平安证券指出，非银金融行业中，证券板块近期市场景气度改善、交投活跃度维持高位，板块从估 值到业绩均具备β属性，全面受益。长期看资本市场新一轮改革周期开启，券商仍有较大发展增量空 间。中金公司"三合一"重大资产重组预案出炉，合并后主体有望发挥原有中金公司投资银行、私募股权 投资、机构业务、资产管理和国际化业务优势，吸收信达证券和东方证券在企业纾困、并购重整、区域 布局、零售客户上的特色资源，实现汇金系"投行+AMC资源"的深度协同，加快一流投资银行和投资机 构建设进程。 证券ETF（512880）跟踪的是证券公司指数（399975），该指数从A股市场中选取涉及证券经纪、 投资银行、资产管理等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映证券行业相关上市公司证券的整体表 现。证券公司指数覆盖了各类证券相关业务，具有较强的周期性和市场敏感性，是衡量资本市场活跃度 的重要指标之一。 风险提示：数据来源wind、截至2025.12.19，证券ETF规模为568.02亿，在同类21只产品中排名第 一。提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参考，不代 表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保 ...

非银金融 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 12 月 22 日 强于大市 非银金融行业周报 证监会会议部署"五项坚持" 证监会会议为"持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革"提供具体措施，传达学 习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，对"十五五"规划与 2026 年进行具体布局。 会议强调要增强市场内在稳定性，不断提高资本市场制度的包容性吸引力。 金融与资本市场相关部署贯穿于中央经济工作会议的政策要求与重点任务 中，凸显了金融在服务"十五五"时期国家战略中的重要枢纽地位。继续看 好证券行业高景气度下长期估值中枢提升。 行业要闻 投资建议 继续看好券商板块估值向上空间。监管持续强化金融功能发挥重要性， 勾勒 2026 年资本市场改革与行业高质量发展路径，在证券行业景气度上 升背景下板块长期估值中枢有望提升。建议关注头部综合券商优势扩大 以及特色中小券商错位发展两条主线。 风险提示 监管政策、宏观经济发展及市场流动性表现不及预期；证券市场及利率 大幅波动导致业绩波动加剧；资本市场开放加速带来海外市场风险与外 资机构竞争压力；同质化竞争或引发价格战；券商并购不确定性或影响 板块价格稳定。 相关研究报告 《公募基金销售行为 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" as a critical period for China's capital market, focusing on enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of market systems [2][6] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has laid a solid foundation for the capital market, with significant reforms enhancing the market's ability to support technological innovation and economic growth [3][5] - The article highlights the importance of a multi-layered capital market system to meet diverse financing needs and improve investor returns, which is essential for fostering new productive forces [9] Group 2 - The upcoming reforms will focus on increasing the efficiency of resource allocation, supporting new productive forces, and promoting high-quality development of the capital market [2][8] - Key reforms will include encouraging technology-driven companies to access equity financing and increasing the issuance of corporate bonds to enhance direct financing channels [7][8] - The article discusses the need for a more adaptable regulatory framework to support the evolving landscape of the capital market, ensuring it serves as an incubator for new productive forces and a catalyst for economic transformation [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The modernization of China's financial system is essential for the country's transition to a modern state, with a focus on establishing a strong financial nation through the internationalization of the Renminbi and capital markets [1][2]. Capital Market Internationalization - The construction of a strong financial nation must focus on two indicators: the true internationalization of the Renminbi and the internationalization of capital markets, aiming to establish an international financial center centered on Renminbi-denominated assets [2][3]. - The ultimate goal for the Renminbi is to achieve free circulation as a payment or reserve currency in developed countries, beyond just regional trade settlements [2]. Capital Market Reform Directions - Capital market reform should advance on three levels: 1. A shift in perception from viewing the market solely as a financing tool to recognizing it as an investment market, emphasizing the establishment of incentive mechanisms [3]. 2. Reform of the funding side to reduce excessive constraints on large capital entering equity markets, particularly for commercial insurance funds [3]. 3. Institutional platform reform focusing on legal, regulatory, and rule-based improvements to ensure transparency and prevent fraudulent activities [3]. Core Goals of Capital Market Reform - The primary goal is to "clear mines" by eliminating fraud and deception in the market, with a call for stricter penalties and accountability for violators [4]. - The second goal is to develop a genuine wealth management market, which requires a transparent and trustworthy foundation to attract long-term capital [4]. - The ultimate vision is to establish an international financial center, which necessitates adherence to market-oriented, rule-of-law, and internationalization principles to support the strategy of becoming a strong financial nation [4].

Group 1 - The second "Shenzhen Xiangmi Lake Financial Annual Conference" was successfully held, focusing on promoting a virtuous cycle of technology, industry, and finance in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1] - Huang Qifan highlighted five achievements in China's manufacturing high-quality development, including a 32% share of global industrial added value, and a complete industrial chain system [2] - Suggestions for optimizing China's export structure were provided, including gradual appreciation of the RMB against the USD and lowering export tax rates [2] Group 2 - Fan Wenfei discussed the advantages and shortcomings of large language models in AI, emphasizing the need for domestic database products to replace foreign ones [3] - Wu Xiaoqiu proposed three key areas for deepening capital market reform, focusing on investor protection, orderly entry of large funds, and legal and institutional reforms [4] - Xia Derun emphasized the unique advantages of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area in becoming a "three-innovation cycle" pilot zone, leveraging Hong Kong's financial center and Shenzhen's tech innovation [5] Group 3 - Yin Yanlin noted significant achievements in technology finance services, advocating for the Greater Bay Area to become a demonstration zone for a "technology-industry-finance" virtuous cycle [6] - Wang Jiangping identified the "quantity-price divergence" issue in China's industrial economy, suggesting reforms and technological advancements to address this challenge [7] - Recommendations for 2026 industrial economic development include optimizing supply, expanding domestic demand, and enhancing risk management [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector [1]. Core Views - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales proportion of savings products. The report anticipates improvements in both the liability and investment sides of the insurance business [46]. - The securities sector is undergoing transformation, which is expected to bring new business growth points, benefiting from a recovering market and favorable policy environment [46]. - The non-bank financial sector is currently undervalued, providing a safety margin and a balanced risk-reward profile [46]. Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Recent Performance - From December 15 to December 19, 2025, all non-bank financial sub-sectors outperformed the CSI 300 index, with the insurance sector rising by 7.04%, multi-financial sector by 2.04%, and securities sector by 1.06%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 2.99% [11][12]. Securities Sector - Trading volume decreased month-on-month in December 2025, with the average daily trading amount for stock funds at 21,087 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.09% but a month-on-month decrease of 5.91% [16]. - The margin balance reached 24,994 billion yuan, up 32.93% year-on-year and 34.04% since the beginning of the year [16]. - The report highlights the merger of CICC with Dongxing and Xinda, which will result in a combined asset scale exceeding one trillion yuan, ranking fourth in the industry [20]. Insurance Sector - The report discusses the public consultation on new asset-liability management regulations, which aim to strengthen regulatory requirements and optimize long-term stock risk factor requirements [24]. - The insurance sector's valuation is currently between 0.67 and 1.01 times the 2025E P/EV, indicating it is at a historical low, thus maintaining an "Overweight" rating [32]. Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach 32.43 trillion yuan by June 2025, a year-on-year growth of 20.11% [32]. - The futures market experienced a significant increase in trading volume and value, with November 2025 figures showing a year-on-year increase of 13.54% in volume and 7.11% in value [39]. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Life, Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CICC, and Tonghuashun [46].

本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者王兆寰 北京报道 近日，在中央经济工作会议结束后的一周里，监管层着实忙碌，一周两次对外发声，从传达学习会议精 神，到研究部署，最后到组织专家座谈听取资本市场"十五五"规划编制和2026年资本市场工作的意见建 议。 中国证监会主席吴清指出，证监会将持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革，稳步扩大制度型高水平对外开 放，持续提高资本市场制度包容性吸引力，更好服务经济高质量发展和中国式现代化大局。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示，2026年深化资本市场改革 是"十五五"实体经济提质的关键抓手，对A股核心是"筑基赋能"。 田利辉指出，改革将聚焦"三提升"：提升市场稳定性，完善基础制度与监管机制，减少非理性波动；提 升包容性，推进注册制改革向纵深发展，让创新企业更便捷上市；提升吸引力，优化投资者结构，吸引 长期资金入市。 田利辉认为，短期以改革信号稳预期、降波动，中期通过制度优化提升标的质量、引入中长期资金，长 期将夯实市场韧性。 提高制度包容性吸引力 2025年12月召开的中央经济工作会议指出，做好2026年经济工作要坚持稳中求进工作总基调，纵深 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Shenhua Energy Co., Ltd. is undertaking a significant asset acquisition and capital raising transaction to enhance its operational capacity and resource allocation, thereby strengthening its competitive edge in the energy sector [7][8][9]. Transaction Overview - The transaction involves issuing A-shares and cash payments to acquire assets from the controlling shareholder, China Energy Group, and its subsidiary, with a payment structure of 30% in shares and 70% in cash [8][11]. - The total transaction value is adjusted to approximately 133.598 billion yuan after accounting for a post-evaluation capital increase of 4.927 billion yuan [10]. Impact on Company Operations - Post-transaction, China Shenhua's coal reserves will increase by 64.72% to 6.849 billion tons, and its coal production capacity will rise by 56.57% to 512 million tons, significantly enhancing its operational scale [9][15]. - The transaction is expected to improve the company's earnings per share (EPS) to 3.15 yuan for 2024, representing a 6.10% increase, and to 1.54 yuan for the first seven months of 2025, a 4.40% increase [9][15]. Financial Metrics - The total assets of the acquired assets amount to 233.423 billion yuan, with a net profit of 9.428 billion yuan for the year 2024 [8][10]. - The transaction is projected to enhance the company's profitability and asset quality, with no dilution of EPS anticipated [17][26]. Regulatory and Approval Process - The transaction requires approval from various regulatory bodies, including the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and has already received preliminary consent from the controlling shareholder [19][20]. - The company has committed to strict compliance with disclosure obligations and fair pricing to protect minority shareholders' interests [21][22]. Shareholder Commitments - The controlling shareholder and senior management have pledged not to sell their shares during the investigation period if any misleading information is found [2][5]. - The company has also established measures to ensure that the transaction does not adversely affect the interests of minority shareholders [21][27].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the comprehensive reforms and developments in Tianjin's capital market during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing risk prevention, regulatory strength, and high-quality development [35]. Group 1: Market Expansion - The number of listed companies increased from 60 to 71, an 18% growth compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [6]. - The total market value of listed companies rose from 920.3 billion yuan to 1,656.6 billion yuan, an 80% increase compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [6]. - The number of companies listed on the New Third Board reached 118, with 39 in the innovation layer, a 1.29 times increase year-on-year [7]. - The bond market's outstanding scale reached 12.8 trillion yuan, ranking among the top in the country [8]. - The total assets of eight securities, fund, and futures institutions reached 113.7 billion yuan, with net assets growing by 22% and 20% respectively compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [8][9]. Group 2: Structural Optimization - The focus is on enhancing quality and efficiency, with a strong emphasis on technology innovation and industrial upgrades [10]. - There are 49 high-tech and specialized new listed companies in Tianjin, accounting for 69% of the total, with a total market value share of 78% [12]. - Cumulative R&D investment by listed companies exceeded 100 billion yuan, an 80% increase compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [12]. - The overall R&D intensity of listed companies is projected to be 3.01% in 2024, with key industry chain companies at 7.64% [12]. Group 3: Capital Market and Industry Renewal - 40 listed companies belong to key industrial chains in Tianjin, accounting for nearly 70% of the total market value [14]. - Six listed companies have undergone major asset restructuring to eliminate inefficient assets and transition to emerging industries [14]. - Nearly 20% of listed companies are expanding production or investing in weak links of the industrial chain through refinancing [14]. - The amount of mergers and acquisitions by listed companies exceeded 26 billion yuan after the release of the "Six Merger Guidelines" in September 2024 [14]. Group 4: Asset Activation - Two public REITs were issued, with one revitalizing 220,000 square meters of industrial park assets and another raising 2.5 billion yuan for highway expansion projects [17]. - The outstanding scale of ABS products in the region reached 72.1 billion yuan, ranking among the top in the country [18]. Group 5: Function Enhancement - Over the past five years, the region has utilized multi-level capital markets to finance 1.6 trillion yuan, 1.6 times the total financing amount during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [21]. - Among 14 new listed companies, 11 were issued through the registration system, and 10 were listed on the "Two Innovation Boards" and the Beijing Stock Exchange [21]. - The wealth management scale of capital market institutions in the region exceeded 2.2 trillion yuan [23]. Group 6: Ecological Improvement - The regulatory framework for the capital market has been established, guiding further comprehensive reforms [26]. - The implementation of the "New National Nine Articles" and the "1+N" policy has led to the introduction of various supportive measures for high-quality development [28]. - A specialized working group has been established to implement capital market reform policies and coordinate high-quality development of listed companies [29].

Group 1 - The chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced on December 18 that the capital market's "14th Five-Year Plan" will be solidly advanced, aiming to deepen comprehensive reforms in investment and financing, and steadily expand high-level institutional openness, which is expected to enhance the long-term development quality and activity of the capital market [1] - As of December 19, the leading securities ETF (159993.SZ) rose by 0.77%, and its related index (399437.SZ) increased by 0.88%. Key constituent stocks such as Dongfang Caifu rose by 1.14%, CITIC Securities by 0.95%, Industrial Securities by 2.10%, Huatai Securities by 0.96%, and Guotai Junan by 1.16% [1] - Shanxi Securities highlighted that the Central Economic Work Conference has set the tone for capital market reform, emphasizing the continuous deepening of investment and financing reforms, with the new "National Nine Articles" as the core of the "1+N" policy accelerating implementation to promote medium- and long-term capital inflow into the market [1] Group 2 - Shanxi Securities also mentioned that the CSRC recently issued a draft for public consultation on the "Regulations on the Sales Behavior of Publicly Raised Securities Investment Funds," aiming to comprehensively standardize fund sales behavior, with clear requirements on promotional language, performance display, and live marketing to prevent financial risks [1]