 55.6%. The energy - storage cells performed strongly with booming production and sales and low inventory [3]. - Inventory: Last week, the SMM four - location sample social inventory decreased by 5.6% (-2,450 tons) month - on - month, the sample weekly inventory decreased by 1.3% (-1,414 tons) month - on - month. The total inventory days increased to 28.5 days, and the downstream inventory days increased to 10.8 days, showing a significant differentiation in the inventory structure [3]. Market Conditions - Futures: Yesterday, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures hit the daily limit down to 132,440 yuan/ton. The net short position of the main funds continued, the position structure was differentiated, market divergence increased, the advantage of long positions concentrated towards the top, and overall gaming intensified. The registered warehouse receipts increased by 1,610 tons to 32,241 tons [2]. - Spot: The SMM average price of electric carbon was 155,500 yuan/ton. In terms of market transactions, upstream lithium salt factories had a low willingness to sell scattered orders, and the market was dull. Some downstream material factories actively inquired and had a strong purchasing willingness at relatively low prices, driving relatively active overall market transactions [2]. Macro - policy - Demand - side: Subsidies for car trade - ins and battery export tax - rebate policies stimulate terminal consumption and improve macro - liquidity [4]. - Supply - side: On January 15, the National Development and Reform Commission proposed to introduce management measures for the comprehensive utilization of new energy vehicle power batteries, which will improve the recycling threshold and eliminate backward production capacity, optimize the domestic supply structure in the long term, and raise the cost support center [4]. - Industrial planning: The Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Plan, the key points of the "15th Five - Year Plan" for energy storage, and a series of deployments at the Central Economic Work Conference form synergistic benefits to support long - term supply - demand balance [4]. - Macro - environment: The central bank's structural interest rate cut indirectly strengthens the long - term macro - positive atmosphere [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on AI data center servers, optical modules, and energy storage industries, particularly in the context of cooling demand [1] Group 1: Industry Focus - The company is gradually building a complete liquid cooling industry chain, from upstream core components (CDU, liquid cooling plates, Manifold, UQD) to midstream server integration facilities and liquid cooling solutions, down to downstream terminal applications [1] - The company will closely monitor cutting-edge technology trends and follow market and customer demands to expand potential application scenarios for its products [1] Group 2: Strategic Planning - The company is committed to developing forward-looking layouts and plans in response to evolving market needs [1]

一份年度业绩预告，揭示出储能龙头在行业高景气背景下的生存现实。 储能行业正在经历"冰与火"的洗礼。一边是国家政策强力推动、装机目标明确、市场需求旺盛的行业春 天；另一边是部分企业陷入亏损、资金链紧张、转型艰难的残酷现实。 2025年1月30日晚间，南都电源发布的业绩预告显示，预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经 常性损益的净利润为亏损9.3亿元至12.9亿元。 断腕求生，弃铅转锂的战略豪赌 南都电源的亏损并非一日之寒。公司自2020年开始"弃铅转锂"的战略转型，计划从传统的铅蓄电池业务 转向更具前景的锂电池储能领域。 这一转型过程伴随着巨大的阵痛。2025年前三季度，南都电源实现营业收入59.11亿元，同比下降 24.80%。 营收下降的主要原因是公司对再生铅板块业务实施主动减产。为聚焦高附加值的储能与锂电业务，南都 电源对低毛利的再生铅板块实施收缩战略。 这一业务结构调整直接导致营收规模减少约20亿元。再生铅业务的营收占比从2024年的40%以上降至约 15%。 与此同时，公司的储能业务实现高速增长，营收占比从50%提升至约75%。 现金流"魔术"与利润黑洞 南都电源的财务数据揭示出一幅更为复杂的 ...

Group 1 - Samsung SDI has signed a new battery supply contract through its U.S. subsidiary, with details such as customer identity and contract amount kept confidential until January 2030. This move is seen as a step towards supply chain localization in response to the Inflation Reduction Act, likely involving Tesla's energy storage systems [1] - CATL has initiated the construction of a green battery manufacturing base in Yunnan, focusing on new energy batteries, green energy, green transportation, and low-altitude economy, with plans to start in Q1 2026. This project aims to leverage Yunnan's abundant green electricity resources and mineral advantages to enhance CATL's control in the global battery supply chain [2] - Haibo Sichuang has signed a cooperation agreement with the government of Datong to expand its smart manufacturing base and develop independent energy storage projects. This partnership signifies a shift from equipment manufacturing to a full-chain model that includes investment and operation of energy storage plants, contributing to the establishment of a national energy storage industry cluster [3]

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 一、行情走势回顾 1月，碳酸锂期货与现货市场同步走强，同时波动加剧。期货市场方面，月初碳酸锂期货合约延续上年 末的震荡上行态势，中旬受政策调控及资金获利了结影响出现短期回调，下旬再次上冲，但成交量萎 缩，月底大幅回撤，但全月累计涨幅显著，其中主力合约（LC2605）1月全月涨幅21.9%，价格从上月 底收盘的12.158万元/吨升至月末14.82万元/吨，月内最高涨幅55.81%，日内波动幅度多次扩大，市场投 机情绪阶段性升温。现货价格跟随期货波动，截至1月30日，SMM电池级碳酸锂现货报价16.05万元/ 吨，较上月底上涨3.7万元/吨，涨幅31.22%，因期货盘面资金反应更为灵敏，价格快速回落，月末期现 价差逐步收窄。从走势驱动因素来看，核心在于供给端江西锂云母矿整治导致的供应收缩、需求端储能 爆发与电池"抢出口"效应的双重支撑，叠加宏观层面有色金属整体暴涨带来的情绪传导，同时交易所的 调控政策阶段性缓解了市场炒作热度，月底贵金属、有色金属的大幅回撤则加剧了资金流出速度，多重 因素交织造就了1月碳酸锂市场的高波动走势。 二、供给端：国内供应 ...